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Biogas in the futureintegrated energy system
1Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Nordic Biogas Conference, Reykjavik, August 2014
Rasmus Munch Sørensen – [email protected]
Content
• Looking into the crystal ball: How could a cost-optimised, sustainable energy
system look like in Denmark?
• Do we need biogas in such an energy system?
• Where can we use biogas?
• How can we lower costs of integrating biogas?
2Biogas in the future integrated energy system
We ensure supply of electricity and gas every minute
11Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Energinet.dk is responsible for ensuring electricity in the
socket and gas in the gas taps - both today at 20.50 and in
2050.
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Wind Sun (PV) Wave Heat (sun andgeothermal)
Biomass andwaste (incl.
slurry)
PJ
pe
r ye
ar
Futher biomass potential by using energy crops
Domestic potential for RE-production towards 2050
2050 (production and gross energy consumption)
2011 (net import biomass)
2011 (production and gross energy consumption)
Domestic renewable resources to reach 100% renewable energy by 2050
Potentials from Danish Commission on Climate Change Policy, 2010
Fluctuating power production
Gross energy consumption 2011
Gross energy consumption 2050
Biogas in the future integrated energy system 7
Biogas
potential in
Denmark:
Around 40 PJ.
65 PJ if
methanised.
Using the gas system as a key integrator
11Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Cheap baths for everybody!
- Also our children
Date - Doc. no. 2Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Do we need biogas in
the energy system?
Conversion is ”easy” – we don’t need to choose the winnermolecules now
13Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Cost and potential of producing Renewable Gas in DK(Projected 2035 price levels)
14Biogas in the future integrated energy system
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Co
st o
f R
en
ew
able
Gas
(EU
R/G
J)
Fuel production potential (PJ)
Waste
Straw etc
Energy crops
Hard biomass(wood chips etc.)
ManureElectrolysis (power to gas)
201320352050Fuel consumption (gas+liquid)
Extra 22 GW offshore windneeded at this amount of P2G
Natural gas + CO2 (2035)
Diesel + CO2 (2035)
So yes, wet biomass will likely be needed, and AD is
currently the best technology for converting this
ressource.
Approximately 50%
2050 (Scale 1:2)
2012 2020
2035
Some scales on wind production and electricity consumption
Three weeks in November…
Wind share: Approximately 30% of
classic consumption
Approximately 80% Approximately 150%
Biogas in the future integrated energy system 16
2012
2035
2050 (Scale1:1)
Wind share: Approximately 30% of
classic consumption
Approximately 80% Approximately 150%
Some scales on wind production and electricity consumption
Three weeks in November…
Biogas in the future integrated energy system 17
Use of biogas in Industry: Some better than others
18Biogas in the future integrated energy system
<50 °C
50-75 °C
75-100 °C
100-150 °C
150-
200
°C
>200 °C
Industry (60 PJ) distribution on temperature levels
- Most consumption is low temperature
- For higher temperatures, RE gas is a valid long-term option.
- Industry focuses on low cost of energy, and security of supply.
Transportation sector
20Biogas in the future integrated energy system
- Most energy goes to personal transport
- Still large potential left for RE-fuels in heavy road transport
- Transport sector requires efficient distribution and storage
- Transport sector, including heavy road, is increasing its energy demand
Energy supply for road transport
21Biogas in the future integrated energy system
0
50
100
150
200
250
2013 2035 2050
En
erg
y i
np
ut
(P
J)
Input energy
Oil RE gas/fuel Electricity Natural gas
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2013 2035 2050
Output energy(energy to wheels)
Date - Doc. no. 10Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Can we lower the costs
of using RE-gasses?
Examples of local grid configurations using different gasses
23Biogas in the future integrated energy system
SNG upgrading (CH4)Local biogas grid (CH4+CO2)
Syngas (H2+CO) Local hydrogen grid
Biogas
plant
Power 2
Gas
Industry CHP CHP IndustryBiogas
plantStorage
Power2
Gas Power2
Gas
Storage
Industry
Thermal
gasification
Biofuel
MetanolCHP
Power 2
GasIndustry
Gas t
ransm
issio
n
H2
tank
Local optimisation possibilites for biogas
24Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Biogas
Local storage
if feasible
Local grid
Option 1: CHP
Option 2:
Upgrade or
methanise
Natu
rgasnet
Electricity
at high
prices
Injection
Option 3:
Industry
Removing the CO2 and injecting it in the gas
system continiously is the ”easy” solution –
but may not be worth the cost all the time
Political goals and subsidies are not free
25Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Subsidyschemes
Evaluation
Adjustmentof
subsidies
Evaluation
Green ambitions
15,33 Euro subsidy per GJ
4 PJ more by 2020
60 Mio. Euro subsidy for 4 PJ
184Mio. euro for 12 PJ more
(original 2020 goal)
Approx 270 euro per ton CO2 if replacing Natural Gas
… but isn’t biogas also more than just energy?
Concluding points about use of biogas
Local optimization is key. In an ideal system:
• Use directly for CHP when electricity price is high
• Use directly for industry when electricity price is low
• Upgrade/methanisation when industry demand and electricity price is low
Requires re-thinking the way we look at biogas plants, and our
framework conditions supporting it:
• Is it only an energy production unit? Is it not rather a combined ”waste”
treatment plant with an energy production?
• Biogas can not be compared 1:1 to windturbines, PV’s, biomass boilers
etc. It is better than that.
• Subsidies aiming specifically at one use or another potentially hinders
succesful local optimisation and maximum benefit of the biogas
• If only upgraded and injected biogas can be traded as bio-methane, this
also hinders local utilisation of the raw biogas
26Biogas in the future integrated energy system
Want to know more?
Watch our movie about the future gas system on energinet.dk or our youtube channel