presentation of consolidated results...• gdp growth slowing to 1.9% in 2013 (vs 2.5% in 2012),...
TRANSCRIPT
PRESENTATION OF CONSOLIDATED RESULTS
For the 52 weeks ended 29 March 2014
AGENDA
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Strategic and
operational update
Jürgen Schreiber
CEO
Looking forwardFinancial review
Toon Clerckx
CFO
2
STRATEGIC AND OPERATIONAL UPDATE
VISION
Creating unique
experiences
Focused customer
groupings
Exceptional value
proposition and
choice of product
Distinctive retail
formats
4
TRADING ENVIRONMENT
Retail sales1 Credit extension1,2
1) Stats SA and SARB – May 2014
2) Other Loans and advances
3.2%
8.9%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Total retail sales CFT Sales
74.0%
74.5%
75.0%
75.5%
76.0%
76.5%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
Credit extension Debt-to-Household Income
• CFT sales growth consistently outperforming total retail sales
• GDP growth slowing to 1.9% in 2013 (vs 2.5% in 2012), contracted by 0.6% in Q1 of the 2014 calendar
year
• Worsening trends in household disposable income growth (average growth 7.7% in 2013 vs 9.9% in 2012)
and slower credit growth, both negative for spending
• April CPI of 6.1% y-o-y, driven by higher food and fuel prices
• USDZAR and EURZAR depreciated 15.3% and 23.4% respectively between March 2013 and March 2014
5
KEY STRATEGIC LEVERS
• Revamp stores and service
• Store optimisation
• Assortment: brands and improved private label
• Leverage loyalty programme
Comparable
store growth
• Sourcing
• Pricing management
• Group efficiencies
• Margin
expansion
• Grow existing format footprint
• Rollout of tested new formats
• Expand into rest of Africa
• Right size CNA
New space
growth
• Implement a second look credit provider
• Broaden financial services offeringCredit
Working capital management
6
PERFORMANCE AGAINST STRATEGIC LEVERS
Sales growth Margin
7
Credit and cash sales growth New space growth
• GP Margin relatively flat at 36.5% (36.7% in
FY13)
• Product cost inflation due to weaker ZAR
• Negatively impacted by increased clearance activity
in Edgars
• Pleasing Discount Division performance due to
changes implemented in previous years
• Average space growth of 5.2% in line with
strategy
• Meaningful space growth in Edgars due to
acquisitions and refurbishment project
• Discount space increase driven mainly by
expansion outside of South Africa
• Right-sizing of existing CNA stores
All numbers include Edgars Zimbabwe. All quarters refer to FY14
9.2
1.9
5.1
3.2
5.9
3.3
9.1
7.9
0.3 0.5 -0.31.2
-1.5
3.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Retail Sales (%) Comp Sales (%)
14.0
3.0 -4.3 -4.2 -3.7 -6.8-1.9
4.5
0.7 15.3 12.216.4 14.2 17.3
FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q:FY14
Credit sales (%) Cash Sales (%)
Retail
Sales
LFL
EDGARS DIVISION – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
• Diversity between cash and credit
sales growth reflecting both
opportunity and challenges
• Cash sales growth of 16.4%
• Credit sales decline of 6.4%
• LFL impacted by negative credit
sales growth and exacerbated by
refurbishment program
• Sound brand rollout and performance
• Improved sourcing negatively
impacted by higher level of
promotional activity required due to
declining credit sales and
refurbishment initiative
• Cost inflation (due to weaker ZAR)
not able to be passed on
Sales growth Margin
2.7%
2.7%
GP
Margin
38.6%
1.1pts
1.2
3.4
0.6
7.4
2.7
-3.0-1.6
-4.8
0.7
-2.7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14
Retail Sales (%) Comp Sales (%)
All quarters refer to FY14
8
EDGARS DIVISION – CAPITAL INVESTMENT
• Total of R873m spent in the year
• Spend in Q4:FY14 of R82 million
• Edgars refurbishment project completed
• Cumulative spend of R542 million at end of FY14
including expansion capex for those stores
• Future capex to be spent more on expansion
• 53 stores opened (16 closures and
conversions)
• 31 Edgars Active, 10 Edgars,
3 Boardmans, 5 Red Square, 4 Edgars
Shoe Gallery
• Strong rollout of standalone stores
• 39 Inglot, La Senza and Accessorize
• 13 new mono-branded stores
• 10 new stores outside of SA
Capex FY14 (R millions) New space growth
9
Average
759.3m2
478 stores
6.1%
Refurbishment
602; 69%
Expansion
271; 31%
Retail
Sales
LFL
DISCOUNT DIVISION – OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE
• Diversity between cash and credit
sales growth reflecting both
opportunity and challenges
• Cash sales growth of 16.9%
• Credit sales decline of 3.9%
• All merchandise groups performed
well
• Buying and pricing strategies
continue to yield positive results
• Cost inflation (due to weaker ZAR)
well managed
Sales growth Margin
7.4%
3.2%
GP
Margin
34.1%
1.1pts
4.7
10.3
7.87.0 7.4
1.7
5.4
2.8 3.1 3.2
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14
Retail Sales (%) Comp Sales (%)
10
All quarters refer to FY14
DISCOUNT DIVISION - INVESTMENT
• Total of R212 million spent in the year
• R5 million in Q4:FY14
• Well balanced expansion, mainly outside South
Africa, and refurbishment
• 65 stores opened (32 closures and
conversions)
• 41 Jet
• 7 Jet Mart
• 17 Legit
• 22 new stores outside of
South Africa
• Portfolio management key
Capex FY14 (R millions) New space growth
11
Refurbishment
102; 48%
Expansion
110; 52%
Average
608.5m2
685 stores
4.9%
CNA DIVISION
• Sales driven by
continued growth
in digital
merchandise sales
• Credit a much
smaller part of the
business
• Trading density
improvements
• Space decrease in
line with right
sizing strategy
• Cumulative capex
spend of R16m for
the year
Sales growth New space growth Margin
• Margin decrease
due to mix
changes as well as
increased
promotions
Retail
Sales
LFL
3.2%
3.1%
Average
88.0m2
191 stores
1.7%
GP
Margin
31.1%
1.3pts
4.5
3.6
0.3
5.2
3.23.6
1.6
0.8
4.7
3.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14
Retail Sales (%) Comp Sales (%)
12
FINANCIAL REVIEW
KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR FY14
• Credit: Cash sales ratio of 47.3%* as cash sales
grow 15.3% while credit sales decline 4.3%
• Currency devaluation
• Easter shift, half of Easter in FY15
• Refinancing impact
• Negotiations underway to establish African Bank
as a secondary credit provider
• relationship with primary credit provider, Absa not
affected
• Implementation of Absa scorecard
• Covenant changes
• Permanent cost savings
During the financial year Events after the reporting period
*Including Edgars Zimbabwe
14
11.78
14.54
9.16
10.56
2013-03-01 2013-04-01 2013-05-01 2013-06-01 2013-07-01 2013-08-01 2013-09-01 2013-10-01 2013-11-01 2013-12-01 2014-01-01 2014-02-01 2014-03-01
EURZAR USDZAR
FY13 FY14
STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
Q4:FY13 Q4:FY14 % change (R millions) FY13* FY14 % change
5 468 5 965 9.1 Retail sales 25 670 26 974 5.1
1 898 2 083 9.7 Gross profit 9 431 9 842 4.4
34.7 34.9 0.2 pts Gross profit margin 36.7 36.5 (0.2) pts
256 288 12.5 Other income 763 1 031 35.1
(1 265) (1 507) 19.1 Store costs (5 076) (5 700) 12.3
(946) (1 233) 30.3 Other operating costs (4 427) (4 613) 4.2
184 205 11.4 Income from joint operation 666 739 11.0
127 (164) (229.1) Trading profit 1 357 1 299 (4.3)
367 279 (24.0) Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 2 760 2 687 (2.6)
* Restated for the 2013 financial period for the consolidation of Edgars Stores Limited Zimbabwe and re-presented for the discontinued operations
15
PRO FORMA ADJUSTED EBITDA
Q4:FY13 Q4:FY14 % change (R millions) FY13 FY14 % change
127 (164) Trading profit 1 357 1 299
263 289 Depreciation & amortisation 1 056 1 137
1 7 Net asset write off(1) 22 11
17 (50)Profit/(loss) before tax from discontinued
operations351 (86)
(19) 139 Non-recurring costs(2) 545 266
389 221 (43.2) Adjusted EBITDA 3 331 2 627 (21.1)
(36) 52Net income from previous card
programme (3) (738) 29
14 6 Net income from new card programme (4) 167 31
367 279 (24.0) Pro forma adjusted EBITDA 2 760 2 687 (2.6)
6.7% 4.7% (2.0) pts Pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin 10.8% 10.0% (0.8) pts
1) Relates to assets written off in connection with store conversions, net of related proceeds.
2) Relates to a) FY2013 costs relating to Project Rugby R516 million, transitional costs R83 million, refinancing costs R87 million and Master card income of R141 million and b) FY14 costs relating to
Project Rugby R116 million, restructure cost R93 million and post retirement liability of R57 million.
3) Net income derived from 100% of the trade receivables including finance charges revenue, bad debts and provisions.
4) Pro forma fee earned by Edcon under the new arrangement with Absa, based on 100% of the trade receivables book.
16
UPDATE ON COST PROGRAMME
(R millions) FY14
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (reported) 2 687
Permanent adjustments:
Corporate and operational overhead reductions 143
Renegotiation of contracts 89
LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (incl. adjustments) 2 919
Normalised pro forma net debt (1)/LTM pro forma adjusted EBITDA (times) 7.6
• Benefit of approx R185 million included in the year’s profit
• New cost savings initiatives well advanced and make up
R191 million of R232 million LTM savings anticipated
17
(1) Net debt has been adjusted by trade receivables still to be sold of R618 million
R22 678 m (net debt) - R618 m = R22 060 m (normalised pro forma net debt )
COST ANALYSIS FOR 2014
• Store costs increased 12.3%
• Mainly due to new space
• Increases more pronounced in Edgars division
• Rental and manpower costs (which constitute
61.7% of store costs) increased 12.8% and
9.9% respectively
Other operating costs Store costs
(R millions) FY13 FY14
%
change
Other operating costs 3 651 3 791 3.8
Store card administration 231 556
Non-recurring costs 545 266
Total other operating costs 4 427 4 613 4.2
• Good cost containment with other operating costs
increasing by 3.8%
• Store card administration in for only 5 months in
prior year and lesser portion of the trade
receivables book
• Lower non-recurring costs
• Implementation of sale of trade receivables in FY13
• Completed sale of trade receivables in FY14
• Restructure costs
18
CAPEX INVESTMENT
• Total capex, excluding leases, of R1,349m for
FY14
• 138 new stores opened (incl. 8 conversions)
• R520m increase in store spend to R1,101m* in
FY14 from R581m in FY13
• Edgars expansion refurbishment project costs of
R542m for FY14
• As expected, R174 million more spent than
previous estimate of R1,175m for FY14 as
projects were pushed forward
• R1,051 million budgeted for FY2015 (including
Edgars Zimbabwe)
19
Total capex breakdown (R millions)
873212
16
19422 32
Edgars Discount CNA IT Other Zimbabwe
Store capex mix* (R millions)
382
719
Expansion Refurbishment
* Excluding Edgars Zimbabwe
Cashflow for FY1420
2 806
1 331
2 035
371
410
710
Net financing
costs
Capex &
investments
Working capital
114
Currency
adjustments
Closing cash
balance
Net financing
and other
3
Operating
activities
Opening
cash balance
(1) Includes R431m of capital expenditure and R2m of other investing activities
(2) Includes R1m FX movement, R266m of non recurring costs, tax of R115m and net financing activities of R752m
(1)
-635
-308
Trade and
other payables
213
Inventories Trade and other
receivables
Working capital
(2)
(R millions)
FY2013
Drawn (1)
FY2014
Drawn (1)
Super senior secured
Revolving credit facility in ZAR 1 456 1 210
2016’s ZAR Floating notes –
J+625bps 1 010 1 010
Senior secured
2017 ZAR Term loan –
J+700bps4 008
2014’s Floating notes –
E+325bps 4 543
2018’s € Fixed rate – 9.5% 6 933 8 691
2018’s $ Fixed rate – 9.5% 2 245 2 603
Deferred option premium 305 1 102
Lease liabilities 313 273
Senior
2015’s € FRN’s – E+550bps 4 406
2019’s € FRN’s – 13.375% 5 948
Other loans(2) 182 173
Gross debt 21 393 25 018
Derivatives (1 028) (1 930)
Cash and cash equivalents (710) (410)
Net debt 19 655 22 678
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES ADEQUATE
• Undrawn RCF of R2,757 million
• R3 717m matures 31 December 2016
• R250m matured 31 March 2014
• Significant refinancing during the year
• meaningfully extending the maturity profile of debt.
• All currency hedged, except 2019 fixed
rate notes
• All coupons fully hedged to Mar and Dec 2015
21
30%
10%35%
24%
1%
ZAR USD (hedged) EURO (hedged)
EURO (unhedged) Other loans
(1) FX rates at end FY12 were R7.71:$ and R10.29:€ and at end FY13 were
R9.16:$ and R11.78:€ and at end FY14 were R10.56:$ and R14.54:€
(2) The portion of this debt relating to Zimbabwe was R182m in FY13 and R170
million in FY14
Hedging of gross debt
LOOKING FORWARD
23
OUTLOOK
• Finalise and implement on a second look credit provider solution to grow credit sales
• Gross margin management through improved sourcing strategy and currency management
• Store and overhead cost containment emphasis
• Working capital focus
• Continue to develop winning Thank U loyalty card programme
• Execute on space growth pipeline and vision for rest of Africa
• Right size CNA stores
• Leverage specialty and mono-brand store opportunities
• New management team changes drive energy and focus
23
THANK YOU
For more information
Our website: www.edcon.co.za
Edcon contacts for more information:
Executive Investor Relations and Media:
Debbie Millar 011 495 4086 / [email protected]