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M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 1 McIntire Investment Institute At the University of Virginia Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX) Prepared by Ting-Yu Hu| 17 March 2011

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Page 1: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 1

McIntire Investment Institute At the University of Virginia

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

(NYSE: DGX)

Prepared by Ting-Yu Hu| 17 March 2011

Page 2: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Founded in 1969

Headquartered in Madison, NJ

Clinical laboratory services

2,000 Patient Service Centers. 33+ regional laboratories

2

Company Overview

Page 3: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 3

1-Year Stock Chart

Page 4: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Share Price: 54.09 Market capitalization: 9.26B

P/E: 13.36 EPS: 4.05

4

52-week range: 40.80 - 60.28

Average volume: 1,866,140 Total Cash: 449.30M Total Debt: 2.99B

Stock Summary

Page 5: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 5

DGX is a Long

1. Industry Leader/Brand Recognition

2. Significant Growth Opportunities

3. Strong Financial Position/Cash Flow to Fuel Growth

Page 6: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

•  Industry segment leader •  Competition is limited:

– LabCorp is main competitor – Local clinical labs – Local hospital outreach

•  National brand recognition

6

Quest is an Industry Leader

Page 7: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 7

Clinical Labs Comprise a Major Portion of the Market

Page 8: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 8

Quest Diagnostics is a Clear Industry Segment Leader

Company FY2010 FY2009 % Change

QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 7.37B 7.46B -1.21

LABORATORY CRP OF AMERICA 5.00B 4.69B 6.61

BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 458.02M 362.65M 26.29 MEDTOX SCIENTIFIC INC 97.11M 84.108M 15.46 ENZO BIOCHEM INC 97.082M 89.572M 8.38 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 13.02M 16.955M -23.21 MYRIAD GENETICS INC 362.648M 326.527M 11.06 ORCHID CELLMARK INC 59.062M 57.595M 2.55

Page 9: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

So Why is Revenue Falling?

•  Industry-wide decrease in testing due to recession/external factors – Decrease in workplace drug-

testing – Visits to physician offices

decreased

•  Increased competition

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Page 10: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

•  Electronic health records (EHR)

•  Specialized diagnostic tests

10

Significant Growth Opportunities

Page 11: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Quest’s IT Services Account for a Minority of Revenue

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Page 12: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

EHR Usage is Government Incentivized

12

•  “Meaningful use” clause in HITech Act 2009 •  $44,000 incentive per physician •  2012 deadline

Page 13: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 13

Page 14: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Quest Stands out from its Competitors

•  Existing national physician base •  Modular, integrated services •  Accessibility (Smartphone, iPad, computer) •  Differentiation

– Free trial offer – Marketing

•  User friendly UI

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“EHRs don’t really compete on technology but on sales force, service, a little on UI, but

more on solutions and integrations. Most EHRs are local businesses and therefore compete in the same way as pizza shops

and restaurants – service.”

Page 15: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 15

Page 16: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Keith Klein, MD, FACP, FASN Cedars-Sinai Medical Center David Geffen School of Medicine, UCLA 16

“…Their interface is exquisitely and brilliantly designed…no learning curve at all. The programmers really understood what the doctors wanted; they really understood the work flow, the limitations of being in an exam room talking to a patient.…”

Page 17: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Growth Focused in Specialized Testing Needs

•  Esoteric tests •  Anatomical pathology tests •  Gene-based tests

–  Insurers support usage

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Page 18: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Industry driven by inorganic growth

•  Internal tests take time to develop

•  FDA approval necessary for new test procedures

•  Quest is making the right acquisitions to stay in the lead

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Page 19: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Strong Financial Position/Cash on Hand to Fuel Growth

•  Cash on hand to finance acquisitions

•  Strong cash flow – Easily collectible

accounts receivable

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Page 20: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Leftover Cash Flow Return Value to Shareholders

•  Consistent dividends –  $0.40/year

•  Significant stock repurchases by management

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Page 21: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Comparables Analysis Shows DGX is Undervalued

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Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36

LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71

BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2

PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65

MYRIAD GENETICS INC 13.45

Average P/E without DGX: 17.25 Implied Price for DGX: 69.87

Page 22: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

•  Quest is just a clinical testing/reference laboratory

•  Truth: Quest has a growing healthcare information technology business

22

Misperceptions

“…every Quest customer already has their EHR.  All they have to do is flip

the virtual switch and their current customers can start using their

EHR.”

Page 23: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

•  Local hospital outreach programs will push Quest out

•  Truth: Quest’s economies of scale allow it to compete effectively

23

Misperceptions

“Even if you have a smaller local lab, many of them will even use Quest…because Quest's

costs are so much lower for certain tests because they do them in a high volume...a small local lab might not have the volume and so the

cost is too high to do just a small number.”

Page 24: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Catalyst

•  Widespread physician adoption of EHR

•  Diagnostic testing volume increases

•  Quest wins contracts with new managed care clients

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Catalysts

Page 25: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 25

Risks

Macro trend risk •  Physician patient volume remains flat

Business Risk •  Hospital outreach programs gain

market share •  LabCorp acquires Quest’s managed

care contracts •  Quest fails to promote Care360

Political Risk •  Medicare incentives eliminated

Page 26: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

Recommendation: Initiate a 3% Position at Current Prices

Growth Opportunity

Cash for Acquisitions

Compelling Long

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Page 27: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e 27

McIntire Investment Institute At the University of Virginia

Quest Diagnostics Incorporated

(NYSE: DGX)

Prepared by Ting-Yu Hu| 17 March 2011

Page 28: Quest Diagnostics Incorporated (NYSE: DGX)...Company P/E QUEST DIAGNOSTICS INC 13.36 LABORATORY CRP OF AMER 16.71 BIO-REFERENCE LABS INC 21.2 PSYCHEMEDICS CORP 17.65 MYRIAD GENETICS

M c I n t i r e I n v e s t m e n t I n s t i t u t e

VAR

•  John Lynn- editor of the nationally renowned blog EMRandHIPPA.com (over 800 articles viewed over 2.4 million times). Former EHR Manager for the University of Nevada's Health and Counseling Center.

•  Shahid N. Shah- healthcare IT software analyst CTO for CareFusion, CTO of two Electronic Medical Records (EMR) companies, a Chief Systems Architect at American Red Cross

•  John Zimmerman, MD 28