presentation - multiplying impact: supporting the replication of inclusive business models

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Presented at ADB last 25 Aug 2014 by Endeva Managing Director Aline Kramer. Dr. Kramer shared results from a recent study on replicating and scaling up inclusive business investments for health, education, agribusiness, and other sectors. She also highlighted changes in the business climate in different countries that influence social impact and commercial returns.

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    Replicating inclusive businesses

    Aline KrmerBad Honnef, July 18 2014

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    Presentation at ADBManila, August 26, 2014

    Dr. Aline Krmer

    Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper/presentation are the views of theauthor and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian DevelopmentBank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB doesnot guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts noresponsibility for any consequence of their use. Terminology used may notnecessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.

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    1Objectives

    Introduction to the findings of the report onMultiplying Impact: Supporting the Replication of

    Inclusive Business Models

    Make preliminary suggestions for the role ADB

    could take to support replication

    Jointly discuss findings and suggestions.

    Present

    Suggest

    Discuss

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    2

    build share apply

    enterprise solutions for development

    What we do 2

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    3Partners across sectors

    Companies Development organizations

    Non-profit organizations andsocial investors

    Universities

    3

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    4Example: HERi Energy Kiosks Madagascar 4

    Assessed marketsize

    Identified consumerneeds

    Marketresearch

    Business

    ModelDevelopment

    PartnershipBuilding

    ResultsMeasurement

    Built businessmodel and businesscase

    Identified businesspartners

    Identified localentrepreneurs

    Facilitated know-ledge exchangeamong companies

    Designed resultsmeasurementssystem

    SupportedImplementation

    Analyzed results

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    5Example: Study on the role of the EU in PSE 5

    Desk research andinterviews to identifygaps in currentlandscape of PSEprogram

    Gap analysis

    Analysis ofcompany

    challenges inIB

    Analysis ofEU

    Development

    of recommen-dations

    Desk research andinterviews tounderstandchallenges ofprivate sector in IB

    Desk research andinterviews tounderstand thestrengths of the EU

    Developed strategicrecommendationswith regards topossible EUinterventions in thearea of PSE

    Wh C f

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    6Who we are: Core team of senior and juniorconsultants based in Germany 6

    Dr. Aline Krmer

    7 years consultingexperience

    PhD on innovation &market research in

    low-income market Expertise in healthsector & replication

    Previously withUNDP and Henkel(FMCG)

    Dr. Christina Tewes-Gradl 12 years consulting

    experience PhD on business

    model development

    Expertise in agrisector andecosystemsdevelopment

    Previously withMcKinsey, UNDP

    Claudia Knobloch

    16 years consultingexperience

    Masters in Inter-national Business

    Expertise in theenergy sector andresultsmeasurement

    Previously withbusiness develop-ment consultancies

    Tendai Pasipanodya

    7 years consultingexperience

    Masters in develop-ment studies

    Expertise in youth,entrepreneurshipand partnerships

    Previously with ILO(Youth EmploymentNetwork)

    Wh

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    7Who we are:Network of regional and thematic experts 7

    Solveig HauptHealth expert

    Partly based inBangladesh

    Over 18 years ofexperience in health &development sector

    Previously Director forGlobal Access at Pfizer

    Inc. Developed pilot for

    maternal health inBangaldesh

    Dr. Martin VogelsangFinance expert

    Based in India Director of Fem

    Sustainable SocialSolutions (Fem S3)

    Has supported theincubation andimplementation of

    various IB models Started his carreer in

    private banking industryand strategic consulting

    Anja KnigFinance expert

    15 years ofexpereince workingon market basedsolutions to poverty

    Focus on impactinvesment andpolicy

    Water, energy,housing andmicrofinancespecialist

    Nina CejnarImpact investing expert

    7 years of expertise infinance-first impactinvesting in differentregions and sectors

    Has sourced, analyzedand monitoredinvestments for a variety

    of impact investors

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    8Agenda 8

    (1) Why does replication matter?

    (2) How do inclusive businesses replicate?Which challenges do they face?

    (3) What type of support is needed?Which role could ADB take to foster replication?

    Th i f i l i b i (IB)

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    9

    9

    The promise of inclusive business (IB):Reach the 4 billion consumers at the BoP

    Globally, 4 Billion people live on

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    1010

    The past decade has seen a wealth of innovationaround inclusive business

    Through scaling and replicating what works

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    11Through scaling and replicating what works,the impact of these innovations can be multiplied 11

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    12Research questions 12

    (1) Why does replication matter?

    (2) How do inclusive businesses replicate?

    Which challenges do they face?

    (3) What type of support is needed?Which role could ADB take to foster replication?

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    13Two typical paths to replication 13

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    14Two typlical paths to replication 14

    Waterlife CFW clinics Vision Spring Aravind Sala Uno

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    15Aravind Eye Hospital initially used a branch strategy...

    Aravind started off in Madurai in

    1976 with only 11 beds and 4medical staff.

    Offers low cost eye care surgeries

    (assembly line approach)

    Using a wholly-owned branch

    strategy, Aravind opened 9additional branches in India

    (Tamilnadu).

    Annually, over 378,000 surgeries

    are performed by Aravind Eye

    Hospitals (doctors perform 4,000

    surgeries vs. National average of

    400)

    Net profit of $7.9 million on

    revenues of $20 million (2010).

    Example: Branch strategy

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    16Example: Dissemination

    Lions Aravind Institute of Community Ophthalmology (LAICO) is the firstinternational training facility for blindness prevention workers.

    Since 1992, 300 eye hospitals across 30 countries have participated in

    trainings and are now actively implementing the Aravind model.

    And: some trained hospital act as disseminators themselves!

    ...then decided to actively disseminate its approach

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    17Multiplier effect 17

    Aravind

    .

    .

    Copycats adapt the model to the local context

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    18Copycats adapt the model to the local context,

    often improving it

    Founders and staff were trainedin India for 5 weeks

    Since 2011, Sala Uno is operatesan eye care clinic that providescataract surgeries in Mexico

    Copied low-cost surgery methodfrom Aravind

    Hub and spoke model to expandreach: Surgical hubs and visionand outreach centers

    Adaptation: Innovative pricingmodel, microloans for patients,

    separate centers for middle class Cooperation with MFIs and NGOs

    to reach the poorest

    First 20 months: 5k surgeries

    18

    Example: Second-mover

    Sala Uno received financial support from various

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    19Sala Uno received financial support from variousplayers

    Straight equity of US$ 2.2 million tofinance the companysexpansion

    Investment provides company astamp of approval when dealing

    with government entities and forattracting capital from other investors

    19

    First investment of $250,000 to copyand accelerate the model (expansionpilot)

    Also used for building patient centers

    and for financing the training fornurses and doctors

    Advice to make the mode scalableand investment ready

    It took Aravind over 30 years to scale. We want to scale much

    quicker than they did. This is why we are looking for investors.

    (Interview with Founder of SalaUno)

    20Indeed access to finance was one of the major

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    20Indeed, access to finance was one of the majorbarriers of the replicating companies we interviewed 20

    Financing needs

    Short-term liquidity: Workingcapital to cover costs of day today operations

    Long-term financing: To allowcarefully preparation andimplementation of replication

    strategies Financing that considers

    diverse risk profiles: Cash flowin first stages of replication oftenvolatile and outcome uncertain

    as opposed to later stages Financing activities withpositive externalities

    are often not met because of

    Capacity constraints: IBs ofteninsufficiently prepared for entering intodiscussions with investors

    Time horizon: replication oftenrequires investments in long-termassets and equipment

    Risks: risks remain considerable atearly replication stage and lowerduring later phases

    Immature financial systems: e.g.,lack of franchising or working capital

    loans; difficulty to exit equityinvestments High transaction costs and lack of

    intermediation

    21However, merely providing financing is not enough

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    21However, merely providing financing is not enoughExample: M-Pesa 21

    M-Pesa is an electronic mobile-phone-

    based money transfer system bySafaricom

    In 2011, it reached 15 millionsubscribers (with each customerpaying about $1.1 in fees each month)

    M-Pesa handles transactions

    equivalent to 31% of the GDP ofKenya.

    Critical succes factors

    High market share of Safaricom

    Existing network thousands of airtimedealers

    Well developed banking system andbranch network

    High level of awareness and need

    Can a modelwith suchfavorable

    conditions bereplicated?

    22Challenges when replicating the model to South

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    22Challenges when replicating the model to SouthAfrica and Tanzania 22

    Regluatory difficulties ZAs regulations regarding

    customer registration and

    distributor approval were muchmore stringent than those inKenya

    Availability of service ZA: services only available at

    a few agents TZ: low market share and low

    levels of rural bank branches

    Low awareness amongstcustomers and retailers in both

    countries about benefits ofmobile money

    Low financial literacy ofcustomers and agents

    No financial support:expansion of service to ZA

    received no financial support Less room for experimentation

    and adaptation to local needs; Lack of capital to finance

    market creation

    23Research questions

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    23Research questions 23

    (1) Why does replication matter?

    (2) How do inclusive businesses replicate?

    Which challenges do they face?

    (3) What type of support is needed?Which role could ADB take to foster replication?

    24Replicators face a variety of challenges

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    24Replicators face a variety of challenges 24

    Lack of dataon expansionmarkets

    Lack of knowledgeonreplication (e.g. replicationreadiness, strategies, partnerdue diligence)

    Differing regulatoryenvironment in expanionmarket

    Difficulty finding staff,expansion partnes

    Lack of implementation

    support in expansionmarkets (e.g., distribution,marketing channels)

    Financing products nottailored to needs ofreplicators

    Immature financial systems High transaction costs and

    lack of intermediation High risk

    25ADB has already started to develop the IB ecosystem in

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    25y p yAsia through different interventions 25

    Awareness raisingamongst national governments

    Promoting IB through publicsector lending (e.g., jobcreation loan building on IBaccreditation in Philippines)

    Promotion of social stockexchange in Singapore

    Awareness raising amongstcompanies (e.g. through

    PBSP, fora and roundtables) Building knowledgethough

    market scoping papers; Knowledge sharing with

    peers and other players(e.g., IDB, SNV, WBCSD)

    Financing: Preparatory workto set up specialized IB

    Financing Facilities (e.g., sub-regional equity and debt fundsin SEA and SA)

    IB impact assessment toolfor possible ADB investments

    IB investment fora

    Match-making:Investmentfora connecting IB companiesto investors and development

    partners

    26Supporting replication creates multiple benefits

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    26Supporting replication creates multiple benefits

    Prevent unnecessary trial and error:

    For many players in Asia, IB is a new concept; supporting the disseminationof models that work can prevent repeating the same mistakes

    Impact and Additionality:Greater impact at reduced marginal costs;Positive externalities of ecosystem building activities;

    Financing replicators can attract other investorsFilling the pipeline:

    ADB can fill its investment pipeline by

    supporting companies that actively replicate proven models from onecountry to the other (exporting IB models)

    Supporting those who adopt a proven model (importing IB models)

    26

    Finance

    27Building on these activities, ADB is well positioned

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    g pto support replication 27

    Replication in Asia:

    ADB has regional outreach due to field offices;Can enable replication from more mature IB markets (e.g., India) tomarkets with rather nascent IB ecosystems

    South-South replication:Partnerships with other regional banks could support replication from

    Asia to Africa/Latin America or vice versa

    28How?

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    How? 28

    Market A Market B

    Identify businesses with functioning IB

    models (in Asia or other regions) Screening of investments of other

    DFIs Award scheme

    Provide support to replicate

    Workshops to develop replicationstrategy and structure financing needs Policy dialogue

    Finance replicators

    Analyze business models within asector (e.g., energy)

    Extract and document functioningand profitable models (e.g., solarhome systems, energy kiosks)

    (1) Foster Expansion (export) (2) Foster Dissemination (import)

    Promote models in a specificcountry and industry

    Finance adopters

    29Questions for discussion 29

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    Questions for discussion

    In what way can supporting replication help ADB to build future

    investment cases?

    How could this be done?

    Which existing ADB instruments/programs/toolscould be employed tosupport replication (ranging from internal procedures to externalfacilities/financing programs)?

    What capacity would ADB need? What HR skills are needed to makesuch support/such deals happen?

    Which potential do you see to cooperatewith other donors, impactinvestors, intermediaries or technical experts to support replication andthusbuild future investment cases?

    29

    30Connecting the dots: Replication ecosystems 30

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    Connecting the dots: Replication ecosystems 30

    Ecosystem facilitation ensures that activities of ADB and other actorsreinforce each other, ultimatley contributing to stronger IB ecosystemsthat support replication!

    31Suggestion: A program to support replication 31

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    Suggestion: A program to support replication 31

    1. Identify: Award to identify replicable models that work2. Share: Document models that work to foster dissemination3. Enable: Workshop to support potential replicators to define their replication strategy

    4. Connect: Fair to support replicators find partners5. Finance: Coaching to structure financing needs of winners (mix of grant and loan

    products)6. Learn: Build an online community and a repository of knowledge around replication

    1 2 3 4 5

    6

    Identify Share Enable Connect Finance

    Learn

    32Identify replicable models and share

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    1 2 3 4 5

    Identify replicable models and share

    Identify replicable models by

    Screening existing portfolio of IBinvestments for replicable businessmodels

    Cooperatingwith other DFIs anddevelopment partners to identifyreplicable models in their portfolio(e.g., IDB, AfDB, SNV, WBCSD)

    Creating an award to identifyreplicable models in Asia orinternationally

    1 2 3 4 5

    Share by Documenting IB models that already

    work in the region; Such documentations should not be

    high-level best practices, but look

    deeply into the details of existingmodels

    These documentations canencourage the adoption of IB models,contributing to their diffusion

    Tools and partners available IB impact assessment tools can ensure

    identified models show positive socialoutcomes

    IFCsreplication readiness tool

    Identify Share

    Tools and partners available Endevais currently creating a business

    model library with diverse partners

    33Enable and connect replicators

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    1 2 3 4 5

    ab e a d co ec ep ca o s

    1 2 3 4 5

    Connect companies that are fit forreplication to potential partners andinvestors, e.g. by organizing a match-making fair at existing conferences or byleveraging online platforms

    Enable Connect

    Tools and partners available ADBs investment fora Sankalp forum has already experimented

    with match-making Online platforms (e.g., GIZsIB AN, BFP)

    Tools and partners available Cooperate with services providers,

    impact investors, donors and others Build on workshops provided to the

    winners of the G20 Award by BMZ & IFC

    Enable potential replicatorsto pursue their replication efforts byproviding targeted workshopsto makethe company fit for replication through

    Identifying a suitable replication

    strategy Structuring financing needs Identifying needs for partners

    Workshops could be coupled with anaward

    34Enable and connect replicators

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    1 2 3 4 5

    p

    Learn from experiences and build arepository of knowledge

    Finance

    Tools and partners available Online platforms (e.g., GIZsIB AN, BFP)

    Finance most promising replicatorsthrough Loans Equity

    And potentially also Catalytic first-loss capital Grants for pure dissemination efforts

    (e.g. training facilities)

    Learn

    6

    35Questions for discussion 35

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    In what way can supporting replication help ADB to build futureinvestment cases?

    How could this be done?

    Which existing ADB instruments/programs/toolscould be employed tosupport replication (ranging from internal procedures to externalfacilities/financing programs)?

    What capacity would ADB need? What HR skills are needed to makesuch support/such deals happen?

    Which potential do you see to cooperatewith other donors, impactinvestors, intermediaries or technical experts to support replication andthusbuild future investment cases?

    35

    3636

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    Thank you

    Dr. Aline [email protected]

    +49 176 2426 8240www.endeva.org

    37Backup Slides 37

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    38/4938Defining replication 38

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    Scaling= increasing the size of an

    inclusive business model (e.g., byincreasing revenues, peopleserved)

    Scalingthrough

    replicating

    Replicating= copying or reproducing an

    inclusive business model (orparts of it)

    Dissemination

    Second mover

    Branch

    FranchisePartnership

    Joint Venture

    39What your peers do 39

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    IFC+BMZ: Policy papers tomake national governments

    aware of IB BMZ+Endeva: Report on IB

    Policies

    IFC+BMZ: G20 workshops tosupport winners in finding

    replication partners andsupport

    IFC: Consumption Databaseprovides market data

    IFC+Intellecap: Replicationreadiness framework

    BMZ+Endeva: Report on IBReplication

    IDB: Specialized unitOpportunities for the Majority

    provides grants and loans toIBs

    KfW invests in AavishkaarFund to support SocialEnterprises

    40Example: Uniminuto 40

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    Tertiary education provider estab-lished in 1990 in Bogot, Columbia

    Offers affordable, high qualitytechnical, technological anduniversity education

    82,000 students, of which 68% arefrom lowest income segments

    Has successfully replicated ist modelin XXX

    Replication plans

    Aims to replicate its model to Ivory

    Coast and Benin However, two challenge stand in the

    way

    Information

    Lacks support to analyse the best

    practices of its model: What madethe model successful? Whichsuccess factors can be replicate?

    Company lacks market informationon the replication markets: What arelocal education needs? What are

    consumers willing to pay?

    41The research process 41

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    Desk researchInterviews &

    Expert reviews

    Literature research(business and developmentliterature)

    Interviews with16 inclusive businesses

    Interviews with18 support organisations

    Validation of intermediary

    results with expert panel

    Results

    For businesses:Case studies on replicationstrategies

    For support organizations:

    12 Recommendations on howthe replication of inclusivebusiness can be supported in3 action areas

    Research questions:

    Why is replication important?

    How do inclusive businesses replicate? What challenges do they face? Or what keeps them away from replicating? How to support replication?

    4242Information and Knowledge

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    43People and Partner

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    4444Finance

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    45Recommendation: Train second-movers! 45

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    SELCOs aim is to increase the number of companies active in the

    sustainable energy sector

    Created the incubation centre disseminate SELCOs knowledge and

    experience (e.g. on marketing and sales, building partnerships, finance)

    Selected entrepreneurs are trained for 1 year in the classroom and the field

    46Mobile phone based payments can only bereplicated in markets where. 46

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    p

    Government regulateappropriately, striking the

    right balance between financialinclusion, consumer protectionand overall stability of thefinancial system

    A critical mass of consumers,retailers, services providersand employers understand

    the benefits users can cash in and cash

    out conveniently at a widerange of locations

    Companies have the marketunderstanding about and

    technologyto operate in low-income markets

    Capitalis available to financenot only the companies

    operations, but also marketcreation (e.g. consumer andprovider awareness)

    47M-Pesa in Tanzania 47

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    BMGF and GSMA supported to build the market

    Built aggregators to help accelerate the establishment of dedicated M-

    Pesa distribution channels by acquiring and training agents andprovide hand-holding of agents (e.g., manage floats)

    Marketing approach depicting use scenarios of mobile money (moreeducational); local events with usic, dnace etc.

    Increased commission and provision of working capital to agents

    (GSMA grant to create revolving credit facility for MPESA agents)BMGF role

    Engagement with Bank of Tanzania (financial services industryregulator) to develop conducive policy

    Set up of Alliance for Financial Inclusion

    BoT Created an approriate framework, building on best practices and

    resources develoepd by others

    48Novartis: Replicating Arogya Parivar to Kenya 48

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    Arogya Paricar

    Launched in 2007

    Trained more than 500 health educatorsFamily Nawiri (Kenya)

    Increasing access to meds by informign local physicians about treatmentoptions

    Outreach and education centers: trainings in schools, churches, SHG,cooperatives, health camps

    Differences

    Low population density in rural Kenya (spread out) > travel costs extra burden

    Challenges

    Cultural factors (local beliefs, traditional healers)

    Clean water and sanitation

    Geographic isolation and inadequate infrastrucutre Weak healthcare capacity, limited availablity of doctors and pharmacies, long

    waiting times in public facilites