project presentation · 2019-09-13 · confidentialpropertyof gnl québec inc. 2019. all right...
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Project presentation
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Disclaimer
•The material contained in this presentation is intended to be general background information on the Énergie Saguenay Project being developed by GNL Québec Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of GNL Québec Limited Partnership.
•The information is supplied in summary form and is therefore not necessarily complete. Also, it is not intended that it be relied upon by investors or potential investors, who should consider seeking independent professional advice depending upon their specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs.
•The material contained in this presentation may include information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information.
•Any financial information or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are purely illustrative and should not be relied upon without independent verification.
Executive summary
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Énergie Saguenay project
BRIEFLY
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What is the Énergie Saguenay project?
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The initiators: a complementary and world class shareholder
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What is natural gas?
Natural gas comes from the slow decomposition of organic residues trapped under the surface of the earth
Natural gas has been used for decades, in Quebec and elsewhere in the world, safely and efficiently:
• Cooking food• Heating schools and public buildings• In the context of industrial processes requiring a large and controllable source of heat
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What is natural gas liquefaction?
1. Receipt of natural gas by gas pipeline
2. Gas treatment
3. Gas liquefaction by giant refrigerators
• Cooled to about -162°C
• Volume reduced by about 600 times
4. LNG storage on site prior to export
5. LNG lines to the jetty
6. LNG Shipping to world markets
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What is LNG ?
Once cooled to
-162˚C, gas becomes
liquid and its volume
is reduced by 600
times
LNG ISNATURAL GAS COOLED AT -162 ˚C
GAS LIQUID
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Unique properties of LNG
Does not igniteeasily
Non explosive
Lighter than water
Not stored under pressure
Non toxic
Odorless
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Overall Project Schedule
Environmentaland social studies
Public consultations
SEIA filing
Construction phase
Commissioning
Operations
Continuous exchange and consultation mechanisms
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Unrivaled access to low-cost North American gas, coupledwith proximity to Atlantic Basin LNG markets
Best Access to Lowest Cost Gas : • Excellent access to diverse, low-cost gas from
Western Canada
• Significant excess pipeline capacity available from Western Canada
• AECO trading at Significant Discount to HH
Proximity to Europe : • 40% closer to Europe than US Gulf Coast
• Well positioned to serve LNG demand in the Atlantic Basin, India and the Middle East
Énergie Saguenay
Marcellus & Utica
Henry Hub
Dawn Hub
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The most unique LNG asset in North America
Hydroelectricity Advantage• 550MW energy block secured
• Significantly lower OPEX/CAPEX
• Hedge against natural gas price increases
Low Cost, Low Risk• Competitive EPC CAPEX
• Existing local infrastructure
• Available skilled labor
Cold Weather / Electricity• 10-15% improvements in thermal efficiency, plant
capacity and CAPEX/OPEX, and GHG reductions
Lowest GHG Emissions• 85% less CO2 than existing & proposed plants.
• Global GHG reductions
Sustainable Energy Project• Local economic spinoffs
• Global GHG reductions
• Compact plant footprint leading to reduced environmental impact
• Shorter shipping distances
Province Familiar with LNG• 2 import terminals approved
• 1 existing LNG facility in Montreal
GNL
Global natural gas and LNG markets
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Global electricity production by source
EVOLUTION OF GLOBAL ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION
BY ENERGY SOURCE (%)
Natural gas
Nuclear
Hydraulic
Others
Coal
Oil
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Long term market trends favor GNL Québec project
Fight against emissions in Asia
Several Asian countries are reducing their reliance on coal and increasing their gas/LNG import to reduce their emissions (e.g. China is creating the world’s largest carbon market).
European energy sources
Diversity of Supply
Europe expects to import 85%of its gas consumed as domestic production falls and EU countries stop consuming coal and nuclear energy.
Energy security is a critical issue for many Asian and European countries – and Canada is viewed as a stable, reliable partner with strong rule of law, and a commitment to combatting climate change.
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Natural gas plays an important role in global energy mix
History Forecast
Oil
Coal
Natural Gas
Renewables
Nuclear
30 %
26 %
22 %
16 %
6 %
Source : EIA May 2016
33%
28 %
22 %
12 %
5 %
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Natural gas plays an important role in global energy mix
Primary energy consumption by fuel CO2 emissions
Gt of CO2
Renew
Hydro
Nuclear
Coal
Natural gas
Oil
Billion Toe
Source : BP 2019
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LNG positioned as an important part of an additional 150 bcf/d growth in global demand for natural gas
Growth by sector and region (2017-2040)Demand per sector
Source : BP 2019
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Potential new sources of LNG Supply
LNG IMPORT
LNG EXPORT
LNG EXPORT (future)
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Global LNG demand projected to be 470 mtpa in 2030 fueled by Asia and Niche Markets growth
• Natural gas is an environmentally preferred source of energy available in large quantity
• LNG demand doubling over the next 20 years, largely driven by Asia-Pacific
• LNG buyers seek:• Competitive pricing• Diversification of supply• Lower risk projects • Project credibility & certainty of outcome• Potentially, vertical project integration 0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
mm
tpa
Japan South Korea Taiwan China India South East Asia Europe South America Others
~5% CAGR
Source Wood Mackenzie
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Rapid growth in number of countries importing LNG
Widening gap between LNG import & export capacity, with 50 countries anticipated to import LNG by 2025.
Many new import countries are in the Atlantic Basin.
SOURCE: Poten and Partners
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New FIDs will be required to meet growing demand
1 22017-2020Growing demand absorbing expected LNG oversupply
2021-2023End of oversupply and tightening of supply-demand equilibrium
Post 2023Supply shortage leading to increasing LNG prices (80+ mtpaby 2025; 130+ mtpa by 2030 )(1)
3
Emerging LNG supply-demand gap
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
MT
Year of Investment Decision
Historical FIDs Needed for High Demand
Investment in Liquefaction Capacity
Source : Shell 2019 LNG Outlook
North American gas supply and transportation
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Canada’s AECO gas trades at a significant discount to US Henry Hub gas
Canadian natural gas prices are expected to remain discounted for the long-term, pending new market opportunities
SOURCE: Historical Data through Q2 2019: Platts; Forward Curves: ICE
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2003: Canadian infrastructure used at capacity with high level of export to Northeast US/Canada
• High volume of Canadian natural gas being exported to US at a high price
• Limited excess pipeline capacity from Western Canada to Ontario/Quebec/Northeast US
Total capacity : 7 bcf/d Énergie Saguenay
SOURCE: rbnenergy.com and transcanada
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2020: Significant excess pipeline capacity in the Canadian Mainline system
• Significant available pipeline capacity from Western Canada to eastern Ontario, with most of the mainline fully depreciated by 2020
• Significant Canadian Supply from new low-cost sources (e.g. Montney, Duvernay)
• Marcellus continues to offer more supply to Northeast US and Quebec/OntarioTotal capacity : 7 bcf/d
SOURCE: rbnenergy.com and transcanada
Énergie Saguenay
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Gazoduq Inc. is developing a new natural gas transmission line from Ontario and Quebec
SOURCE: web site : gazoduq.com
Énergie Saguenay project overview
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Available, reliable and renewable low-cost electricity
• Massive hydroelectricity production (Churchill Falls, James Bay) converges towards the Saguenay Region
• Project requirements (550 MW) can be met by Hydro-Québec’s available surplus power (4GW)
• Enables use of electric motor drives and greatly reduces GHG emissions at liquefaction plant
• Long-term hydroelectricity cost certainty and stability
Énergie Saguenay
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Valuable existing infrastructure and local skilled labor
• 250,000+ people (surrounding region)
• Significant skilled labor (from local mining & forestry industry/projects)
• Available housing & amenities (no camps)
Grande Anse Marine Terminal (at site)
Bagotville Airport(18 km from site)
)
IntermodalRail Yard (at site)
Gas Pipelineright-of-way
(10 km from site)
Major Highway to Quebec City
(4-lane dual carriage way)
735 kV substation(40 km from site)
15 KM
6 KM
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Unique site location enables reduced, competitive CAPEX/OPEX
• Sheltered, year-round deepwater port
• Access to reliable, low-cost hydropower
• Excellent existing infrastructure
• Available industrial land remote to
population
• Superior plant efficiency due to low
ambient temperatures
• Available skilled labor
• Saguenay region familiar with large
projects
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Preliminary view of Énergie Saguenay facilities planned in 2015
Grande-Anse Terminal
Preliminary view of 2015
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The plant and its main components – 2019
1. Receipt of natural gas by gas pipeline
2. Auxiliary systems
3. Pre-treatment and gas liquefaction by electric compressors:
- Removal of incompatible elements
- Cooled to about -162 ° C
- Reduced volume of about 600 times
4. Flares used during maintenance periods or in abnormal situations
5. LNG storage on site prior to export
6. Transportation of LNG to maritime infrastructure and loading of tankers for transport to world markets
1
2
3
4
5
6
Improved preliminary view afterdiscussions with communities
Marine transportation
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Ships designed to ensure safe transportation
Modern equipments
Double wall
Isolated LNG storage areas with stringent monitoring
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3 TO 4 SHIPS PER WEEK
MAXIMUM LENGTHOF A LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS SHIP compared to other vessels on the Saguenay
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Navigation on the Saguenay River
SAGUENAY RIVER
Approximatelyless than 5
ships a week
NORTHERN CHANNEL OF THE ST-
LAWRENCE RIVER
Approximately 25 ships
a day
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The Corporation of Pilotes du Bas-St-Laurent for increased security
The CPBSL has for primary mission to ensure, in the public interest, the safeconduct of shipsbetween Quebecand Les Escoumins, including the Saguenay River
Social acceptability
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Transparent and upstream consultation mechanism
FOLLOW UP COMMITTEE WITH INNUS FIRST NATIONS
ObjectiveDiscuss issues and concerns associated with the project that are specific to the Innus First Nations
Composition• GNL Québec • Community representatives of:
PessamitEssipitMashteuiatsh
ADVISORY COMMITTEE FOR THE LNG TERMINAL
ObjectiveDiscuss issues and concerns associated with the industrial installations in Port Saguenay
Composition• Facilitator• GNL Quebec • representatives from:
• Municipalities• Citizens• First Nations (observers)• Tourism groups• Environmental groups• Social and economic groups
EXPANDED ADVISORY COMMITTEE FOR MARINE TRANSPORTATION
ObjectiveDiscuss issues and concerns associated with marine transportation
Composition• Advisory committee for the LNG terminal
members• Representatives interested by marine
transportation:• Municipalities bordering the
fjord• Fjord users – Tourism• Fjord users – Autorities• Environnemental groups–
Water management• Industry and development
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Strong cooperation and support from First Nations
Collaboration Agreement signed on 26 mai 2015
Follow-up committee with GNLQ and the 3 followinginnu communities:
- Mashteuiatsh- Essipit- Pessamit
More than 20 meetings held to date
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Many more consultation activities
From 2014 to 2019 – hundreds of stakeholders were informed and consulted about the project
• Meetings with immediate neighbors
• Meetings with more than 40 marine stakeholders, including fjord users and municipalities along it’s south and north shore
• Participation in consultation activities of the ZIP Saguenay-Charlevoix and ministerial authorities
• Dozens of meetings with political representatives, socio-economic, environmental, public authorities, scientists, etc.
• Work committee with Parc Aventure Cap Jaseux
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Main concerns raised by the community
Issues Main concerns
Economic spinoffsInvolvement of local businesses, enhancement of the regional workforce, investors in the project, opportunities for collaboration and socio-economic benefits for First Nations
Marine transport Increase in maritime traffic, cohabitation with other users, Saguenay-St-Lawrence marine park, aquatic fauna, potential impact on the activities of Innu businesses
Harmonious cohabitation Integration with the landscape, cohabitation with recreational-tourist activities, noise, smells and light
Environmental impact GHG emissions, agricultural lands, terrestrial ecosystems, shale gas and site rehabilitation
Health and safety Risks to the health of the population and workers (inhalation, fire, spill) Potential Risks Associated with the Transportation of Natural Gas (Pipeline) or LNG (Tankers)
Construction Nuisance during construction
Project rationale Project purpose and options / alternatives of the project
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A transparent approach to developing the project with the community
In addition to the advisory committees, GNL Québec has implemented other methods for the public to get informed on it’s project:
• Tools
o Blog
o Emails
o Postal letters
o Web site
o Facebook Page
o Phone calls
o Press releases
o Newspapers/radio/publicities
• Mechanisms
o Information and consultation activities with stakeholders
o Public consultations
o Work Tables
o Community liaison office
• Ressources
o Employees dedicated to community relations