prezentacja programu powerpoint marcio...marcio fleming, 7 th emship cycle: 2016−2018 defence of...

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Master Thesis Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate Marcio Fleming 7 th EMship cycle: October 2016 February 2018 Supervisor: Prof. Remigiusz Iwańkowicz, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, Poland Co-supervisor: Prof. Jean-David Caprace, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Internship tutor: M.Sc. Nicole Schenk, Fr. Lürssen Werft GmbH & Co. KG, Bremen, Germany Reviewer: Prof. Hervé Le Sourne, Institut Catholique d’Arts et Métiers, Nantes, France La Spezia, February 2018

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Page 1: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

Master Thesis

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

Marcio Fleming7th EMship cycle: October 2016 − February 2018

Supervisor: Prof. Remigiusz Iwańkowicz, West Pomeranian University of Technology, Szczecin, PolandCo-supervisor: Prof. Jean-David Caprace, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Internship tutor: M.Sc. Nicole Schenk, Fr. Lürssen Werft GmbH & Co. KG, Bremen, GermanyReviewer: Prof. Hervé Le Sourne, Institut Catholique d’Arts et Métiers, Nantes, France

La Spezia, February 2018

Page 2: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

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1. Motivation

2. Methodology

3. Model

4. Results and Analysis

5. Conclusions

6. Future Works

Contents:

Page 3: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

• Welding Process Parameters:• heat input;• welding sequence;• preheating/post heating;• gaps;• tack welds;• the edge preparation;• welding conditions;• interpass temperature;• the shape of penetration;• positioning;• welding procedure;• and the degree of restraint during welding.

Buckling Bowing Angular

Out-of-Plane

Transversal Longitudinal

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1. Motivation

Wide Studied - Different Types of Distortions - > 1940

Influence Parameters

Non linear process

Machine learning exploration opportunity

In-Plane

• Geometric Parameters• Dimensions of the structure• Type and size of welded joints

• Material Properties

Page 4: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

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2. Methodology

1. Process mapping

2. Verification of monitoring tools

3. Program selection

4. Selection of methods

5. Database elaboration

6. Modelling• Block Characteristics• Welding Characteristics from 2D Model• Welding Characteristics from 3D Model• Collection of the historical data

Page 5: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

General Overview

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3. Model

Page 6: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

Best FittingReal VariationPolynomial Regression – Eight Variables – All FeaturesPolynomial Regression – Two Variables – All FeaturesPolynomial Regression – Two Variables – One FeatureNeural Network – Eight Variables – All FeaturesNeural Network – Two Variables – All Features – 1 HL, 60 HN – 2 STDNeural Network – Two Variables – One Feature – 3 HL, 71 HN – IQRBack Feature SelectionBack Feature Selection - Neural Network – 3 HL, 81 HN - IQR

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4. Results and Analysis

Page 7: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

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5. Conclusions

Geometric Parameters

Data Treatment – 4 months

KNIME – straight-forward

IQR – Best with Neural Network

2 STD – Best with Polynomial Regression

Best Fitting (R2) > Polynomial Regression (R2) > Neural Network (R2)

Polynomial Regression with many features – No guess

Reduction of Variables was elementary

More data necessary in order to improve Learning

Page 8: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

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6. Future Works

More data in order to improve the study

How to integrate the solution with current design software

Assess the excess of material (Production Allowance)

Extend study to other structural elements

Page 9: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint Marcio...Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016−2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018 Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction

Marcio Fleming, 7 th EMship cycle: 2016 − 2018 Defence of Master Thesis, La Spezia, February 2018

Accuracy Control and Welding Distortion Prediction in a Deck Plate

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