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Portfolio Management: An Overview Reading 41 IFT Notes for the 2015 Level 1 CFA® exam

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  • Portfolio Management: An

    Overview Reading 41

    IFT Notes for the 2015 Level 1 CFA exam

  • Portfolio Management: An Overview irfanullah.co

    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 2

    Contents

    1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 3

    2. A Portfolio Perspective on Investing .......................................................................................... 3

    3. Investment Clients ...................................................................................................................... 5

    4. Steps in the Portfolio Management Process................................................................................ 7

    5. Pooled Investments ..................................................................................................................... 8

    Appendix ....................................................................................................................................... 16

    Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 17

    Next Steps ..................................................................................................................................... 17

    This document should be read in conjunction with the corresponding reading in the 2015 Level I

    CFA Program curriculum.

    Some of the graphs, charts, tables, examples, and figures are copyright 2013, CFA Institute.

    Reproduced and republished with permission from CFA Institute. All rights reserved.

    Required disclaimer: CFA Institute does not endorse, promote, or warrant the accuracy or quality

    of the products or services offered by Irfanullah Financial Training. CFA Institute, CFA, and

    Chartered Financial Analyst are trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

  • Portfolio Management: An Overview irfanullah.co

    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 3

    1. Introduction

    In this reading, we will see the importance of portfolio approach to investing, the different types

    of investors and their financial needs, steps in the portfolio management process and different

    types of pooled investments like mutual funds.

    2. A Portfolio Perspective on Investing

    What is portfolio approach?

    Portfolio approach means evaluating individual investments by their contribution to risk and return

    of an investors portfolio. Assume an investors portfolio has three stocks A, B, and C. He is

    evaluating whether to add another stock D to the portfolio or not. In a portfolio approach, the

    investor will analyze what will happen to the risk and return of the portfolio with and without stock

    D; whereas, in an isolated approach, he will only look at the merits (risk/return) of the stock.

    2.1 Portfolio Diversification

    Diversification helps investors avoid disastrous outcomes. The curriculum cites the example of

    many Enron employees who held all of their retirement funds in Enron shares. When the Enron

    share tumbled from $90 to zero between January 2001 and 2002, it completely ruined their

    financial wealth; this emphasizes the need to diversify ones portfolio. Instead, if the Enron

    employees had held shares of other companies or other products, the consequence would not have

    been as bad.

    Diversification also helps investors reduce risk without compromising their expected rate of return.

    A simple measure of diversification risk is the diversification ratio. Lets take the example of the

    same portfolio consisting of three stocks: A, B and C with each stock belonging to a different

    industry. There is a high probability that the movements of A, B, and C are not correlated with

    each other i.e. when A moves up, B may move down or C may move down. The benefit of

    diversification is that the movements of individual stocks cancel each other out to some extent.

  • Portfolio Management: An Overview irfanullah.co

    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 4

    If the amount invested in each of these three shares were the same, then it is an equally weighted

    portfolio. The returns on the equally weighted portfolio are just the average returns of the

    individual shares.

    Equation 1:

    Diversification ratio = risk of equally weighted portfolio of n securities

    risk of single security selected at random

    Lower the ratio, better is the diversification

    Now, if we use standard deviation of returns as a measure of risk, will the standard deviation of

    the portfolio be the average of the standard deviation of the individual shares? Assume the standard

    deviation of each of the stocks is 20%. But, the standard deviation of the portfolio is 15% and not

    20%. The standard deviation of returns of an equally weighted portfolio is lower than the average

    of the individual standard deviations due to diversification. In this case, the diversification ratio is

    15/20 = 0.75 = 75%. This means that the equally weighted portfolios standard deviation is 75

    percent of one of the three stocks selected at random. A lower value for diversification ratio is

    better as benefits from risk reduction are higher.

    2.2 Composition Matters for the Risk-Return Trade-Off

    This concept is addressed in detail in the next reading. We will look at it briefly here. Assume

    there are two portfolios with stocks A, B and C. The table below shows two portfolios with

    different compositions of A, B and C.

    Two portfolios with same stocks but different compositions

    Weight of each stock

    Portfolio Stock A Stock B Stock C Expected

    Return

    Standard

    Deviation

    Portfolio 1 33% 33% 33% 11% 13.1%

    Portfolio 2 50% 25% 25% 11% 14%

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    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 5

    As you can see both the portfolios have the same expected return, but portfolio 1 has a better risk-

    return trade-off than portfolio 2 as the risk assumed is lower for the same return.

    2.3 Portfolios do not provide guaranteed downside protection

    The underlying concept here is that although portfolio diversification reduces risk, the level of risk

    reduction is not the same at times of financial crises. In recent times, the degree to which individual

    markets tend to move together has increased. For example, following the Euro credit crisis that

    began in 2010, most world markets experienced a significant downturn in 2011-2012. Their

    movements were highly correlated on a daily basis and even diversification offered minimal

    downside protection. The benefits of risk reduction from diversification are best seen under normal

    market conditions.

    3. Investment Clients

    At a high level investors can be categorized as individual investors and institutional investors. A

    simplified version of the investment motives of individual investors are presented below:

    One avenue of saving for retirement for individuals is the defined contribution (DC) plan. In a DC

    plan the contribution amount is defined. Part of the amount is contributed by employees and part

    by the employer. The investment risk and responsibility to ensure there are enough funds for a

    regular income in retirement is borne by the employee. Example: 401(k) plan in the United States.

    There are several types of institutional investors:

    Defined Benefit pension plan: obligation to pay a specified amount to employees in

    retirement (future benefit)

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    University endowments: provide financial support to university and students

    Charitable foundations: manage funds to meet foundations objectives

    Banks: accept deposits, give loans, and invest excess reserves

    Insurance Companies: receive premiums for policies written. Invest premiums to earn a

    return and pay claims

    Investment Companies: companies that manage mutual funds

    Sovereign wealth funds: large government-owned investment funds. Ex: $627 billion Abu

    Dhabi Investment authority

    Exhibit 14 in the curriculum covers the investment needs by client type. A snapshot of this exhibit

    is given below:

    Time Horizon Risk Tolerance Income Needs Liquidity Needs

    Individual

    Investors

    Depends on time

    left for goal

    Depends on the

    ability and

    willingness to take

    risk; generally if

    time horizon is

    long the risk

    tolerance is low

    Depends on the

    amount of the

    income that a

    client needs from

    the investment

    Depends on the

    need for extra

    funds

    DB pension

    plans

    Generally long

    term but depends

    on the amount of

    time left for

    employees to

    retire

    High risk

    tolerance if time

    horizon is long

    term

    High if pension

    benefits are to be

    paid immediately

    (mature funds);

    low for growing

    funds

    Low

    Endowments

    and foundations

    Very long term High Meet spending

    commitments

    Typically low

    Banks Short Low Low (pay interest

    on deposits)

    High (repayment

    of deposits)

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    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 7

    Time Horizon Risk Tolerance Income Needs Liquidity Needs

    Insurance

    Companies

    (P&C)

    Short Low Low High (to meet

    claims)

    Insurance

    Companies

    (Life)

    Long Low-despite a

    long time horizon,

    the reason for low

    risk tolerance is

    the high liquidity

    need

    Low High

    Investment

    Companies

    Varies by fund Varies by fund Varies by fund High to meet

    redemptions

    Note: One easy way to remember is that generally if the time horizon is long, then the risk tolerance

    is high. In the case of institutional investors, liquidity needs are low only for DB plans, endowments

    and foundations.

    4. Steps in the Portfolio Management Process

    The three steps in the portfolio management process are: planning, execution and feedback.

    1. The Planning Step: In this step, the portfolio manager needs to understand a clients needs

    and develop an investment policy statement (IPS). IPS is a written document that states the

    clients objectives and constraints. Objectives are return and risk objectives which may be

    stated in absolute terms or relative terms. Constraints may include liquidity, unique

    circumstances, time horizon, legal, and taxes.

    2. The Execution Step: Based on the IPS, a portfolio is constructed in this step. Under

    execution, the first activity is asset allocation. Here the portfolio manager decides what

    asset classes must be included in the clients portfolio and in what proportion. Stocks,

    bonds and alternative investments are examples of different asset classes. As an example,

  • Portfolio Management: An Overview irfanullah.co

    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 8

    a clients asset allocation may consist of 60% equities, 30% fixed-income securities and

    10% alternative investments.

    Asset allocation is followed by security section which is the analysis and selection of

    individual securities. In other words, the specific securities to be purchased are identified.

    For example, if 60% is allocated to equities, the analyst will identify what specific stocks

    to purchase.

    Once the securities are selected they are purchased through a broker or dealer. This is called

    portfolio construction.

    3. The Feedback Step: A portfolio managers responsibility does not end with constructing

    a portfolio. The portfolio also needs to be monitored and rebalanced at regular intervals.

    For example, if the stock market performs very well in a particular period, the asset

    allocation drifts away from the intended levels. In this case the portfolio needs to be

    rebalanced. The frequency at which performance is measured is pre-decided for instance,

    it could be on a monthly or quarterly basis.

    The feedback step also involves performance measurement and reporting. Analysis must

    include how the portfolio performed over time, were the objectives met, what assets

    attributed to the good/poor performance, how the portfolio performed against the

    benchmark, and so on.

    5. Pooled Investments

    Pooled investments are where money is collected from several individual investors to be invested

    in a large portfolio. As the name implies, it is pooling money together for an investment. The funds

    where this collected money is invested could range from mutual funds to private equity depending

    on the risk, capital required, strategy, and how it is managed. The different types of investment

    products are listed on the following page.

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    Investment Products by Minimum Investment

    Investment Product Minimum Investment

    Mutual Funds $50 +

    Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) $50 +

    Separately Managed Accounts $100,000 +

    Hedge Funds $1,000,000 +

    Private Equity Funds $1,000,000 +

    In the rest of this section we understand what a mutual fund is, the different types of mutual funds

    and how the other investment products are different from mutual funds.

    5.1 Mutual Funds

    What is a mutual fund? A mutual fund is a comingled investment pool in which each investor

    has a pro-rata claim on the income and value of the fund.

    Consider the following example: An investment firms raises $100,000 for a stock-based mutual

    fund from five investors and issues 10,000 shares. Each share has a value of $10. There are three

    individual investors and two institutional investors. The number of shares is based on the amount

    invested relative to the total amount.

    Investor Amount Invested % of Total Number of Shares

    John 4,000 4% 400

    Jill 6,000 6% 600

    Joe 10,000 10% 1,000

    Jones Co. 50,000 50% 5,000

    Widget Co. 30,000 30% 3,000

    Assume the $100,000 is invested in various stocks and it grows to $150,000. The value of each

    share goes up by 50% to $15. The advantage of this structure is that the investment firm can have

    one or two managers managing this entire pool of money and each individual investor need not

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    Copyright Irfanullah Financial Training. All rights reserved. Page 10

    hire a manager to manage his relatively small amount of money. This is a cost effective way of

    managing money.

    5.2 More on Mutual Funds

    In the context of mutual funds it is important to understand the following terms:

    Net asset value: Net asset value = value of assets liabilities. The value of a mutual fund

    is called the net asset value. It is calculated on a daily basis based on the closing price of

    the stocks held in the funds portfolio. The NAV per share is calculate as: NAV/number

    of total shares. The NAV per share in our previous example was 100,000/10,000 = $10 per

    share

    Open-end fund: A mutual fund with no restrictions on when new shares can be issued or

    when funds can be withdrawn. The fund accepts new investment money and issues

    additional shares at a price equal to the net asset value at the time of investment. Similarly,

    when an investor redeems shares, the fund sells the underlying assets/securities to retire so

    many shares at the current net asset value. Because of this, an open-end fund trades close

    to NAV. NAV is based on closing prices. They can be bought/sold only once during the

    day. They are also called evergreen funds.

    Closed-end fund: Unlike open-ended fund, in a closed-end fund, no new investment

    money is accepted. A new investor may invest in the fund if an existing investor is willing

    to sell his shares. So, the outstanding shares stay the same. Since there is no liquidation of

    underlying assets and the share base is unchanged, the NAV may trade either at a premium

    or discount to net asset value based on the demand for shares. The units issued by closed-

    end funds trade like regular shares they can be bought or sold on margin, shorted etc.

    No-load fund: Most mutual funds have an annual fee for managing the fund, which is a

    percentage of the funds net asset value. In a no-load fund, only an annual fee is charged

    but there is no fee for investing or redemption.

    Load fund, a percentage is charged for investing and redemption (called entry and exit

    load) in addition to the annual fee.

    Funds can be categorized based on types of assets they invest in:

    - Money market taxable or non-taxable

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    - Bond mutual funds taxable or non-taxable

    - Stock mutual funds domestic or international

    - Index funds

    - Hybrid/balanced funds

    Funds can be categorized as actively management or passively managed

    - With actively managed funds the manager tries to identify securities which will

    outperform the market; these funds have high fees relative to passively managed

    funds

    - With passively managed funds the manager purchases the same securities as a

    benchmark index. This helps ensure that the performance of the fund is similar to

    the performance of the benchmark.

    5.3 Exchange Traded Funds

    Like mutual funds, ETFs are a pooled investment vehicle, often based on an index. With index

    mutual funds, investors buy shares directly from the fund. With ETFs, investors buy shares from

    other investors.

  • Portfolio Management: An Overview irfanullah.co

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    The diagram above gives a snapshot of how ETFs work. A fund manager creates the ETF by

    determining what assets the ETF will hold. Once the securities are decided, the fund sponsor

    contacts an institutional investor who owns those securities. The institutional investor deposits the

    basket of securities with the fund sponsor (held through a custodian), and in return, receives

    creation units for the deposited securities. The creation units typically represent 50,000 to100, 000

    ETF shares.

    It is important to note that the weight of securities deposited is often in the proportion of what it is

    trying to represent. For example, the weight of Athena Health in iShares Russell 2000 Growth

    Index Fund is 0.61%, and it is roughly the same as in Russell 2000 Growth Index. The

    institutional investor then sells the creation units as ETF shares to the public; investors buy shares

    from other investors, so it works like a closed mutual fund. The institutional investor may redeem

    the original securities by returning the ETF creation units.

    How ETFs are Similar to Mutual Funds

    ETFs combine features of close-end and open-end funds:

    Trade like closed-end mutual funds; can be shorted and bought on margin.

    Because of unique redemption procedure, their prices are close to net asset value like open-

    end funds.

    Expenses tend to be low relative to mutual funds but brokerage fee needs to be paid.

    Unlike mutual funds, ETFs do not have capital gains distributions.

    Types of ETFs

    Exhibit 23 in the curriculum lists these major types of ETFs traded based on the asset class:

    Broad-based equity: large-cap, mid-cap

    Sector: commodities, real estate, natural resources, technology, utilities, gold etc.

    Global: global, international, regional, emerging markets, single country

    Hybrid

    Bond: government, municipal, corporate, and international

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    Differences between Index Mutual Funds and ETFs

    Index Mutual Funds Index ETFs

    How shares are bought Investors buy shares directly from

    the fund

    Investors buy shares from other

    investors (like in closed-end fund)

    Short sales and margin

    trading

    Generally not possible Can be shorted or bought on margin

    Expenses A little higher than ETFs Expenses are lower than mutual

    funds. There is a brokerage cost on

    every transaction unlike mutual

    funds.

    Trading Purchases and redemptions once

    at the close of business at the

    same price.

    Trading takes place throughout the

    day like shares at the prevailing

    market price.

    Dividends Dividends are usually reinvested Dividends paid to shareholders

    Minimum investment Usually higher than ETFs Usually much smaller than mutual

    funds

    Taxes Mutual funds generate more

    taxable capital gains because of

    money flowing into and out of

    funds. There is a capital gain

    because of liquidation of assets to

    meet redemptions on which taxes

    are paid.

    Beneficial from a tax perspective

    5.4 Other Pooled Investments

    Separately Managed Accounts

    A separately managed account is an investment portfolio managed privately for an

    individual or institution by a brokerage firm or individual investment professional

    (financial advisor).

    The investment must be substantial to qualify as a separately managed account, usually

    between $100,000 and $500,000.

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    The advantage is that the portfolio is managed exclusively to meet the clients needs with

    respect to objectives, risk tolerance, and constraints.

    Also called managed account, wrap account and individually managed account.

    How SMA differs from a mutual fund:

    In a SMA, the investor owns the individual underlying share whereas in a mutual fund, the

    investor owns a unit/share in a pool of underlying securities which are owned by the mutual

    fund.

    Since the investor owns the shares, he has more control over when the securities are bought

    and sold, and their timing.

    Tax implications are considered when buying or selling as it meets the specific needs of

    the investor.

    Hedge Funds

    Started out as a hedge against long-only stock positions i.e. creating a portfolio of short

    positions to offset the long positions in stocks. The industry has grown considerably since

    the 1940s and now encompasses several strategies.

    They tend to use high leverage which leads to high risk.

    Most hedge funds are exempt from reporting requirements of a typical public investment

    company. For instance, in U.S. they do not have to register with SEC if there are 100 or

    less investors.

    The curriculum lists a few strategies used by hedge funds. These are discussed in detail at

    Level III.

    Note: Though not highly testable, you may go through the strategies once without getting into the

    details.

    Name of Strategy What does the strategy involve

    Convertible arbitrage Buy convertible bonds that can converted in to shares while

    simultaneously selling stocks short.

    Dedicated short bias More short positions than long positions.

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    Name of Strategy What does the strategy involve

    Emerging markets Purchasing sovereign or corporate securities of companies in

    emerging markets.

    Equity market neutral Eliminates effect of market movement by going long on

    undervalued securities and short on overvalued securities.

    Event Driven Taking advantage of company specific events like earnings

    announcements, or one-time events like a merger announcement,

    or FDA approval for a drug.

    Fixed-Income Arbitrage Trading on price differences in interest-rate securities.

    Global Macro Trading on global economies using derivatives on currencies or

    interest rates.

    Long/Short Going long on equities expected to perform well and short on

    equities expected to underperform. The difference from equity

    market neutral strategy is that it tries to profit from market

    movements.

    Buyout Funds and Venture Capital funds are collectively referred to as Private Equity

    As the name implies, these are privately held and actively managed equity positions. With

    a private equity investment, a firm makes an investment in a company and then is actively

    involved in the management of that company.

    The equity they hold is private and not traded in public markets. The intention is to exit out

    of the investment in a few years.

    Buyout Funds

    - Make a few large investments in established private companies with the goal of

    increasing cash flow. Idea is to buy public companies, make them private,

    restructure and then sell it or take it public.

    - In leveraged buyout, the level of debt is high (75%) which is paid off by the cash

    flows generated from the restructured companys operations.

    - Finite investment horizon: usually three to five years through IPO or sale to another

    company.

    - Buyout(s) make a few large investments.

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    Venture Capital Funds

    - VC funds make small investments in startup companies unlike buyout funds that

    invest in established companies.

    - Finite investment horizon: usually three to five years.

    - Active participation in the invested business providing advice; closely monitor the

    operations.

    - Make several small investments as the belief is that a small number will succeed.

    Appendix

    This reading introduces the following terms which a Level I candidate should be familiar with:

    top-down analysis, bottom-up analysis, bottom-up analysis, buy-side firms and sell-side firms.

    Top-down analysis: While doing asset allocation, analysts may select securities either based on

    top-down analysis or bottom-up analysis. In a top-down analysis, macroeconomic conditions (for

    different countries) are analyzed first followed by industry and markets, and then specific

    companies within the industry. For example, consider this top-down analysis in early 2010.

    Analysts may have forecasted the Australian economy to grow above a certain rate, the mining

    industry to do particularly well in Australia, and within mining selected Rio Tinto plc.

    Bottom-up: In a bottom-up analysis, the focus is exclusively on the company-specific

    circumstances, and not from an economy or industry perspective.

    Buy-side firms: Investment management companies like mutual funds that use the services of

    sell-side firms.

    Sell-side firms: A broker or dealer that sells securities to and provides investment research and

    recommendations to investment management companies.

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    Summary Note: This summary has been adapted from the CFA Program curriculum.

    In this reading we have discussed how a portfolio approach to investing could be preferable to

    simply investing in individual securities.

    The problem with focusing on individual securities is that this approach may lead to the

    investor putting all her eggs in one basket.

    Portfolios provide important diversification benefits, allowing risk to be reduced without

    necessarily affecting or compromising return.

    We have outlined the differing investment needs of various types of individual and

    institutional investors. Institutional clients include defined benefit pension plans,

    endowments and foundations, banks, insurance companies, investment companies, and

    sovereign wealth funds.

    Understanding the needs of your client and creating an investment policy statement represent

    the first steps of the portfolio management process. Those steps are followed by security

    analysis, portfolio construction, monitoring, and performance measurement stages.

    We also discussed the different types of investment products that investors can use to create

    their portfolio. These range from mutual funds, to exchange traded funds, to hedge funds, to

    private equity funds.

    Next Steps

    Solve the practice problems in the curriculum.

    Solve the IFT Practice Questions associated with this reading.

    Review the learning outcomes presented in the curriculum. Make sure that you can perform

    the implied actions.