presentation to capacity improvement forum march 2008

11/03/2008 Coal Capacity Forum - Project Update 5 March 2008 1

HUNTER VALLEY MAJOR WORKSPresentation to Capacity Improvement Forum

March 2008


Completed Projects


Sandgate Flyover

• $80M Project

• Commissioned on Time in November 2006


Sandgate Flyover


Muswellbrook Loop Extension

• $11.02M Project

• Completed early, in May 2007



Up train on the Muswellbrook Loop Extension


Gunnedah Loop

• $10M Project

• Completed on time in December 2007


Gunnedah Loop


Train Control Consolidation

• Amalgamation of Area Controllers, Signaller and Train Controller

• Reduction of staff from 250 to 100

• Closure of signal boxes. Remoting functions to single point at Broadmeadow

• Upgrade of significant signalling systems

• Removal of old unreliable equipment with new equipment


Ulan CTC

• $13.5M Project

• Stages 1 and 2

commissioned January 2008

• Final stages forecast

for completion April 2008

• Strategy Required by

Q1 2008


More Completed Projects;

• 80km/hr running on Minimbah and Nundah Banks, a $1.2M Project completed on time in November 2006 (stage 1)

• Togar Loop Extension, a $4.0M project completed on time in May 2007

• Murulla Loop Extension, a $4.8M project completed on time in May2007

• Werris Creek Loop Extension, completed on time as part of the Main Line TCC project in December 2007


Projects That Have Commenced Construction (incl those at tender);

• Antiene to Grasstree Duplication – target completion of August 2008 – early per strategy

• St Heliers to Muswellbrook Duplication – target completion of March 2009 – early per strategy

• Bi-Directional Signalling Grasstree to St Heliers – target March 2009 –early per strategy

• Mangoola Loop – target June 2008 – early per strategy


• Wollar Loop – target May 2008 – early per strategy

• Ardglen Loop Extension – Target June 2008 – 3 months late per strategy

• Willow Tree – Target May 2008 – 4 months late per strategy

• Curlewis Loop Extension – target July 2008 – On time per strategy

• Breeza Loop Extension – target July 2008 – On time per strategy


• Emerald Hill Loop Extension – target August 2008 – early per strategy

• Werris Creek to Gunnedah CTC – Target July 2008 – on time per strategy


Projects that are currently at detailed design phase, include;

• Bi-Directional Signalling Maitland to Branxton – target March 2009 –early per strategy

• Minimbah Bank 3rd Road – target March 2010 – 2 months late per strategy (may come forward if it can be commissioned under traffic)

• Newdell Junction – target June 2010 – early per strategy

• Bylong Loop – Target Q4 2008 – on time


HUNTER VALLEY CORRIDOR 2007-2012 CAPACITY STRATEGY – PROGRESS

Prepared by: G WithfordDate: 3 March 2008

2006-2011 STRATEGY

TIMING

2007-2012 STRATEGY

TIMING

Commissioned Cost ($M)

Scheduled Delivery Date Performance; (Note; 'On time' is within 3 months of strategy date given the inflexible nature of the possession

regime, ie 4 x possessions per year)

Newcastle – Muswellbrook

Sandgate Grade Separation By 1st half 2007 Completed $80.00 Completed Nov 2006 Early

80km/hr approaching Minimbah Bank By 1st half 2007 Completed $0.60 Completed Nov 2006 - st 1 Early

Muswellbrook Loop & Junction By 2nd half 2007 Completed $11.02 Completed May 2007 Early

Minimbah Bank 10 min headway By 2nd half 2007 Deleted $0.00 Deleted Deleted

80km/hr approaching Nundah Bank By 1st half 2007 Completed $0.60 Completed Nov 2006 - st 1 Early

Nundah Bank 10 min headway By 2nd half 2007 Deleted $0.00 Deleted Deleted

Antiene to Grasstree Duplication By 2008 By Q1 2009 Target August 2008 Early

Bidirectional Signalling Maitland to Branxton By 2009 By Q3 2009 Target June 2009 Early

Bidirectional Signalling Whittingham to Newdell By 2008 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Minimbah Bank 3rd Road By 2010 By Q4 2009 Target March 2010 On time

Newdell Junction By 2009 By Q1 2010 Target Q1 2010 Early

St Heliers – Muswellbrook Duplication By 2009 By Q3 2009 Target March 2009 Early

Nundah Bank 3rd Road By 2011 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Drayton Junction Upgrade By 2011 By 2011 Target by 2011 Not Commenced

Bidirectional Signalling Newdell to Drayton By 2010 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Bidirectional Signalling Grasstree – St Heliers By 2009 By Q3 2009 Target March 2009 Early

Allandale Resignalling for 8-minute headways New By Q3 2009 Target March 2009 Early

Minimbah – Maitland 3rd Road New By 2012 By 2012 Not Commenced


Muswellbrook – Ulan

Ulan Line CTC By 2nd half 2007 By Q1 2008 tba Stage 1 and Stage 2, commissioned January 2008, Completion targeted for April 2008

Late

Mangoola (304km) Loop By 2008 By Q4 2008 Target June 2008 Early

Rylestone Rd (381km) Loop By 2008 By Q4 2008 Target November 2008 On Time

Wollar (410km) Loop By 2009 By Q4 2008 Target May 2008 Early

Aerosol Valley (370km) Loop By 2010 By 2010 Target 2010 On Time

Worondi (348km) Loop By 2010 By 2010 Target 2010 On Time

Radio Hut (319km) Loop New By 2012 Target 2012 On Time

Muswellbrook – Bengalla Duplication New By 2012 Target 2012 Not Commenced

Muswellbrook – Narrabri

Togar Loop Extension By 2nd half 2007 Completed $4.00 Completed May 07 On Time

Murulla Loop Extension By 2nd half 2007 Completed $4.80 Completed May 07 On Time

Gunnedah Loop (RIC) By 2nd half 2007 By Q1 2008 $10.00 Completed December 2007 On Time

Werris Creek – Narrabri Power Operation (RIC) By 2nd half 2007 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Ardglen Loop Extension By 2008 By Q2 2008 Target for Jun 2008 On Time

Willow Tree Loop Extension By 2008 By Q1 2008 Target for May 2008 Late

Werris Creek Loop Extension By 2008 Completed tba Completed December 2007 On Time

Werris Creek Bypass New By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

Quirindi Loop Extension By 2009 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Ardglen – Kankool Duplication By 2009 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Parkville Loop Extension By 2009 By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

Curlewis Loop Extension (RIC) By 2009 By Q3 2008 Target July 2008 On time

Werris Creek to Gunnedah CTC (RIC) By 2009 By Q3 2008 Target July 2008 On time


Muswellbrook – Narrabri - continued

Gunnedah – Narrabri CTC (RIC) By 2010 By 2010 Target March 2009 - tbc by RIC Early

Koolbury Passing Loop By 2010 Deleted Deleted Deleted

Murrurundi Loop Extension By 2010 By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

Burilda Loop Extension (422.360km) By 2010 By 2012 Target 2012 Not Commenced

Emerald Hill Loop Extension (RIC) By 2010 By 2010 Target August 2008 Early

Boggabri Loop Extension (RIC) New By 2010 Target Novemeber 2008 - tbc by RIC Early

Breeza Loop Extension (RIC) (433.900km) New By Q3 2008 Target July 2008 On time

Quipolly Passing Loop (402.014km) New By 2011 Target 2011 On Time

Braefield Passing Loop (386.010km) New By 2010 Target 2010 Not Commenced

Watermark Passing Loop (RIC) (455.600km) New By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

Wingen Passing Loop New By 2012 Target 2012 Not Commenced

South Gunnedah Passing Loop New By 2012 Target 2012 Not Commenced

Muswellbrook – Koolbury Duplication New By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

New Liverpool Range Alignment New By 2012 Target 2012 Not Commenced

Scone Reconfiguration New By 2011 Target 2011 Not Commenced

Completed ProjectsConstruction Has Commenced or tenders calledDeleted ProjectsLate Projects


Conclusion

• Resource Constrained environment

• 4 x 2 day Possession per year of which projects can be completed/commissioned without adverse impact of throughput

• Unprecedented on time completion by the Hunter Valley Major Works Team

• Total value of commissioned projects to date is $126M

• Value of work currently under construction or at tender is $122M

• Value of work at final design with construction to commence within 6-12 months is $141M

• Value of next 5 year spend is $988M


Forecast Outlook

Gunnedah Basin

Theoretical Capacity 11.6mtpa

95mtpa notional allocation 5.0mt


145mtpa notional allocation 25mt

West of Muswellbrook

Theoretical Capacity 17.63/25.5/35.8




Muswellbrook - Antiene

Theoretical Capacity 52.88/146.07




Antiene to Singleton

Theoretical Capacity 146.07mtpa




Singleton - Port

Theoretical Capacity 188.88/209





FORECAST OUTLOOK

95mtpa Notional Allocation

5.0mt

12.2mt

17.2mt

58.1mt

90.6mt

145 mtpa Notional Allocation

25mt

24mt

49mt

113mt

141mt

113mtpa Notional Allocation

7.5mt

15mt

22.5

67.9mt

109.5mt

Unconstrained Rail Theoretical Capacity

11.6mtp

17.63mtpa/25.5mt/35.8mt

52.88mtpa/146.07mt

146.07mtpa

188.88mtpa/209mtpa

Gunnedah Basin

West of Muswellbrook

Muswellbrook - Antiene

Antiene – Singleton

Singleton - Port

presentation to capacity improvement forum march 2008

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