population ageing in asia-pacific: challenges and ... · asia-pacific: challenges and opportunities...
TRANSCRIPT
04/03/2019
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Population Ageing in
Asia-Pacific: challenges
and opportunitiesSabine Henning, Ph.D.
Chief
Sustainable Demographic
Transition Section
Social Development Division
1st COUNCIL ON AGEING
Ankara, Turkey, 20-22 February 2019
Older persons: many faces of one of the
major achievements of development
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Population ageing: a major achievement of
development (total fertility and life expectancy at birth, world, 1950-2050)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Years
Life births per woman (aged 15-49)
Total fertility (births per woman 15-49) Life expectancy at birth (years)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations,
Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
Population ageing: facts and figures (1)(total number of older persons, regions of the world, 1950-2050)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
-0.1
0.1
0.3
0.5
0.7
0.9
1.1
1.3
Population 60 years or over (m
illions)
Africa Asia
Europe Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America Oceania
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Population ageing: facts and figures (2)total (percentage of older persons, regions of the world, 1950-2050)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Population 60 years or older as percentage of
total population
Africa Asia
Europe Latin America and the Caribbean
Northern America Oceania
15
20
20
25
25
26
45
45
45
53
65
69
73
85
115
Singapore (2000-2015)
Republic of Korea (2000-2020)
China (2005-2025)
Brazil (2010-2035)
Turkey (2010-2035)
Japan (1970-1996)
Poland (1966-2011)
Spain (1947-1992)
United Kingdom (1930-1975)
Hungary (1944-1994)
Canada (1944-2009)
United States (1944-2013)
Australia (1938-2011)
Sweden (1890-1975)
France (1865-1980)
Years
The speed of population ageing is rapid in
countries in Asia-Pacific (number of years required or expected for percent of population aged 65 or over to rise from 7 to 14 per cent)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017) and US Census Bureau (2009). An Ageing World: 2008.
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Population ageing: a major achievement of
development (total fertility and life expectancy at birth, Asia-Pacific, 1950-2020)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1950-1955
1955-1960
1960-1965
1965-1970
1970-1975
1975-1980
1980-1985
1985-1990
1990-1995
1995-2000
2000-2005
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
2020-2025
2025-2030
2030-2035
2035-2040
2040-2045
2045-2050
2050-2055
Years
Life births per woman (aged 15-49)
Total fertility (births per woman 15-45)
Life expectancy at birth (years)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
-10 -5 0 5 10
0-45-910-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+
Percentage
Female, 2000 Male, 2000
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
Population pyramid: Asia-Pacific, 2000
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-10 -5 0 5 10
0-45-910-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+
Percentage
Female, 2015 Male, 2015 Female, 2000 Male, 2000
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
Population pyramids: Asia-Pacific, 2000,
2015
-10 -5 0 5 10
0-45-910-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+
Percentage
Female, 2050 Male, 2050 Female, 2015
Male, 2015 Female, 2000 Male, 2000
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
Population pyramids: Asia-Pacific, 2000,
2015, 2050
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Nu
mb
er
of
pe
rso
ns a
ge
d 6
0 y
ea
rs o
r o
ve
r (t
ho
usa
nd
s)
All other areasTurkeyUkraineRepublic of KoreaViet NamThailandSpainBangladeshMexicoPakistanUnited KingdomFranceItalyIndonesiaGermanyBrazilRussian FederationJapanUnited States of AmericaIndiaChina
India
USAJapan
Russian
Federation
Just five countries accounted for half of the
world’s population aged 60 years or over in
2017
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
China
0 20 40 60 80 100
0-45-9
10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+
Female MalePercentage
Women comprise the majority of older
persons, Asia-Pacific, 2019 (percentage of older men and women in the total population by age group)
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population
Prospects: The 2017 Revision - Special Aggregates, DVD Edition; United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).
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• more likely to live alone
• less likely to have an
income, own property, have
a pension
• facing problems accessing
services (health, housing
etc.)
• more likely to be subject to
neglect and abuse
Older women are *.
51
58 56
63
82 81
89 90
77 7882 83
7681
7781
6872
6872
37
49
38
53
3137
3036
2000 2015 2000 2015
POPULATION AGED 60 OR OVER
POPULATION AGED 80 OR OVER
Pe
rce
nta
ge
re
sid
ing
in
urb
an
are
as World
Oceania
Northern America
Latin America andthe CaribbeanEurope
Asia
Africa
The older population is increasingly
concentrated in urban areas, 2000 and 2015
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World
Population Ageing 2017 (ST/ESA/SER.A/408).
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Madrid International Plan of Action on
Ageing (MIPAA)
Global guiding document on
population ageing
Priority direction:
A. Older persons and
development;
B. Advancing health and
well-being into old age;
C. Ensuring enabling and
supportive environments.
Madrid International Plan of Action on
Ageing (MIPAA) - Timeline
1st
Review
•2007 – 1st Asia-Pacific Review of MIPAA in China: Macao Outcome
Document
•2008 – 1st Global Review of MIPAA at the 45th and 46th CSD sessions
2nd
Review
• 2012 – 2nd Asia-Pacific Review of MIPAA in Thailand: Bangkok
Statement
• 2013 – 2nd Global Review of MIPAA at the 49th CSD session
3rd
Review
• 2017 – 3rd Asia-Pacific Review of MIPAA in Bangkok
• 2018 – 3rd Global Review of MIPAA at 52nd CSD session
2021/2022 ????
1982 – Vienna International Plan of Action on Ageing
2002 – Adoption of MIPAA
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•The 2030 Agenda is a holistic agenda - emphasizing
the need to leave no-one behind
•MIPAA and the 2030 Agenda are complimentary -
MIPAA provides a more detailed action plan and will
support the 2030 Agenda
MIPAA and 2030 Agenda
Challenges of population ageing to be
addressed by policy options
SDG 1 – no poverty
SDG 2 – end hunger
SDG 3 – healthy lives at all ages
SDG 5 – gender equality for all women
SDG 8 – inclusive and sustainable economic growth,
full and productive employment and decent work for all
SDG 10 – reduce inequalities
Goal 11 – sustainable cities
� Social protection, including financing
� Gender equality and empowerment of women
� Non-discriminiation
� Accessibility
� Preventive and long-term health care
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Pension schemes in Asia-Pacific, latest
available data
• Supporting MIPAA review
• Population ageing an ICTs
• Capacity-building on
measuring population ageing
• Active ageing index
• Capacity-building on
pensions
• Research and analysis on
levels and trends in
population ageing
• Etc.
What ESCAP is doing *
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Population ageing agenda is an
agenda for all generations
THANK YOU!
WWW.UNESCAP.ORG
UNESCAP
UNESCAP
UNESCAP
UNITEDNATIONSESCAP
UNITEDNATIONSESCAP
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