randomized experiments sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5...

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Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Lecture 20 Robb T. Koether Hampden-Sydney College Thu, Feb 18, 2016 Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College) Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 1/9

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Page 1: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5

Lecture 20

Robb T. Koether

Hampden-Sydney College

Thu, Feb 18, 2016

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 1 / 9

Page 2: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Outline

1 Randomized Experiments

2 Assignment

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 2 / 9

Page 3: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Outline

1 Randomized Experiments

2 Assignment

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 3 / 9

Page 4: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Definition (Randomized Experiment)A randomized experiment is one in which the subjects are assigned atrandom to the different groups.

Why use a randomized experiment?

FactThe larger a simple random sample, the more likely it is to berepresentative of the population.

Each group should be representative of the population in allrespects except the variable that is being controlled.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 4 / 9

Page 5: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Definition (Randomized Experiment)A randomized experiment is one in which the subjects are assigned atrandom to the different groups.

Why use a randomized experiment?

FactThe larger a simple random sample, the more likely it is to berepresentative of the population.

Each group should be representative of the population in allrespects except the variable that is being controlled.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 4 / 9

Page 6: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Definition (Randomized Experiment)A randomized experiment is one in which the subjects are assigned atrandom to the different groups.

Why use a randomized experiment?

FactThe larger a simple random sample, the more likely it is to berepresentative of the population.

Each group should be representative of the population in allrespects except the variable that is being controlled.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 4 / 9

Page 7: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Definition (Randomized Experiment)A randomized experiment is one in which the subjects are assigned atrandom to the different groups.

Why use a randomized experiment?

FactThe larger a simple random sample, the more likely it is to berepresentative of the population.

Each group should be representative of the population in allrespects except the variable that is being controlled.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 4 / 9

Page 8: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)Consider again Prof. Smith, Prof. Jones, and the two statisticstexts.Suppose we used four sections and the design

Prof.Smith

Statisticsin Practice

BasicStatistics

Prof.Jones

25 25

25 25

We could randomly assign a total of 100 students to the fourtreatments.Describe exactly how we would do that.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 5 / 9

Page 9: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.

One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 10: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 11: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.

Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 12: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.

The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 13: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.

Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 14: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.

Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 15: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”

The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 16: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Example

Example (Randomized Experiment)There is more than one way.One possibility:

Number the students 1 to 100.Use randInt(1,100) fifty times to assign 50 students to Prof.Smith.The rest go to Prof. Jones.Renumber each group 1 to 50.Use randInt(1,50) twenty-five times to assign 25 students ineach group to “Statistics in Practice.”The rest use “Basic Statistics.”

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 6 / 9

Page 17: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Randomized Experiments

Would the randomized design just described eliminate theconfounding of variables?

Why not?What further steps could we take?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 7 / 9

Page 18: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Randomized Experiments

Would the randomized design just described eliminate theconfounding of variables?Why not?

What further steps could we take?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 7 / 9

Page 19: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Randomized Experiments

Would the randomized design just described eliminate theconfounding of variables?Why not?What further steps could we take?

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 7 / 9

Page 20: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Outline

1 Randomized Experiments

2 Assignment

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 8 / 9

Page 21: Randomized Experiments Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 ...people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/robbk/math121/lectures... · Outline 1 Randomized Experiments 2 Assignment Robb T. Koether

Assignment

AssignmentRead Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5.Apply Your Knowledge: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10.Check Your Skills: 19, 20, 21, 22.Exercises 29, 31, 32, 33, 34.

Robb T. Koether (Hampden-Sydney College)Randomized ExperimentsSections 9.1, 9.2, 9.3, 9.4, 9.5 Thu, Feb 18, 2016 9 / 9