primary and secondary markets
TRANSCRIPT
V.V.S.N.MURTHY
1226113158
PRIMARY AND SECONDARY MARKETS
SUMMARY: Lack of sustained buoyancy in the secondary market has contributed to the poor investor interest in the primary market. Measures taken by the Government as well as SEBI in regard to buy-back of shares have therefore been designed to boost investor interest in the share market. Other measures aimed at raising the level of investor confidence in the secondary market include amendment of SEBI Takeover Regulations, extension of demat trading to more scrips. A stable government after the general elections, steady secondary markets and improving corporate earnings growth will give a fillip to money-raising through primary market stock sales by companies as they are expected to renew their expansion plans. Companies refrained from raising money from the public for about three years in the wake of volatile markets and a slowing economy. Primary market issuances include initial share sales, follow-on public offerings, or FPOs, qualified institutional placements, or QIPs, and rights issues.
INTRODUCTION: Typically, primary markets follow the secondary market. In the
secondary market, the 30-share benchmark index of BSE, the Sensex, rose 9.1% during 2013
and the 50-share broader market index of NSE, the Nifty, gained 6.92%. The IPO Index of
BSE, however, fell 19%. 34 companies raised Rs.1, 626.58 crore through initial public
offerings or IPOs in 2013, compared with 24 companies mopping up Rs.6, 953.32 crore in
2012. On the other hand, 13 firms raisedRs.4, 084.48 crore through rights issues during 2013,
down from Rs.7, 202.64 crore raised by 16 firms in the previous year. The trend is poised to
reverse in 2014. The easiest way to invest in these (secondary market) bonds is to subscribe
at the time of the issue. However, there is no guarantee of allotment, as some of the issues get
fully subscribed on the opening day itself. In such a scenario, the secondary market offers yet
another avenue to buy bonds. For existing investors too, it is important to track the
performance of their bonds in the secondary market. This is because switching to other bonds
may at times provide better returns, although most investors prefer to hold till maturity.
Though the secondary market movements have factored in political uncertainties, companies
are awaiting the outcome of general elections due by May to draw their expansion plans and
sell shares to the public. As investments often depend on the nature of the political party
leading the new government, large primary market floats are likely to be on hold till the
outcome of elections.
PROBLEMS OF INDIAN PRIMARY MARKET:
There are several problems of the Indian primary market.
WITHDRAWL`OF IPO’S:
Another problem lies in the fact that these days, IPOs are increasingly being withdrawn.
There is no point expressing disappointment in the withdrawal of the IPOs because it may be
taken not as an indication of failure of the company and hence the primary market but it may
be considered as a disagreement of price between the seller and the buyer.
The primary markets are undulating the world over. The incidents occurring in the primary
markets are reflections of what is actually happening in the secondary markets.
It was fathomed that the IPOs, which were lately taken back had very "aggressive" price
bands. The price bands could have been aligned as per existing conditions of the market. The
lead managers responsible for the IPOs may also be blamed for the catastrophe.
Few are of the opinion that lack of judgment may have led to the withdrawal. "Investors
fatigue is being accounted for in the withdrawals.
CORNERING OF SHARES:Recently, there was an instance when investors "cornered" shares, which were to be allotted
to the public. The investor was actually a big investor who camouflaged as a small investor
cornered many shares.
GREY MARKETS AND MANIPULATION:
Other problems of Indian primary markets include over subscription of shares. There are
instances when the grey markets usually have high premia, which collapse as soon as the
issues are listed. These indicate that for vested interests manipulation in the markets are
rampant.
SOLTIONS TO THE PROBLEMS:
The practice of part payment of shares may be removed.
The process of application money pertaining to the shares could become uniform among
different investor categories.
Restricting a company's entry into the primary market if that company had withdrawn shares
from the market at least for a span of 12 months.
Making the process of book building more effective as well as making the book builders
more efficient.
LOOK TO THE SECONDARY MARKETS:
The easiest way to invest in these bonds is to subscribe at the time of the issue. However,
there is no guarantee of allotment, as some of the issues get fully subscribed on the opening
day itself. In such a scenario, the secondary market offers yet another avenue to buy bonds.
For existing investors too, it is important to track the performance of their bonds in the
secondary market.
This is because switching to other bonds may at times provide better returns, although most
investors prefer to hold till maturity. Here’s what you should know when trading in the
secondary markets:
CHOOSING AMONG BONDS:
When an issue opens in the primary market, the coupon rate on the bond is clearly stated,
which is the annual rate of return. But in the secondary market, the coupon rate does not
matter. This is because the bond in the secondary market may trade below or above its issue
price. What matters is the yield to maturity.
Yield to maturity (YTM) - is the effective return you can earn on a bond by way of interest
and repayments, by buying it at its current price. As bond prices fall, yields rise and hence
there is an inverse relationship between the two. YTM is calculated by arriving at the
discount rate which equates the sum of all future cash flows from the bond (interest and
principal) to the current price of the bond. This can be done with the help of a financial
calculator or excel.
Let us understand this with some examples. The Rs 1,000 tax-free bonds issued by Rural
Electrification Corporation in March 2012, at 7.93 per cent for 10 years, is now quoting at Rs
986 on the BSE, at a 1.3 per cent discount. Here, the YTM works out to 8.2 per cent and this
is your return on the bond if you hold till maturity. Hence, we can see that although the
coupon rate is lower, the yields in the secondary market have aligned themselves to the
current rates. If you have not subscribed to the recent public issue, you can buy in the
secondary market instead, since the returns are comparable.
We should also compare other options in the secondary market. Power Finance
Corporation (PFC) bond issued in Feb 2012, at 8.2 per cent interest is now trading at 2 per
cent discount — YTM works out to 8.5 per cent. Since this bond is also AAA rated and offers
attractive yields, this could be another option in the secondary market.
THE LIMITATIONS:
Ideally in case of a rising interest rate scenario such as now, the price on existing bonds falls
and there is an opportunity to invest in the secondary market. However, there are other
aspects to consider too. One is the credit risk of the issuer. In spite of the attractive price and
yield, investors must refrain from investing in low rated bonds. Particularly as the macro
environment is riddled with challenges, it is best to stick to AAA or AA+ rated bonds for
now.
The perception of risks attached to a particular issuer may also alter the pricing of bonds in a
similar category. For instance, India Info line issued its NCD for 72 months in September
2012 offering 12.75 per cent. This bond in fact is trading at a premium of 4 per cent at Rs
1,035. The YTM works out to 12 per cent; closer to its recent public issue.
On the other hand, Muthoot Finance NCD which offered 12 per cent for a five-year tenure in
Nov 2012, is now trading at a discount of 3 per cent. In spite of similar rating on both these
bonds (AA-) one trade at a premium while the other at a discount as the market perceives the
risk on both issuers differently. The second factor to consider is the liquidity. Unlike equity o
that trade on the exchanges under an order matching system, corporate bonds in the
secondary market are traded over the phone via a broker. Hence, when you need to buy or
sell a particular bond for a particular tenure, the broker gives you the quotes available in the
market. However, as the liquidity is negligible in most cases, actual trades happen at
negotiated prices which are different from quoted prices, a majority of the time.
Finally, the trend in the interest rates is also a deciding factor. While older bonds are now
trading at a discount, there is further possibility of a price correction as new issues may offer
higher rates.
In such a scenario, it will be better to adopt a wait-and-watch approach till interest rates
stabilise.
Indian Corporate Debt Markets – Secondary market issues:
The absence of secondary markets for corporate bonds in India is arguably the single most
important reason for this market not seeing the kind of growth one would expect. The public
(government securities or GSecs) debt market with an outstanding issue size close to Rs.
19,74,467 crores (USD 421.35 billion), had a secondary market turnover of around Rs. 30
lakh crores (USD 640.20 billion) for the year 2009. Besides the G-Secs market, there is a
market for corporate debt papers in India which trades in short term instruments such as
commercial papers and certificate of deposits issued by banks and also in long term
instruments such as debentures, bonds, zero coupon bonds, step up bonds etc. The
outstanding issue size of listed corporate debt was Rs. 2.2 lakh crores (USD 46.95 billion) in
2009. The corporate debt turnover in the secondary market was roughly 1.5 lakh crores (USD
31.6 billion) during the year 2009. To put things in context, by the end of 2008, the Indian
equity market turnover was roughly $ 1.05 trillion.
Investors have stayed away from the fixed income secondary market as the market lacks
liquidity, transparency and depth. Some of the key issues that have traditionally plagued the
secondary markets in long term debt in India are: 1) Absence of market makers and liquidity;
2) Preference to bank deposits, postal savings schemes, NSCs etc over bonds because of
liquidity risk.
REFERENCES:
1. 2013, A look at primary and secondary markets.
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/02/101102.asp
2. 2013, October, Choosing bonds in secondary markets.
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/money-wise/choosing-bonds-in-secondary-
markets/article5268473.ece
3. Pdf on secondary markets by indianbudget.nic.in.
4. 2013, Primary markets may be on road to revival after lacklusture.
http://www.livemint.com/Money/pRx1naKclAvo7t2tAtCWyK/Primary-market-may-
be-on-road-to-revival-after-lacklustre-20.html
5. Problems of INDIAN primary market.
http://finance.mapsofworld.com/primary-market/problems-indian.html