presentació brazil 2012 attractiveness survey
TRANSCRIPT
Capturing the momentum
Ernst & Young's 2012 attractiveness survey
Brazil
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 2
FDI in Brazil reached record levels in 2011
165
268 289
366
507
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
48.901
124.125
88.430
127.406
161,166
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
19,0
47,0 44,5 44,0
62,9
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Number of FDI projects Jobs created FDI by value (US$ billion)
Source: fDI intelligence
► Continuous rise in FDI
projects since 2007.
► 39% increase in the number
of FDI projects since 2010.
► 27% increase in jobs
generated through FDI
projects.
► Around 75% of the FDI
jobs were directed toward
industrial activity.
► 43% increase in FDI value.
► Average value of a project
in Brazil is US$124m –
higher than in China
(US$71m) and India
(US$63m).
Source: fDI intelligence Source: fDI intelligence
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 3
► The US and Japan are the leading investors in Brazil, with the US
taking the lead in terms of projects.
► The US had a share of 29.4% in FDI projects during 2011, Japan
had 7.1%.
US, UK and Japan are leading investors - China emerging
Developed
world
investors
► The UK is the largest European investor in Brazil with projects
doubling from 20 in 2010 to 45 in 2011.
► The UK originated the highest number of jobs from Europe and
second largest globally in 2011.
European
investors
► China is emerging as a strong investor in Brazil.
► Fifth-largest in terms of FDI value (a six fold increase since
2010);
► Fifth in terms of number of jobs created.
.
Emerging
world
investors
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 4
Where is Spain ?
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 5
Investors come to Brazil for services and manufacturing
Source: fDI intelligence
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 6
Positionning Brazil in FDI competition ?
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 7
Southeast is the primary geographic focus
► The Southeast region attracted 901
projects between 2007 and 2011.
► Creating more than 250,000 jobs.
► Accounting for more than 55% of FDI
projects.
► The projects were mainly directed
toward ICT, manufacturing, business
services and retail sectors.
► The South region has attracted 115
projects between 2007 and 2011
► Creating more than 48,000 jobs.
► Northeast shows promise for the future
Source: fDI intelligence
North
Northeast
Midwest
Southeast +
South +
11 12
21 23
201 278
30 39
9 11
2010 2011
+ Well-developed infrastructure
- Infrastructure bottlenecks
Barcarena 1
Belem 1
Macae 2
Rio de Janeiro 7
Sao Paulo 16
Curitiba 2
Santa Cruz 1
FDI projects by destination city (2011)
Number of UK FDI projects
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 8
Emerging tier-two cities
Next coming ? Florianopolis South / Suape Northeast / Brasilia Midwest ?
Brazil – inside the mind of investors
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 10
Methodology
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 11
Brazil: Latin America’s leader ?
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 12
Brazil is the Latin American leader
► 78.4% of investors see Brazil as the most attractive country for investment in
Latin America. Why? ► Robust economic foundations
► Burgeoning middle class
► Rising domestic consumption for goods and services
► Wide base of industrial and natural resources
► Higher awareness among investors with relation to other Latin American
countries
► More mentions than any other country
► Competition from the emerging and developed countries ► Respondents (49%) believe that China is Brazil’s largest competitor, followed
by India (14%) and the US (10%)
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 13
What factors make Brazil an attractive investment destination?
Brazil’s domestic market is the primary attraction
► 86.5% cited Brazil’s domestic market.
► 76% cited quality of life, culture, social environment and language.
► 72.8% cited telecommunications infrastructure.
► 71.9% cited entrepreneurial culture.
► Brazil has recently been ranked as the third-best country among the G20 at providing young
entrepreneurs with a favorable environment for business.
Strengths
► Labor skills: The country still lags behind the G20 average in terms of university education and
R&D.
► Environment and operational costs: A low-quality and high-cost transportation system still
remains a weak factor for investors (only 43.4% mentioned it as an attraction) because it
leads to operational inefficiencies.
► High labor costs compared with other RGMs such as Russia, China and Mexico, along with
rigid and inflexible labor regulations, continue to raise concerns for foreign companies.
Opportunities
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 14
Brazilian cities: the undisputed leadership of …
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 15
Next coming ?
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 16
Routes for the future
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 17
Over the next three years, do you think the
attractiveness of Brazil as a place for your company to
establish or develop activities will …?
Boosting growth, especially with 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympics
Source: Ernst & Young 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey.
Total respondents: 250
Which three of the following business
sectors do you perceive as driving Brazil’s
growth in the next 2 years?
Oil & gas
Real estate and construction
Tourism
Agriculture and food industry
Transports industry and automotive
Consumer goods
Mining
Information and communication
technologies, IT
Logistics and distribution channels
B to B services excluding finance (IT
service, consulting, audit,
communication, etc.)
Bank/Finance/Insurance
Clean techs
The pharmaceutical industry and
biotechnologies
Utilities
Heavy industry
None
Can't say
► Pre-salt discoveries are expected to drive growth in
the oil and gas sector, BUT the 2014 FIFA World
Cup and the 2016 Olympic Games will boost the
real estate and construction, and tourism sectors.
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 18
How do you see Brazil in 2020?
Brazil is strongly positioned but investment is needed
Source: Ernst & Young 2012 Brazil attractiveness survey.
Total respondents: 250
► Respondents believe that Brazil will take leading
positions in:
► Energy – on account of pre-salt discoveries.
► Infrastructure and tourism – as sporting events spur
growth.
► Manufacturing – as Government initiatives to boost
competiveness take effect.
Strong positioning
► Investors are concerned about Brazil’s:
► Value added services – only 5.2%
► Shared service centers – only 5.1%
► Education and higher learning – only 3.3%
Diversification required
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 19
Doing Business in Rio
Rio de Janeiro – Gateway to Brazil
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 20
Brazil has made steady and consistent progress in the last 50 years to become a country that no major company can afford not to be in
►Solid democracy
►Diversified capital-intensive industry
►Open economy status
► Solid macroeconomics (low inflation, low debt, high reserves, moderate GDP
growth, floating exchange rate, fiscal responsibility)
►Robust banking system
►Open to private investment
►More inclusive society
►Significant infrastructure investment program in place
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 21
…still, investing in Brazil requires investors to be familiar with the economic, legal and tax environments in order to succeed
►Complex tax system
►Transport and logistic infrastructure still requires major improvement
►Shortage of labor force required for complex and high end industries
►Red tape often creates delays for expansion / new investments
►Public services under perform if compared to levels at OCDE countries
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 22
Rio de Janeiro presents an opportunity for investors to enter / expand in Brazilian market avoiding many of the nation’s lingering pitfalls
►Tax breaks for major investments
►Top transport and logistics hub
►Leading education and R&D
►Agencies (such as Rio Negócios) supporting businesses to succeed
►Best-in-class, professional mind-set public services
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 23
Rio de Janeiro has a strategic plan, to be a leading city in selected sectors
►Global oil & gas hub, leveraging proximity with pre-salt basins and being the
HQ of Brazil NOC (Petrobras), major IOC, OFS and Brazil’s O&G sector
regulators)
► Latin America centre of the creative industry
►Mega-events hub (Olympics, World Cup) for the decade
►Brazil’s telecom centre
►Major Brazil centre in pharmaceutical, health care and technology & innovation
Brazil attractiveness survey 2012 Page 24
Nevertheless, going to Brazil and Rio, companies should know that “Brazil is not for Amateurs”
► Integrated logistics and tax planning can make a huge difference on
business cases Return On investment figures
► Consider higher costs and bureaucracy to have expatriates legally working
► Consider existence of some exchange controls
► Be aware of what countries have tax treaties with Brazil and those that do
not
►Some industries have specific tax regulations that , if used well, could
create tax relief – good tax planning advice is critical
What next ?
Ernst & Young Terco ► Alexandre Rangel - Exec Director
► Olympic Games Quality Review & Management Leader
+55 21 9575 9896