pricing in a crisis economy pricing in a crisis economy

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MarketShare, Inc. 35 Main Street // Suite 8 Wayland, MA 01778 Tel: (508) 647-0330 www.softwarepricing.com © 2008 MarketShare, Inc. Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy Keep your head… Stay out of trouble… Jim Geisman, founder & principal Webinar Sponsored by

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Page 1: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

MarketShare, Inc.35 Main Street // Suite 8

Wayland, MA 01778Tel: (508) 647-0330

www.softwarepricing.com

© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Pricing in a Crisis EconomyPricing in a Crisis EconomyKeep your head…

Stay out of trouble…

Jim Geisman, founder & principal

Webinar Sponsored by

Page 2: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

2© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction

About About MarketShareMarketSharePricing software and systems since 1987Address client problems

Slow sales cyclesMoney left on tableChaotic / confusing pricingEntry into new markets / segments

Help clients meet objectivesImprove financial performanceStrengthen competitive positionFoundation for future growth

Page 3: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

3© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction SaaS InnocenceSaaS Innocence

Page 4: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

4© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction SaaS OpportunitySaaS Opportunity

Page 5: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

5© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction SaaS OpportunitySaaS OpportunitySquash?

Page 6: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

6© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction Good News: The Model WorksGood News: The Model Works

$-

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Number of Quarters (Since Q1 FY 2004 )

Rev

enue

($ M

)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Subs

crib

ers

(000

s)

Salesforce.com Subscriber Base and Revenue Build$175 M raised from capital markets

Page 7: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

7© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction But ItBut It’’s a Balancing Acts a Balancing Act

Slow new customer growth now means less viral growth in future

Revenues

$0.0

$10.0

$20.0

$30.0

$40.0

$50.0

1 2 3 4 5

Number of Years

Rev

enue

($M

)

Slow viral growth (units and upgrades / options) lowers value of new customer

Revenues

$0.0

$10.0

$20.0

$30.0

$40.0

$50.0

1 2 3 4 5

Number of Years

Reve

nue

($M

)

Existing Customers Upgrade GrowthUnit Growth New Customers

Revenues

$0.0

$10.0

$20.0

$30.0

$40.0

$50.0

1 2 3 4 5

Number of Years

Rev

enue

($M

)

Page 8: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

8© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction So Watch Your Step So Watch Your Step

Uncertainty will last 1-2 years (58%)>2 years (28%)

Impact of downturn neutral to slightly positive On SaaS industry overall (75%)For some vendors (58%)

• But others will feel pain (30%)Spend more on sales, marketing, BD

Find new partnersAdd featuresExpand existing channelRepackage product

No differences?Do what’s right – for your company

Page 9: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

9© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Introduction

TakeawaysTakeawaysExecute the basics

Attract new customersIncrease viral attractiveness

Don’t weaken yourselfDon’t underprice

Improve pricing executionMake sensible pricing decisions

Don't compete on priceThink before reacting to competition

Page 10: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

10© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

TopicsTopicsDon’t weaken yourself

Deep price cutsToo few packagesGenerous discountsIllogical discount structure

Improve pricing executionMake sensible pricing decisions

Don't compete on priceThink before reacting to competition

Page 11: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

11© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Weaken Yourself Deep Price CutsDeep Price Cuts

Additional Volume Required to Maintain Revenues

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

350%

400%

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Price Cut %

Add

ition

al V

olum

e R

equi

red

%

Page 12: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

12© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Weaken Yourself Too Few PackagesToo Few Packages

Deliverables

Mon

ey

Get more Pay less

Page 13: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

13© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Too Few Packages Offer Packaging AlternativesOffer Packaging Alternatives

Get morePay more

Pay less Get less

Deliverables

Mon

ey

Get more Pay less

Page 14: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

14© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Weaken Yourself Generous DiscountsGenerous Discounts

# Units11050100250

1000

$ Revenues$2,00010,00025,00030,00050,000

$100,000

$/Unit20001000500300200100

95% discount

Page 15: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

15© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Troublesome Discounts Illogical Discount StructureIllogical Discount Structure

Tiered Discount Revenues

$-

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500

Unit Volume

Tota

l Pric

eAverage

Price

Tiered Discount Schedule

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

0 100 200 300 400 500

Unit Volume

Ave

rage

Pric

e pe

r Uni

t

Discontinuous Revenues

Page 16: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

16© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Discount Schedule Improve Structure & LevelsImprove Structure & Levels

# Units1 - 9

10 - 4950 - 99

100 - 249250 - 999

1000 +

$ Payment-0-

18,00082,000

148,000329,000

1,110,000

+ $/Unit20001600130012001050800

Tax-Table Discount Schedule

Page 17: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

17© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

TopicsTopicsDon’t weaken yourself

Don’t underprice

Improve pricing executionAlign pricing metric with valueUse correct comparablesPackage for valueDon’t confuse customers

Don't compete on priceThink before reacting to competition

Page 18: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

18© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Align Metric With Value DriverAlign Metric With Value Driverper loan +++per patient +++per user ++per user ++per user +++per property +++Per user +per student +++per user ++per customer +++per user +++per user +++per patient +++per employee +++per user +per user ++per claim +++per bill +++Per gallon of fuel +++per patient +++per shareholder +++per user +++per employee +++per user +per ad +++per property +++per user +per reservation +++per employee +++per member ++per user +per user +per user +

Page 19: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

19© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Align Metric With Value DriverAlign Metric With Value Driverper loan +++per patient +++per user ++per user ++per user +++per property +++Per user +per student +++per user ++per customer +++per user +++per user +++per patient +++per employee +++per user +per user ++per claim +++per bill +++Per gallon of fuel +++per patient +++per shareholder +++per user +++per employee +++per user +per ad +++per property +++per user +per reservation +++per employee +++per member ++per user +per user +per user +

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Vertical marketsAligned with customer’s business

per adper billper claimper customerper employeeper employeeper employeePer gallon of fuelper loanper patientper patientper patientper propertyper propertyper reservationper shareholderper studentper memberper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userPer userper userper userper userper user

Page 20: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

20© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Align Metric With Value DriverAlign Metric With Value Driverper loan +++per patient +++per user ++per user ++per user +++per property +++Per user +per student +++per user ++per customer +++per user +++per user +++per patient +++per employee +++per user +per user ++per claim +++per bill +++Per gallon of fuel +++per patient +++per shareholder +++per user +++per employee +++per user +per ad +++per property +++per user +per reservation +++per employee +++per member ++per user +per user +per user +

Horizontal and vertical marketsSometimes aligned

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Vertical marketsAligned with customer’s business

per adper billper claimper customerper employeeper employeeper employeePer gallon of fuelper loanper patientper patientper patientper propertyper propertyper reservationper shareholderper studentper memberper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userper userPer userper userper userper userper user

Page 21: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

21© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Value-Aligned Pricing Metric An ExampleAn Example

Per-Connection Pricing + Type of Connector

Page 22: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

22© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Value-Aligned Pricing Metric Selection GuidelinesSelection Guidelines

Aligned with customer’s businessPath to revenueFinancial-enhancing usageRevenue-generating users

Scales with value deliveredCan be estimated for budgeting

Accuracy less importantShould be “wired” into application

License servers, keysTransaction counters

Page 23: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

23© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Use Correct ComparablesUse Correct Comparables

$-

$5.0

$10.0

$15.0

$20.0

$25.0

$30.0

$35.0

$40.0

$45.0

0 4 8 12 16 20

# Quarters

Cum

e Pa

ymen

ts ($

K)

Perpetual Software Fee

Perp + M&S Fee

Page 24: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

24© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Use Correct ComparablesUse Correct Comparables

$-

$5.0

$10.0

$15.0

$20.0

$25.0

$30.0

$35.0

$40.0

$45.0

0 4 8 12 16 20

# Quarters

Cum

e Pa

ymen

ts ($

K)

Perpetual Software Fee

Perp + M&S Fee

SaaS Breakeven

Page 25: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

25© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Use Correct ComparablesUse Correct Comparables

$-

$5.0

$10.0

$15.0

$20.0

$25.0

$30.0

$35.0

$40.0

$45.0

0 4 8 12 16 20

# Quarters

Cum

e Pa

ymen

ts ($

K)

SaaS Software PLUS Hosting

Breakeven

Perpetual Software Fee

Perp + M&S Fee

SaaS Software-OnlyBreakeven

Page 26: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

26© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution Package for ValuePackage for Value

Take Away

How little needed to beat price?

Build Up

How much needed to justify price?

Page 27: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

27© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Improve Pricing Execution DonDon’’t Confuse Customerst Confuse Customers

Page 28: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

28© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

TopicsTopicsDon’t weaken yourself

Don’t underprice

Improve pricing executionMake sensible pricing decisions

Don't compete on priceFind your nicheBe flexibleDon’t get trampled

Page 29: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

29© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

New Product Elements Find Your NicheFind Your Niche

Security

Integration

Flexibility

Low upfront costPay as you useMonthly paymentWeb-delivered application No / low need for internal IT

SaaS Benefits

SaaS Drawbacks

No IT budgetCustomer Types to Target

Price sensitive

Rapid deployment

Legacy apps

Risk averse

Need custom solution

Uncertain usageCashflow sensitive

Customer Types to Avoid

Page 30: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

30© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Compete on Price Be Flexible with PaymentsBe Flexible with Payments

Up-front vs Ongoing Cume Payments

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Ongoing Payment

Up-

fron

t Pay

men

t

DCF of Upfront + 5 ongoing payments @10% Discount Rate

Pay less upfront

Page 31: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

31© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Compete on Price Be Flexible with PaymentsBe Flexible with Payments

Up-front vs Ongoing Cume Payments

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Ongoing Payment

Up-

fron

t Pay

men

t

DCF of Upfront + 5 ongoing payments @10% Discount Rate

Pay less upfront

Page 32: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

32© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Compete on Price Be Flexible with PaymentsBe Flexible with Payments

Up-front vs Ongoing Cume Payments

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Ongoing Payment

Up-

fron

t Pay

men

t

90

100

110

120

130

140

150

Cum

e Pa

ymen

ts

DCF of Upfront + 5 ongoing payments @10% Discount Rate

Pay less upfront

Pay moreoverall

Page 33: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

33© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Don’t Compete on Price Avoid Being TrampledAvoid Being Trampled

Page 34: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

34© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Avoid Being Trampled NetSuiteNetSuite Financials*Financials*

Revenues Up 44% ($40 vs $28M)

Gross marginDown 4 points (66% vs 70%)

• 6% declineSales & Marketing

Up $6M (40% growth)Still 50% of revenues

Operating CashflowMore negative (-$6M vs. -$1.8M)

* Q3 2008 vs Q3 2007

Page 35: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

35© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

WrapWrap--UpUpExecute the basics

Attract new customersIncrease viral attractiveness

Don’t weaken yourselfDon’t underprice

Improve pricing executionMake sensible pricing decisions

Don't compete on priceThink before reacting to competition

Page 36: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

36© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

WrapWrap--UpUp Final ThoughtsFinal Thoughts

Align price with value

Use packaging to add value

Link payment timing to value delivery

Test prices, packages, offerings

Watch billings and cashflow

Page 37: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

37© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

WrapWrap--UpUp Are Things Really This Bad?Are Things Really This Bad?

SaaS IndexSW Index

Page 38: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

38© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

WrapWrap--UpUp Maybe Not!Maybe Not!

http://tinyurl.com/no-decline

Page 39: Pricing in a Crisis Economy Pricing in a Crisis Economy

39© 2008 MarketShare, Inc.

Thanks!Thanks!

Jim Geisman

[email protected]

508 – 647 – 0330