presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security
TRANSCRIPT
Sustainable Solutions For PEACE AND THREATS TO HUMAN SECURITY
BY DR. TAYO ADULOJUDirector, Public Sector Practice
National Planning Commission
“insuring freedom from want and freedom from fear for all
persons is the best path to tackle the problem of global
insecurity”UNDP 1994 Human Development Report
ORIGINS
National Planning Commission
• Human Security and Peace form the fundamentals of the preferred Ideal Human Condition and the quest for societies to achieve them will determine their overall sustainability.
• Dr. Mahbub ul Haq first drew global attention to the concept of human security in the United Nations Development Programme's 1994 Human Development Report and sought to influence the UN's 1995 World Summit on Social Development in Copenhagen.
• The UNDP's 1994 Human Development Report's definition of human security argues that the scope of global security should be expanded to include threats in seven areas
ORIGINS
Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group
National Planning Commission
SUSTAINABLE PEACE SOLUTIONS RELATES TO KEY HUMAN SECURITY THREATS THAT UNDERMINE FREEDOM FROM WANT AND FREEDOM
FROM FEAREconomic
security ECONOMIC
SECURITY REQUIRES AN
ASSURED BASIC INCOME FOR INDIVIDUALS,
USUALLY FROM PRODUCTIVE AND REMUNERATIVE
WORK OR A FUNDED SOCIAL
SAFETY NET.
Food security
FOOD SECURITY REQUIRES THAT
ALL PEOPLE AT ALL TIMES HAVE BOTH
PHYSICAL AND ECONOMIC ACCESS
TO BASIC FOOD.
Health security
HEALTH SECURITY
AIMS TO GUARANTEE A
MINIMUM PROTECTION FROM
DISEASES AND UNHEALTHY LIFEST
YLES.
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SUSTAINABLE PEACE SOLUTIONS RELATES TO KEY HUMAN SECURITY THREATS THAT UNDERMINE FREEDOM FROM WANT AND FREEDOM
FROM FEAREnvironm
ental security
ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT PEOPLE FROM THE SHORT- AND LONG-TERM
RAVAGES OF NATURE, MAN-
MADE THREATS IN NATURE, AND
DETERIORATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT.
Personal security
PERSONAL SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT
PEOPLE FROM PHYSICAL VIOLENCE, WHETHER FROM THE STATE OR EXTERNAL
STATES, FROM VIOLENT
INDIVIDUALS AND SUB-STATE ACTORS,
FROM DOMESTIC ABUSE, OR FROM
PREDATORY ADULTS.
Community
security
COMMUNITY SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT PEOPLE
FROM THE LOSS OF TRADITIONAL RELA
TIONSHIPS AND VALUES AND FROM
SECTARIAN AND ETHNIC VIOLENCE.
Political security
POLITICAL SECURITY IS
CONCERNED WITH WHETHER PEOPLE LIVE IN A SOCIETY THAT HONOURS
THEIR BASIC HUMAN RIGHTS.
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ORIGINS
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HUMAN SECURITY AND NATIONAL SECURITY SHOULD BE AND OFTEN ARE MUTUALLY REINFORCING. BUT SECURE STATES
DO NOT AUTOMATICALLY MEAN SECURE PEOPLES.
CORRELATION TO SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND NATIONAL SECURITY
NATIONAL SECURITY
DEFENSE SECURITY
INTERNAL (HOMELAND)
SECURITY
HUMAN SECURITY
DIMENSIONS
SPHERE OF PEACE
SAMPLING OF HUMAN SECURITY THREATS AND
HARMS(CHRONOLOGY OF HARMS STORY
BOARDS)
Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group
National Planning Commission
Peace building is an intervention that is designed to prevent the start or resumption of violent conflict by creating a sustainable peace.
Peace building activities address the root causes or potential causes of violence, create a societal expectation for peaceful conflict resolution and stabilize society politically and socioeconomically.
Peace building by design is mapped to the Threats and Risks to Peace itself
“PEACE AS A STATE OF AFFAIRS
PRECEDES PEACE AS A STATE OF MIND”
CARL VON CLAUSEWITZ, 1834
Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Line of Prevention
(Allocation of Resources )
Preventive Actions
Preventive Actions
ReactiveActions
Oil Spillage
Ethnic Conflicts and Violence
Low Environmental Remediation
High Environmental Degradation
Loss of Livelihoods
High Unemployment
Rate
Growing Communal
Distrust
Increase in Cultism
Proliferation of small arms and light weapons
Breakdown of Social Justice
Structures
Increase Political Violence
Increase Gang Violence
Oil and Gas Asset
Vandalism
Niger Delta Economic
Destabilization
Niger Delta Militancy
Corruption
Oil Theft
EnvironmentalActivism
ActivismSuppression
NIGER-DELTA INSURGENCY AT 2007 STORYBOARD: WHEN A BROADER SET OF STAKEHOLDERS DO NOT CREATE A ROBUST COOPERATION AND PROBLEM SOLVING FRAMEWORK TO DO SOMETHING
Unsustainable Legal
Framework for Oil and Gas
Destruction of critical national infrastructure
Oil and Gas Industry Revenue decline
NEW CONSEQUEN
CES
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Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Line of Prevention
(Allocation of Resources )
Preventive Actions
Preventive Actions
ReactiveActions
NORTH-EASTERN NIGERIA SUSTAINABILITY AT 2014 STORYBOARD: WHEN A BROADER SET OF STAKEHOLDERS DO NOT CREATE A ROBUST COOPERATION AND PROBLEM SOLVING FRAMEWORK TO DO SOMETHING
Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Security Threats
Preventive Actions
ReactiveActions
Desertification
Increase In Global
Terrorism Movement
Low Environmental Remediation
Elimination of Grazing Belts
and Lands
Loss of Livelihoods
High Migration of Herdsmen Southward
Reduction in Arable Land
Increase in Herdsmen/Settler
Clashes
Proliferation of small arms and light weapons
Growth of Almajeri
Population
Decrease in Education Security Increase
RadicalizationExtrajudicial
Killing
Socio-Economic Detsabilization of
North Eastern Region
Rise of North-East
Insurgency
Corruption
Increase in Herdsmen/
Settler Clashes
Elimination of Fish
Population
Reduction in Volume of Livestock
Drying Up of Lake Chad
Reduction in Border
Security
Increase in Vulnerable Population
Access to Radical Militia Training and
Teaching
Increase in Armed
Robberies
Mass Atrocities Escalation
Destruction of critical national infrastructure
NEW CONSEQUENC
ES
“ Intelligence is the soul of all
public business “
- DANIEL DEFOE (1704)
National Planning Commission
• LACK OF EFFECTIVE COOPERATION FRAMEWORK FOR CONTROLLING THREATS;
• LACK OF EFFECT HUMAN SECURITY THREAT INTELLIGENCE, DATA GATHERING AND ANALYTICS FOR ROBUST POLICY AND STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING;
• SYSTEMIC DISCONNECT BETWEEN EXISTING DATA AND INTELLIGENCE POOLS AND OPERATORS IN THE NIGERIAN SPACE;
• WEAK INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR HUMAN SECURITY THREAT EARLY WARNING SIGNALS, ESCALATION, RESPONSE PREPAREDNESS AND CAPABILITIES;
• WEAK FEEDBACK ON IMPACT REPORTING OF HUMAN SECURITY THREAT REDUCTION.
HUMAN SECURITY CONTROLS THAT HAVE FAILED
SAMPLING BEST PRACTICES FOR
SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND HUMAN SECURITY
Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group
National Planning Commission
Mobilize Stakeholde
rs for BroadBased ActionAnd
Review Progress
Organize Stakeholders
Around Threat
Groupings And
Priorities
Organize Solutions and
Structure around Threat
Groupings
SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND
HUMAN SECURITY
Map and Scope the Threats
Intelligence and Data Gathering
Threat Severity
Framework
Impact Reporting and
Horizon Scanning
Framework
Monitoring and
EvaluationFramework
Execution Management Framework
Stakeholder Accountability Framework for
Action on Threat
Reduction
Programme Level
Logical Framework:
Objectives to Impact
Fact-Based Threat
Reduction Solution Design
Resourcing Framework
Communication Framework
Cooperation Framework
Analytics and Trend Coupling
and Pattern Recognition
Threat Groupings
AndPriorities
WE ARE NOW SEEING A MORE RISK BASED APPROACH TO MANAGING AND REDUCING THREATS TO PEACE AND HUMAN SECURITY
SUCCESS CASE: GOVERNMENT’S RESPONSE
TO EBOLA EPIDEMIC
POINTS OF EMINENT THREATS : SOME
APPLICATIONS TO STORY BOARD CASES
Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group
National Planning Commission
TERRORISM
HERDSMEN RELATED VIOLENCE
NIGER DELTA MILITANCY
VANDALISATION TO NATIONAL CRITICAL
ASSETS AND INFRASTRUCTURE
National Planning Commission
“At the heart of a new regulatory
craftsmanship lies the ability to pick important problems and fix them”Malcolm K. Sparrow, Author of Character of Harms,
the Regulatory Craft and Harvard Professor
THANK YOU
Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group