raising, pooling and allocating resources€¦ · (oecd 2013) -3.6% -3.2% -1.9% -1.1% -8.9% +2.2%...
TRANSCRIPT
Reinhard Busse, Prof. Dr. med. MPH FFPH FG Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin
(WHO Collaborating Centre for Health Systems Research and Management)
&
European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies
Raising, pooling and allocating
resources
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
EU
-15
n
ew
EU
A
me
rica
Ea
ste
rn M
ed
itera
ne
an
Afric
a
Western Pacific
So
uth
-Ea
st A
sia
Max. 8845
(USA)
Min. 25
(D.R. Congo)
Am
eric
a
EU
-15
n
ew
EU
Ea
ste
rn M
ed
itera
ne
an
So
uth
-East A
sia
W
es
tern
Pa
cific
A
frica
Max. 17.0%
(USA)
Min. 1.4%
(Timor Leste)
+7.0%
+1.8% +4.1%
+1.6%
+5.3%
+5.5%
+2.2%
+3.9%
+2.1%
+3.7%
+3.4%
+3.3%
+2.1%
+5.3%
Average annual growth
of total health expenditure
before crisis: 2000-2009 (OECD 2013)
-3.6%
-3.2% -1.9%
-1.1%
-8.9%
+2.2%
+1.3%
+0.9%
+0.8%
+1.0%
+1.4%
-1.2%
+1.9%
-1.3%
Average annual growth
of total health expenditure
in crisis: 2009-2012 (OECD 2014)
-3.6%
-8.9%
+1.9%
Average annual growth
of total health expenditure:
2009-2012 vs. 2000-2009
+7.0%
+5.3%
+2.1%
• A measure of the opportunity cost of health
spending.
• A means of international comparison.
But:
There is no unambiguous optimum level. It
is a matter of political preferences.
Why is the Health
Expenditure/GDP ratio of interest?
Despite the complications, there are just
four main ways of funding health care:
• Out-of-pocket payments by users
• Voluntary (private) insurance payments =
premiums
• Social insurance payments = contributions
or community-rated premiums
• Tax payments
regional local
Sub
stitu
tive
VH
I
Dupli
cate
VHI
Suppl
emen
tary
VHI1
Com
plem
entar
y
VHI
Cost
sharing
(covered
services)
Direct
payments
(uncovered
services)
For
mal
In-
formal
Dedu
ctible
Co-
paym
ent
Direct vs. indirect
General vs. earmarked
Tax compulsory SHI
contribution
Voluntary HI
premia
Out-of-pocket
payments
NGOs etc.
Public Private External sources
Total health expenditure
Prepaid resources
Co-
insur
ance
national
Third-party payer
Population Providers
Collector of
resources
Steward/
regulator Regulation
Raising
resources/
funding
Resource pooling & allocation
System typology
Purchasing/
contracting/
financing
providers
Coverage:
Who? What?
How much?
Income-dependent contributions
& sickness funds =
Social Health Insurance system
Taxes &
governments/ health authorities
= tax-funded system (NHS)
Delivery/
provision of services Risk-related premia
& private insurers =
Voluntary Health Insurance system
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
prepaid
sickness funds
health
authorities
private insurers
Finding the “right“ funding mix …
public
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
World-wide 2012 (large US market!)
23%
34%
15%
22%
58% public
1170 $PPP =
8.6% of GDP
“Public” money can be handled
by private-law institutions;
“publicly regulated” may
therefore be a better term.
Global expenditure on health 2012: around $ 8.4 trillion (8,400,000,000,000)
80 $PPP/ capita
235 $PPP/ capita
770 $PPP/ capita
3050 $PPP/ capita
8845 $PPP/ capita
x3
x3
x4
x3
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Low-income countries 2012
37%
1%
1%
47%
39% public
83 $PPP =
5.1% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Central African Republic 2012
51%
0%
<1%
44%
51% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
3.8 % of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Myanmar 2012
23%
<1%
0%
71%
24% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
1.8 % of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Lower middle income 2012
31%
5%
2%
55%
36% public
235 $PPP =
4.1% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
India 2012
28%
2%
2%
61%
31% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
3.8% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Egypt 2012
31%
8%
1%
60%
39% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
4.9% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Upper middle income 2012
29%
27%
7%
32%
56% public
766 $PPP =
6.0% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
China 2012
18%
38%
3%
34%
56% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
5.4% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Colombia 2012
12%
63%
9%
15%
76% public Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
6.8% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
High income 2012
21%
40%
19%
15%
61% public
4516 $PPP =
11.6% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
High income excl. US 2012
36%
40%
6%
16%
76% public
3050 $PPP =
8.8% of GDP
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Czech Republic 2012
6%
77%
2%
15%
84% public
7.5% of GDP
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Germany 2012
8.5%
68%
9%
13%
77% public
11.3% of GDP
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
Greece 2012
28%
39%
3%
28%
67% public
9.3% of GDP
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
UK 2012
84%
0%
3%
9%
84% public
9.3% of GDP
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Third-party Payer
Population Providers
Taxes
Social Health
Insurance
contributions
Voluntary insurance
Out-of-pocket
USA 2012
6%
41%
34%
11%
47% public
8845 $PPP =
17% of GDP
The richer countries are, the more they spend
publicly (with the exception of the US) …
… but is more public better?
x 4!
as much
Source: World Health Statistics 2015, baseline 2012
Correlation between private expenditure (as % of total health care expenditure)
and the level of fairness in financing
0.82
0.84
0.86
0.88
0.9
0.92
0.94
0.96
0.98
1
10 20 30 40 50 60
Private expenditure on health as % of total expenditure on health (2002)
Fair
ness in
fin
an
cia
l co
ntr
ibu
tio
n (
max. 1,0
0)
SHI
TAX
MIXED
USA
GR
ROK
CH
CDN
P
E
BFIN
IS
F
D
UK
DK
N
S
inequitable
Correlation between private expenditure (as % of
total health care expenditure) and the percentage of
households with catastrophic health expenditure
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
10 20 30 40 50 60
Private expenditure on health as % of total expenditure on health (2002)
% o
f h
ou
seh
old
s w
ith
cata
str
op
hic
(>40%
of
inco
me)
tota
l h
ealt
h e
xp
en
dit
ure
SHI
TAX
MIXED
USAGR
ROK
CH
CDN
P
ED
B
FIN
FDK
UK
N
IS
S
inequitable
progressive
proportional
regressive
Direct tax
Wage-related contribution
Private insurance
premium; user fee
income
health
funding
= equitable = „good“
= not
equitable
= „bad“
= „not so
good“
CAVE: Many tax-funded
systems have high indirect
taxes = regressive!
BUT: Low-income households
may get (tax-financed) tax-subsidies to pay
for insurance premiums.
possibly
Fig. 4.2 Per capita expenditure on health in US$PPP as compared to satisfaction with health system, 1998
Source: OECD Data base 2000.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Per capita expenditure US$ PPP
Sa
tisfa
cti
on
Dk
A
BF
D
L
NL
U KIrl S
E
PGr
I
Fin
NHS AVG
SHI AVG
The more, the better?
Levels of satisfaction and per capita
expenditure in EU-15 countries (2000)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Austria
Germany
France
Denmark
Italy
UK
Greece
More Less Other Sources: * Eurobarometer 44.3, 1996
Should more be spent on health?
Where should the extra money come
from?
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
West Germany
East Germany
France
Italy
Netherlands
Sweden
Britain
% respondentsLower national spending on other thingsHigher taxes on tobacco and alcoholHigher general taxationHigher social insurance (national insurance in UK) contributionsHigher charges for patientsMore private health insuranceOther/ don't know/ no answer
Source: Eurobarometer 49 1998 in Mossialos and King 1999 Health Policy 49
Using the triangle to
visualise monetary flows
Co
- paym
ents
and n
on
-
reim
burs
ed h
ealth e
xpenditure
12.3
%
Private health and
long - term care insurers
Statutory sickness funds
Federal and state
governments
Physicians’
associations
Population and
employers
Voluntary private
insurance
premiums 8.4%
Contributions
56.9%
General taxation
7.9%
Reimbursement of patients
Payment to providers
Investment &
salaries
Prices
Investment
Per diems, case plus
procedure fees, DRGs
Per diems, case plus
procedure fees, DRGs
Mainly
capitation
Fee for service
Fee
for
service
Stat. long - term care funds Contributions
7.0%
Payment to providers,
Fee for service
Fee for service (via Dentists’ associations)
Pharmacies 13.8%
Public health services 0.8%
Ambulatory
care physicians
13.4%
Acute public, private -
non-profit and private -
for profit hospitals
27.2%
Dentists 6.3%
Ambulatory nursing care
providers 2.7%
Nursing homes 6.9% Investment
Fee for service
Per diems
Co
- paym
ents
and n
on
-
reim
burs
ed h
ealth e
xpenditure
12.3
%
Private health and
long - term care insurers
Statutory sickness funds
Federal and state
governments
Physicians’
associations
Population and
employers
Voluntary private
insurance
premiums 8.4%
Contributions
56.9%
General taxation
7.9%
Reimbursement of patients
Payment to providers
Investment &
salaries
Prices
Investment
Per diems, case plus
procedure fees, DRGs
Per diems, case plus
procedure fees, DRGs
Mainly
capitation
Fee for service
Fee
for
service
Stat. long - term care funds Contributions
7.0%
Payment to providers,
Fee for service
Fee for service (via Dentists’ associations)
Pharmacies 13.8%
Public health services 0.8%
Ambulatory
care physicians
13.4%
Acute public, private -
non-profit and private -
for profit hospitals
27.2%
Dentists 6.3%
Ambulatory nursing care
providers 2.7%
Nursing homes 6.9% Investment
Fee for service
Per diems
Ressource
mobilisation Purchasing/ payment
Out-of-pocket
Ressource
mobilisation
Out-of-pocket
Purchasing/
payment
Taxes
Social
insurance
VHI
Out of pocket payments – sometimes
referred to as user charges:
1. Full cost charging for, e.g., OTC medicines
(second dimension of coverage)
2. Insurance schemes often require part-
payments (known as cost sharing) in the
form of co-payments, co-insurance and
deductibles (third dimension of coverage)
3. Informal (under the counter) payments are
commonplace in Eastern Europe and LMIC
Should more reliance be placed
on user charges?
• A mechanism for demand management
(discouraging frivolous use)
• A mechanism for raising extra revenues.
• BUT research evidence suggests that user
charges are likely to be inefficient and
inequitable.
Form Definition
Co-
payment
User pays a fixed fee (flat rate) per item or service
Co-
insurance
User pays a fixed proportion of the total cost, with
the insurer paying the remaining proportion
Deductible User bears a fixed quantity of the costs, with any
excess borne by the insurer; deductibles can apply
to specific cases or a period of time
• Not all benefits are covered at 100% by public schemes
• Three different forms of cost-sharing are most commonly used
Forms of (formal) cost-sharing
• clinical condition – diabetics in Sweden, pregnant women in
the United Kingdom and people with specified chronic
illnesses in Ireland, Finland, Spain and UK
• level of income – all those with low incomes in Austria,
Belgium, Germany, Ireland and UK and older people with low
income in Greece
• age – older people in Belgium, Ireland, Korea, Japan, Spain
and UK and children and adolescents in many countries, e.g.
in Germany, Japan and UK
• type of drug – drugs for chronic illnesses in Portugal, drugs
for life-threatening illnesses in Belgium, both types of drug in
Greece and effective drugs in France
Reduced rates or exemptions commonly relate to one or
more of the following:
Admin. costs as % of expenditure
Private Public
Belgium 26.8 (FP, groups) 4.8%
France 10-15% (NP), 15-25% (FP) 4.0 - 8.0%
Germany 16.7% (2002)* 6.1% (2002)*
Ireland 11.8% (NP 2001)
5.4% (NP 1997)
2.8% (1995)
Italy 27.8% (2000) 0.4% (1995)
Netherlands 12.7% 4.4%
UK 14.2% (BUPA), 16.9% (PPP) 3.5% (1995)
Mossialos and Thomson 2002 NB: figs for 1999 unless otherwise stated; *Federal Statistical
Office 2004
NP = non-profit / FP = for-profit
Contribution
collector
Third-party
payer
Population Providers
Independent of risk,
need and utilisation,
i.e. income-related or
community-rated
Dependent on volume,
appropriateness (service
= need) and quality,
steered by priorities and
incentives
Dependent on risk,
but independent of actual
utilisation
Ability to pay Solidarity Need
Pooling allocation
50
3,4
10
2,5
10
4
10
6,9
5
5,6
5
8,8
5
15,6
5
53,2
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% of
population
% of
expenditure
Expenditure is highly skewed: 5% of
population account for >50% of expenditure (example Germany 2001)
20%
80%
Expenditure is highly skewed: 5% of
population account for >50% of expenditure (example France 2001)
Source : CNAMTS/EPAS
5%
51%
64%
10%
78%
20%
98%
70%
100%
90%
100%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
% of people % of expenses
20%
80%
0%
50%
100%
US population Total health expenditure
1%
5%
10%
55%
69%
27%
Sourc
e:
Monhe
it 2
003 a
nd B
erk
and M
onheit 2
001
… and the same picture in the USA
50%
97%
Issues for discussion:
Do allocate to regions with …
• more elderly
• more ill persons
• lower life expectancy
• more persons in urban areas
• more hospital beds and physicians
more money?
Risk adjusters in the capitation formulas for resource
allocation (social health insurance systems)
Country Year of
implementation
Risk-adjusters
Austria None
Belgium 1995
2006
-Age, sex, social insurance status, employment status, mortality,
urbanization, income
-Age, sex, social insurance status, employment status, mortality
urbanization, income, diagnostic and pharmaceutical cost groups
France None
Germany 1994/1995
2002
-Age, sex, disability pension status
-Age, sex, disability pension status, participation in
disease management program
Japan ? (-Age)
Korea None
Luxembourg None
Netherlands 1993
1996
1999
2002
-Age, sex
-Age, sex, region, disability status
-Age, sex, social security/ employment status,
region of residence
-Age, sex, social security/ employment status,
region of residence, diagnostic and pharmaceutical cost groups
Switzerland
(within canton)
1994 -Age, sex
Sources: adapted from Busse et al. (2004) and updated with data from Risk Adjustment Network (HAN)
Risk adjusters in the capitation formulas for resource
allocation (tax-financed systems)
Country Risk-adjusters
Australia Age, sex, ethnic group, homelessness, mortality, education level, rurality
Canada Age, sex, socioeconomic status, ethnicity, remoteness
Denmark Age, number of children in single parent families, percentage of rented flats,
unemployment, education, immigrants, social status, single elderly people
England Age, mortality, morbidity, unemployment, elderly people living alone, ethnic origin,
socioeconomic status
Finland Age, disability, morbidity, archipelago, remoteness
Iceland None
Ireland not applicable
Italy Age, sex, mortality, morbidity, utilization
New Zealand Age, sex, welfare status, ethnicity, rurality
Norway Age, sex, mortality, elderly living alone, marital status
Portugal Mainly based on historical precedent; Age, relative burden of illness (diabetes,
hypertension, tuberculosis, AIDS),
Spain None
Sweden Age, sex, marital status, employment status, occupation, housing tenure, high
utilizer
Sources: Rice and Smith (2002); Mapelli (1999); Järvelin et al. (2002); Vallgårda et al. (2001)