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TRANSCRIPT
CORPORATE PRESENTATION
November, 2016 1
COMPANY OVERVIEW
5,795 MW of installed capacity(1)(3)(4) US$2.8bn market capitalization(2)
531 MW Alto Maipo under construction US$1.0bnremaining capex of the U$4bn 2nd
expansion phase fully funded
100%of baseload energy in Chile sold under long-term PPAs US$772mm LTM EBITDA
11years of avg. remaining PPA life 100%
of ownership of the exclusive transmission line between Chile (SING) and Argentina (SADI)
66.7%AES Corp Stake(AFP’s 19.4% stake) BBB-/Baa3 credit ratings (S&P, Fitch, Moody’s)
KEY STATISTICS
Data as of September 30, 2016, unless otherwise noted
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Includes Guacolda
As of November 17, 2016
Includes 21 MW Andes Solar started commercial operations on May 28th
Includes 532 MW of: Cochrane Unit 1 started commercial operations on July 9th and Unit 2 which started on October 12th3
ATRACTIVE MARKETS
SING
CHILE
Source:
Note:
CNE data as of November 2016
Energy sales expected growth from CNE (ITD as of April 2016)
Excludes TermoAndes which today exclusively sells to Argentina (SADI)
SIC
4
S&P AA-Moody’s Aa3Fitch A+
Expected Energy
Sales Growth (CAGR 2016-2025)
Energy Sales (GWh) Generation by Source
Installed capacity
4,673 MW
Generation
18,805 GWh
Installed capacity
16,614 MW
Generation
52,950 GWh
4.6%
4.0%
SIC
System
Data
SING
System
Data
11%
89%
Regulated Unregulated
96%
4%
Thermal Other
69%
31%
Regulated Unregulated
50%45%
6%
Thermal Hydro Other
COLOMBIA
Colombia
Argentina
Source: XM, data as of December 2015 for Colombia
Cammesa and Private Consultants for Argentina. (*) Include mobile plants and commissioning capacity
5
ATRACTIVE MARKETS (Cont.) S&P BBB
Moody’s Baa2Fitch BBB
ARGENTINA
S&P B-Moody’s B3Fitch B
Expected Energy
Sales Growth (CAGR 2016-2025)
Energy Sales (GWh) Generation by Source
Installed capacity
16,420 MW
Generation
66,549 GWh
3.2%SIN
System
Data 67%
33%
Regulated Unregulated
28%
67%
5%
Thermal Hydro Other
Expected Energy
Sales Growth (CAGR 2016-2025)
Energy Sales (GWh) Generation by Source
Installed capacity
33,494 MW (*)
Generation
135,215 GWh
3.5%SADI
System
Data
35%
61%
5%
Thermal Hydro Other
DIVERSIFIED ASSET PORTFOLIO
Guacolda Complex
− 5 Units
− 760 MW - Coal
− Located in Huasco (Northern part of the SIC)
− Start of operations: 1995/1996/2009/2010/2015
Alfalfal I
− 178 MW – Hydro Run-of-River
− Located 50 km from Santiago
− Start of operations: 1991
Other plants: 106 MW
− 93 MW – Other Hydro Run-of-River
Ventanas Complex
− 4 Units
− 884 MW - Coal
− Located in Valparaíso Region
− Start of operations: 1964/1977/2010/2013
Nueva Renca
− 379 MW – LNG / Diesel
− Located in Santiago
− Start of operations: 1997
Other plants: 449 MW
SIC coal – fired plants: 1,644 MW Back – up plants: 828 MW
Hydro run-of-river plants and renewables: 271 MW
6
TermoAndes
− Combined Cycle (2 Gas Turbines and 1 Steam Turbine)
− 643 MW – Natural Gas
− Located in Salta, Argentina
− Start of operations: 1999
Argentina: 643 MW
Battery storage (BESS) (*): 52 MW
AES Chivor + Tunjita
− 10 Units
− 1,020 MW - Hydro
− Located in Boyacá, Colombia
− Start of operations: 1977/1981/2016
Colombia: 1,020 MW
Norgener
− 2 units
− 277.3 MW – Coal
− Located in Tocopilla
− Start of operations: 1995/1997
SING coal plants & Solar: 1,389 MW
DIVERSIFIED ASSET PORTFOLIO (Cont.)
Angamos
− 2 units
− 558.2 MW – Coal
− Located in Mejillones
− Start of operations: 2011
Battery Storage: 52 MW
− Norgener, Angamos and Cochrane
− Start of operations: 2009/2011/2016
7
Cochrane Unit 1 and 2
− 2 units
− 532 MW – Coal
− Located in Mejillones
− Start of operations: 2016
Solar: 21 MW
− Adjacent to Andes Substation
− Start of operations: 2016(*) Storage capacity is not included in total capacity generation
#1 generation player in Chile
Efficient player in Colombia
LEADING POSITION
8
Note: In GWh, data as of September 30, 2016
(1) Includes 100% on Gualcoda’s,
(2) ENEL includes Endesa assets in Chile and in Colombia
(3) Celsia includes EPSA
22%
19%
16%
10%8%
5%
20%
ENEL (2) EPM ISAGEN CELSIA (3) GECELCA Others
31%
27%
16%12%
15%
(1) ENEL (2) COLBUN ENGIE Others
EBITDA LTM - By electric system Revenues 9M16 - By customers
Installed capacity - By fuel type
Note: Figures as of September 30, 2016
SIC: Sistema Interconectado Central
SING: Sistema Interconectado del Norte Grande
(*) LTM figures as of September 30, 2016
Total Chile70%
5,795 MW
US$0.3bn
US$0.1bn
DIVERSIFIED GENERATION PLATFORM
9
US$ 772mn (*)
US$1.5bn(*)
3,393
5,070
152
2007 2015
1,829 MW of new capacity in Chile, since 2007…
BESS Angamos IBESS Norgener2 2
12 MW (Battery) 20 MW (Battery)
Guacolda III Guacolda IV4 4
152 MW (Coal) 152 MW (Coal)
Angamos I & II1
545 MW (Coal)(2 units)
Angamos Desal
Los Vientos3
132 MW (Diesel)
Nuevas Ventanas Ventanas IV6 7Santa Lidia5
139 MW (Diesel) 272 MW (Coal) 272 MW (Coal)
1 2
4
36
7
5
Antofagasta
Santiago
...accounting for ~21% of the Chilean growth
21%
10% 10%7%
AES Gener Colbun EC-L Endesa
GROWTH STRATEGYPhase I: Successful and disciplined growth strategy
Copiapo
Guacolda V4
152 MW (Coal)
+54%
10Note: Data as of December 31, 2015
(*) Additional Capacity of Angamos 13MW
Expansionary Projects Executed (~US$3bn)
GROWTH STRATEGY (Cont.)
Phase II: Current expansion
+21%
Project Progress
Guacolda 5 Completed
Angamos Desal Completed
Solar Andes Completed
Tunjita Completed
Cochrane Completed*
Alto Maipo 39.2%
CURRENT PROJECTS STATUS
Guacolda V – 152 MW
Angamos Desalinization
MW
Tunjita – 20 MW
Solar Andes – 21 MW
Cochrane – 532 MW
Alto Maipo – 531
* Cochrane Unit 2 COD on October 12th
531
573
152
2015 2019
5,795
5,795
5,222
2016
5,070
6,326
5,222
$4B Fully Funded
WIDE ACCESS TO CAPITAL
Successful financing for US$7 bn
12
Sources of Financing for the Expansions(1) Amount (US$ mn)
Equity
Cash from Operations 720
Capital Increases 668
Partners 688
Debt
Bonds
International 300
Local 415
Banks Project Finance 4,505
(1) First and Second Phases: From 2007 – 2018/19
Adjusted EBITDA & EBITDA margin
STRONG AND STABLE CASH FLOWS
(US$ mn)
Total Debt and Net Debt / EBITDA
Total capex Capital allocation
(US$ mn) (US$ mn)
(US$ mn)
(1)
(1) Capex net of project financing. 13
148 210 231
168
317
210
230 235 265
49 66
430
92 60
100% 100%94%
100% 100%
20%0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2012 2013 2014 2015 9M16 LTM
Capex Dividends Debt Paydown Div. Payout Ratio
286 336
656 866
693 55 82
127
109
105
419532
830
1002
809
-
1,200
2012 2013 2014 2015 9M16 LTM
Construction Maintenance Environmental
355 355 377 426 543
245 209 263 246
200 660
624672 691
77228% 28% 29%
32% 35%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 9M16 LTM
Chile Colombia Argentina Ebitda Margin
1,126 1,298 1,520 1,669 2,177
1,156 1,487 1,214
1,706
1,659 2,282
2,785 2,734
3,3753,837
2.8x3.3x
3.7x4.5x 4.4x
-3.0x
5.5x
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 9M16 LTM
PF / Non Recourse Debt Corporate Debt Net Debt / Ebitda
19
143 146186
165
574
179 195 205
2025
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 +
Average Cost 5.4%
Average Life 14 years
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.4x (2.3x excluding non recourse debt)
97.9% denominated in US$ 90.8% at fixed interest rate
STRONG CAPITAL STRUCTURE (US$ mn)
Total Outstanding as of September 30, 2016 US$3,837 mn
14
Recourse Debt43%
Non Recourse
Debt57%
CONTRACTED POSITION
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
GW
h /
ye
ar
Non-Regulated Regulated Guacolda
Source: AES Gener
AES GENER CONTRACTED PORTFOLIO
16
High quality and diversified customer base
Efficient portfolio fully aligned with our contracted capacity
Only 1,300 GWh of expiring regulated contracts between 2021 and 2022, representing ~8% of our contracts (excl. Guacolda)
Distribution
33%
Mining59%
Industrial…
Mining61%
Industrial5%
Distribution34%
Contractavg. life: 11 years
REGULATED BID PROCESS SUMMARY
17
The last bid was one of the largest for regulated customers (~14% of the totaldemand of the country by 2021) but several auctions are coming, whichconsiders 23 TWh/year in the next 4 years
20142016-2019
15
20152019
20
20162021-2022
20
20172023
20
20182023
20
20192024
20
13.0 1.2 12.4 2.5 7.0 9.0 4.5
20202026
20
2013 2015 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
TWh/year
Bid call
Avg. awarded price94.7 US$/MWh(92% awarded
w/o change in law)
Avg. awarded price79.3 US$/MWh
(100% awarded)
Past Bids
Current Bid(015-01) Upcoming Regulated Bids
Avg. awarded price47.6 US$/MWh
(100% awarded)
Year of the BidSupply startingDuration
18
RESULTS BID SUMMARY
Colbún
Endesa
Engie
10,500
50
15% of the offers
51% of the offers
Supplier Energy GWh % of Total Awarded Levelized Price (US$/MWh) Technology
ENDESA 5,852 47% 50.7 Hydro
Mainstream 3,366 27% 41.2 New Wind
Ibereolica 1,023 8% 51.0 New Wind
WPD 953 8% 50.5 New Wind
Acciona 418 3% 54.9 New Wind
Solarpack 280 2% 29.1 New Solar
Cox Energy 264 2% 52.7 New Wind
OPDE 176 1% 38.1 New Wind
AELA 88 1% 46.7 New Wind
Besalco 10 1% 71.0 Hydro
Total 12,430 100% 47.5
KEY TAKEAWAYS
KEY TAKEAWAYS
20
BEST RESULTS ACHIEVED IN THE LAST FIVE YEARS
9M 2016 EBITDA OF $571M, 17% higher than same period of 2015
+725MW IN OPERATIONS IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS
Unit 5 of Guacolda, Andes Solar, Cochrane and Tunjita COD achieved
LEADER IN GENERATION IN CHILE
2016 YTD, Company contributed with 31% of country generation
Operational excellence proven by high availability
DIVERSIFIED AND CONTRACTED ASSET PORTFOLIO
Geographical, technological, customers base and fuel sources
Dollarized Long Term PPAs aligned with efficient generation in Chile
STRONG AND ENHANCED CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Investment grade rating
Strong liquidity
Extended debt maturity profile
ANNEXES
9M16 HIGHLIGHTS AND RESULTS
Cochrane’s (532 MW), Andes Solar (21 MW) andTunjita (20 MW), began commercial operations
AES Gener achieved the highest EBITDA of the last5 years
AES Gener continues to be the largest energyproducer in Chile, contributing 31% of the totalgeneration in the country
Company continues to make additional margin outof Nueva Renca
Argentina released all currency controls allowingdividend distributions from Termoandes
23
Key Highlights
24
In Colombia, “El Niño” ended in May of this year.Chivor, inflows for September were the fourthwettest ever
On August 17th, AES Gener announced a 10% to20% cost overruns at the Alto Maipo HydroelectricProject
S&P and Fitch reaffirmed the BBB- InternationalCredit Rating of AES Gener, with Stable outlook
On September 12th, AES Gener was nominated forthe second consecutive year, to integrate the DowJones Sustainability Index in Chile
Key Highlights (Cont.)
25
Key Highlights (Cont.)
Recent auction for 20-year contracts with supplystarting in 2021/22 cleared at an average price ~$48/MWh, significantly lower than marketexpectations and below prior years’ auctionswhich were higher than $70/MWh
AES Gener has a long term contracted positionwith an average life of 11 years, contractsrepresenting 8% of the total efficient capacitybegin to roll off in 2021-22
Company can recontract its capacity in the nextfour years in regulated bidding processes for 23TWh-y and with unregulated customers
26
9M16 EARNINGS RESULTS
SIC45%
SING 30%
SIN22%
SADI3%
SIC41%
SING 21%
SIN36%
SADI2%
Key Metrics (US$ mn) 9M 2016 9M 2015 Var.
Operating Revenues 1,722 1,665 3%
Gross Profit 463 392 18%
Total EBITDA 571 490 17%
EBITDA margin 33% 29%
Net Income 190 192 (1%)
EBITDA by Market
9M 2016 9M 2015
Note: Numbers rounded for the purpose of the presentation
ANGAMOSSummary of Historical Financials
27
Revenues EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Credit Metrics Capital Expenditures
(US$ mn) (US$ mn)
(US$ mn)
GUACOLDASummary of Historical Financials
Revenues EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Capital ExpendituresCredit Metrics
(US$ mn) (US$ mn)
(US$ mn)
28
29