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  • 8/14/2019 Practical Investment Management by Robert.A.Strong slides ch04

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    BOND FUNDAMENTALSCHAPTER FOUR

    Practical Investment Management

    Robert A. Strong

    A

    1 3

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    Bond Principles Identification of Bonds Classification of Bonds

    Issuer

    Security Term Terms of Repayment

    Interest Only

    Sinking Fund

    Balloon Loan

    Income Bond

    Outline

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 4 - 3

    Bond Principles continued Bond Cash Flows

    Annuities

    Zero Coupon

    Variable Rate Consols

    Inflation-Indexed Treasury Bonds Convertible and Exchangeable Bonds Registration

    Bearer Bonds

    Registered Bonds

    Book Entry Bonds

    Outline

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    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 4 - 4

    The Financial Page Listing Basic Information Footnotes Government Bonds

    Bond Pricing and Returns Valuation Equations

    Annuities

    Zero Coupon Bonds

    Variable Rate Bonds

    Consols

    Outline

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    Bond Pricing and Returns continued Yield to Maturity

    Calculating the Yield to Maturity

    Misreading the Yield to Maturity

    The Yield Curve Spot Rates

    Realized Compound Yield

    Current Yield

    Accrued Interest

    Outline

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    Bond Risks Price Risks

    Default Risk

    Interest Rate Risk

    Convenience Risks Call Risk

    Reinvestment Rate Risk

    Marketability Risk

    Outline

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    Bond Principles: Identification of Bonds

    Bonds are identified by issuer, couponrate, and maturity.

    The face value of a bond is called itspar

    value.

    e.g. 5 of Hertz sevens of 03 (Hertz 7s03)

    A legal document called the indenture

    contains the details of the bond issue.

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    a. governmente.g. US Treasury, federal agency,

    state, local

    b. corporation e.g. industrial, utility, financial,

    transportation

    c. others e.g. foreign government, foreign

    corporation, World Bank

    Bond Principles: Classification of Bonds

    Method 1: By issuer

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    Bond Principles: Classification of Bonds

    Insert Table 4-1 here.

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    a. unsecured debt- backed by faith in the taxing

    power of the government, or the good name of

    the company (debenture)

    b. secured debte.g. revenue bond, assessment

    bond, mortgage, collateral trust bond,

    equipment trust certificateBond security sometimes comes from non-traditional

    sources. Recently, some rock stars floated bonds

    using their future earnings as backing.

    Method 2: By security

    Bond Principles: Classification of Bonds

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    Method 3: By term

    a. short-term - a year e.g. US Treasury bills

    b. intermediate-term e.g. US Treasury notes(2 to 10 years )

    c. long-term e.g. US Treasury bonds ( 10 years)d. open-endede.g. corporate line of credit

    e. serial bond- a portfolio of bonds with

    staggered terms

    Bond Principles: Classification of Bonds

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    Bond Principles: Classification of Bonds

    Insert Table 4-2 here.

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    interest only- the periodic payments are

    entirely interestsinking fund- periodically, a portion of the

    debt principal is set aside or a

    certain number of the bonds isretired

    balloon loan - the debt may be partially

    amortized with each paymentincome bond- interest is payable only if it is

    earned

    Bond Principles: Terms of Repayment

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    annuities - most bonds are annuities plus an

    ultimate repayment of principalzero coupon - only the par value is returned

    at maturityvariable (adjustable) rate - the rate fluctuates

    in accordance with some marketindex or predetermined schedule

    consols - a level rate of interest is paid

    perpetuallyinflation-indexed Treasury bonds - the

    principal value is adjusted basedon the consumer price index

    South-Western / Thomson Learning 2004 4 - 14

    Bond Principles: Bond Cash Flows

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    convertible bond- may be exchanged for

    common stock in the

    company that issued the

    bond

    exchangeable bond- may be exchanged for

    shares in another firm

    Bond Principles: Options

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    bearer (coupon) bonds - belong to whomever

    legally hold them; no longer

    issued in the United States

    because of tax considerations

    registered bonds - the bonds show thebondholders name

    book entry bonds - bond ownership is

    reflected only in theaccounting records

    Bond Principles: Registration

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    Bond Principles: Registration

    Insert Figure 4-1 here.

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    BasicInformation

    Cur NetBonds Yld Vol CloseChg.

    AMR 9s16 8.4 23 107 +

    Footnotes cv - convertible zr - zero couponvj - bankruptcy dc - deep discountf - trading flat

    Government

    Bonds

    Maturity AskRate Mo/Yr Bid Asked Chg.Yld.

    6 Feb 26 86:09 86:11 - 9

    7.11

    The Financial Page Listing

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    The Financial Page Listing

    Insert Figure 4-2 here.

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    ( ) ( )presentthefromperiodssemiannualintime

    ratediscount

    periodssemiannualinbondtheoftermwhere

    1

    valuepar

    1

    interest

    al)PV(principt)PV(interespricebondcurrent

    1

    ===

    +++=+

    =t

    r

    n

    rr n

    n

    t

    t

    22

    1. Annuities

    The bond pricing relationship is customarily

    expressed in terms of semiannual periods.

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Valuation Equations

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    2. Zero Coupon Bonds

    ( ) nr 1valuepar

    al)PV(princippricebondcurrent +=

    3. Variable Rate Bonds

    = +=n

    t ttr

    t

    12

    1

    timeatflowcashpricebondcurrent

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Valuation Equations

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    4. Consols

    ( )r

    tr

    t

    t

    t

    timeatflowcash

    timeatflowcashpricebondcurrent

    = +=

    =1 1

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Valuation Equations

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    The yield to maturityis the singleinterest rate that, when applied to

    the stream of cash flows associated

    with a bond, causes the present

    value of those cash flows to equal

    the bonds market price.

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

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    ( )value)0.4(parprice)0.6(market

    maturityuntilyears

    valuepar-pricemarket-interestannual

    YTMapprox +

    A heuristic:

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

    The yield to maturity calculation carries anassumption that coupon proceeds are

    reinvested at the yield to maturity.

    If a bond pays periodic interest, it is notpossible to lock in a prescribed yield to

    maturity.

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

    Insert Table 4-3 here.

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    A plot of interest rates against time to

    maturity is known as a yield curve.

    yield

    time

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Yield to Maturity

    Insert Figure 4-4 here.

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    A spot rate is the yield to maturity of

    a zero coupon security of the

    chosen maturity.

    A treasury strip is a government bond or note

    that has been decomposed into two parts, onefor the stream of interest payments and one

    for the return of principal at maturity.

    The yield to maturityis a derived statistic afterthe bond price is known.

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Spot Rates

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    The yield to maturity can be thought of as an

    average of the spot rates, or as a flat yield

    curve at some constant interest rate.

    This single interest rate makes the present

    value of the future cash flows equal to thebonds market price.

    %

    Term

    Yield to Maturity

    Spot Rate Curve

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Spot Rates

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Spot Rates

    Insert Figure 4-5 here.

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    Realized Compound Yield:

    yearperpaymentsofnumbermaturitytoyieldwhere

    1rateannualeffective

    == +

    x

    r

    x

    rx

    1

    How can two investments paying

    interest on two different time

    schedules be compared?

    Bond Pricing & Returns

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    The current yieldonly measures the return

    associated with the bonds interest

    payments.

    A bond whose market price is less than its

    par value is selling at a discount. The priceof such bonds rise as maturity approaches.

    If the market price is more than the par

    value, the bond is selling at apremium.

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Current Yield

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Current Yield

    Insert Figure 4-6 here.

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    Interest is earned for each day that a bond

    is held, although interest payments are

    generally made twice a year only.

    A bond buyer must pay the accrued interest

    to the seller of the bond.

    dirty price = bond price + accrued interest

    clean price = bond price

    By convention, accrued interest iscalculated using a 360-day year.

    Bond Pricing & Returns: Accrued Interest

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    Bond Pricing & Returns: Accrued Interest

    Insert Figure 4-7 here.

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    default risk - the possibility that the issuer

    of the bond is unable to pay

    - rated by agencies like Moodys

    and Standard & Poors

    Bond Risks: Price Risks

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    Bond Risks: Price Risks

    Insert Table 4-5 here.

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    interest rate risk - the chance of loss due to

    changing interest rates

    Bond Risks: Price Risks

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    call risk - the possibility that the company

    will exercise a bonds call feature

    Bond Risks: Convenience Risks

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    Bond Risks: Convenience Risks

    Insert Figure 4-8 here.

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    Bond Principles Identification of Bonds Classification of Bonds

    Issuer

    Security

    Term Terms of Repayment

    Interest Only

    Sinking Fund

    Balloon Loan Income Bond

    Review

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    Bond Principles

    continued

    Bond Cash Flows

    Annuities

    Zero Coupon

    Variable Rate

    Consols

    Inflation-Indexed Treasury Bonds Convertible and Exchangeable Bonds Registration

    Bearer Bonds Registered Bonds

    Book Entry Bonds

    Review

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    The Financial Page Listing Basic Information Footnotes Government Bonds

    Bond Pricing and Returns Valuation Equations

    Annuities

    Zero Coupon Bonds

    Variable Rate Bonds Consols

    Review

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    Bond Risks Price Risks Default Risk

    Interest Rate Risk

    Convenience Risks Call Risk

    Reinvestment Rate Risk

    Marketability Risk

    Review