q3 2021 trading update - media.fugro.com
TRANSCRIPT
Q3 2021 trading update
28 October 2021
Q3 2021 trading update2
▪ Revenue increased by modest 3.7%
▪ Renewables generated 30% of revenue in Q3, up from 23% in H1
▪ EBIT margin of 7.6%; results continue to be impacted by pandemic, more than anticipated at start of the year
▪ Free cash flow of EUR 77.4 million as result of good operational cash flow and working capital performance
▪ 12-month backlog up 8.9%, supported by all business lines
▪ Outlook full-year 2021 reconfirmed: revenue growth, modest margin improvement & around break-even free cash flow
▪ Timing of mid-term targets redefined to 2023-2024
Q3 2021: Continued growth in renewables; good cash flow and solid backlog
Q3 2021 trading update3
Renewables account for 30% of Q3 2021 revenue
Contributing to energy transition, climate change adaptation and sustainable infrastructure
Site
investigations for
offshore wind in
Germany, US,
South Korea,
Taiwan
Research into
subsidence on
former peat
extraction site in
the Netherlands
Partnership with
IOC-UNESCO to
improve access
to ocean science
data
Positioning
awards for
damage
assessments in
aftermath of
Hurricane Ida
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1 15
68
9
1212
1419
21
27
2020 2021 2022
Global growth in offshore
wind
▪ Continued strong growth in offshore wind investments expected. Key involvement
of Fugro’s site characterisation solutions 2-5 years before installation
▪ Current offshore wind installed capacity of 26 GW expected to grow to 164 in
2030. Strongest growth in the UK, the US, Germany, Netherlands and Taiwan1
• E&P companies announced ramp up of clean energy investments to 20-25% of
capex budgets by 2025
• Biden administration calls for expansion capacity to 30GW by 2030
• EU Green Deal and imbalance of energy demand & supply can boost investments
Renewables
Q3 2021 trading update4
Offshore wind capex (x EUR bn)1
+21%
1. Excluding China. Source: 4COffshore October 2021
Unlocking Geo-data insights to support
planning, designing, building and
operation of offshore wind farms
Number new turbines1
170505
73268 277 211
265
474
478
574 446401
514
845
574
844723
630
949
1824
1125
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
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137 12
24
1923
37
26
39
4
12
1978
64
93
2020 2021 2022
Supply-demand imbalance
▪ Post Covid economic recovery results in oil and gas supply-demand imbalance
• Unprecedented effects on energy prices, labor and production costs
▪ 2021 offshore O&G services spend up in Europe, still declining in APAC and MEI
▪ Asset integrity spending increasing, while site characterisation projects are delayed
▪ Number of Final Investment Decisions (FID) expected to grow strongly in 2022
Oil & Gas
Q3 2021 trading update5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
20
40
60
80
100
Q1
20
Q2
20
Q3
20
Q4
20
Q1
21
Q2
21
Q3
21
Brent oil Natural gas
Offshore O&G services spend2Oil and gas prices1
$/bbl $/MMBtu
Number of offshore
projects FIDs $/bn
52
33
56
32
52
31
61
30
55
33
63
34
Americas APAC E&A MEI
1 – Brent oil and natural gas prices up to 26.10.21. Source: investing.com
2 – Number of offshore projects FIDs, Global offshore OFS (oilfield services) spend. Source: Rystad Energy (October 2021)
Support energy companies with Geo-
data insights to enable safe and
sustainable operations$/bn
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68 76 83
159181
197
227
257280
2020 2021 2022
Refurbishment Repair & Maintenance
122 128 140
127 144 157
175201
218
124147
162548
620676
2020 2021 2022
Americas APAC Europe & Africa MEI
Positive outlook
▪ Post-covid governments’ programs support positive market outlook
• Biden’s proposed $ 600 billion infrastructure bill expected to commence in 2022
▪ Growing repair & maintenance and refurbishment budgets to renovate and
upgrade existing infrastructure result in asset integrity and monitoring projects
Infrastructure
Q3 2021 trading update6
Infrastructure asset integrity &
monitoring spend (x $ bn)
Infrastructure spend
(capex + opex) (x $ bn)1
+11%+11%
1 - Source: Global Data Construction Intelligence Centre (October 2021), Capex/opex for construction services in oil & gas,
electricity & power, rail, road and other infrastructure, excl. China.
Ground risk management support and
infrastructure monitoring to support safe
construction and operation
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▪ Water management is crucial for supporting urban and infrastructure
developments
▪ Extreme weather events drive the need for more inland water infrastructure and
coastal resilience projects e.g. in the US, Indonesia, NL
▪ Increasing need for mapping of coastal zones and oceans
• Coastal zone mapping projects in e.g. Australia, the US, Ireland, Maldives
• UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development
▪ Increasing maritime activity drives the need for safe navigation and positioning
26 28 30
22 25 26
3135
38
2226
28102
114123
2020 2021 2022
Growth driven by climate
change adaptation projects
Water
Q3 2021 trading update7
$/bn
Water infrastructure spend1 (x $ bn)
1 - Source: Global Data Construction Intelligence Centre (October 2021), Capex/opex for construction services in Water and
Marine & Inland Water infrastructure, excl. China.
+10%
Delivering Geo-data insights for water
management and ocean science to
support climate change adaptation
Modest growth and margin of 7.6%
8
▪ Business operations still impacted by the pandemic, mainly in
▪ Asia Pacific: operational complexities of cross border projects
▪ MEI: low oil & gas activity levels
▪ Lower margin in Europe-Africa, compared to a strong Q3 2020
Europe-Africa
-30%
14%
Fugro
8%
Americas
-17%-21%
Asia Pacific Middle East & India
4%
-7%
25%
0%
13%9%
-24%
23%
-28%
-3%
Revenue growth per quarter1
Q1 Q2 Q3
-22 -15
26 3240
29
Q1 ‘20 Q1 ‘21Q2 ‘20 Q2 ‘21 Q3 ‘21Q3 ‘20
EBIT (margin) per quarter2
- 6.0%
7.4%
- 5.3%
8.1% 7.6%
11.2%
X EUR million
1 Currency corrected
2 Adjusted for specific items, with a total impact on EBIT of EUR 5.8 million YTD 2021
Q3 2021 trading update
Q3 2021 trading update9
Marine up; land marginally downMarine X EUR million
Q3 20 Americas
256
276
Europe-
Africa
Asia
Pacific
Middle
East &
India
FX effect Q3 21
6.7%1
1 Currency corrected; 2020 numbers and revenue growth corrected for reclassification of nearshore infrastructure services in Europe-Africa from Land to Marine
Middle
East &
India
Europe-
Africa
105
Q3 20 Americas Asia
Pacific
Q3 21FX effect
102
- 3.7%1
Land
Marine ▪ Revenue up 6.7% led by asset integrity, in all regions. Site characterisation increased only in Asia Pacific
▪ Vessel utilisation of 76% compared to 74% in Q3 2020
Land ▪ 3.7% revenue decline fully related to site characterisation, where double-digit growth in Americas was
offset by a decline in the other regions, in particular Middle East & India
Q3 2021 trading update10
Good cash flow supported by lower working capital
Working capital (% of last 12 months revenue)Days of revenue outstanding
98 96 9894
86
97
92
86
Q2 19Q1 19 Q1 20
8887
Q4 19Q3 19 Q2 20 Q3 20
83
Q4 20 Q1 21 Q2 21 Q3 21
▪ In a typically busy Q3, free cash flow of EUR 77.4 million
as result of good activity levels and lower working capital
▪ Net debt of EUR 306.6 million compared to EUR 368.4
million at June 2021 and EUR 295.8 million at year-end
2020
Free cash flow1
204244 263
154 182 185 178112
153218
178
Q1 19 Q3 21
12.9%15.1%
Q2 19
16.1%
Q3 19
12.3%
9.5%
16.1%
Q4 19
11.2%
Q1 20
11.6%
Q2 20
12.0%
Q3 20
8.1%
Q4 20* Q2 21Q1 21
13.0%
77.4
Q3 2020
36.7
Q3 2021
1 Free cash flow includes cash flow from discontinued operations
* Favourably impacted by EUR 20 million deferred taxes from Covid related government support
X EUR million
Q3 2021 trading update11
▪ Ongoing growth in renewables, infrastructure
and nautical markets, despite ongoing pandemic
challenges
▪ Expected modest recovery of oil & gas related
revenue has not yet materialised
Resulting in
▪ Revenue growth
▪ Modest margin improvement
▪ Around break-even free cash flow
Outlook 2021
12
Mid-term targets 2023-2024
Free cash flow1: 4-7% of revenue
EBIT margin: 8-12%
ROCE3: 10-15%
1. FCF after lease payments
2. Including EUR 50 million proceeds from divestment of Global Marine
3. NOPAT over the last 12 months, including discontinued operations, divided by 3 points average capital employed adjusted for impairments of PP&E, right-of-use assets, goodwill and
intangibles in the current year
2020 2023-20242021 2022
2020 2021 2022 2023-2024
2020 2021 2023-20242022
4.6%
3.5%8%
12%
4%
7%
15%
10%
4.2%
Drivers
Volume In particular driven by renewables, infrastructure and water
Price Value-based pricing; integrated digital solutions
Productivity Disciplined cost management; operational excellence;
digital transformation to increase efficiency
Cost inflation Personnel and supply chain
Assumptions
Revenue EUR 1.6 – 2.0 billion
Capex EUR 80-110 million per year; shift towards lower capital
intensity through smaller and increasingly autonomous
assets
Note Assuming no material impacts from additional Covid-19
developments
2
Q3 2021 trading update
Q&A
13