prs: delivering homes and returns pdfs/presentations/se prs/kurt... · a trader, investor and...
TRANSCRIPT
Agenda
1. Introduction to Grainger plc
2. Our view of the housing market
3. Investing in the private rented sector
A trader, investor and manager of
residential properties.
The UK’s largest listed residential
property owner and manager, with
over £3bn of residential assets under
management across the UK and
Germany.
Introduction to Grainger
We own.
We manage.
We develop.
And we offer our skills and expertise to
select third party clients.
Introduction to Grainger
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1980 1990 2000 2009-10
Owner occupiers
Private renters
Social renters
PRS is growing
Regional variations
London PRS is strongest
• Strong future growth prospects
for rental sector
• Economic conditions adding to
renting demand
• Constrained mortgages
• High deposits
• Growing cultural acceptance of
renting
Why invest in PRS?
6.2 6.6
2.8
6.1
2.8 4.5
-4.1
3.5
-7.9
8.5
-2.1
1.5
10.3
3.8 5.5
3.7
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2011 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Inflation adjusted investment performance by asset class 10 years to end 2011
Residential MarketLets
All commercialproperty
Equities
Gilts
3.33 4.4 4.8 4.5
2.9
7.83
-0.4
0.8
-5.6
8.2
5.7
1.8 0.7 0.1
4.5
11.36
3.9 5.6
-1.3
11.3
-8-6-4-202468
101214
London South Eastern Sout West Midlands &Wales
Northern England &Scotland
All residential
Regional residential investment performance: 2011
Incomereturn
Capitalgrowth
Rental valuegrowth
Total return
Source: Office of National Statistics RPI Inflation, IPD residential index, FTSE All-Share Index, UK Gilts Index 5 - 15
Market opportunity
Historically has depended upon capital appreciation and
trading: now an opportunity for a yield driven model
Growing market with attractive rental performance prospects
Long term out performance: total returns
Fundamental supply and demand imbalance in the UK, particularly
London
Very limited number of specialists: requirement/opportunity for a large
scale professional operator
Diversification opportunity with a new institutional asset class
Key considerations
• What is your appetite for
development risk?
• What is your appetite for
lettings risk?
• How can you reduce
upfront costs to increase
yields?
• Making an investment
decision based on a long-
term rental income return
(investment value)
• Ensure you consider your
long term management
strategy early on (whole
life costings)
What are we looking for?
• Net yields ~5+%
• Rental growth
• Scale
• Blocks/ concentrations
• Good quality
• Capital value growth
The sweet spot
Challenges to
investing in PRS
• Limited acquisition opportunities, scale is challenging
• High capital values based on vacant possession value
mean low yields
• Competition on land with house-building for sale (vacant
possession value vs. investment value)
• Long term management
The sore spot
Case study – Barking
Investment outline
• 100 units
• Investment value: £13.7m
• Gross yield: +9%
• Cost of management: ~30%
• Net yield: ~6%
• Wholly owned
Product
• Designed with the
customer and
management efficiencies
in mind
• Wifi enabled
• Durable finishes and
appliances
• Larger lifts for moving in
and out
• Concierge
• Well connected location
• Equal bedroom sizes
• Studios – 3 beds
• Possibility of longer term
tenancies
Customer profile
• City workers
• Young professionals
• Young families
• £25k to £60k+ income
• Customer service oriented
• Discerning
Rents starting at approximately £900/pcm
Canary
Wharf –
20 min
Olympic
Park –
20 min
Case study - GRIP
INVESTMENT OUTLINE
• £350m market value
• 75:25 owned, APG and
Grainger
• Target IRR: 9%
• Leverage of 40%
• Rental and capital value growth
• Grainger provides fund, asset
and property management
PORTFOLIO OUTLINE
• UK’s largest PRS fund
• ~1,300 units (Assured Shorthold Tenancies)
• Blocks and clusters
• London and South East focused
• Very high levels of occupancy
• Sustainability a key focus area
• Asset performance
• High quality tenant management
Europe’s largest pension fund asset
manager
Final thoughts
• Government support
• £1bn Build to rent funding
• £10bn Housing Guarantees
• Making it stack up
• Land cost
• Section 106
• Build cost
• Management cost
Front of house
– driving gross
yield
Back of
house –
driving net
yield