presentation to jsc-wcrp antalya, turkey feb 2010 gordon a. mcbean, cm, phd, frsc
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TAKING AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO DISASTER RISK REDUCTION. Presentation to JSC-WCRP Antalya, Turkey Feb 2010 Gordon A. McBean, CM, PhD, FRSC Chair, Science Committee – Integrated Research on Disaster Risk - IRDR Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Presentation to JSC-WCRPAntalya, Turkey
Feb 2010
Gordon A. McBean, CM, PhD, FRSCChair, Science Committee – Integrated Research on
Disaster Risk - IRDRInstitute for Catastrophic Loss ReductionUniversity of Western Ontario, Canada
TAKING AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION
InternationalSocial Sciences
Council
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HAZARD: potentially damaging physical event, phenomenon
or human activity that MAY cause the loss of life or injury, property damage, social and economic disruption
or environmental degradation.” VULNERABILITY: conditions determined by physical, social, economic, and environmental factors or processes, which increase
the susceptibility of a community to the impact of hazards. Disasters result
when there is the intersection of a
hazard and avulnerability
Research on bothhazards and
vulnerabilities
A natural disaster – “serious disruption of the
functioning of a community or a society involving widespread human, material, economic or environmental
losses and impacts, which exceeds the ability of the affected community
or society to cope using its own resources.”
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Latest disaster statisticsTop 10 - 2009
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Table 1.1: Disasters with more than 10,000 fatalities, January 1975 – June 2008 4(Highlighting denotes disasters within the five-year period, 2003–2008.) EMDAT; Analysis by ISDR, 2008
Mega-Disasters – > 10,000 fatalities2003-2008
Climate related
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Table 1.2 Disasters leading to losses of more than US$ 10 billion, January 1975 – June 2008(Highlighting denotes disasters within the five-year period, 2003–2008.) Source: EMDAT; Analysis by ISDR
Mega-Disasters – > $US 10 B in losses2003-2008
Climate related
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Typhoon Morakot – August 2009
“Over the last two decades (1988-2007), 76% of all disaster events were hydrological, meteorological or
climatological in nature; these accounted for 45% of the deaths and
79% of the economic losses caused by natural hazards.”
M. Wahlström, UN Assistant Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction
“The real tragedy is that many ofthese deaths can be avoided.”
How can science – IRDR-WCRP - play a role in reducing those deaths?
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Integrated Research on Disaster RiskAddressing the challenge of natural and human-induced environmental hazards (IRDR)An integrated approach to research on disaster risk through: an international, multidisciplinary (natural, health, engineering and social sciences, including socio-economic analysis) collaborative research programme. - Sept/2008
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Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR)
Research focus
Prevention• Mitigation - actions taken before or after a hazard event to reduce impacts on people and
property
• Preparedness - policies and procedures designed to facilitate an effective
response to a hazard event
MitigationRecovery
ResponsePreparedness
•Hazards – floods, storms, droughttemperature extremes•Prediction, characteristics, …
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Integrated Research on Disaster Risk
• Scope
• Geophysical, climate and weather-related trigger events
• Earthquakes – tsunamis – volcanoes – floods – storms (hurricanes, cyclones, typhoons) – heat waves – droughts – wild-fires – landslides – coastal erosion – climate change (increases of extreme events)
• Effects of human activities on creating or enhancing disasters, including land-use practices
• Space weather and impact by near-Earth objects• NOT technological disasters, warfare
• Scientific Objectives → → → → → → →
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Objectives:
1. Characterization of hazards, vulnerability and risk
2. Effective decision making in complex and changing risk contexts
3. Reducing risk and curbing losses through knowledge-based actions
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Objective 1:
Characterization of hazards, vulnerability and risk– 1.1: identifying hazards and
vulnerabilities leading to risks; – 1.2: forecasting hazards and
assessing risks; and – 1.3: dynamic modelling of risk.
World Climate Research Programme•GEWEX, CLIVAR – climate extremesWorld Weather Research Programme•Typhoons, Socio-economic research activities
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WCRP → IRDR• identifying and forecasting hazards, integrated
dynamic modelling of risk• Floods, storms, drought, temperature extremes• Extremes characteristics, probabilities,
thresholds, …IRDR → WCRP• Connections with other hazards, social sciences,
…• Identifying important activities, connections
with disaster risk reduction community
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IRDR-WCRP Memorandum of UnderstandingCooperation in Research and Capacity Building
in relation to Extreme Climatic Events
Recognizing- that climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction are
increasingly seen as part of a continuum in need of integrated, multi-disciplinary research
- contribute to a world safer from climatic extreme events and all related hazards
– Areas of Cooperation– Implementation – Exchange of information
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Cross-Cutting Themes
1. Capacity buildingSTART - partnership2. Case studies and demonstration
projects3. Assessment, data management
and monitoring
IPCC Special Report on Climate ExtremesCase Studies
Next week:
•Official opening - IRDR – IPO – CEODE Beijing•Selection of Director
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Integrated Research on Disaster Risk - IRDR
Addressing the challenge of natural and human-induced environmental hazards
Thank you for your attention
InternationalSocial Sciences
Council