presenters: tom masthay, eddie schultz, rachel cleak, mike ...€¦ · q3. q4. pacing plan...
TRANSCRIPT
Presenters: Tom Masthay, Eddie Schultz, Rachel Cleak, Mike Murphy (Courtland)
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I. Executive Summary II. Portfolio Construction III. Manager Selection & Recommendation IV. Requested Board Action Names used in this presentation are a shortened version that is used for ease of communication purposes throughout this document. The formal recommendations to the Board on the last page of this presentation reflect the full legal names of the investments.
Section I
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4
Summary of Recommendations
Recommended Manager/Fund Strategy Classification Target Return Recommended
Amount
TPG Opportunistic Real Estate 15%+ Net IRR Up to
$100 million
Madison Value-Add Real Estate 11-14% Net IRR Up to
$100 million
Total Approximate Recommended Investments/Commitments Up to $200
million
Manager Recommendations Executive Summary
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0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
Beg. Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Paci
ng P
lan
Prog
ress
2017 Real Estate Pacing Plan Progress
Unallocated
TPG RE III
Madison Realty IV
IC Berkeley IV
Stockbridge VF III
2017 YTD Real Estate Search Processes have cumulated $300 million of closed or recommended investments, in line with the
$200–400 million pacing model goal for the year.
March Approvals $100mm
October Recommendations
$200mm
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6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
11.00%
12.00%
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
600,000,000
700,000,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Pacing Model: Expected Real Estate Market Value (By Dollar Value [left axis]; by % of Total Portfolio [right axis])
Net Core Commitments (left axis)
Non-Core Commitments (left axis))
Stratetic Target for Real Estate (right axis)
Assumed Return 75th Percentile (right axis)
Assumed Return 6.75% Deterministic (rightaxis)
Experience: Below Expectation Level of Real Estate Capital Deployed (8.4% of portfolio as of June 30, 2017)
*Chart originally appeared in March 2016 Board Materials
Explanations for Shortfall • Strong Public Equity Returns • Slower than Expected Capital Deployment • High Levels of Capital Returned • Credit/Subscription Facility Usage
Actions Taken • Pacing Model Reassessment • Credit/Subscription Facility Research • Increased Allocation Activity
Additional Allocation Activity
Section II
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Synthesize Analysis Diversification Analysis
The TMRS portfolio is tracking within policy statement goals for strategy allocation levels.
2017 activity levels represent roughly 20% of TMRS’ total non-core
real estate allocation, in-line with pacing model goals.
62% 19%
1%
1% 2%
12% 3%
TMRS Real Estate Portfolio 2017 Recommendation Detail by Adjusted Commitments
Core (existing)
Value-Add (existing)
Stockbridge Value Fund III (2017)
IC Berkeley IV (2017)
Madison Debt IV (new)
Opportunistic (existing)
TPG RE III (new)
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Proposed investments are expected to increase east coast exposure and European Exposure.
*Source: Courtland Partners; as of Dec. 31, 2016
East 29%
Midwest 10%
South 28%
West 30%
US Not Allocated 0.5%
Europe 2%
Canada <0.1% Global Not
Allocated 1%
30%
10%
29%
31%
31%
10%
19%
41%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
East Midwest South West
TMRS NFI ODCE
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Property Type Diversification
Proposed investments are not expected to meaningfully shift property type weightings.
*Source: Courtland Partners; as of Dec. 31, 2016
Office 25%
Industrial 15%
Retail 16%
Resid'l 32%
Hotel 7%
Healthcare 1%
Land 0.3%
Storage 1%
Mixed Use 0.8% Other
2%
25%
15%
16%
32%
7%
5%
37%
15%
20%
24%
1% 3%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
Office Industrial Retail Residential Hotel Other
TMRS NFI ODCE
Section III
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TPG Real Estate Fund III is focused on opportunistic platform real estate investments in the United States and Europe. The team leverages their private equity expertise as well as real estate knowledge to source companies and real estate portfolios that are either a value investment or have some operational turnaround opportunity. The fund will implement a buy and build strategy, acquiring assets in inefficient and fragmented markets, while utilizing its deeply experienced team to improve operations at the company level. TPG is targeting a $3 billion fundraise to pursue opportunistic returns in the 15%+ net IRR 1.7x net MOIC (multiple of invested capital) range.
Top Candidate Characteristics – TPG $100 million Recommendation (re-up)
TPG Process Summary
Date of First TMRS Meeting 3/03/15 (call)
Dates of Subsequent Meetings
4 additional 2015 meetings 3 2016 Meetings (Austin)
1/16/17 (London) 10/6/17 (NYC)
Dates of Diligence Advancement
‘B’ Rating – 3/08/17 ‘A’ Rating – 8/04/17
Date of Consultant Report
October 2016
Legal Negotiation Initiated Not yet started.
Comparable Strategies Reviewed
53 (Opportunistic RE) 32 (European RE)
4 (Platform Strategies)
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Top Candidate Characteristics – TPG $100 million Recommendation (re-up)
Investment Case
• Platform/Bi-Continental Approach - Invests at scale and creates opportunity to add value through buy and build method. It is also among only a few products that invests in both the US and Europe.
• Experienced & Background Diverse Team - The key partners have history in building businesses and also have deep industry experience in real estate investment.
• Exceptional performance - Fund II is performing in the top quartile amongst its peers and returned substantial capital to date.
Issues to Consider • Scalable Acquisition Model Dependent Strategy
• Terms
• Global Macro Environment Uncertainty
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
Initial costbasis
Add oncost
Total Basis IncomeGrowth
Platform /ValuationPremium
Gross Total Fees Net
Mul
tiple
of M
oney
TPG Pro-Forma Return Bridge
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Madison Realty Capital is a vertically integrated real estate debt investment firm with in-house property management, leasing and design, development and construction expertise. Madison Realty Debt Fund IV intends to originate and acquire commercial real estate loans, real estate mezzanine loans, preferred equity investments and acquire liens that are mostly backed by real estate located in the tri-state New York City area. Madison is currently raising a $1 billion private real estate fund that targets 11-14% net IRR returns and a 1.4-1.7x MOIC.
Top Candidate Characteristics – Madison $100 million Recommendation
Madison Realty Process Summary
Date of First TMRS Meeting 1H 2014
Dates of Subsequent Meetings
1/17/2014 (Call) 7/28/14 (Austin) 7/28/15 (Austin) 8/11/16 (Austin
12/12/16 (Austin) 2/21/17 (NYC) 7/20/17 (NYC)
Dates of Diligence Advancement
‘B’ Rating – 12/16/16 ‘A’ Rating – 8/04/17
Date of Consultant Report
October, 2017
Legal Negotiation Initiated Not yet started. October 2017 (est.)
Comparable Strategies Reviewed
56 (Real Estate Debt)
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Investment Case
• Sourcing and performance are cycle robust – The Manager sources through both loan origination and acquisition which has created a consistent return profile over time.
• Fund structure encourages recycling of capital - Madison employs a fund structure which helps them fully utilize the fund investment period by recycling capital.
• Background of Investment Team – The team is both vertically integrated and entrepreneurial.
Issues to Consider
• Concentrated Geographic Footprint
• Manager Ambition
• Contract Intensive Business Model/Use of Leverage
2.0%
12.0%
3.0% 2.34%
14.7%
2.4%
12.3%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
14.00%
16.00%
18.00%
Madison Realty Debt Pro-Forma Return Bridge
Top Candidate Characteristics – Madison $100 million Recommendation
Section IV
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Approval of Recommendation TMRS Staff and Courtland recommend that the Board of Trustees approve the
selection of the following funds as detailed in the Board Communication Memo:
Recommendations: TPG Real Estate Partners III, LP $100 million Madison Realty Capital Debt Fund IV, LP $100 million
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