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Softwalls, E. A. Lee 1 Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor, EECS, UC Berkeley with Xiaojun Liu, Adam Cataldo Institute of Transportation Studies Seminar February 8, 2002

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Page 1: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 1

Preventing the use of CommercialAircraft as Weapons

Edward A. LeeProfessor, EECS, UC Berkeley

with Xiaojun Liu, Adam Cataldo

Institute of  Transportation Studies SeminarFebruary 8, 2002

Page 2: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 2

A Lethal Weapon?

Page 3: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 3

Need to Shield

• Major cities• Government centers• Chemical and nuclear plants• Military installations• Critical infrastructure

Page 4: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 4

Softwalls

• Carry on-board a 3-D database with“no-fly-zones”

• Enforce no-fly zones using on-boardavionics (aviation electronics)

• Non-networked, non-hackable

Page 5: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 5

Normal responsepilot steeringcontrol.

Biasing Pilot ControlWhile Maintaining Responsivity

pilot'sdesireddθ/dt

actualdθ/dt

Right

Right Left

M

M− M

nobias

− M

Left

θ = heading angledθ/dt = rate of change of headingM = maximum rate of change

Page 6: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 6

Bias the aircraftto the right.

Biasing Pilot ControlWhile Maintaining Responsivity

pilot'sdesireddθ/dt

actualdθ/dt

Right

Right Left

M

M− M

nobias

− M

Left

θ = heading angledθ/dt = rate of change of headingM = maximum rate of change

Page 7: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 7

Biasing Pilot ControlWhile Maintaining Responsivity

Bias of –M allowsthe plane to turnonly to the right.

pilot'sdesireddθ/dt

actualdθ/dt

Right

Right Left

M

M− M

− M

Left

bias = − M

θ = heading angledθ/dt = rate of change of headingM = maximum rate of change

Page 8: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 8

Biasing Pilot ControlWhile Maintaining Responsivity

Bias of –3M/2forces the planeto turn to theright at least athalf the maximumrate of change ofheading.

pilot'sdesireddθ/dt

actualdθ/dt

Right

Right Left

M

M− M

− M/2

M/2

bias =− 3M/2

− M

Left

θ = heading angledθ/dt = rate of change of headingM = maximum rate of change

Page 9: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 9

Objective is toallow the pilotmaximum latitudesubject to no-flyzone restriction

Responsivity

Responsivity of 1ensures thataircraft dynamicsappear normal,and the bias feelslike an externalforce.

pilot'sdesireddθ/dt

actualdθ/dt

Right

Right Left

M

M− M

− M

Left

responsivity = slope

θ = heading angledθ/dt = rate of change of headingM = maximum rate of change

Page 10: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 10

Sailing Analogy – Weather Helm

force ofthe wind onthe sails

turnedrudderkeeps thetrajectorystraight

withstraightrudder

with turnedrudder

Even with weather helm, thecraft responds to fine-graincontrol as expected.

Page 11: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 11

A Preliminary CandidateControl Strategy

due to Xiaojun Liu

Page 12: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 12

Two-Dimensional Aircraft Model

• speed s• position p• heading θ• time t

&( ) ( ( ) cos( ( )), ( ) sin( ( )))p t s t t s t t= θ θ

Page 13: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 13

Criticality – Time to Wall

• Measure of time to wallin the worst case (mostuncooperative pilot)

• Assumes the pilot turnstoward thewall at themaximumrate

No-FlyZone

c = d/v

c = π/2/M+(d-rmin )/v

c = π/M

rmin

rmin

Page 14: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 14

Maximally Uncooperative Pilot

• Assume θ = 0is headingtowards thewall

• This pilotsteersmaximallytowards thewall

θπ

−πT

− T

M

− M

pilotcontrol

Page 15: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 15

Bias from Criticality-Based Controller

• If time to wall is less than π/M,the bias rises– at the wall, heading away is OK

• At 2/M it saturates.– still can avoid wall with half-

maximum turn.

bias

3M/2

π/M2/Mc(x, θ)

Page 16: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 16

Simulation Model

aircraft model

criticality calculation

pilot model

bias control

Page 17: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 17

Simulation – Maximally Uncooperative Pilot

Assumptions (pulled out of a hat):• speed: 0.1 miles/sec = 360 miles/hour• M: 2π/20 radians/sec• min turning radius: speed/M = 0.32 miles

pilot turns towards the wall

the

wall

bias starts, pilot counteracts

pilot controls saturate

pilot regains steeragetowards wall

nautical miles

Page 18: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 18

Related Methods

• Ground proximity warning systems• Automatic ground avoidance systems• TCAS & ACAS – collision avoidance• Potential field methods for air-traffic control

HoneywellTCAS

Rockwell conflict resolution

Page 19: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 19

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

Page 20: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 20

Is There Any Aircraft Emergency Severe Enoughto Justify Trying to Land on Fifth Ave?

Page 21: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 21

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

• There is no override– switch in the cockpit

Page 22: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 22

No-Fly Zone with Harsher Enforcement

There is nooverride in thecockpit thatallows pilots tofly throughthis.

Page 23: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 23

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

• There is no override– switch in the cockpit

• Localization technology could fail– GPS can be jammed

Page 24: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 24

Localization Issues

• GPS• Inertial navigation

“Localization” is the technology forreliably and accurately knowing thelocation of an object.

Page 25: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 25

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

• There is no override– switch in the cockpit

• Localization technology could fail– GPS can be jammed

• Deployment could be costly– how to retrofit older aircraft?

Page 26: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 26

Deployment

• Fly-by-wire aircraft– a software change

• Older aircraft– autopilot level

• Phase in– prioritize airports

Page 27: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 27

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

• There is no override– switch in the cockpit

• Localization technology could fail– GPS can be jammed

• Deployment could be costly– how to retrofit older aircraft?

• Deployment could take too long– software certification

Page 28: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 28

Not Like Air Traffic Control

This seems entirelyindependent of airtraffic control, andcould complementsafety methodsdeployed there.Self-contained on asingle aircraft.

Page 29: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 29

Objections

• Reducing pilot control is dangerous– reduces ability to respond to emergencies

• There is no override– switch in the cockpit

• Localization technology could fail– GPS can be jammed

• Deployment could be costly– how to retrofit older aircraft?

• Deployment could take too long– software certification

• Fully automatic flight control is possible– throw a switch on the ground, take over plane

Page 30: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 30

UAV Technology(Unoccupied Air Vehicle)

e.g. Global Hawk(Northrop Grumman)

Technology Support Working Group(TSWG), office of the Secretary ofDefense, has reportedly decidedagainst recommending any partialcontrol approach. Their feeling isthat there is only one feasiblestrategy: a single trigger, either on-board or remote control, that wouldassume complete control and takethe plane to a safe base.

Northrop Grumman has such asystem in the Global Hawk UAV thatsome believe can be dropped-in topassenger airliners.

Page 31: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 31

Potential Problems with Ground Control

• Human-in-the-loop delay on the ground– authorization for takeover– delay recognizing the threat

• Security problem on the ground– hijacking from the ground?– takeover of entire fleet at once?– coup d’etat?

• Requires radio communication– hackable– jammable

Page 32: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 32

Open Questions

• Technical issues– Geometry constraints on no-fly zones?– Can localization without GPS be accurate enough?– Can the database be secure?– Can areas near urban airports be protected?– How to prove safety?– Robustness with partial system failures?

• Policy issues– Definition of no-fly zones– Centralized vs. decentralized control

Page 33: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 33

Acknowlegements

• Adam Cataldo• David Corman (Boeing)• Peter Huber (Forbes Magazine)• David Lee• Xiaojun Liu• Per Peterson• Shankar Sastry• Claire Thomlin• Don Winter (Boeing)• Paul Yang

Page 34: Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as …ptolemy.eecs.berkeley.edu/presentations/02/transStudies...Preventing the use of Commercial Aircraft as Weapons Edward A. Lee Professor,

Softwalls, E. A. Lee 34

Discussion

• Absent terrorism, does this make flying safer?• Is it better to have F-16’s enforcing no-fly zones?• Are pilots willing to give up some control?• Can the technique be phased in?• Are there other, simpler approaches?• …