quebec, canada september 24th, 2020 cusma cptpp€¦ · quebec, canada september 24th, 2020 cusma...
TRANSCRIPT
Quebec, CanadaSeptember 24th, 2020
CUSMA CPTPP
Luz María de la MoraUndersecretary for Foreign Trade
The Mexico-Quebec bridge
USMCA, CPTPP and other 11 FTAs connect the Mexican economy with 50 countries in 4 continents and more than 1.3 billion consumers (60% of the world’s GDP)
Mexico: 7th largest exporter in the world and 1st in Latin America
Agreements: 11 free trade |46 countries| 32 BITs |6 economic complementation | 3 partial scope.
CUSMA CPTPPOpportunities
NAFTA created one of the most competitive and dynamic regions in the world
FDI
$329Billion dollars
20.2% of world FDI (2019)
1st recipient in the world
Source: IMF, UNCTAD and WTO.
493Million people
$24Trillion dollars
Population GDP Trade
$6 Trillion dollars
6.5 % of world
population
28.2% of world GDP 1st global economy
(2019)
15.9% of global trade
2nd global exporter (2019)
44 5368
8397 105
123151 144 145 147
168188
217 230 241
193
249
285299 310
329 319 313338
372 385
46 56 5569
84 96 108132
118 111 109 116 125 138 147161
120
154184 195 197 205 197 189
204227 216
91 110124
152181
200231
282 262 256 257284
313
355377 401
313
403
469494
507534
516 502
543
599601
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mexico- NAFTA Trade(Billion dollars)
Exports Imports Trade
Source: Banco de México.
Average annual growth rate 19/93: 7.5%
Mexico trade with NAFTA partners
Fuente: SE/DGIE
1999-June 2020:
599 BFrom the USA:
279 BFrom Canada:
44 B
Foreign Direct Investment under NAFTA
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II IIIIV I II
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
U.S.A. Canada
NAFTA: 323.7 B
USA and Canada account for morethan half of total FDI received byMexico between 1999- June 2020.
We produce together to compete globallyNAFTA FDI in Mexico
Source: DGIE/SE.
Accumulated FDI 1999-June 2020, Canada and USA (US Billion)
46.6% Manufacturing
150.7
43.2
33.2
20.4
17.3
16.0
12.7
8.8
6.7
4.4
4.4
3.0
1.1
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.1
Manufacturing industries
Financial services and insurance
Commerce
Mining
Transportation and warehousing
Accommodation and food services
Real state and rental services
Information
Construction
Business support services
Professional services
Electric power generation and transmission
Agriculture and fishing
Others
Lesisure services, cultural and sports
Educational services
Health services
USMCA
ü Certainty
ü Clear Rules
üMaintains Free Trade
ü Preserves North American Integration
1. Initial Provisions and General Definitions
12. Sectoral Annexes 23. Labor
2. National Treatment and Market Access for Goods
13. Government Procurement 24. Environment
3. Agriculture 14. Investment25. Small and Medium-sized Enterprises
4. Rules of Origin ** 15. Cross-Border Trade in Services
26. Competitiveness
5. Origin Procedures 16. 27. Anticorruption
6. Textiles and Apparel 17. Financial Services28. Good RegulatoryPractices
7. Customs and Trade Facilitation 18. Telecommunications
29. Publication and Administration
8. Energy 19. Digital Trade30. Administrative and Institutional Provisions
9. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures 20. Intellectual Property 31. Dispute Settlement
10. Trade Remedies 21. Competition Policy32. Exceptions and General Provisions
11. Technical Barriers to Trade 22. State-Owned Enterprises 33. Macroeconomic Policies
34. Final Provisions
10 New Chapters
24 Modernized Chapters
**strengthen North American productive integration
USMCA: New areas of public policy will lead to wider and deeper integration among 3 partners
Regional Competitiveness
Preferential access
Regulatory coherence
Investment
SPS
TBT
Economy of the 21st
Century
Intellectual Property
Digital Trade
Financial Services
E-Commerce
Certainty in Trade and Investments
Dispute Settlement Mechanisms
State-to-State
Investor-State
Remedy Laws
Inclusive and Responsible Trade
SMEs
Gender
Labor Rights
Anticorruption
Environment
CPTPPOpportunities
CPTPP in numbers
Source: FMI y OMC.
11Trilliondollars
GDP
13.0% worldwide
506Million people
Population
6.7 % worldwide
5.8Trillion dollars
Trade
15.2% worldwideCPTPP countries imported2.8 trillion dollars from theworld in 2019, of whichalmost 1 trillioncorresponds to the 6 newmarkets for Mexico.
Exports from Mexico to the 6 new markets accessed throughCPTPP, grow at a AAGR* of 5.3%, adding 2,497 million dollars(in 2019), while those destined for the rest of the world, grew4.9%.
*Average anual growth rate
CPTPP
Non-USMCA,
§ Promotes economic integration and cooperation
§ Commitment to maintain open markets and increase world trade
§ Creates new opportunities
§ Inclusive, sustainable development
1. Initial provisions and general definitions 11 Financial Services
21. Cooperation and CapacityBuilding
2. National Treatment and Market Access for Goods 12. Temporary Entry
22. Competitiveness and Business Facilitation
3 Rules of Origin 13. Telecommunications 23 Development
4. Textiles and Apparel14. Digital Trade
24. . Small and Medium-sized Enterprises
5 Customs and Trade Facilitation 15. Government Procurement 25. Regulatory Coherence
6.Trade Remedies16. Competition Policy
26. Transparency and Anticorruption*
7. Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures
17. State-Owned Enterprises and designated monopolies
27. Administrative and Institutional Provisions
8.Technical Barriers to Trade18. Intellectual Property 28. Dispute Settlement
9. Investment 19. Labor29. Exceptions and General Provisions
10. Cross-Border Trade in Services
20. Environment 30. Final Provisions
* USMCA has an Anticorruption Chpater, but not one on Transparency.
13
Mexico’s trade with CPTPP countries
Source: Banco de México.
2.9% 19/18
• In the last 10 years, exports to CPTPP countries increased 40.9%.
17.0 18.0 19.5 18.5 19.2 19.0 20.6 21.924.7 24.0
34.638.0 38.0 38.2
40.842.9 43.6 44.6
47.250.051.6
56.0 57.5 56.760.0 62.0
64.2 66.6
72.0 74.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Exports Imports Trade
Billion US dollars
Why Mexico is a key partner?
Opportunities as export platforms
CPTPP
USMCA
CPTPP Trade 2019US$ 5.8 Trillions
(15.2% Worldwide)
Source: WTO.
USMCA Trade 2019US$ 6 Trillions
(15.9% Worldwide)
MEXICO and CANADA
38.6% del mundo
126Million people
1.3Trillion dollars
916Billion dollars
33Billion dollars
1.7% worldwide
1.5% worldwide
2.4%worldwide
2.0% worldwide
FDIPopulation GDP Trade
Source: IMF, WTO, Banco de México and UNCTAD. *Imports-imports method
37Billion dollars
4.03% of total trade
BilateralTrade*
37Million people
1.7Trillion dollars
911Billion dollars
50Billion dollars
0.5% worldwide
2.0% worldwide
2.4%worldwide
3.1% worldwide
FDIPopulation GDP Trade
37Billion dollars
4.06% of total trade
BilateralTrade*
Baja California
Baja California Sur
Sonora
Chihuahua
Coahuila
NuevoLeón
Tam
aulip
as
Sinaloa
Durango
Zacate
cas
San Luis Potosí
Nayarit
Jalisco
Ags.
Guanajuato
ColimaMichoacán
Guerrero
CDMX
MorelosVeracruz
Oaxaca
Tabasco
Chiapas
Campeche
Yucatán
Qui
ntan
aRo
oQuerétaro
Edo.
Mex
Puebla
Tlaxcala
Mining
• Baja California Sur
• Chihuahua• Durango• Guerrero• San Luis Potosí• Sonora• Zacatecas
Transport manufacturing
• Coahuila• Nuevo León• Querétaro
Temporary accommodation
services
• Jalisco• Nayarit• Quintana Roo• Oaxaca
Pipeline transportation
• Colima• Guanajuato• Hidalgo• Sinaloa• Veracruz
Credit intermediationinstitutions
• Aguascalientes Michoacán
• Baja California • Morelos• Chiapas • Tabasco• Mexico City • State of Mexico • Yucatán
Generation, transmission and distribution of electric power
• Campeche• Tamaulipas
Stock market, stock exchange, and financial
investment activities
• Puebla• Tlaxcala
Canada´s FDI in Mexico
Source: National Registry of Foreign Investment
Mexico’s FDI in Canada
Source: Statistics Canada
1,283
2,120 2,148
1,6871,811
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
(USD million)
Mexico offers a solid infrastructure and logistics network
According to the WEF, Mexico ranks among the top 30% countries withbest transport infrastructure.
172,000 km roads, where 62.4% of México’s total exports move.
27,000 km railway tracks, move 13% of Mexico’s total exports
117 Ports move 19.7% of Mexico’s total exports
76 Airports (64 int. + 12 nat.) move 4.3% of Mexico´s total
exportsSource: SecretarÍa de Economía with data from INEGI.
Mexico leads in manufacturing production
Mexico became the 6th largest world producer of vehicles (2019) 1 and ranked 4th as exporter
worldwide (2018) 2.
6th largest supplier of aircraft parts to the USA (2019)3.
6th largest exporter of information technologyproducts and services (2018)4.
8th largest exporter of medical devices worldwide (2017)5.
1 Source: http://www.oica.net/category/production-statistics/2018-statistics/2 Soure: https://www.wto.org/spanish/res_s/statis_s/wts2019_s/wts2019_s.pdf3Source https://legacy.trade.gov/td/otm/assets/aero/AeroTop20SuppliersAnnual.pdf4Source CANIETI https://esemanal.mx/2019/10/desciende-mexico-a-la-sexta-posicion-como-exportador-de-servicios-de-ti/5 Source: AMID. https://amid.org.mx/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Descargable-de-la-secci%C3%B3n-Datos-de-la-industria-.pdf
2%
3%
4%
4%
6%
6%
8%
20%
20%
23%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Stone
Metals
Chemicals
Textiles
Minerals
Services
Agriculture
Electronics
Machinery
Vehicles
Source: The Atlas of Economic Complexity. High Complexity Sectors Low Complexity Sectors
With more than 2/3 of its exports in high complexity sectors, Mexico ranksas the 19th most complex economy
Mexico has a diverse and innovative industrial platform
Industry share of Mexican exports by economic complexity, 2018
18
20
26
29
36
43
47
53
59
61
61
67
71
92
223
490
0 100 200 300 400 500
Chile
Netherlands
Colombia
Canada
Australia
Poland
Spain
Italy
Korea
France
Turkey
United Kingdom
Germany
Mexico
Japan
United States
Subscriptions, millions
Mexico is third in mobile broadband suscriptions within OECD
74%mobile
penetration rate
17%annual growth in past 5 years
92Mmobile broadband
suscriptors
Internet connectivity and broadband access supports 4th IR, IOT, digital economy
Young, competitive and skilled workforce
17%
12% 12%
8%7%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Mexico India Brazil SouthAfrica
Indonesia
Share of graduates come from engineering programs, 2017
Source: UNESCO
6%
22%
45%
16%
10%
0%5%
10%15%
20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
14 - 19 20 - 29 30 - 49 50 - 59 60 +Age group
Economically active population in Mexico by age, Q1 2020
Source: INEGI
Source: Secretary of Economy of Mexico with data of Statistics Canada and Bank of Canada
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
YUKON
WHITEHORSE
BRITISH COLUMBIA
VICTORIA
TERRITORIOSDEL NORESTE
YELLOWKNIFE
ALBERTA
EDMONTON
SASKATCHEWAN
REGINA
MANITOBA
WINNIPEG
NUNAVUT
ONTARIO
TORONTO
OTTAWA
QUEBEC
QUEBEC
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR
ST. JOHN’S
NOVA SCOTIA
HALIFAX
CHARLOTTETOWN
NEW BRUNSWICK
FREDERICTON
Trade Mexico-Quebec
2.8 Billions USD Total trade Mexico and Quebec
(GAR) 2018: 20%2019: -10%
Ontario was Mexico’s primary provincial trading partner, capturing almost three quarters (72.83%) of total bilateral trade, followed by Quebec (8.71%), Alberta (6.17%), and British Columbia (5.67%).
1 United States $ 50.13 73%2 China $ 2.35 3%3 Germany $ 1.41 2%4 Japan $ 1.24 2%5 Mexico $ 1.23 2%
Total $ 68.79 100%
Top destiny of exportsBillion of USD (2019)
Top origins of imports Billion of USD (2019)
1United States $ 24.60 41%2China $ 8.96 15%3Germany $ 3.19 5%4France $ 2.88 5%5United Kingdom $ 2.21 4%8Mexico $ 1.65 3%
Total $ 60.69 100%
17% of Canada
15% of Canada
Access to lectures onCPTPP and USMCA
provisions.
USMCA/CPTPP Seminar and Texts
https://www.youtube.com/user/seconomiamexico
https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/120133/Capitulado_completo_del_Tratado_de_Asociaci_n_Transpac_fico_en_ingl_s_03082016.pdf
Texts of the Agreements(English versions)
• USMCA
• CPTPP
https://ustr.gov/trade-agreements/free-trade-agreements/united-states-mexico-canada-agreement/agreement-between
WomanExportingMx1st E-Business matchmaking event
Registration open: 9th to 28th September
For Mexican businesswomen trading with Canadian companies
https://www.gob.mx/se
Merci beacoup! Dr. Luz María de la Mora
Quebec, Canada September 24th 2020
@luzmadelamora
@luzmadelamora
2020
September 21, 2020
Thank you! Dr. Luz María de la Mora
luzma.delamora@economía.gob.mx
@luzmadelamora
@luzmadelamora