project report on cec collaboration rick hayes-roth hayes-roth@nps june 15, 2007
DESCRIPTION
Model-based Communication Networks, Valued Information at the Right Time (VIRT) & Rich Semantic Track (RST): Filtering Information by Value to Improve Collaborative Decision-Making. Project Report on CEC Collaboration Rick Hayes-Roth [email protected] June 15, 2007. Outline. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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# # 11
Model-based Communication Networks, Model-based Communication Networks, Valued Information at the Right Time (VIRT) Valued Information at the Right Time (VIRT)
& Rich Semantic Track (RST):& Rich Semantic Track (RST):
Filtering Information by Value to Improve Filtering Information by Value to Improve
Collaborative Decision-MakingCollaborative Decision-Making
Project Report on CEC CollaborationProject Report on CEC Collaboration
Rick Hayes-RothRick [email protected]@nps.edu
June 15, 2007
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# # 22
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 33
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 44
COIs
Overall Vision: Model-based Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT Communication Networks, VIRT
and Rich Semantic Trackand Rich Semantic Track
Past
GlobalInformation
Grid
PastPresent
Future
PresentFuture Present
Past
Present
Future
Past
Future
COIs
Shared World Models
Common Track SemanticsState-full Network
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# # 55
Overall Vision: Model-based Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT Communication Networks, VIRT
and Rich Semantic Trackand Rich Semantic Track
Past
PastPresent
Future
PresentFuture Present
Past
Present
Future
Past
Future
Common Track SemanticsState-full Network
Valued Bits
Value
d Bits
GlobalInformation
Grid
Shared World Models
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# # 66
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 77
CEC/VIRT Project Key ResultsCEC/VIRT Project Key Results
Advanced theory and implementation of Advanced theory and implementation of Valued Information at the Right Time (VIRT) Valued Information at the Right Time (VIRT) and Rich Semantic Track (RST)and Rich Semantic Track (RST) Demonstrated significant reductions in Demonstrated significant reductions in
bandwidth from 2-5 orders of magnitude in bandwidth from 2-5 orders of magnitude in initial studies to 45-90% in CEC-specific initial studies to 45-90% in CEC-specific simulated message streamssimulated message streams
Created research opportunities for NPS Created research opportunities for NPS faculty and studentsfaculty and students
Created research and development Created research and development initiatives with government and industryinitiatives with government and industry
Developed simulation framework for Developed simulation framework for advanced studies of VIRT and RSTadvanced studies of VIRT and RST
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# # 88
CEC/VIRT Project Results (1)CEC/VIRT Project Results (1) Prepared/published/presented several papersPrepared/published/presented several papers
““Model-based Communication Networks and VIRT: Model-based Communication Networks and VIRT: Filtering Filtering Information by Value to Improve Collaborative Decision-Information by Value to Improve Collaborative Decision-Making”Making”
““Towards a Rich Semantic Model of Towards a Rich Semantic Model of Track: Essential Track: Essential Foundation for Information Sharing” Foundation for Information Sharing”
““Two Theories of Process Design for Information Two Theories of Process Design for Information Superiority: Superiority: Smart PullSmart Pull vs. vs. Smart Push”Smart Push”
VIRT Technical Architecture Specification (Draft)VIRT Technical Architecture Specification (Draft) ““Hyper-Nodes for Emerging Command and Control Hyper-Nodes for Emerging Command and Control
Networks: Networks: The 8The 8thth Layer Layer” (with Alex Bordetsky)” (with Alex Bordetsky) ““Model-Based Communication Networks and VIRT: Orders Model-Based Communication Networks and VIRT: Orders
of Magnitude Better for Information Superiority”of Magnitude Better for Information Superiority” ““Decision Making in Very Large Networks” (with Peter Decision Making in Very Large Networks” (with Peter
Denning)Denning) ““Semantic Reasoning for Adaptive Management of Semantic Reasoning for Adaptive Management of
Telecommunications Networks” (with J. C. Hoag)Telecommunications Networks” (with J. C. Hoag)
Established VIRT as key focus of W2COGEstablished VIRT as key focus of W2COGVIRT driving various groups’ effortsVIRT driving various groups’ efforts
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# # 99
CEC/VIRT Project Results (2)CEC/VIRT Project Results (2)
Recruited & mentored three NPS thesis Recruited & mentored three NPS thesis studentsstudents
Mentoring two NPS PhD studentsMentoring two NPS PhD students Helped PACOM start up CMA JCTD around Helped PACOM start up CMA JCTD around
sharing of rich track information; leading sharing of rich track information; leading design and development of the CMA data design and development of the CMA data modelmodel
Advising Joint Track Management (JTM) Advising Joint Track Management (JTM) Architecture Working GroupArchitecture Working Group
Acquired workstation & CEC simulation dataAcquired workstation & CEC simulation data Completed first computational model of CEC-Completed first computational model of CEC-
VIRT concepts in thesis researchVIRT concepts in thesis research
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# # 1010
CEC/VIRT Project Results (3)CEC/VIRT Project Results (3) Designed and implemented CEC-VIRT simulation Designed and implemented CEC-VIRT simulation
framework for continuing test and experimentationframework for continuing test and experimentation Conducted computational analysis of CEC simulated Conducted computational analysis of CEC simulated
message streamsmessage streams Mapped CEP-to-Track-User message elements to Mapped CEP-to-Track-User message elements to
abstract Rich Semantic Track modelabstract Rich Semantic Track model Initiated design and development of Semantic Web Initiated design and development of Semantic Web
representations of RSTrepresentations of RST Designed expressions of VIRT Conditions of Interest Designed expressions of VIRT Conditions of Interest
using Semantic Web technologies in CEC contextusing Semantic Web technologies in CEC context Initiated design and development of formalized Initiated design and development of formalized
theory of RSTtheory of RST Defined initial measures of performance for Defined initial measures of performance for
evaluating VIRT applicationsevaluating VIRT applications
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VIRT Implementation and TestingVIRT Implementation and Testing
Described VIRT Product Line Architecture Described VIRT Product Line Architecture approachapproach
Built collaboration with industry to generate Built collaboration with industry to generate a draft technical architecture for VIRTa draft technical architecture for VIRT
Hayes-Roth paper showed 5 orders of Hayes-Roth paper showed 5 orders of magnitude reduction in bandwidth using magnitude reduction in bandwidth using Smart Push ImplementationSmart Push Implementation
LCDR Acevedo thesis describing application LCDR Acevedo thesis describing application of VIRT concepts in context of the CEC -- of VIRT concepts in context of the CEC -- Under modeling assumptions, Theory 2 Under modeling assumptions, Theory 2 Smart PushSmart Push model showed a decrease of model showed a decrease of nearly 200 times the bandwidth of Theory 1, nearly 200 times the bandwidth of Theory 1, Smart PullSmart Pull model model
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# # 1212
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments Drill-down on Analysis of CEC Message Drill-down on Analysis of CEC Message
StreamsStreams Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and
Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition
Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 1313
CEC/VIRT Message Stream AnalysisCEC/VIRT Message Stream Analysis
Simulated message streams provided by Simulated message streams provided by JHU/APLJHU/APL
Focus on application of VIRT at an intermediary Focus on application of VIRT at an intermediary node (“VIRT Track User”) between the CEC node (“VIRT Track User”) between the CEC network and the general GIG networknetwork and the general GIG network
Value determined by “GIG User” Conditions of Value determined by “GIG User” Conditions of Interest (COIs) relating to expected position Interest (COIs) relating to expected position and velocity, track identification, and and velocity, track identification, and engagement statusengagement status
Computed bit traffic reduction of 45-90% in Computed bit traffic reduction of 45-90% in short duration, highly dynamic air tracking short duration, highly dynamic air tracking scenariosscenarios
Demonstrated capability to “tune” bit traffic Demonstrated capability to “tune” bit traffic flows based on user-defined thresholds in flows based on user-defined thresholds in accuracy of estimationsaccuracy of estimations
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CEC/VIRT Message Stream CEC/VIRT Message Stream ScenariosScenarios
Air Target Tracking scenarioAir Target Tracking scenario Unclassified message stream Unclassified message stream
provided by JHU/APLprovided by JHU/APL XML-formatted RTTS messages, XML-formatted RTTS messages,
similar in content to CEP-to-similar in content to CEP-to-Track-User messages, but not Track-User messages, but not in strict conformance to the in strict conformance to the Interface Design DocumentInterface Design Document
10-minute duration10-minute duration Target Ring scenarioTarget Ring scenario
Classified message stream Classified message stream provided by JHU/APLprovided by JHU/APL
Formatted text messages Formatted text messages conforming to the CEP-to-conforming to the CEP-to-Track-User Interface Design Track-User Interface Design DocumentDocument
11.25-minute duration11.25-minute duration
Track Plot(relative to position of reporting platform)
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150
East/West Position
No
rth
/So
uth
Po
siti
on
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Operational AssumptionsOperational Assumptions(both scenarios)(both scenarios)
Detected aircraft are initially behaving in Detected aircraft are initially behaving in accordance with expectationsaccordance with expectations
Intermediary node (Track User) between the Intermediary node (Track User) between the CEC network and the general user (GIG User) CEC network and the general user (GIG User) shares the same expectations of target shares the same expectations of target behavior as the GIG Userbehavior as the GIG User
Track User node is given knowledge of GIG Track User node is given knowledge of GIG User COIsUser COIs
Only a significant deviation from expected Only a significant deviation from expected behavior is considered “valued information”behavior is considered “valued information”
Under these assumptions, what portion of the message stream is passed to the user node?
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CEC/VIRT Conditions of InterestCEC/VIRT Conditions of Interest(both scenarios)(both scenarios)
Significant change in expected motion of air Significant change in expected motion of air tracks based on decision thresholds for the tracks based on decision thresholds for the magnitude of change in expected position magnitude of change in expected position and expected velocityand expected velocity
Significant change in Track ID information Significant change in Track ID information (e.g., from FRIEND to HOSTILE)(e.g., from FRIEND to HOSTILE)
Significant change in Track IFF information Significant change in Track IFF information (e.g., change in IFF mode responses)(e.g., change in IFF mode responses)
Start and end of engagementsStart and end of engagements Assumption/Operational Decision: No need Assumption/Operational Decision: No need
to send CEC network-specific Cooperating to send CEC network-specific Cooperating Unit, Time, and Status messagesUnit, Time, and Status messages
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# # 1717
Air Target Tracking Scenario ResultsAir Target Tracking Scenario Results
CEP-to-CEP-to-Track User Track User Messages*Messages*
Number of MessagesNumber of Messages Number of BitsNumber of Bits
Without Without VIRTVIRT
With With VIRT**VIRT**
Without Without VIRTVIRT
With With VIRT**VIRT**
Valued Valued Bit RatioBit Ratio
Track DataTrack Data 1,8521,852 141141 2,483,7122,483,712 189,504189,504 0.0760.076
Track IDTrack ID 1818 66 9,2169,216 3,0723,072 0.3330.333
Track IFFTrack IFF 121121 00 42,59242,592 00 0.0000.000
Cooperating Cooperating UnitUnit
552552 00 176,640176,640 00 0.0000.000
Engagement Engagement StatusStatus
00 00 00 00 N/AN/A
StatusStatus 00 00 00 00 N/AN/A
TimeTime 00 00 00 00 N/AN/A
TotalsTotals 2,5432,543 147147 2,712,1602,712,160 192,576192,576 0.0710.071
* From RTTS XML message stream ** Dead Reckoning thresholds of 100m and 10m/sec
Valued bits made up 7% of the total bits transmitted – bit traffic can be reduced by 93% if only valued bits are sent!ru
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# # 1818
Air Target Tracking Scenario Air Target Tracking Scenario DiscussionDiscussion
Results used position and velocity information in all 3 Results used position and velocity information in all 3 dimensionsdimensions
If initial shared awareness is assumed, only 1 of the If initial shared awareness is assumed, only 1 of the 18 Track ID messages needed to be sent (change 18 Track ID messages needed to be sent (change from ASSUMED FRIEND to UNKNOWN)from ASSUMED FRIEND to UNKNOWN)
None of the 552 Cooperating Unit messages needed None of the 552 Cooperating Unit messages needed to be sent (CEC domain only)to be sent (CEC domain only)
None of the 121 Track IFF messages needed to be None of the 121 Track IFF messages needed to be sent (information of significance provided in the sent (information of significance provided in the Track ID message)Track ID message)
Portion of Track Data messages sent depended on Portion of Track Data messages sent depended on criteria applied (position or velocity) and threshold criteria applied (position or velocity) and threshold settingsetting 92% reduction in Track Data bit traffic at 100m position 92% reduction in Track Data bit traffic at 100m position
threshold and 10m/sec velocity thresholdthreshold and 10m/sec velocity threshold
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# # 1919
Target Ring Scenario ResultsTarget Ring Scenario Results
CEP-to-CEP-to-Track User Track User Messages*Messages*
Number of MessagesNumber of Messages Number of BitsNumber of Bits
Without Without VIRTVIRT
With With VIRT**VIRT**
Without Without VIRTVIRT
With With VIRT**VIRT**
Valued Valued Bit RatioBit Ratio
Track DataTrack Data 15,62515,625 8,7368,736 21,000,00021,000,000 11,741,18411,741,184 0.5590.559
Track IDTrack ID 157157 106106 80,38480,384 54,27254,272 0.6750.675
Track IFFTrack IFF 7575 55 26,40026,400 1,7601,760 0.0670.067
Cooperating Cooperating UnitUnit
601601 00 192,320192,320 00 0.0000.000
Engagement Engagement StatusStatus
6262 44 15,87215,872 1,0241,024 0.0650.065
StatusStatus 136136 00 26,11226,112 00 0.0000.000
TimeTime 6262 00 15,87215,872 00 0.0000.000
TotalsTotals 16,71816,718 8,8518,851 21,356,96021,356,960 11,798,24011,798,240 0.5520.552
* From RTTS XML message stream ** Dead Reckoning thresholds of 100m and 10m/sec
Valued bits made up 55% of the total bits transmitted – bit traffic can be reduced by 45% if only valued bits are sent!
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# # 2020
Target Ring Scenario Target Ring Scenario DiscussionDiscussion
Results used position and velocity information in all 3 Results used position and velocity information in all 3 dimensions (east/west, north/south, and altitude)dimensions (east/west, north/south, and altitude)
Passed initial Track ID messages and changes in Passed initial Track ID messages and changes in reported attributesreported attributes Refinements to Track ID COIs may be possibleRefinements to Track ID COIs may be possible
Only sent 5 of 75 Track IFF messages, representing Only sent 5 of 75 Track IFF messages, representing conditions raising suspicion about the trackconditions raising suspicion about the track
None of the 601 Cooperating Unit messages, 136 None of the 601 Cooperating Unit messages, 136 Status messages, and 62 Time messages needed to Status messages, and 62 Time messages needed to be sent (CEC domain only)be sent (CEC domain only)
Portion of Track Data messages sent depended on Portion of Track Data messages sent depended on criteria applied (position or velocity) and threshold criteria applied (position or velocity) and threshold settingsetting 44% reduction in Track Data bit traffic at 100m position 44% reduction in Track Data bit traffic at 100m position
threshold and 10m/sec velocity thresholdthreshold and 10m/sec velocity threshold
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# # 2121
CEC Message Stream AnalysisCEC Message Stream AnalysisConclusionsConclusions
Can achieve significant reduction in bit Can achieve significant reduction in bit traffic from attention to user information traffic from attention to user information needs (COIs)needs (COIs)
Demonstrated mechanisms for enabling Demonstrated mechanisms for enabling CEC message traffic to be filtered for non-CEC message traffic to be filtered for non-CEC usersCEC users
Opportunity for further research into user-Opportunity for further research into user-specified COIs and message processing specified COIs and message processing using more of the message content (e.g., using more of the message content (e.g., certainty and accuracy data) certainty and accuracy data)
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# # 2222
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 2323
Rich Semantic Track ModelRich Semantic Track Model
Need practical ontologies for important domainsNeed practical ontologies for important domains
TracksTracks are common information elements in are common information elements in numerous military and non-military domainsnumerous military and non-military domains A common “informal” concept in military operationsA common “informal” concept in military operations
Now vital in multiple domains: aircraft, ships, Now vital in multiple domains: aircraft, ships, vehicles, people, cargo, …vehicles, people, cargo, …
Semantic hub + translator generators => information Semantic hub + translator generators => information sharingsharing
Provides vocabulary for expressing COIsProvides vocabulary for expressing COIs Provides logical constructs for evaluating COIsProvides logical constructs for evaluating COIs
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# # 2424
Rich Semantic Track (RST) Rich Semantic Track (RST)
Rich Semantic Track- conceptual hub for
interchange and automatedreasoning
CECTrack
Messages
JointTrack
ManagementData Model
CMAMaritime
Information Exchange Model
OtherTrack
Data Models
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# # 2525
The Rich Semantic The Rich Semantic Track ModelTrack Model
TrackTrackBeliefsBeliefs
Identity and CharacteristicsIdentity and CharacteristicsDynamic State at Time TDynamic State at Time THistory of states (past “track”)History of states (past “track”)Predicted states (future “track”)Predicted states (future “track”)
Meta-Information (applicable to each element of belief)Meta-Information (applicable to each element of belief)Evidence Evidence InferencesInferencesError and uncertainty estimatesError and uncertainty estimatesTemporal qualificationsTemporal qualificationsSpatial qualificationsSpatial qualifications
The top-level conceptual hierarchy for Track.The full hierarchy has more than 125 high level concepts.
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# # 2626
CEC/VIRT ProjectCEC/VIRT Project
Investigated mapping of CEC track data to Investigated mapping of CEC track data to RST conceptual modelRST conceptual model
Constructed various RST representations Constructed various RST representations for software and web-based for software and web-based implementationsimplementations Formal logic representation for automating Formal logic representation for automating
mappings across track data modelsmappings across track data models Semantic Web representations for web-based Semantic Web representations for web-based
data interchange and machine reasoningdata interchange and machine reasoning Constructed various web-based expressions Constructed various web-based expressions
of COIsof COIs
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# # 2727
Rich Semantic Track:Rich Semantic Track:Influences on Community DevelopmentsInfluences on Community Developments
Defines core semantic model for Defines core semantic model for TrackTrack information combining Beliefs and Meta-information combining Beliefs and Meta-Information on precision and certaintyInformation on precision and certainty Basis for vocabulary of VIRT Conditions of Basis for vocabulary of VIRT Conditions of
InterestInterest Basis for interchange across multiple track data Basis for interchange across multiple track data
models models Basis for formal logic for track computationBasis for formal logic for track computation
Advising Comprehensive Maritime Advising Comprehensive Maritime Awareness (CMA) JCTD for development of Awareness (CMA) JCTD for development of the Maritime Information Exchange Model the Maritime Information Exchange Model (MIEM)(MIEM)
Advised the Joint Track Management (JTM) Advised the Joint Track Management (JTM) Enterprise Architecture Working Group on Enterprise Architecture Working Group on data modeling of beliefs and pedigreedata modeling of beliefs and pedigree
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# # 2828
MIEM ObjectivesMIEM ObjectivesShare actionable maritime intelligence Share actionable maritime intelligence
in a net-centric way:in a net-centric way:Simple/raw data exchangeSimple/raw data exchangeFusion output representationFusion output representationAdvanced analytics supportAdvanced analytics support
Establish unambiguous maritime Establish unambiguous maritime lexicon that:lexicon that:
Supports communication among data Supports communication among data providers and consumersproviders and consumers
Embodies broad expertise covering the Embodies broad expertise covering the extent of the maritime domainextent of the maritime domain
Leverages existing models and Leverages existing models and knowledge basesknowledge bases
Enable communications from/with Enable communications from/with future services and capabilitiesfuture services and capabilities
Permit extension to more sophisticated Permit extension to more sophisticated data without change to existing data without change to existing systemssystems
Import partners’ databases and export to Import partners’ databases and export to them with efficient translatorsthem with efficient translators
DynamicDynamic nature of all quantities nature of all quantities (potentially any belief/value (potentially any belief/value can vary in time) can vary in time)
Inexact Inexact information (“roughly 30 information (“roughly 30 feet long”)feet long”)
RelativeRelative information (“a mile information (“a mile from the leader of XYZ”)from the leader of XYZ”)
ConditionalsConditionals (“all facilities open (“all facilities open on Thursdays”)on Thursdays”)
ComplexComplex queries (“return last queries (“return last five ports of call for vessels five ports of call for vessels flying Chinese of Korean flying Chinese of Korean flags and within 3 days of US flags and within 3 days of US costal waters”)costal waters”)
PedigreePedigree (“position was derived (“position was derived from AIS message A, ELINT from AIS message A, ELINT data B, and HUMINT source data B, and HUMINT source C, using inference rule D”)C, using inference rule D”)
BeliefBelief conditions (“value is conditions (“value is considered 85% reliable”, considered 85% reliable”, “value was provided by “value was provided by source S”, etc.)source S”, etc.)
BehaviorsBehaviors, states & histories , states & histories (“the events make up an (“the events make up an overall fishing voyage”)overall fishing voyage”)
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# # 2929
Levels of Value Added InformationLevels of Value Added InformationLevelLevel Information TypeInformation Type ExampleExample Value addedValue added
9 9 (highest)(highest)
Case files for key Case files for key entitiesentities
Histories, highlights, Histories, highlights, comprehensive detailscomprehensive details
Enables in-depth Enables in-depth predictive analysispredictive analysis
88 Threats & anomaliesThreats & anomalies Dangerous undeclared Dangerous undeclared cargocargo
Increased pre-Increased pre-emptive threat emptive threat reductionreduction
77 ““Of interest” Of interest” conditions & watch conditions & watch listslists
Suspicious cargo on Suspicious cargo on boardboard
Increased analytical Increased analytical efficiencyefficiency
66 History, behavior & History, behavior & future projectionsfuture projections
Voyages & predicted Voyages & predicted coursescourses
Enables basic Enables basic predictive analysispredictive analysis
55 Multiple alternatives & Multiple alternatives & analysisanalysis
Ambiguity, uncertaintyAmbiguity, uncertainty Direct evidence of Direct evidence of certaintycertainty
44 Degree of belief & Degree of belief & pedigreepedigree
Evidence, qualityEvidence, quality Direct information Direct information about qualityabout quality
33 Fused data & inferred Fused data & inferred beliefsbeliefs
Position, crewPosition, crew Synergistic Synergistic improvement in SAimprovement in SA
22 Caveats & simple Caveats & simple meta-datameta-data
Sensor type, Sensor type, classificationclassification
Indirect quality Indirect quality assessmentassessment
1 1 (lowest)(lowest)
Sensor system Sensor system reportsreports
AISAIS Reduced Reduced development costs development costs for consumersfor consumers
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# # 3030
Principal Elements of MIEMPrincipal Elements of MIEM Key Domain EntitiesKey Domain Entities
Conveyance/VesselConveyance/Vessel Person/Crew/PassengerPerson/Crew/Passenger Cargo & FacilitiesCargo & Facilities Measurements: Time, Position, Length, Weight, …Measurements: Time, Position, Length, Weight, …
Key Secondary ConceptsKey Secondary Concepts Life-cycle: States, Transitions, Voyages, EpochsLife-cycle: States, Transitions, Voyages, Epochs Of-interest Of-interest Event Event Anomalies & ThreatsAnomalies & Threats
Extensive & Universally Applicable Meta-dataExtensive & Universally Applicable Meta-data Source, Confidence, Alternatives, Pedigree, Caveats, …Source, Confidence, Alternatives, Pedigree, Caveats, … Past, Present & FuturePast, Present & Future
Universal Extensibility & RestrictionUniversal Extensibility & Restriction All classes can be augmented or simplifiedAll classes can be augmented or simplified
Conceptual model in modular XML schemasConceptual model in modular XML schemas
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# # 3131
File & Type Hierarchy of MIEMFile & Type Hierarchy of MIEM
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# # 3232
Basis for Further Research, Basis for Further Research, Development and ExperimentationDevelopment and Experimentation
Refine the RST model based on applications in CEC, Refine the RST model based on applications in CEC, CMA, and JTM domainsCMA, and JTM domains
Continue development of a higher order abstract Continue development of a higher order abstract formalization of RST (formal theory of formalization of RST (formal theory of TrackTrack) for ) for extended reasoning capabilities and cross-domain extended reasoning capabilities and cross-domain mappingsmappings
Refine expressions of RST concepts using Semantic Refine expressions of RST concepts using Semantic Web standards to promote data interchange and Web standards to promote data interchange and automated interpretation in the GIG architectureautomated interpretation in the GIG architecture
Continue integration of software implementations of Continue integration of software implementations of RST into VIRT/CEC simulation framework for test and RST into VIRT/CEC simulation framework for test and experimentationexperimentation
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# # 3333
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 3434
Semantic Modeling Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoringand Condition Monitoring
Strong semantic representations of Track Strong semantic representations of Track data improve automated search, information data improve automated search, information filtering and reasoningfiltering and reasoning
Improved computer interpretation and Improved computer interpretation and processing of data provides better processing of data provides better information products and reduces human information products and reduces human processing loadprocessing load
Semantics of military orders implies critical Semantics of military orders implies critical conditions of interest – automated conditions of interest – automated derivation of COIs from orders creates derivation of COIs from orders creates valued information flows valued information flows
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# # 3535
Condition Monitoring is KeyCondition Monitoring is Key
Conditions of Interest (COIs) Conditions of Interest (COIs) Computable expressions (“continuous queries”)Computable expressions (“continuous queries”) Describe critical assumptions (like CCIRs)Describe critical assumptions (like CCIRs) Depend on operator’s evolving contextDepend on operator’s evolving context
Usually reflects phase of a mission & current statusUsually reflects phase of a mission & current status
High-value events are detectedHigh-value events are detected Data describing the event match the COIData describing the event match the COI The event is “news”The event is “news” The COI assures the event is still “relevant”The COI assures the event is still “relevant” Bits reporting the event flow with priorityBits reporting the event flow with priority
Low-value data does not flowLow-value data does not flow Generally relevant data not matching a COIGenerally relevant data not matching a COI Repeated and redundant data, not newsworthyRepeated and redundant data, not newsworthy
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# # 3636
OutlineOutline
Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Overall Vision: Model-based Communication Networks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic TrackNetworks, VIRT, and Rich Semantic Track
CEC/VIRT Project Results and CEC/VIRT Project Results and AccomplishmentsAccomplishments
Rich Semantic Track Definition and Rich Semantic Track Definition and Influence on Community DevelopmentsInfluence on Community Developments
Semantic Modeling and Condition Semantic Modeling and Condition Monitoring: Making Information Delivery Monitoring: Making Information Delivery More Precise and Reducing Work LoadMore Precise and Reducing Work Load
Opportunities for Further CollaborationOpportunities for Further Collaboration
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# # 3737
Opportunities for Further Collaboration (1)Opportunities for Further Collaboration (1)
Recommended next steps for CEC & IWSRecommended next steps for CEC & IWS Develop and implement VIRT principles inside the Develop and implement VIRT principles inside the
CEC network and SIAP (e.g., variable length CEC network and SIAP (e.g., variable length messages sending only message fields that have messages sending only message fields that have significantly changed value)significantly changed value)
Develop & deliver VIRT track data using COIs to Develop & deliver VIRT track data using COIs to demonstrate timely sharing of valued info demonstrate timely sharing of valued info
Spearhead development of rich track model for Spearhead development of rich track model for SIAPSIAP
Develop enhanced toolkit for and methods for Develop enhanced toolkit for and methods for using a rich semantic track modelusing a rich semantic track model Semantic V&VSemantic V&V Interface & service code generatorsInterface & service code generators Track storage & query using XMLTrack storage & query using XML COI specification, event computing, and AAR learningCOI specification, event computing, and AAR learning
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# # 3838
Opportunities for Further Collaboration (2)Opportunities for Further Collaboration (2)
Recommendation for JTM Enterprise Recommendation for JTM Enterprise Architecture Working GroupArchitecture Working Group Examine MIEM products of the CMA JCTDExamine MIEM products of the CMA JCTD Identify common concepts and model Identify common concepts and model
componentscomponents Collaborate in developing interchange Collaborate in developing interchange
mechanisms for passing data between the mechanisms for passing data between the modelsmodels
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# # 3939
Opportunities for Further Collaboration (3)Opportunities for Further Collaboration (3)
Requested Funding for NPSRequested Funding for NPS Extend formalization of RST for further Extend formalization of RST for further
experimentationexperimentation COI expressionsCOI expressions Computing with uncertaintyComputing with uncertainty Intermediary for automated exchange of data Intermediary for automated exchange of data
across multiple track representations (MIEM, across multiple track representations (MIEM, JTM, others)JTM, others)
Research automated derivation of COIs Research automated derivation of COIs from plans and ordersfrom plans and orders
Investigate Web-based techniques to create Investigate Web-based techniques to create smart push of valued information from auto-smart push of valued information from auto-generated COIsgenerated COIs
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# # 4040
ConclusionConclusion New problems & opportunities combine to change our New problems & opportunities combine to change our
concept of “collaborative communication networks”concept of “collaborative communication networks” Humans must use computers to reduce information glutHumans must use computers to reduce information glut Collaborators need to employ common models to share Collaborators need to employ common models to share
model statemodel state Operators and domain practitioners will use semantic Operators and domain practitioners will use semantic
technologies to create and evolve the needed modelstechnologies to create and evolve the needed models Each consumer’s plans and beliefs determine the value Each consumer’s plans and beliefs determine the value
of informationof information Computers can implement knowledge of decision-Computers can implement knowledge of decision-
makers and current state to determine the flow of bits makers and current state to determine the flow of bits Significant increases in productivity will resultSignificant increases in productivity will result