presentation at organization of american historians
TRANSCRIPT
Emergent Trends and the Future of [History] Museums
Philip M. Katz, AAM2012 OAH/NCPH Conference
Center for the Future of Museums
•Prod museums to look to the future with a longer time frame.
•Find, interpret, digest and deliver trends data.
•Help museums collaborate with communities/society to address needs.
•Cultivate connections between museums and all sectors.
•Encourage risk-taking and innovation.
www.futureofmuseums.org @futureofmuseums
Demographic realities (population)
source: Julie Ajinkya, Toward 2050 in California (Center for American Progress, March 2012).
Demographic realities (visitors)
Courtesy of Reach Advisors.
According to 2008 Survey of Public Participation in the Arts ...
museum and historic site visitors are significant more likely to be white and older.
Demographic realities (staffing)
= men
79.0% white10.1% Hispanic
Race/ethnicity unknown
68.1% white, non-Hispanic
81.8% white, non-Hispanic
U.S. (2010) = 49.2% men & 63.7% white, non-Hispanic
Trend 1: Harnessing the Crowd
One variant is “Citizen History”
Outside of museums
Coordinated by museums
Trend 2: NPO No Mo’ (Threats to Nonprofit Status)
PILOTS = Payments in Lieu of Taxes
Now Includes
Taxes!
= one alternative?
Trend 3: Takin’ it to the Streets
(Mobile, Distributed Experiences)
Trend 3: Takin’ it to the Streets
Trend 3: Takin’ it to the Streets
source: glbthistory.org
sourc
e:
fro
m a
Yelp
revie
w
of
the p
op-u
p e
xhib
it
The GLBT Historical Society in SF went ...
from a pop-up museum in 2008
to a permanent home in 2010
Trend 4: Alt Funding
NB: history museums lag in mobile technology adoption ...
Trend 5: Creative Aging
Trend 6: More than Real
Trend 7: New Educational Era
From this ...
... to this?
Trend 7: New Educational Era
Declining Confidence in America's Public Schools
Dramatic Rise in Homeschooling
source
: A2
Z H
om
esch
oolin
g
For more trend information from CFM:
visit www.futureofmuseums.org
Contact information:
Philip M. Katz Assistant Director, ResearchAmerican Association of Museums [email protected]
www.aam-us.orgwww.futureofmuseums.org