q4 2015 conf call slides

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Canadian Tire Corporation 2015 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Financial Results February 18 th , 2016

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Page 1: Q4 2015 conf call slides

Canadian Tire Corporation 2015 Fourth Quarter and Full Year

Financial Results

February 18th, 2016

Page 2: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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This document contains forward-looking statements that reflect management’s current expectations related to matters such as future financial performance and operating results of the Company.

Forward-looking statements are provided for the purposes of providing information about Management’s current expectations and plans and allowing investors and others to get a better

understanding of the Company’s financial position, results of operations and operating environment. Readers are cautioned that such information may not be appropriate for other circumstances.

All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this document may constitute forward-looking statements, including but not limited to, statements concerning Management’s

current expectations relating to possible or assumed future prospects and results, the Company’s strategic goals and priorities, its actions and the results of those actions and the economic and

business outlook for the Company. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect”, “intend”, “believe”,

“estimate”, “plan”, “can”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “outlook”, “forecast”, “anticipate”, “aspire”, “foresee”, “continue”, “ongoing” or the negative of these terms or variations of them or similar

terminology. Forward-looking statements are based on the reasonable assumptions, estimates, analyses, beliefs and opinions of Management, made in light of its experience and perception of

trends, current conditions and expected developments, as well as other factors that Management believes to be relevant and reasonable at the date that such statements are made.

By their very nature, forward-looking statements require Management to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, which give rise to the possibility that the Company’s

assumptions, estimates, analyses, beliefs and opinions may not be correct and that the Company’s expectations and plans will not be achieved. Examples of Management’s beliefs, which may

prove to be incorrect, include, but are not limited to, beliefs about the effectiveness of certain performance measures, beliefs about current and future competitive conditions and the Company’s

position in the competitive environment, beliefs about the Company’s core capabilities and beliefs regarding the availability of sufficient liquidity to meet the Company’s contractual obligations.

Although the Company believes that the forward-looking statements in this document are based on information, assumptions and beliefs that are current, reasonable and complete, these

statements are necessarily subject to a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from Management’s expectations and plans as set forth in such forward-looking

statements. Some of the factors, many of which are beyond the Company’s control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict, include: (a) credit, market, currency, operational, liquidity and

funding risks, including changes in economic conditions, interest rates or tax rates; (b) the ability of the Company to attract and retain high quality employees for all of its businesses, Dealers,

Canadian Tire Petroleum retailers and Mark’s and FGL Sports franchisees, as well as the Company’s financial arrangements with such parties; (c) the growth of certain business categories and

market segments and the willingness of customers to shop at its stores or acquire its financial products and services; (d) the Company’s margins and sales and those of its competitors; (e) the

changing consumer preferences toward eCommerce, online retailing and the introduction of new technologies; (f) risks and uncertainties relating to information management, technology, cyber

threats, property management and development, environmental liabilities, supply chain management, product safety, changes in law, regulation, competition, seasonality, weather patterns,

commodity prices and business disruption, the Company’s relationships with suppliers, manufacturers, partners and other third parties, changes to existing accounting pronouncements, the risk of

damage to the reputation of brands promoted by the Company and the cost of store network expansion and retrofits; (g) the Company’s capital structure, funding strategy, cost management

programs and share price; and (h) the Company’s ability to obtain all necessary regulatory approvals. Management cautions that the foregoing list of important factors and assumptions is not

exhaustive and other factors could also adversely affect the Company’s results. Investors and other readers are urged to consider the foregoing risks, uncertainties, factors and assumptions

carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements.

For more information on the risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ from current expectations, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the

Company’s Annual Information Form for fiscal 2015, as well as the Company’s other public filings, available on the SEDAR (System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval) website at

www.sedar.com and at www.corp.canadiantire.ca.

Forward-looking statements do not take into account the effect that transactions or non-recurring or other special items announced or occurring after the statements are made, have on the

Company’s business. For example, they do not include the effect of any dispositions, acquisitions, asset write downs or other charges announced or occurring after such statements are made.

The forward-looking statements and information contained herein are based on certain factors and assumptions as of the date hereof. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-

looking statements, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time by it or on its behalf, to reflect new information, future events or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities

laws.

1

Forward looking information

Page 3: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Executive participants

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Michael Medline, President and CEO, Canadian Tire Corporation

Dean McCann, Chief Financial Officer and EVP

Allan MacDonald, Chief Operating Officer, Canadian Tire

Chad McKinnon, Chief Operating Officer, FGL Sports

Mary Turner, Chief Operating Officer, CTFS

Rick White, Chief Operating Officer, Mark’s

Page 4: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Fourth Quarter and Full Year Highlights

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Fourth quarter and full year results reflect one less week of retail operations vs. prior year

Strong fourth quarter and full year results reflecting strength of business fundamentals

– Consolidated revenue down 5.8% in the fourth quarter, excluding Petroleum and up 1.6% for the full year,

excluding Petroleum

– Fourth quarter diluted EPS was $3.01, up 23.3% and up 13.6% normalized

– Full year diluted EPS up 13.5% to $8.61; and up 8.4% normalized

Full year same store sales ─ Canadian Tire up 3.2%

─ FGL Sports up 4.4% (up 6.3% at Sport Chek)

─ Mark’s down 0.5%

Solid fourth quarter and full year performance at Financial Services

− Gross average credit card receivables grew 0.5% in the fourth quarter, up 3.3% for the full year

− Income before taxes up 11.1% in the quarter, up 8.4% for the full year

Capital Allocation

‒ Announced intention to file a normal course issuer bid to purchase up to 6.0 million Class A Non-Voting Shares

from March 2, 2016 to March 1, 2017

Page 5: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Consolidated financial results

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Q4 and full year 2015 results reflect one less week of retail operations compared to the prior year.

Fourth quarter earnings performance reflects strong gross margin contribution from Canadian Tire, a reduction in the allowance for

future write-offs of the credit card portfolio in the Financial Services segment and, a decline in selling, general and administrative

expenses across both the Retail and Financial Services segments.

1 – Key operating performance measure. Refer to section 11.3.1 in the MD&A for additional information.

2 – Not meaningful.

Page 6: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Retail segment financial results

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Q4 and full year 2015 results reflect one less week of retail operations compared to the prior year.

Higher income before income taxes primarily attributable to an increase in the gross margin rate at Canadian Tire,

Petroleum’s higher per litre gas margins, and lower selling, general and administrative expenses during the quarter.

1 – Retail sales is a key operating performance measure. Refer to section 11.3.1 in this MD&A for additional information.

Page 7: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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CT REIT segment results

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Higher income before income taxes, primarily due to properties acquired during 2015 and 2014 and an increase of

$5.4 million in the fair market value adjustment over the prior year.

Page 8: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Financial Services segment results

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Higher income before income taxes due to savings in marketing expenses, lower variable compensation expense and

a reduction in the allowance for future write-offs of the credit card portfolio; partially offset by increased insolvency

write-offs and a reduction in interchange revenue resulting from regulatory changes that came into effect in Q2 2015.

Page 9: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Appendix Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA1 and Retail EBITDA1

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1 – Key operating performance measure. Refer to section 11.3.1 in the Q4 2015 MD&A for additional information. 2 – Includes $2.3 million reported in cost of producing revenue in the quarter ($2.0 million in 2014) and $8.9 million for Q4 YTD 2015 ($7.0 million in Q4 YTD 2014).

Adjusted EBITDA1

Retail Segment EBITDA1

1 – Key operating performance measure. Refer to section 11.3.1 in the Q4 2015 MD&A for additional information. 2 – Includes $2.3 million reported in cost of producing revenue in the quarter ($2.0 million in 2014) and $8.9 million for Q4 YTD 2015 ($7.0 million in Q4 YTD 2014).

(C$ in millions) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 2015 2014

Adjusted EBITDA1 $ 474.0 $ 437.5 $ 1,518.8 $ 1,376.4

Change in fair value of the redeemable financial instrument

(income)/expense_ 17.0 _ 17.0

EBITDA $ 474.0 $ 420.5 $ 1,518.8 $ 1,359.4

Less:

Depreciation and amortization2

116.3 103.7 424.7 372.3

Net finance costs 22.3 23.4 92.8 108.9

Income before income taxes $ 335.4 $ 293.4 $ 1,001.3 $ 878.2

Income taxes 93.9 86.8 265.4 238.9

Effective tax rate 28.0% 29.6% 26.5% 27.2%

Net income $ 241.5 $ 206.6 $ 735.9 $ 639.3

(C$ in millions) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 2015 2014

EBITDA1 $ 334.4 $ 310.7 913.0 824.0

Less:

Depreciation and amortization2

96.3 84.4 350.6 304.4

Net finance (income) (12.1) (8.2) (42.5) (11.9)

Income before income taxes $ 250.2 $ 234.5 604.9 531.5

Page 10: Q4 2015 conf call slides

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Appendix (cont’d) Consolidated and Retail Revenue Excluding Petroleum Revenue

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Consolidated Revenue excluding Petroleum Revenue

(C$ in millions, except where noted) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Change 2015 2014 Change

Revenue $ 3,380.2 $ 3,653.8 (7.5)% $ 12,279.6 $ 12,462.9 (1.5)%

Petroleum Revenue 400.6 489.8 (18.2)% 1,735.0 2,079.3 (16.6)%

Revenue (excluding Petroleum) $ 2,979.6 $ 3,164.0 (5.8)% $ 10,544.6 $ 10,383.6 1.6%

Retail Revenue excluding Petroleum Revenue

(C$ in millions, except where noted) Q4 2015 Q4 2014 Change 2015 2014 Change

Revenue $ 3,087.0 $ 3,360.8 (8.2)% $ 11,075.3 $ 11,304.6 (2.0)%

Petroleum Revenue 400.6 489.8 (18.2)% 1,735.0 2,079.3 (16.6)%

Revenue (excluding Petroleum) $ 2,686.4 $ 2,871.0 (6.4)% $ 9,340.3 $ 9,225.3 1.2%

Page 11: Q4 2015 conf call slides

Questions

and Answers

For more information http://investors.canadiantire.ca [email protected] or (416) 480-8725

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