public education in the 21 st century saelp presentation june 28, 2006 vision 2015 transforming...
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PUBLIC EDUCATION IN THE 21ST CENTURY
SAELP PRESENTATION
June 28, 2006
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
OBJECTIVES FOR THIS MEETING
Familiarize you with Vision 2015: who is involved and what is going on
Discuss why we believe change is important
Share with you our aspirations for Delaware public education in 2015
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
AGENDA
Welcome and introduction
Vision 2015 overview• The Vision 2015 team and process• Selected diagnostic findings
The Vision 2015 core elements
Vision 2015 panel
Q&A session
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
WHAT IS VISION 2015?
A public / private / civic effort dedicated to developing a world-class public education system in Delaware...
...led by a diverse group of Delawareans representing the education, business, and non-profit sectors
...in close consultation with additional educators, students, parents, and citizens across the state
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
DIVERSE STEERING COMMITTEE COMPRISED OF KEY PUBLIC, PRIVATE, AND CIVIC LEADERS
Steering Committee(28)
Work Groups
Readiness and Rigor
Educator Develop-ment
Account-ability /
Governance / Choices
Community Engagement and Sustain-
ability
20-30 members
20-30 members
20-30 members
20-30 members
Some of the organizations represented:
DE State Education Association
DE Department of Education
DE Assoc. of School Administrators
DE State Board of Education
DE School Boards Association
Christina Cultural Arts Center
DE Public Policy Institute
DE Business Roundtable
DE Dept of Health and Social Services
Metropolitan Wilmington Urban League
University of Delaware
Local School Districts
DE Office of Management and Budget
DE Chamber of Commerce
The Rodel and Broad foundations are funding the blueprint phase of Vision 2015, with ongoing support from the Delaware Business Roundtable. The Boston Consulting
Group and Cambridge Leadership Associates are assisting in the effort.
The Rodel and Broad foundations are funding the blueprint phase of Vision 2015, with ongoing support from the Delaware Business Roundtable. The Boston Consulting
Group and Cambridge Leadership Associates are assisting in the effort.
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
STEERING COMMITTEE GUIDED BY A BROADER SET OF TOPIC-FOCUSED WORK GROUPS
Readiness and RigorCommunity Engagement and
SustainabilityAccountability /
Governance / ChoicesEducator Development
Jean AllenKim AllenRoss ArmbrechtSherlynn AurelioJoyce AyresArt BoswellSharon BrittinghamJudy CaldwellKim FortunatoMichael Gamel-McCormickMae Gaskins
Raymond GravuerDebora HansenWayne HartschuhLois HobbsJill HolmesMarty Lassman
Joe MelloyFran O’MalleyMerrie Pritchett
Pat SaviniDianne SoleMelva WarePaul WeagraffAnn Wick
Valerie WoodruffAnn Yates
Chair, State Board of EduA Friend of the Family DE Science & Math Edu FdtnThurgood Marshal ElemNCC Vo-TechNeighborhood HouseWilmington CollegeDTCCSocial Venture PartnersDept. of Individual & Family Svcs., University of DESecondary Instructional Support ProgramsPrincipal, Conrad HighDE DOEDE DOESup’t, Indian River DistrictColonial DistrictCab Calloway School of the ArtsCAIU DelDE Parent Leadership InstituteSup’t, Sussex Vo-TechSup’t, Polytech DistrictUniversity of DEDE Division of the ArtsChair, DE Early Care and Education CouncilDE Secretary of EducationDuPont
Debbie BullockSusan BuntingHeath ChasanovCharlie ConwayJ. J. DavisNancy Doorey
Gary Fredericks
Laura GlassBarbara GroggPatricia GuzzoAmelia HodgesMary Ellen KotzMichelle KutchTravis MoormanJoe Pika
Jeff Raffel
Dan RichSarah RossKathy ThomasBill TopkisJackie Wilson
Jim Wolfe
Brandywine DistrictIndian River DistrictWoodbridge DistrictDE Theatre CompanyDirector, DE OMBMetropolitan Wilmington Urban LeagueInnovative Schools Development CorporationSchool of Edu, U. DelPresident, DSEABrandywine DistrictDE DOEDE DOEBrandywine DistrictAllen Freer ElementarySBE Achievement Gap ActionSchool of Urban Affairs and Public Policy, U. DelProvost, U. DelCape Henlopen DistrictCaesar Rodney DistrictTopkis Financial AdvisorsDE Academy for School Leadership, SAELP, U. DelPresident, DE State Chamber of Commerce
Cecilia ArcePete BasileKevin CarsonNikki CastleSally CooninCindy DiPintoSusan Francis
Earlene JacksonGeorge KrupanskiWanda Lopez
Lilian MilesCharles Mullin
Gus RiveraJohn TaylorBarry YoungRaye Jones AveryGemma CabreraAnn CaseJim CollinsAva Davis
Tom Eichler
Zee Henry
Carol King-Ries
Dennis Loftus
Frank J. McIntoshOluwatoyin Adegbite MooreMaurice PritchettKathy WianMike Sampere
Latin American Comm CtrExecutive Director, DASASup’t, Woodbridge DistrictEducation ConsultantOffice of the GovernorWood, Byrd & AssociatesExecutive Director, DE School Boards AssociationDE Parent Leadership Inst.Boys and Girls Clubs of DEDE Gov's Adv Council on Hispanic AffairsAppoquinimink DistrictDE Congress of Parents and TeachersDE Div. of Public HealthDE Public Policy InstituteChristina DistrictKuumba AcademyGeorgetown ElementaryState Board of EducationPolytech Board of EdFirst State Community Action AgencyNemours Health and Prevention ServicesFirst State Community Action AgencyParents as Advocates, Counselors and TeachersDirector, DE Academy for School LeadershipJunior Achievement of DEMoore & Associates
Christina DistrictUniversity of DEPolytech Vocational School
Lisa Blunt-Bradley
Phyllis BuchananPat BushDiane DonohueSteve GodowskyAndy HegedusPaul HerdmanStephan Lehm
Tony Marchio
Mary Ann MieczkowskiAudrey NobleDoreen PalucciLinda Poole
Rob RescignoWill RobinsonRon RussoStephen SchwartzBob SmithMark StelliniMalik StewartBob SuttonHoward WeinbergJuanita Wilson
Nancy Wilson
Doris Wooledge
President, Metropolitan Wilmington Urban LeagueDuPontBrandywine DistrictIndian River DistrictSup’t, NCC Vo-TechChristina DistrictRodel Foundation of DEPresident, VanDemark & LynchSup’t, Appoquinimink DistrictAppoquinimink District
U. DelRed Clay DistrictEducation Consultant, “Educationally Speaking"BoA FoundationEast Side Charter SchoolCS of WilmingtonEducation ConsultantSup’t, Milford DistrictMTM TechnologiesDelaware DOEBoA Card ServicesExecutive Director, DSEAWilliam Henry Middle SchoolDeputy Secretary of EducationCollege of Education, Delaware State University
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
BROAD STAKEHOLDER AND COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT: OVER 500 DELAWAREANS CONSULTED ACROSS 35 EVENTS TO DATE...
Delmar
IndianRiver
Laurel
Seaford
Woodbridge Cape Henlopen
MilfordLake
Forest
Caesar Rodney
Capital
Smyrna
Appoquinimink
Colonial
Christina
RedClay
Brandywine
WilmingtonNewark
Dover
NCC Votech
Polytech
SussexTechnical
Students• More than 100 current
students• High school dropouts• Recent DE public school
alumni now in college / workforce
About 60 Teachers from 35 schools in 14 districts
About 40 Principals from 14 districts
Parents, school board members, and other Delawareans representing diverse communities across the state
Plus: • Public forums• Legislator briefing• One-on-one interviews with
superintendents, community leaders, others
location of recent school visit or group session
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
WHAT ARE WE DOING NOW?
Currently, the Vision 2015 team is working on developing a “blueprint” plan...
...laying out a vision for Delaware’s public education system in 2015
...and the steps we must take together to get there
This plan...
...is intended to shape the education policy agenda in Delaware for the next decade
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
PROCESS FOR DEVELOPING THE BLUEPRINT
February March April May June July-Sept Beyond
Visioning
Action Plan Development
Diagnostic
Communication and rollout
Execution
Nov-Jan
Getting started
Engagement / communication with Delaware educators, students, parents, and citizens
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
DSTP PERFORMANCE TRENDING UPWARD FOR ALL GRADES
Source: DDOE DSTP online reports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
3rd Grade
5th Grade
8th Grade
10th Grade
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
3rd Grade
5th Grade
8th Grade
10th Grade
(%) (%)
Percent of students scoring at PL > 3 on the DSTPPercent of students scoring at PL > 3 on the DSTP
Math Reading
In addition to improving test scores, many efforts underway at state, district, and school level to innovate and better serve our children
In addition to improving test scores, many efforts underway at state, district, and school level to innovate and better serve our children
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
...BUT DE’S PERFORMANCE MIDDLE-OF-THE-PACK IN THE U.S. ...NAEP Performance Relative to Other States
Source: NCES online “NAEP Explorer”
0
10
20
30
40
50
Ma
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
Re
ad
ing
National median = 30%
National median = 31%
(%)
Percent of students scoring “proficient” or “advanced” on the 2005 8th grade NAEP exam, by state(%)
Mas
sach
use
tts
Min
nes
ota
Ver
mo
nt
So
uth
Dak
ota
Mo
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Was
hin
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nN
ew J
erse
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isco
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nN
ebra
ska
No
rth
Dak
ota
Co
nn
ecti
cut
New
Ham
psh
ire
Kan
sas
Iow
aO
reg
on
Vir
gin
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hio
Co
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do
No
rth
Car
olin
aP
enn
sylv
ania
New
Yo
rkT
exas
Ind
ian
aId
aho
So
uth
Car
olin
aM
ain
eD
elaw
are
Mar
ylan
dU
tah
Mic
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anW
yom
ing
Ala
ska
Illin
ois
Mis
sou
riA
rizo
na
Flo
rid
aR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Geo
rgia
Ken
tuck
yA
rkan
sas
Cal
ifo
rnia
Nev
ada
Okl
aho
ma
Ten
nes
see
Haw
aii
Wes
t V
irg
inia
Lo
uis
ian
aA
lab
ama
New
Mex
ico
Mis
siss
ipp
iD
. C.
Mas
sach
use
tts
New
Jer
sey
New
Ham
psh
ire
Mai
ne
Min
nes
ota
Ver
mo
nt
Mo
nta
na
No
rth
Dak
ota
Vir
gin
iaO
hio
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaW
yom
ing
So
uth
Dak
ota
Wis
con
sin
Neb
rask
aK
ansa
sW
ash
ing
ton
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Iow
aO
reg
on
New
Yo
rkC
olo
rad
oId
aho
Illin
ois
Mis
sou
riK
entu
cky
Del
awar
eM
aryl
and
Uta
hR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Ind
ian
aM
ich
igan
No
rth
Car
olin
aT
exas
Ala
ska
Ark
ansa
sT
enn
esse
eS
ou
th C
aro
lina
Flo
rid
aG
eorg
iaO
klah
om
aA
rizo
na
Nev
ada
Wes
t V
irg
inia
Ala
bam
aC
alif
orn
iaL
ou
isia
na
New
Mex
ico
Haw
aii
Mis
siss
ipp
iD
. C.
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
...AND U.S. IS NOT COMPETITIVE INTERNATIONALLYLow and Declining PISA Performance
Source: NCES Digest of Educational Statistics, 2005; Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Program for International Student Assessment (PISA), 2003
Reading Math Science
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank
FinlandKoreaCanadaAustraliaLiechtensteinNew ZealandIrelandSwedenNetherlandsUKBelgiumNorwaySwitzerlandJapanPolandFrance DenmarkIcelandGermanyAustriaLatviaCzech RepHungarySpainLuxembourgPortugalItalyGreeceRussiaBrazilMexico
2003 Country
FinlandKoreaNetherlandsLiechtensteinJapanCanadaBelgiumSwitzerlandAustraliaNew ZealandCzech RepIcelandDenmarkFranceSwedenUKAustriaGermanyIrelandNorwayLuxembourgPolandHungarySpainLatvia RussiaPortugalItalyGreeceMexicoBrazil
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank 2003 Country
FinlandJapanKoreaLiechtensteinAustraliaNetherlandsCzech RepNew ZealandCanadaUKSwitzerlandFranceBelgiumSwedenIrelandHungaryGermanyPolandIceland AustriaRussiaLatviaSpainItalyNorwayLuxembourgGreeceDenmarkPortugalMexicoBrazil
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank 2003 Country
USA
USA
USA
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
IN DE, AP COURSE PARTICIPATION BOTH REFLECTS AND REINFORCES THE ACHIEVEMENT GAP
Percentage of Delaware students taking at least one AP exam, 2004
Source: The College Board
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
23
24
8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Asian White Hispanic AfricanAmerican
Statewide, only 1 African American and 4 Hispanic students took the AP’s BC Calculus exam in 2004
Statewide, only 1 African American and 4 Hispanic students took the AP’s BC Calculus exam in 2004
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
FAR TOO MANY DELAWARE STUDENTS DROP OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL, NOT ENOUGH GRADUATE FROM COLLEGE
(1) Based on Delaware’s 2002 calculated high school graduation rates (using Cumulative Promotion Index)(2) Based on national college entrance rates (3) Based on national college graduation rates, which allow 150% of program length to graduate, and incorporating the following national 2-year / 4-year program splits: attendance
(White = 42% / 58%, African American = 48% / 52%, Hispanic = 59% / 41%), graduation rate (White = 34% / 58%, African American = 27% / 40%, Hispanic = 33% / 46%)Source: EPE “Education Counts” online database, Postsecondary Education Opportunity research letter #132, "College Entrance Rates by Race/Ethnicity for Recent High School
Graduates 1960-2002“ (2003), NCES, "Enrollment in Postsecondary Institutions, Fall 2004; Graduation Rates, 1998 & 2001 Cohorts;...“ (2006)
Entering 9th GradeGraduating College
(U.S. Rate) (3)
Entering College
(U.S. Rate) (2)
Graduating High School (DE Rate) (1)
White Students
2-Year Program
4-Year Program
African AmericanStudents
Hispanic Students
Only 1 in 10 minority students earns a post-secondary degree Only 1 in 10 minority students earns a post-secondary degree
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
THE EARNINGS GAP BETWEEN DROPOUTS AND GRADUATES IS LARGE AND GROWING
A High School Diploma Is No Longer Enough
Note: Advanced degree category includes people with master’s degrees, professional degrees, and doctorates.Source: US Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics; Current Population Survey
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Not HighSchool
Graduate
HighSchool
Graduate
SomeCollege orAssociate
Degree
Bachelor'sDegree
AdvancedDegree
Real 2003 dollars
($K)
Mean Earnings of All Workers Aged 18 and Older
12%4%
10%
21%
30%
2003 earnings
Change in earnings, 1975-2003
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
GLOBAL EXEMPLARS EACH PRESENT A DIFFERENT STORYOF REFORM AND SUCCESS
• Site-based management for three decades
• Mature example of local autonomy complemented by accountability infrastructure
• Continued innovation supported by center (e.g. instructional improvement effort)
Edmonton, Canada
• Early autonomy left some schools behind
• Culture change through linking professional development and performance management
• Schools in process of gaining accreditation as Performance Culture schools
Victoria, Australia
• Initially modeled on U.S. system• National curriculum• High stakes testing• Transitioning from highly
standardized to more customized education
• High teacher pay, more teacher time on non-teaching activities
Japan & Korea
• New broad school autonomy in exchange for performance
• Public / private partnerships leveraged to create specialized schools
• Major funding for educator pay and workload improvements
England, UK
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
EDMONTON’S SUPERINTENDENTS WERE RESPONDINGTO A FAMILIAR TALE
Sometime in the 1960’s …
So, he called the Director of Library Services at central office
Who told him that the central office could send him some books
A principal in Edmonton decided his school needed a library
But they turned down his request because there was no money left for such expenditures
A few days later, maintenance office workers showed up at the school with new doors and announced that it was time for all his school’s doors to be replaced!
Then he called the maintenance office to arrange lumber for shelves
Source: Delaney “Development of School-based Management in the Edmonton Public School District”
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
NOW IS THE TIME FOR DELAWARE TO ACT
Small state in terms of population and geography
History of innovation in education
Diverse student population along multiple dimensions (race, income, special needs)
Large proportion of education funding from state sources
Technology capabilities expanding, and costs dramatically falling Education largely not leveraging
innovation today
Shifts in state’s economic base MBNA acquisition DuPont increasing internationalization
Increased global competitiveness
Pending wave of educator retirements (in DE and across the U.S.)
The right place The right time
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
“We will create the best public educational system in the world for all Delaware students—one that provides a customized learning experience that reflects the
uniqueness of every child and enables all students to reach their true potential.”
We will measure our progress annually toward transformation with the following aspirational goals:
All students graduate from high school—and are prepared for success at college and work.
All children have access to high quality early child care and education.
Delaware tops the nation on NAEP and tops the world on comparable international measures.
Achievement gaps in academic performance and graduation rates are eliminated across racial / ethnic / income groups.
Delaware employers and higher education institutions report that candidates with a Delaware diploma are well-prepared and preferred over candidates from other states.
All Delaware educators believe that they are part of a culture of continuous improvement.
Delaware is a state of choice for people who seek high-quality public education.
OUR VISION STATEMENT AND DESIRED OUTCOMES
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
THE VISION 2015 CORE ELEMENTS
To transform Delaware’s education system to become world-class, we will:
1. Set our sights high. We will raise our standards so that Delaware students can compete with the best in the world.
2. Invest earlier and smarter. To reach these standards, we will provide best-in-class early childhood education and give all students the gift of extra academic time.
3. Create incentives to attract and keep the best and brightest teachers in our classrooms. Teachers will receive the support they need to teach all students well and have the chance to advance their careers in multiple ways.
4. Expect and reward excellence. To move from a compliance-driven culture to one driven by results, we will create a management and accountability system that gives principals more control over hiring, firing and spending in their own schools…and that uses technology to help monitor and hold educators responsible for continuous gains in student achievement.
5. Encourage innovation and choice. Because one size does not fit all, we will create a more dynamic system that gives middle and high school students much more choice of schools and courses that are relevant, rigorous and engaging.
6. Create a funding and oversight system that is simple and equitable. To ensure that resources directly support our educational priorities, we will create a student funding system that is easily tracked and tied to individual student needs.
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
STAYING CONNECTED TO VISION 2015Visit Our Website (www.vision2015delaware.org) for Regular Updates
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
**** UNUSED SLIDES ***
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
11 BLUEPRINT ELEMENTS
1. High expectations of all our students to meet world-class academic standards
2. A good early start for all children
3. Substantially more academic time for all students
4. The major responsibility of the school leader is continuous instructional improvement
5. A talent pipeline and a fulfilling career path to attract and retain more exceptional educators
6. A robust, ongoing professional development process that enhances educator quality
7. Technologically advanced systems and tools that support educators and principals and enable them to make data-driven decisions to improve instruction, strengthen management, and raise student achievement
8. A system of schools that provides high-quality options for all students
9. A statewide strategy for encouraging and building significant family involvement
10.A simple, equitable, easily-understood student funding system
11.Managing transformational change from the classroom to the capitol
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
IN DELAWARE, LIKELY DROPOUTS CAN BE IDENTIFIED BY 8TH GRADE
54%(1,507)
50%(160)
34%(38)
0%(1)
42%(753)
31%(403)
34%(159)
55%(2)
(11)
36%(811)
27%(1,397)
18%(1,710)
15%(666)
25%(4)
14%(44)
15%(245)
13%(413)
0-1 2 3 4-5
0-1
2
3
4-5
DSTP Reading Performance Level
DS
TP
Mat
h P
erfo
rman
ce L
evel
Under 20% chance
20% to 40% chance
Over 40% chance
Likelihood of not graduatingwithin five years
(1) Chance of graduating calculated as graduates / (total - transfers). Does not include students for whom we have no DSTP data(2) Likely a statistical anomaly due to low sample sizeSource: DELSIS and DSTP database analysis
Likelihood of not graduating within five years(1) vs. 8th grade DSTP scores (Delaware 8th grade class of 2000)
Lowest scoring 8th grade students are under extreme risk of not graduating
Lowest scoring 8th grade students are under extreme risk of not graduating
Key: how to interpret this box
• In 2000, 666 8th graders scored a 3 in math and a 4 or 5 in reading
• 15% of them did not graduate by 2005
Key: how to interpret this box
• In 2000, 666 8th graders scored a 3 in math and a 4 or 5 in reading
• 15% of them did not graduate by 2005
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
AP COURSE PARTICIPATION BOTH REFLECTS AND REINFORCES THE ACHIEVEMENT GAP
Source: The College Board
AP test participation among Delaware public high school students (grades 9-12), 2004
Students not takingany AP exams
Students takingat least one APexam
High school students(%)
Asian White Hispanic African-American
Students taking an AP exam:
AmericanIndian
220 1,534 52 1569
(%): 24% 7% 3% 1.5%8%
Students: 910 21,655 1,917 10,186117
In some cases, participation gaps are
extreme
67
39
4
1
# of students taking BC Calc exam
White
Asian
Hispanic
African-American
Fewer African-American than Asian students taking an AP exam despite over 10x the population
Fewer African-American than Asian students taking an AP exam despite over 10x the population
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
...AS WELL AS A DIVERSE SET OF NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATION EXPERTS
Who
Darrell Fraser
Simon Hollingsworth
Angus McBeath
Tony Mackay
Jan Leight
Emily Lawson
Melissa Megliola
Joan Schunck
Alan Ginsburg
Sarah Jensen
Sarah Dillard
William Damon
Richard Murnane
Richard Elmore
Stacey Childress
Catherine Ayoub
Francis Shen
Marguerite Roza
Frank Murray
Diane Lee
John Augenblick and Bob Palaich
Organization
Victoria, Australia public schools
Strategy office UK Schools
Edmonton Public Schools
IARTV
Focus on Results/ Long Beach
DC Prep / Broad fellow
Chicago Public Schools
The New Teacher Project
US Dept of Education
US Dept of Education
US Dept of Education
Stanford GSE
Harvard GSE
Harvard GSE
Harvard Business School
Harvard Med/GSE
Harvard Kennedy School
University of Washington
University of Delaware
BCG / Malaysia
APA consulting
Topic area
Victoria system, educator dev.
UK system
Edmonton system
International best practice
Instructional improvement
Rigor / achievement gap
Autonomous schools
Retention / funding
Math instruction
Math instruction
Various
School culture
Data usage / flat world
Governance
Innovation / governance
Early childhood
Funding, accountability
Funding
Teacher education
Literacy programs
Funding
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Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
DURING DIAGNOSTIC, DEVELOPED A RICH FACTBASE DRAWING ON INTERNATIONAL, NATIONAL, AND DELAWARE DATA SOURCES
International National Delaware
• PISA and TIMSS results• International
benchmarking studies of education funding, uses of academic time, teacher salaries
• Degrees in the sciences
• NAEP and SAT scores• Funding systems, levels• Academic time• Graduation rates• College enrollment,
remediation rates• Pre-K enrollment, subsidies• Average teacher salaries• Exemplar district results
• DSTP scores at the district, school, sub-group, and individual level
• District finances• District and school
average teacher salaries• Choice enrollment• Teacher supply and
demand
Examples of data
Examples of analysis
Vision 2015 - Blueprint Element Backup - 11May06.ppt - 6 -
Working document: Not for distributionWorking document: Not for distribution
Vision 2015 For limited use within the Vision 2015 Steering Committee
THE U.S. IS NOT COMPETITIVE ON INTERNATIONAL EXAMSLow and Declining PISA Performance
Source: NCES Digest of Educational Statistics, 2005; Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Program for International Student Assessment (PISA), 2003
Reading Math Science
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank
FinlandKoreaCanadaAustraliaLiechtensteinNew ZealandIrelandSwedenNetherlandsUKBelgiumNorwaySwitzerlandJapanPolandFrance
DenmarkIcelandGermanyAustriaLatviaCzech RepHungarySpainLuxembourgPortugalItalyGreeceRussiaBrazilMexico
2003 Country
FinlandKoreaNetherlandsLiechtensteinJapanCanadaBelgiumSwitzerlandAustraliaNew ZealandCzech RepIcelandDenmarkFranceSwedenUKAustriaGermanyIrelandNorwayLuxembourgPolandHungarySpainLatvia
RussiaPortugalItalyGreeceMexicoBrazil
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank 2003 Country
FinlandJapanKoreaLiechtensteinAustraliaNetherlandsCzech RepNew ZealandCanadaUKSwitzerlandFranceBelgiumSwedenIrelandHungaryGermanyPolandIceland
AustriaRussiaLatviaSpainItalyNorwayLuxembourgGreeceDenmarkPortugalMexicoBrazil
123456789
1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
2000Rank 2003 Country
USA
USA
USA
Can we compete in an increasingly “flat” world?Can we compete in an increasingly “flat” world?
1.b.i U.S. PISA performance vs. other countries
1.b.i U.S. PISA performance vs. other countries
Vision 2015 - Blueprint Element Backup - 11May06.ppt - 35 -
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HOWEVER, HOURS DO NOT TELL THE WHOLE STORYAny Correlation Between Hours And Scores Driven Solely By Outliers
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
400 600 800 1000 1200
vs. Instructional Hours only
Instructional hours per year
Avg.PISAMathScore
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
500 700 900 1100 1300 1500
Total school hours per year
Avg.PISAMathScore
vs. Total School Hours
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
0 100 200 300 400 500
vs. Homework Hours only
Homeowrk hours per year
Avg.PISAMathScore
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
0 200 400 600 800
Total out-of-school hours per year
Avg.PISAMathScore
vs. Total Out-of-School Hours
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
0 500 1000 1500 2000
Total educational hours per year
Avg.PISAMathScore
vs. Total Educational Hours
PISA Math vs. In-School Hours PISA Math vs. Out-Of-School HoursPISA Math vs. Total Educational Hours
0
0
Mexico
Turkey
Greece
Korea
Korea
Greece
Turkey
Mexico
Korea
Greece
Turkey
Mexico
Greece
Turkey
Mexico
Mexico
Greece
Turkey
Korea
Korea
USA USA
USA USA
USA
Source: Broad Foundation, OECD PISA Assessment
Across all countries, little direct correlation between hours and
achievement—hours do not tell the whole story. Students in many top-ranking countries (Korea, Japan, Belgium, Australia, New Zealand) spend a lot of time in school, but
others (Finland, Netherlands, Switzerland, Czech Republic)
perform well with less
2.d.iii Int’l correlation: academic time vs. PISA scores
2.d.iii Int’l correlation: academic time vs. PISA scores
Vision 2015 - Blueprint Element Backup - 11May06.ppt - 22 -
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DELAWARE MIDDLE-OF-THE-PACK IN SUBSIDIZED PRE-K ACCESS~16% of 3- and 4-Year-Olds From Low-Income Families Are Not Enrolled in State or
Federally Funded Preschool Programs
2.b.i DE pre-K access vs. other states
2.b.i DE pre-K access vs. other states
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
Ver
mo
nt
Okl
aho
ma
New
Jer
sey
Ken
tuck
yM
aryl
and
Geo
rgia
Wis
con
sin
Illi
no
isC
on
nec
ticu
tW
est
Vir
gin
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ain
eM
assa
chu
sett
sM
inn
eso
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ing
No
rth
Dak
ota
Mic
hig
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ew Y
ork
So
uth
Dak
ota
New
Ham
psh
ire
Kan
sas
So
uth
Car
oli
na
Tex
asV
irg
inia
Mis
siss
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rkan
sas
Ala
ska
Mis
sou
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hio
Co
lora
do
Del
awar
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wa
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaN
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ska
Rh
od
e Is
lan
dH
awai
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ou
isia
na
Was
hin
gto
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reg
on
Cal
ifo
rnia
Ind
ian
aM
on
tan
aU
tah
Ala
bam
aT
enn
esse
eA
rizo
na
No
rth
Car
oli
na
Flo
rid
aId
aho
Nev
ada
New
Mex
ico
Difference between percent of 3- and 4-year-olds enrolled in state pre-K, federal Head Start, or IDEA Preschool Grants Programs (2004-05) and percent of children living below 200% of the poverty line (average 2002-04)
National Average: -14.2%
Percentage point difference
Note: Children aged 0-12 living within 200% of poverty line qualify for Delaware “Purchase of Care” program, which currently reimburses childcare providers at ~63-70% of fair market cost per qualified enrollee
Source: National Institute for Early Education Research (NIEER),“The State of Preschool” report, 2005; National Center for Children in Poverty (NCCP)
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6.b.ii Current DSTP: vertical alignment
6.b.ii Current DSTP: vertical alignment
ILLUSTRATION: INCONSISTENT “RIGOR” BETWEEN GRADESMiddle School Falloff Partly from Higher Bar—Not Just Inadequate Preparation
Source: DDOE DSTP online reports, DELSIS and DSTP database analysis
77%53%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
5th Grade 8th Grade
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97
77%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
1 9 17 25 33 41 49 57 65 73 81 89 97
53%
Percent Meeting State Standards
Distribution of Delaware students’percentile rankings on the SAT9 portion
of the 2005 Spring DSTP1 math exam
Corresponding National Percentile
Percent of Delaware students scoring at or above standard (PL > 3) on the 2005 DSTP1 math exam, by grade
5th
Gra
de
Percentile
8th
Gra
de
67%
If cut scores were tied to the same percentile rankings, the portion of students meeting standard in 8th
grade would be higher (67%)
If cut scores were tied to the same percentile rankings, the portion of students meeting standard in 8th
grade would be higher (67%)
5th grade PL cut score translates to the ~45th percentile
8th grade PL cut score translates to the ~63rd percentile
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DELAWARE IS NOT COMPETITIVE ON NATIONAL EXAMSMiddle-of-the-Pack NAEP Performance
(1) Insufficient data available for calculating full national rankings by race Source: NCES online “NAEP Explorer”
Delaware’s standing is comparable across income levels(1)Delaware’s standing is comparable across income levels(1)
0
10
20
30
40
50
Ma
th
0
10
20
30
40
50
Re
ad
ing
National median = 30%
National median = 31%
(%)
Percent of students scoring “proficient” or “advanced” on the 2005 8th grade NAEP exam, by state(%)
Mas
sach
use
tts
Min
nes
ota
Ver
mo
nt
So
uth
Dak
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Mo
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Was
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No
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ecti
cut
New
Ham
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Kan
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on
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gin
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No
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Car
olin
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enn
sylv
ania
New
Yo
rkT
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Ind
ian
aId
aho
So
uth
Car
olin
aM
ain
eD
elaw
are
Mar
ylan
dU
tah
Mic
hig
anW
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Ala
ska
Illin
ois
Mis
sou
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Flo
rid
aR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Geo
rgia
Ken
tuck
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sas
Cal
ifo
rnia
Nev
ada
Okl
aho
ma
Ten
nes
see
Haw
aii
Wes
t V
irg
inia
Lo
uis
ian
aA
lab
ama
New
Mex
ico
Mis
siss
ipp
iD
. C
.
Mas
sach
use
tts
New
Jer
sey
New
Ham
psh
ire
Mai
ne
Min
nes
ota
Ver
mo
nt
Mo
nta
na
No
rth
Dak
ota
Vir
gin
iaO
hio
Pen
nsy
lvan
iaW
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ing
So
uth
Dak
ota
Wis
con
sin
Neb
rask
aK
ansa
sW
ash
ing
ton
Co
nn
ecti
cut
Iow
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on
New
Yo
rkC
olo
rad
oId
aho
Illin
ois
Mis
sou
riK
entu
cky
Del
awar
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aryl
and
Uta
hR
ho
de
Isla
nd
Ind
ian
aM
ich
igan
No
rth
Car
olin
aT
exas
Ala
ska
Ark
ansa
sT
enn
esse
eS
ou
th C
aro
lina
Flo
rid
aG
eorg
iaO
klah
om
aA
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na
Nev
ada
Wes
t V
irg
inia
Ala
bam
aC
alif
orn
iaL
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na
New
Mex
ico
Haw
aii
Mis
siss
ipp
iD
. C
.
1.b.ii DE NAEP performance vs. other states
1.b.ii DE NAEP performance vs. other states
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
NC
C V
oc
-Te
ch
Su
ss
ex
Te
ch
Po
lyte
ch
Ch
art
er
To
tal
Ca
pe
He
nlo
pe
n
Ca
pit
al
Re
d C
lay
Bra
nd
yw
ine
La
ke
Fo
res
t
Wo
od
bri
dg
e
Ch
ris
tin
a
Ind
ian
Riv
er
La
ure
l
Ca
es
ar
Ro
dn
ey
Se
afo
rd
Milf
ord
Sm
yrn
a
Co
lon
ial
De
lma
r
Ap
po
qu
inim
ink
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%Currentexpensesper pupil($)
DE has the 2nd lowest “coefficient of variation” across districts among the 50 states
However even excluding vo-techs, the highest funded districts spend 45% more than the lowest
Note: District totals do not include:Brandywine: Data Service Center. Christina: Autistic, Margaret S. Sterck, Reach, Christina ILC. Colonial: John G. Leach. Red Clay: Meadow Wood, Red Clay ILC. Caesar Rodney: John S. Charlton, Dover Air Base. Indian River: Howard T. Ennis
Source: DDOE “Education Statistics”
2003-04 Current expenses per pupil based on September 30 enrollment
ALTHOUGH DE’S CROSS-DISTRICT VARIATION RELATIVELY LOW, THE BEST-FUNDED DISTRICTS SPEND 45% MORE PER PUPILPer-Pupil Differences Do Not Appear to Reflect Differences in Student Needs
Low-Income (%)
Current expensesper pupil
Percent low-income
9.b.ii DE expenditure variation across districts
9.b.ii DE expenditure variation across districts
- 29 -06-28-06 SAELP presentation.ppt
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
American science grads dwarfed by China’s, and India is catching up
THE U.S. IS LOSING GROUND ON TECHNICAL DEGREES
PhDs(%)
% of U.S. PhDs awardedto foreign-born students, 2004
Foreign students fill U.S. science PhD programs
67
50 47
38
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Sin
gap
ore
Ch
ina
Fra
nce
Ko
rea
U.S
.
Under-grads(%)
% of undergrad degrees in thenatural sciences or engineering, 2004
Few American students go into engineering and the sciences
Twice as many U.S. physics Bachelor’s degrees awarded in 1956 (the year before Sputnik) as in 2004Twice as many U.S. physics Bachelor’s degrees awarded in 1956 (the year before Sputnik) as in 2004
2004Grads(K)
Number of engineering, computerscience, and IT graduates, 2004
Sub-baccalaureate(1)
Bachelor’s
34
56
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Naturalsciences
Engineering
352
112 137
293
103 85
645
215 222
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
China India U.S.
(1) Sub-baccalaureate refers to Associate’s degrees in the United States, short-cycle degrees in China, and three-year diplomas in IndiaSource: The National Academies, “Rising Above the Gathering Storm,” 2006; Duke Master of Engineering Management Program, “Framing the Engineering Outsourcing Debate”, 2005
- 30 -06-28-06 SAELP presentation.ppt
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
FAILING TO GRADUATE MORE STUDENTS WILL HAVE PROFOUND INDIVIDUAL AND SOCIETAL COSTS
Lifetime earnings
Lifetime state and local tax contributions
% on Medicaid
Expected lifetime Medicaid cost
Lifetime incarceration rate• African American males• White males
Expected lifetime incarceration cost• African American males• White males
High school dropoutHigh school diploma,
no collegeBachelor’s degree or
more
$0.6 million
$50,000
18.7%
$76,000
58.9%11.2%
$37,000$7,000
$1.2 million
$100,000
8.5%
$35,000
18.4%3.6%
$12,000$2,000
$2.0 million
$170,000
1.3%
$5,000
4.9%0.7%
$3,000$500
Source: US Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey; Alliance for Excellent Education; From Pettit and Western: "Life Inprisonment and the Life Course“; American Academy of Pediatrics
Beyond the individual income benefits, reducing dropouts will generate additional income and reduce expenditures for the state
Beyond the individual income benefits, reducing dropouts will generate additional income and reduce expenditures for the state
- 31 -06-28-06 SAELP presentation.ppt
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
EDMONTON SCHOOLS OFFER VARIETY OF SPECIAL PROGRAMSDistrict Actively Promotes Menu of Options
Source: Edmonton public schools website; Emery Dodsall “Edmonton’s Enterprise”
41% of elementary school students, 48% of junior high, and 58% of high school students attend a school other than their neighborhood school
41% of elementary school students, 48% of junior high, and 58% of high school students attend a school other than their neighborhood school
On district website (or in printed brochures) parents can read about 31 different programs, for example:
Select the one that’s best for their child …
… and find out whereit is offered
- 32 -06-28-06 SAELP presentation.ppt
Vision 2015 Transforming Delaware’s Education System
DECENTRALIZATION IS ENABLING THE UK TO MOVE TOWARD A SYSTEM OF UNIQUE SCHOOLS
75% of Publicly Financed Secondary Schools Now Have Specialist Status
Traditional comprehensive secondary school
Application for specialist status
• Evidence of £50,000 commitment from a business partner
• Four-year strategic plan for school to raise standards
Specialist school
• Teach full national curriculum
• Give special focus to one of 10 specialty subjects
• £600,000 additional government funding
Source: “US and UK Educators Seek Answers to Common Woes,” EdWeek 4/7/2004