presentation available at scottlay.com looking ahead joint special populations advisory committee...
TRANSCRIPT
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Presentation available at scottlay.com
Looking AheadJoint Special Populations Advisory Committee
December 5, 2012
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Topics
•Looking Back
•Looking Ahead
•Discussion
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1910Fresno becomes first
junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer
postsecondary courses
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1917Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to:
•mechanical and industrial arts
•household economy
•agriculture
•civic education and
•commerce.
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1921Legislature authorizes creation of local districts
•Organized under K-12 laws
•locally-elected governing boards
•State Department of Education to monitor
•Creation of Junior College Fund
•Nation’s first state funding
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1960• formally
recognized the three systems
• CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed
• 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students
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1967
•Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak
•Board of Governors created
•“Bilateral governance”
•76 colleges, 610,000 students
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1970s - 1980s•1976 - Education Employment
Relations Act
•1978 - Proposition 13
•1984 - first enrollment fee
•1988 - AB 1725
•1988 - Proposition 98
The Era of Change
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1990s-2000s
•1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts.
•1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth.
•2001: Stock market collapse
•2008: Real estate, banking collapse
•Time of significant change.
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198061% white
CCC
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201269%
non-white
CCC
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ShiftHappens.Are we shifting accordingly?
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Three Years of Change
•Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education.
•Significant reduction in “recreational” courses or “lifelong learning.”
•Limits on community college repeatability.
•Priority registration (forthcoming).
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CCC Enrollment
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K-12 Graduates Change
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Proposition 30“Yes” votes by age:
•18-29: 69%
•25-29: 61%
•30-39: 53%
•40-49: 47%
•50-64: 48%
•65+: 48%
Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%
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Budget Outlook
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Proposition 983.4%-5.3% increase per year
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Looking Ahead• State’s outlook is moderately strong.
• K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009-10.
• Students will choose employment over education.
• Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets.
• PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, “deferred” maintenance
• Low demand will give “catch up” time.
• Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.
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Looking Ahead for CTE
•Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure “low cost” programs.
•High demand in high cost programs --how to fund?
•Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.