poll for the 2012 massachusetts gubernatorial election
TRANSCRIPT
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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BOSTON GLOBE POLL #26
MA 2010 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
Prepared by:
Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.
The Survey Center University of New Hampshire
June 23, 2010
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Contents
Technical Report.......................................................................... 1
Data Tables .................................................................................. 2
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The Boston Globe Poll #26
MA 2012 Gubernatorial Election
Conducted by the UNH Survey Center
June, 2010
Technical Report
Field Period: June 17 to June 23, 2010
Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m.
Median Completion Time: 16 minutes
Sample Size: 558 randomly selected Massachusetts adults (RDD)
497 randomly selected likely November, 2010 voters
Sampling Error: Full sample +/- 4.2%Likely voters +/- 4.4%
Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 21%
The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers atwhich a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected.The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based onthe American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.
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Tabular Results
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"First of all ... there are many problems facing the State of Massachusetts today. In general, what do you think is the mostIMPORTANT problem facing the State of Massachusetts today?" (PROBE: "Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me anexample?")
State
Jobs/ Budget/ Govt. Educa- Health Don't
Taxes Economy Spending Corruption tion Care Other Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 8% 43% 17% 6% 6% 6% 12% 2% 551
Likely voter 8% 44% 18% 6% 6% 5% 11% 1% 492
Non-likely voter 9% 43% 17% 1% 6% 7% 13% 5% 30
Baker voter 10% 45% 20% 6% 3% 4% 13% 1% 150Patrick voter 3% 47% 19% 3% 9% 5% 13% 1% 189Cahill voter 12% 44% 10% 12% 8% 3% 7% 3% 44Other/Undecided voter 12% 38% 17% 9% 7% 8% 7% 3% 106
Registered Democrat 9% 46% 17% 3% 7% 5% 10% 2% 170Registered Undeclared 6% 47% 16% 7% 6% 4% 11% 2% 265Registered Republican 9% 33% 23% 9% 4% 4% 18% 1% 66
Democrat 6% 44% 19% 3% 10% 6% 12% 2% 247Independent 10% 42% 12% 10% 4% 8% 13% 1% 139Republican 10% 41% 20% 8% 3% 4% 12% 2% 155
Support Tea Party 15% 34% 19% 7% 1% 7% 15% 2% 146 Neither Support/Oppose 8% 41% 17% 7% 7% 7% 11% 2% 157Oppose Tea Party 2% 51% 19% 3% 10% 3% 10% 1% 205
Male 11% 41% 20% 7% 2% 4% 14% 2% 262Female 5% 45% 15% 5% 11% 8% 10% 2% 289
35 or under 10% 35% 18% 0% 8% 9% 14% 6% 7535 to 49 6% 40% 23% 4% 7% 6% 13% 1% 12150 to 64 7% 51% 14% 6% 5% 5% 10% 0% 20765 and over 9% 39% 15% 9% 7% 4% 14% 2% 140
White 7% 44% 18% 6% 6% 6% 11% 2% 481African American 25% 38% 7% 4% 17% 3% 8% 0% 24
Other 4% 42% 15% 6% 3% 7% 22% 1% 34
10 years or less in MA 4% 25% 28% 4% 8% 12% 18% 2% 4011 to 20 years 15% 41% 22% 1% 4% 7% 8% 2% 61More than 20 years 7% 45% 16% 7% 7% 5% 12% 2% 445
High school or less 16% 34% 11% 9% 7% 8% 13% 2% 92Some college 8% 50% 8% 7% 4% 7% 14% 3% 101College graduate 6% 47% 21% 3% 6% 6% 10% 2% 198Post-graduate 5% 40% 21% 6% 9% 4% 14% 1% 154
Less than $30K 15% 39% 10% 3% 4% 7% 16% 4% 34$30K to $60K 2% 52% 16% 4% 9% 8% 9% 1% 68$60K to $75K 11% 48% 13% 4% 5% 3% 11% 5% 35$75K to $100K 9% 44% 21% 7% 5% 5% 8% 2% 68
$100K or more 8% 49% 15% 5% 5% 9% 7% 2% 86
Inside 128 5% 41% 19% 7% 5% 6% 15% 1% 143128 to 495 9% 43% 21% 4% 5% 6% 11% 0% 160Central MA 10% 42% 13% 7% 4% 7% 13% 4% 104Western MA 11% 49% 12% 9% 7% 2% 8% 2% 69Southern MA/Cape/Islands 4% 44% 16% 3% 15% 6% 11% 2% 75
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“Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”
Right Wrong Don't
Direction Track Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 40% 49% 11% 554
Likely voter 39% 50% 11% 494 Non-likely voter 35% 59% 6% 31
Baker voter 17% 76% 8% 152Patrick voter 73% 16% 11% 188Cahill voter 11% 76% 13% 42Other/Undecided voter 24% 63% 13% 108
Registered Democrat 58% 32% 11% 171Registered Undeclared 33% 56% 11% 263Registered Republican 19% 72% 8% 66
Democrat 59% 28% 12% 250Independent 31% 59% 10% 140Republican 16% 75% 9% 154
Support Tea Party 15% 78% 7% 147 Neither Support/Oppose 33% 54% 13% 159
Oppose Tea Party 65% 23% 12% 205
Male 38% 53% 10% 268Female 42% 46% 13% 286
35 or under 43% 45% 12% 7735 to 49 40% 47% 14% 12150 to 64 38% 53% 9% 20865 and over 42% 46% 12% 140
White 40% 50% 10% 480African American 44% 42% 14% 28Other 38% 43% 18% 34
10 years or less in MA 50% 37% 13% 4211 to 20 years 53% 37% 10% 63More than 20 years 37% 52% 11% 444
High school or less 28% 64% 8% 98Some college 31% 60% 10% 101College graduate 44% 44% 11% 194Post-graduate 49% 37% 14% 154
Less than $30K 33% 54% 12% 36$30K to $60K 45% 45% 10% 68$60K to $75K 33% 49% 17% 34$75K to $100K 45% 49% 7% 67$100K or more 36% 55% 9% 85
Inside 128 43% 46% 10% 146128 to 495 40% 49% 11% 162Central MA 31% 62% 6% 103Western MA 45% 42% 13% 69Southern MA/Cape/Islands 40% 43% 17% 74
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“GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?”
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 42% 9% 49% 549
Likely voter 41% 8% 51% 493 Non-likely voter 42% 19% 39% 29
Baker voter 12% 6% 82% 152Patrick voter 79% 7% 14% 190Cahill voter 17% 1% 83% 43Other/Undecided voter 26% 13% 61% 106
Registered Democrat 59% 9% 32% 170Registered Undeclared 35% 9% 56% 261Registered Republican 16% 6% 78% 65
Democrat 63% 11% 26% 249Independent 29% 8% 63% 136Republican 20% 6% 74% 154
Support Tea Party 16% 5% 79% 146 Neither Support/Oppose 36% 10% 53% 159
Oppose Tea Party 66% 10% 24% 205
Male 39% 6% 55% 267Female 45% 12% 42% 282
35 or under 40% 18% 42% 7635 to 49 33% 12% 55% 11850 to 64 44% 8% 48% 20865 and over 47% 5% 48% 139
White 40% 10% 50% 479African American 72% 0% 28% 28Other 47% 7% 46% 31
10 years or less in MA 58% 11% 31% 4111 to 20 years 52% 9% 40% 62More than 20 years 39% 9% 52% 440
High school or less 39% 9% 52% 96Some college 39% 10% 51% 98College graduate 42% 10% 48% 197Post-graduate 46% 9% 45% 152
Less than $30K 39% 4% 57% 35$30K to $60K 48% 12% 40% 67$60K to $75K 39% 9% 51% 35$75K to $100K 36% 12% 52% 68$100K or more 33% 6% 61% 84
Inside 128 48% 10% 43% 146128 to 495 38% 10% 51% 160Central MA 34% 7% 59% 102Western MA 52% 8% 39% 69Southern MA/Cape/Islands 39% 12% 49% 72
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“And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the State Legislature is doing its job?”
Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 30% 16% 54% 554
Likely voter 29% 15% 56% 495 Non-likely voter 38% 13% 49% 32
Baker voter 16% 8% 75% 152Patrick voter 45% 16% 39% 189Cahill voter 17% 14% 69% 43Other/Undecided voter 27% 21% 52% 108
Registered Democrat 46% 12% 41% 172Registered Undeclared 23% 16% 61% 264Registered Republican 14% 11% 75% 65
Democrat 46% 16% 38% 250Independent 21% 15% 64% 140Republican 12% 14% 74% 154
Support Tea Party 16% 14% 70% 147 Neither Support/Oppose 32% 16% 52% 161
Oppose Tea Party 39% 15% 46% 204
Male 22% 15% 63% 268Female 37% 16% 46% 286
35 or under 35% 23% 42% 7935 to 49 33% 12% 55% 12050 to 64 26% 15% 59% 20865 and over 31% 16% 53% 139
White 29% 14% 56% 481African American 60% 27% 14% 28Other 25% 26% 49% 33
10 years or less in MA 30% 21% 49% 4211 to 20 years 43% 26% 31% 62More than 20 years 28% 14% 58% 444
High school or less 36% 16% 48% 95Some college 27% 13% 60% 102College graduate 31% 19% 49% 197Post-graduate 28% 12% 60% 153
Less than $30K 33% 26% 40% 36$30K to $60K 32% 14% 54% 68$60K to $75K 29% 9% 61% 34$75K to $100K 26% 15% 59% 68$100K or more 33% 12% 55% 85
Inside 128 36% 12% 52% 147128 to 495 29% 15% 56% 160Central MA 21% 17% 62% 102Western MA 37% 14% 49% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 26% 25% 49% 75
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“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorableopinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... Governor Deval Patrick.”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) ALL MA ADULTS 43% 8% 45% 4% 558
Likely voter 44% 7% 47% 2% 497 Non-likely voter 29% 15% 34% 21% 32
Baker voter 10% 9% 78% 3% 152Patrick voter 84% 5% 10% 0% 190Cahill voter 19% 2% 79% 0% 44Other/Undecided voter 30% 8% 57% 6% 108
Registered Democrat 61% 5% 30% 3% 172Registered Undeclared 38% 9% 51% 2% 266Registered Republican 15% 5% 75% 4% 66
Democrat 63% 7% 26% 4% 253Independent 34% 12% 52% 3% 141Republican 19% 6% 72% 4% 155
Support Tea Party 13% 8% 76% 2% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 38% 7% 48% 6% 161
Oppose Tea Party 68% 7% 23% 3% 206
Male 38% 5% 52% 4% 270Female 48% 10% 39% 4% 289
35 or under 43% 7% 37% 14% 7935 to 49 41% 6% 51% 3% 12150 to 64 45% 9% 45% 1% 21065 and over 44% 8% 43% 5% 140
White 42% 7% 47% 4% 485African American 70% 4% 18% 7% 28Other 41% 17% 37% 5% 34
10 years or less in MA 51% 9% 28% 13% 4211 to 20 years 61% 4% 32% 4% 63More than 20 years 40% 8% 49% 3% 448
High school or less 35% 10% 46% 9% 98Some college 40% 9% 47% 4% 102College graduate 43% 7% 46% 4% 198Post-graduate 52% 5% 41% 2% 154
Less than $30K 42% 10% 41% 7% 36$30K to $60K 46% 9% 41% 4% 68$60K to $75K 36% 8% 51% 5% 35$75K to $100K 38% 10% 49% 3% 68$100K or more 39% 2% 56% 3% 86
Inside 128 48% 10% 38% 3% 147128 to 495 47% 5% 45% 3% 162Central MA 30% 9% 58% 4% 104Western MA 46% 4% 45% 4% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 40% 8% 44% 8% 75
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“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorableopinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) ALL MA ADULTS 21% 18% 30% 31% 558
Likely voter 22% 18% 32% 29% 497 Non-likely voter 16% 31% 13% 40% 32
Baker voter 23% 10% 40% 28% 152Patrick voter 19% 19% 34% 28% 190Cahill voter 44% 18% 20% 18% 44Other/Undecided voter 16% 26% 21% 37% 108
Registered Democrat 24% 16% 35% 25% 172Registered Undeclared 20% 21% 28% 31% 266Registered Republican 20% 19% 35% 25% 66
Democrat 20% 17% 31% 31% 253Independent 17% 25% 30% 28% 141Republican 27% 13% 29% 32% 155
Support Tea Party 29% 13% 29% 29% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 17% 21% 27% 35% 161
Oppose Tea Party 21% 19% 37% 23% 206
Male 22% 18% 35% 25% 270Female 20% 18% 24% 38% 289
35 or under 17% 18% 20% 46% 7935 to 49 23% 20% 27% 30% 12150 to 64 23% 17% 32% 28% 21065 and over 20% 18% 33% 29% 140
White 21% 19% 31% 29% 485African American 13% 8% 25% 54% 28Other 21% 13% 21% 45% 34
10 years or less in MA 12% 32% 29% 27% 4211 to 20 years 17% 15% 24% 44% 63More than 20 years 23% 17% 31% 29% 448
High school or less 19% 21% 23% 38% 98Some college 20% 10% 36% 34% 102College graduate 22% 19% 24% 34% 198Post-graduate 22% 20% 37% 21% 154
Less than $30K 18% 24% 14% 44% 36$30K to $60K 22% 25% 20% 33% 68$60K to $75K 28% 2% 36% 34% 35$75K to $100K 20% 20% 40% 20% 68$100K or more 22% 13% 34% 31% 86
Inside 128 19% 19% 29% 33% 147128 to 495 25% 20% 31% 24% 162Central MA 19% 21% 28% 32% 104Western MA 24% 11% 29% 36% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 15% 13% 32% 40% 75
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“Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorableopinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her to say. First, how about ... Republican gubernatorial candidate CharlieBaker.”
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK (N=) ALL MA ADULTS 20% 16% 20% 45% 558
Likely voter 21% 16% 20% 42% 496 Non-likely voter 7% 13% 9% 70% 32
Baker voter 52% 11% 2% 35% 152Patrick voter 5% 16% 38% 40% 190Cahill voter 16% 25% 18% 40% 44Other/Undecided voter 9% 19% 15% 57% 107
Registered Democrat 9% 12% 34% 44% 172Registered Undeclared 24% 18% 14% 43% 265Registered Republican 38% 21% 1% 40% 66
Democrat 9% 14% 31% 46% 252Independent 19% 18% 19% 43% 141Republican 36% 17% 3% 44% 155
Support Tea Party 39% 12% 6% 43% 148
Neither Support/Oppose 16% 20% 12% 53% 160Oppose Tea Party 11% 15% 39% 35% 206
Male 24% 18% 18% 40% 270Female 15% 13% 22% 50% 288
35 or under 11% 15% 18% 56% 7935 to 49 21% 19% 13% 47% 12150 to 64 21% 15% 21% 43% 20965 and over 21% 16% 23% 40% 140
White 21% 17% 19% 43% 484African American 6% 0% 25% 69% 28Other 11% 8% 26% 54% 34
10 years or less in MA 15% 26% 14% 46% 4211 to 20 years 10% 13% 24% 53% 63More than 20 years 22% 15% 20% 43% 447
High school or less 11% 19% 15% 55% 98Some college 19% 16% 16% 49% 101College graduate 19% 15% 20% 46% 198Post-graduate 27% 15% 25% 33% 154
Less than $30K 6% 28% 11% 56% 35$30K to $60K 15% 22% 19% 44% 68$60K to $75K 18% 17% 15% 50% 35$75K to $100K 24% 8% 26% 43% 68$100K or more 27% 13% 20% 40% 86
Inside 128 19% 17% 26% 38% 147128 to 495 24% 17% 24% 35% 161Central MA 19% 17% 10% 55% 104Western MA 12% 12% 14% 62% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 18% 14% 18% 50% 75
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10
“Think for a minute about political incumbents, the people in Washington and Massachusetts who are currently in office. Overall, do youtrust current political incumbents to provide leadership in Washington and Massachusetts or do you think political incumbents in Washingtonand Massachusetts need to be replaced by a new crop of leaders?”
Trust Want New
Current Crop of Other/ Don’t
Incumbents Leaders Depends Know (N=) ALL MA ADULTS 28% 50% 18% 5% 557
Likely voter 27% 50% 20% 4% 496 Non-likely voter 20% 61% 5% 14% 32
Baker voter 5% 80% 15% 0% 152Patrick voter 49% 21% 23% 6% 189Cahill voter 17% 64% 17% 2% 44Other/Undecided voter 22% 51% 22% 5% 108
Registered Democrat 45% 28% 22% 5% 170Registered Undeclared 17% 58% 21% 4% 266Registered Republican 6% 81% 12% 1% 66
Democrat 45% 28% 22% 5% 251Independent 21% 56% 19% 4% 141Republican 6% 79% 12% 3% 155
Support Tea Party 5% 80% 12% 3% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 25% 55% 15% 6% 161Oppose Tea Party 45% 25% 27% 3% 205
Male 24% 59% 16% 2% 268Female 31% 41% 21% 7% 289
35 or under 41% 44% 14% 2% 7935 to 49 30% 48% 15% 7% 12150 to 64 23% 51% 23% 4% 20965 and over 25% 51% 18% 6% 140
White 25% 51% 19% 5% 483African American 72% 15% 13% 0% 28Other 34% 49% 7% 11% 34
10 years or less in MA 43% 37% 14% 5% 4211 to 20 years 45% 33% 23% 0% 63More than 20 years 24% 53% 18% 5% 447
High school or less 25% 57% 12% 6% 98Some college 26% 59% 12% 3% 102College graduate 27% 47% 21% 5% 196Post-graduate 32% 41% 23% 4% 154
Less than $30K 24% 49% 11% 16% 36$30K to $60K 32% 44% 21% 2% 68$60K to $75K 29% 54% 16% 1% 35
$75K to $100K 19% 53% 25% 3% 68$100K or more 27% 52% 19% 2% 85
Inside 128 33% 43% 17% 7% 147128 to 495 25% 50% 20% 4% 162Central MA 19% 61% 15% 5% 104Western MA 35% 47% 16% 2% 69Southern MA/Cape/Islands 26% 48% 22% 4% 75
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“Let’s change the subject a minute … do you happen to know who your Representative to the Massachusetts House of Representatives is?”
Don't
Yes No Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 60% 38% 1% 558
Likely voter 65% 33% 2% 497 Non-likely voter 17% 83% 0% 32
Baker voter 66% 33% 0% 152Patrick voter 68% 32% 1% 190Cahill voter 68% 31% 1% 44Other/Undecided voter 58% 36% 6% 108
Registered Democrat 72% 28% 0% 172Registered Undeclared 62% 36% 3% 266Registered Republican 52% 47% 1% 66
Democrat 61% 39% 0% 253Independent 55% 40% 5% 141Republican 64% 35% 1% 155
Support Tea Party 65% 34% 1% 148
Neither Support/Oppose 57% 41% 2% 161Oppose Tea Party 66% 32% 1% 206
Male 64% 36% 0% 270Female 57% 41% 3% 289
35 or under 35% 65% 0% 7935 to 49 53% 46% 0% 12150 to 64 72% 26% 2% 21065 and over 60% 37% 3% 140
White 63% 36% 1% 485African American 50% 42% 8% 28Other 28% 72% 0% 34
10 years or less in MA 35% 65% 0% 4211 to 20 years 52% 48% 0% 63More than 20 years 64% 34% 2% 448
High school or less 52% 48% 0% 98Some college 54% 45% 1% 102College graduate 59% 39% 2% 198Post-graduate 70% 29% 2% 154
Less than $30K 58% 39% 3% 36$30K to $60K 64% 35% 0% 68$60K to $75K 60% 40% 0% 35$75K to $100K 52% 46% 2% 68$100K or more 56% 39% 5% 86
Inside 128 49% 51% 1% 147128 to 495 71% 28% 1% 162Central MA 50% 50% 0% 104Western MA 70% 27% 4% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 65% 32% 3% 75
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12
“Do you plan to vote for your current Massachusetts State Representative in November or will you vote for his or her opponent?”
Vote For Vote
State for Won’t Don't
Rep Opponent Vote Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 36% 18% 8% 38% 549
Likely voter 39% 19% 3% 38% 491
Non-likely voter 13% 10% 38% 39% 29
Baker voter 23% 38% 1% 38% 150Patrick voter 58% 9% 2% 31% 190Cahill voter 28% 21% 4% 47% 42Other/Undecided voter 32% 11% 10% 47% 106
Registered Democrat 58% 13% 4% 25% 169Registered Undeclared 31% 20% 5% 45% 264Registered Republican 16% 37% 7% 40% 63
Democrat 52% 8% 8% 33% 250Independent 25% 18% 11% 46% 137Republican 22% 35% 5% 38% 152
Support Tea Party 18% 44% 4% 34% 146 Neither Support/Oppose 34% 12% 14% 41% 158Oppose Tea Party 53% 5% 6% 36% 202
Male 36% 23% 8% 32% 263Female 36% 13% 8% 43% 286
35 or under 23% 9% 22% 46% 7735 to 49 33% 20% 10% 37% 12050 to 64 43% 17% 6% 34% 20765 and over 36% 23% 3% 38% 138
White 36% 18% 9% 37% 479African American 48% 18% 6% 27% 26Other 34% 11% 10% 45% 33
10 years or less in MA 29% 7% 31% 33% 3911 to 20 years 29% 19% 8% 45% 63More than 20 years 37% 19% 6% 37% 442
High school or less 37% 23% 14% 27% 93Some college 35% 15% 7% 43% 102College graduate 33% 18% 9% 40% 195Post-graduate 40% 17% 6% 37% 153
Less than $30K 45% 9% 8% 38% 36$30K to $60K 40% 16% 13% 31% 67$60K to $75K 40% 24% 6% 30% 35$75K to $100K 32% 23% 9% 37% 68
$100K or more 33% 21% 7% 39% 85
Inside 128 36% 14% 9% 40% 143128 to 495 35% 17% 8% 39% 162Central MA 33% 23% 5% 39% 104Western MA 41% 15% 12% 32% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 35% 24% 8% 32% 70
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13
“I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are youleaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?”
Def. Leaning Still
Decided Toward Trying To
Vote Someone Decide (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 24% 15% 61% 488
Likely voter 24% 15% 61% 488
Baker voter 23% 22% 55% 149Patrick voter 39% 18% 43% 188Cahill voter 8% 10% 82% 44Other/Undecided voter 2% 4% 94% 104
Registered Democrat 35% 16% 49% 161Registered Undeclared 16% 16% 68% 243Registered Republican 27% 13% 60% 61
Extremely interested in election 33% 18% 48% 170Very interested 26% 12% 62% 185Somewhat/Not Very interested 8% 17% 75% 134
Support Tea Party 20% 15% 65% 142
Neither Support/Oppose 11% 15% 74% 127Oppose Tea Party 36% 16% 47% 188
Democrat 31% 18% 51% 226Independent 11% 10% 79% 113Republican 22% 16% 62% 145
Male 29% 18% 53% 236Female 19% 13% 68% 251
35 or under 17% 9% 74% 5535 to 49 23% 13% 65% 10250 to 64 23% 19% 58% 19165 and over 29% 15% 56% 132
White 24% 16% 59% 429African American 20% 0% 80% 24Other 17% 9% 75% 24
10 years or less in MA 24% 7% 69% 2611 to 20 years 12% 14% 75% 56More than 20 years 25% 16% 59% 401
High school or less 22% 8% 70% 74Some college 16% 16% 68% 90College graduate 21% 16% 64% 172Post-graduate 33% 19% 48% 146
Less than $30K 10% 21% 69% 32
$30K to $60K 28% 17% 54% 51$60K to $75K 14% 27% 59% 33$75K to $100K 21% 12% 67% 63$100K or more 28% 18% 54% 81
Inside 128 30% 16% 55% 125128 to 495 23% 19% 58% 149Central MA 18% 12% 69% 90Western MA 24% 7% 70% 60Southern MA/Cape/Islands 20% 20% 60% 63
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“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … DevalPatrick, the Democrat … Tim Cahill, the Independent … and Jill Stein, the Green-Rainbow candidate, who would you vote for ... CharlieBaker … Deval Patrick … Tim Cahill … or Jill Stein?”
Don't
Baker Patrick Cahill Stein Other Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 31% 38% 9% 2% 2% 17% 494
Registered Democrat 10% 63% 6% 3% 5% 13% 162
Registered Undeclared 35% 30% 12% 3% 0% 20% 247Registered Republican 67% 9% 7% 0% 2% 14% 63
Extremely interested in election 45% 34% 5% 3% 3% 10% 171Very interested 29% 40% 10% 3% 1% 17% 183Somewhat/Not Very interested 16% 41% 12% 1% 2% 28% 140
Definitely decided Vote 30% 65% 3% 0% 1% 1% 114Leaning towards someone 44% 45% 6% 0% 0% 5% 75Still trying to decide 28% 27% 12% 4% 3% 26% 296
Democrat 9% 64% 7% 3% 2% 14% 229Independent 28% 24% 15% 3% 4% 26% 113Republican 65% 10% 7% 1% 1% 16% 149
Support Tea Party 59% 12% 7% 2% 2% 18% 144 Neither Support/Oppose 27% 27% 17% 3% 4% 23% 129Oppose Tea Party 12% 67% 6% 3% 1% 12% 189
Male 38% 35% 10% 2% 2% 14% 244Female 24% 42% 8% 3% 2% 21% 250
35 or under 22% 29% 17% 8% 2% 23% 5835 to 49 33% 34% 10% 4% 2% 16% 10550 to 64 30% 42% 6% 0% 3% 19% 19265 and over 35% 41% 8% 1% 2% 14% 132
White 32% 37% 9% 3% 2% 17% 435African American 6% 64% 0% 0% 0% 29% 24Other 26% 47% 7% 3% 5% 13% 24
10 years or less in MA 23% 41% 11% 5% 4% 15% 2711 to 20 years 19% 47% 6% 1% 0% 28% 56More than 20 years 33% 37% 9% 2% 2% 16% 406
High school or less 24% 37% 12% 0% 6% 22% 75Some college 38% 33% 10% 2% 1% 16% 91College graduate 31% 35% 8% 3% 2% 22% 178Post-graduate 28% 49% 8% 3% 1% 11% 145
Less than $30K 13% 48% 13% 2% 0% 24% 32$30K to $60K 34% 36% 9% 8% 4% 9% 59$60K to $75K 44% 29% 4% 2% 3% 18% 33$75K to $100K 35% 36% 13% 2% 2% 13% 63
$100K or more 37% 38% 12% 1% 0% 12% 81
Inside 128 27% 49% 7% 3% 1% 13% 128128 to 495 35% 33% 10% 0% 2% 20% 148Central MA 33% 32% 11% 3% 1% 19% 91Western MA 20% 41% 11% 4% 7% 17% 63Southern MA/Cape/Islands 36% 36% 4% 5% 0% 19% 65
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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15
“Does Deval Patrick’s four years as Governor make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or will this make littledifference in your vote?”
More Less Make Little Don't
Likely Likely Difference Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 30% 46% 20% 4% 492
Baker voter 7% 78% 13% 3% 152Patrick voter 66% 7% 22% 5% 189
Cahill voter 4% 78% 18% 0% 44Other/Undecided voter 12% 55% 28% 6% 105
Registered Democrat 46% 26% 23% 5% 162Registered Undeclared 24% 53% 20% 2% 245Registered Republican 10% 68% 16% 6% 63
Democrat 48% 26% 23% 3% 228Independent 18% 52% 25% 5% 112Republican 13% 70% 13% 5% 149
Support Tea Party 9% 72% 16% 3% 144 Neither Support/Oppose 19% 50% 30% 2% 128Oppose Tea Party 54% 24% 19% 3% 189
Male 28% 48% 19% 4% 241Female 32% 43% 21% 4% 251
35 or under 26% 44% 24% 6% 5935 to 49 28% 53% 19% 0% 10350 to 64 33% 42% 21% 4% 19365 and over 30% 45% 19% 6% 130
White 30% 47% 19% 4% 435African American 37% 6% 54% 3% 24Other 36% 38% 16% 10% 23
10 years or less in MA 42% 44% 13% 2% 2811 to 20 years 37% 25% 28% 9% 55More than 20 years 28% 48% 20% 3% 405
High school or less 24% 45% 26% 4% 74Some college 27% 52% 16% 5% 90College graduate 28% 47% 22% 3% 179Post-graduate 39% 39% 18% 4% 144
Less than $30K 23% 39% 33% 5% 32$30K to $60K 30% 44% 22% 3% 59$60K to $75K 27% 58% 14% 2% 34$75K to $100K 23% 53% 19% 4% 63$100K or more 19% 55% 22% 4% 80
Inside 128 34% 40% 21% 5% 128128 to 495 33% 43% 20% 4% 149
Central MA 19% 59% 17% 5% 91Western MA 34% 40% 27% 0% 61Southern MA/Cape/Islands 29% 48% 18% 5% 63
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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16
“Does Tim Cahill’s eight years as State Treasurer make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, or will this make littledifference in your vote?”
More Less Make Little Don't
Likely Likely Difference Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 15% 30% 45% 10% 496
Baker voter 12% 43% 38% 7% 152Patrick voter 15% 29% 47% 9% 190
Cahill voter 44% 4% 50% 2% 44Other/Undecided voter 10% 26% 48% 17% 107
Registered Democrat 17% 26% 50% 8% 162Registered Undeclared 15% 31% 45% 9% 249Registered Republican 13% 39% 38% 10% 63
Democrat 16% 29% 47% 7% 229Independent 15% 24% 46% 14% 115Republican 14% 38% 40% 9% 149
Support Tea Party 14% 37% 37% 12% 144 Neither Support/Oppose 17% 21% 57% 4% 130Oppose Tea Party 16% 31% 45% 8% 190
Male 12% 32% 48% 8% 242Female 18% 28% 42% 12% 253
35 or under 9% 34% 44% 13% 5935 to 49 24% 32% 43% 1% 10550 to 64 13% 29% 48% 10% 19365 and over 15% 31% 41% 14% 131
White 16% 31% 44% 9% 438African American 0% 38% 62% 0% 24Other 20% 20% 33% 27% 23
10 years or less in MA 25% 30% 40% 5% 2811 to 20 years 14% 25% 48% 13% 56More than 20 years 15% 31% 45% 9% 407
High school or less 7% 25% 49% 19% 74Some college 14% 38% 41% 7% 91College graduate 17% 27% 47% 9% 179Post-graduate 19% 31% 43% 6% 146
Less than $30K 9% 22% 57% 13% 32$30K to $60K 17% 32% 43% 9% 59$60K to $75K 16% 41% 32% 11% 34$75K to $100K 21% 34% 37% 7% 63$100K or more 11% 24% 60% 4% 81
Inside 128 17% 31% 41% 11% 128128 to 495 14% 29% 48% 8% 149
Central MA 10% 23% 57% 10% 91Western MA 23% 34% 34% 9% 63Southern MA/Cape/Islands 14% 36% 38% 12% 64
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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17
“Does Charlie Baker’s record as a former health insurance company CEO make you more likely or less likely to vote for him in November, orwill this make little difference in your vote?”
More Less Make Little Don't
Likely Likely Difference Know (N=)
MA LIKELY VOTERS 20% 30% 37% 12% 494
Baker voter 47% 9% 36% 8% 152Patrick voter 11% 43% 34% 12% 190
Cahill voter 8% 39% 44% 8% 44Other/Undecided voter 5% 34% 42% 19% 105
Registered Democrat 15% 38% 39% 8% 162Registered Undeclared 20% 29% 35% 16% 249Registered Republican 38% 7% 47% 7% 63
Democrat 12% 43% 35% 10% 226Independent 16% 31% 36% 18% 115Republican 36% 11% 43% 10% 149
Support Tea Party 32% 18% 42% 9% 144 Neither Support/Oppose 21% 24% 43% 12% 128Oppose Tea Party 11% 46% 33% 9% 190
Male 23% 30% 37% 10% 240Female 18% 31% 37% 14% 253
35 or under 8% 45% 32% 15% 5735 to 49 28% 23% 43% 6% 10550 to 64 16% 33% 40% 11% 19365 and over 26% 25% 32% 17% 131
White 21% 31% 37% 12% 438African American 15% 11% 70% 4% 22Other 12% 49% 18% 22% 23
10 years or less in MA 24% 40% 32% 4% 2811 to 20 years 17% 34% 36% 13% 54More than 20 years 21% 29% 38% 12% 407
High school or less 18% 26% 40% 16% 72Some college 26% 17% 42% 16% 91College graduate 19% 32% 40% 9% 179Post-graduate 20% 39% 31% 10% 146
Less than $30K 17% 31% 39% 13% 32$30K to $60K 14% 40% 36% 11% 59$60K to $75K 26% 21% 44% 9% 34$75K to $100K 19% 38% 31% 12% 63$100K or more 22% 28% 47% 3% 81
Inside 128 21% 31% 35% 13% 126128 to 495 21% 28% 39% 11% 149
Central MA 18% 36% 34% 12% 91Western MA 18% 34% 40% 9% 63Southern MA/Cape/Islands 25% 21% 38% 15% 64
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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18
“Think for a minute about the state budget. Who do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … Governor Patrick or the state Legislature?”
Gov. State Both Don't
Patrick Legislature Equally Neither Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 29% 30% 8% 27% 6% 554
Likely voter 29% 30% 8% 27% 6% 495 Non-likely voter 35% 29% 0% 30% 6% 32
Baker voter 15% 35% 3% 44% 3% 152Patrick voter 56% 13% 12% 9% 11% 188Cahill voter 16% 42% 4% 37% 1% 44Other/Undecided voter 8% 43% 13% 33% 3% 108
Registered Democrat 40% 27% 11% 14% 7% 171Registered Undeclared 27% 30% 7% 31% 5% 265Registered Republican 11% 34% 2% 45% 7% 66
Democrat 40% 31% 10% 11% 8% 251Independent 25% 24% 10% 37% 3% 138Republican 13% 34% 4% 43% 6% 155
Support Tea Party 12% 30% 3% 49% 6% 148
Neither Support/Oppose 20% 36% 11% 27% 6% 161Oppose Tea Party 47% 23% 11% 12% 7% 204
Male 36% 22% 7% 30% 4% 267Female 22% 37% 9% 24% 8% 287
35 or under 24% 47% 6% 19% 4% 7935 to 49 28% 37% 8% 25% 3% 12150 to 64 30% 25% 10% 29% 7% 20765 and over 31% 21% 8% 30% 10% 139
White 28% 30% 8% 27% 7% 482African American 53% 20% 13% 11% 3% 28Other 30% 40% 4% 21% 5% 32
10 years or less in MA 33% 37% 4% 22% 4% 4211 to 20 years 34% 39% 10% 12% 5% 63More than 20 years 28% 28% 8% 29% 7% 444
High school or less 30% 29% 6% 29% 6% 97Some college 20% 35% 5% 34% 7% 100College graduate 28% 36% 7% 23% 6% 198Post-graduate 36% 18% 12% 26% 7% 152
Less than $30K 21% 42% 8% 20% 9% 36$30K to $60K 25% 29% 15% 25% 7% 68$60K to $75K 28% 40% 0% 22% 9% 35$75K to $100K 24% 31% 14% 27% 4% 68$100K or more 24% 37% 8% 29% 2% 86
Inside 128 30% 27% 8% 28% 8% 146128 to 495 33% 30% 7% 26% 5% 161Central MA 22% 37% 5% 31% 5% 102Western MA 32% 27% 12% 25% 4% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 24% 29% 13% 24% 10% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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19
“Overall, which of the following should be done to improve the state’s budget and fiscal problems … should the governor and the legislaturedo more to cut government programs, services, and spending, or should taxes and other revenues be raised?”
Cut
Programs/ Raise Some of Don't
Services Taxes Both Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 52% 23% 19% 6% 547
Likely voter 53% 24% 19% 5% 488
Non-likely voter 54% 16% 10% 19% 32
Baker voter 78% 7% 13% 2% 151Patrick voter 29% 42% 22% 6% 187Cahill voter 67% 14% 15% 4% 41Other/Undecided voter 53% 18% 23% 6% 107
Registered Democrat 33% 42% 20% 6% 167Registered Undeclared 59% 14% 21% 6% 263Registered Republican 78% 6% 10% 6% 65
Democrat 33% 41% 21% 4% 247Independent 58% 10% 22% 10% 136Republican 78% 6% 11% 6% 154
Support Tea Party 82% 10% 4% 4% 147 Neither Support/Oppose 56% 16% 21% 6% 157Oppose Tea Party 30% 39% 26% 6% 203
Male 59% 17% 20% 4% 266Female 46% 28% 18% 8% 282
35 or under 48% 24% 23% 5% 7935 to 49 48% 27% 19% 6% 12050 to 64 53% 21% 21% 5% 20365 and over 57% 21% 13% 9% 137
White 51% 23% 20% 6% 477African American 56% 37% 7% 0% 28Other 61% 20% 12% 7% 31
10 years or less in MA 48% 24% 21% 7% 3911 to 20 years 36% 33% 24% 6% 62More than 20 years 55% 21% 17% 6% 440
High school or less 57% 26% 8% 9% 95Some college 56% 15% 23% 7% 100College graduate 53% 21% 20% 5% 194Post-graduate 45% 29% 21% 5% 152
Less than $30K 61% 14% 17% 8% 33$30K to $60K 45% 34% 18% 3% 68$60K to $75K 74% 18% 7% 1% 35$75K to $100K 53% 20% 21% 7% 68
$100K or more 56% 17% 24% 3% 85
Inside 128 47% 30% 18% 4% 145128 to 495 53% 21% 20% 6% 159Central MA 64% 16% 15% 4% 102Western MA 46% 20% 17% 17% 68Southern MA/Cape/Islands 49% 24% 24% 3% 74
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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20
“Let’s switch gears and talk about gambling in Massachusetts. As you may know, the Massachusetts House and Senate have passed slightlydifferent bills that would legalize casino gambling in Massachusetts. The Senate bill would allow gambling at three resort casinos while theHouse bill would allow gambling at two casinos and slot machines at the state’s four racetracks. Do you prefer the Senate bill with threeresort casinos … the House bill with 2 casinos and slot machines at racetracks … do you not want any gambling, or haven’t you thoughtenough about this to say?”
Prefer Prefer Don’t Want
Senate House Prefer Legalized Don't
Bill Bill Other Gambling Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 27% 22% 4% 30% 17% 557
Likely voter 27% 21% 4% 31% 17% 496 Non-likely voter 34% 30% 0% 20% 15% 32
Baker voter 33% 20% 3% 31% 13% 152Patrick voter 26% 20% 3% 31% 20% 190Cahill voter 9% 33% 4% 35% 19% 44Other/Undecided voter 30% 18% 7% 30% 15% 107
Registered Democrat 25% 23% 3% 30% 19% 171Registered Undeclared 30% 22% 5% 29% 14% 266Registered Republican 23% 18% 2% 36% 20% 66
Democrat 25% 24% 3% 28% 20% 253
Independent 29% 19% 5% 36% 11% 140Republican 30% 19% 4% 29% 18% 155
Support Tea Party 26% 18% 5% 33% 17% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 30% 25% 3% 24% 18% 161Oppose Tea Party 26% 23% 3% 33% 16% 205
Male 30% 21% 2% 32% 16% 270Female 25% 23% 5% 29% 19% 288
35 or under 36% 26% 2% 22% 14% 7935 to 49 29% 23% 1% 27% 20% 12150 to 64 25% 22% 5% 33% 15% 20965 and over 25% 19% 4% 33% 19% 140
White 26% 22% 3% 31% 17% 483African American 45% 15% 0% 19% 22% 28Other 34% 21% 9% 21% 15% 34
10 years or less in MA 21% 19% 1% 42% 17% 4211 to 20 years 32% 21% 2% 29% 16% 63More than 20 years 27% 22% 4% 29% 17% 447
High school or less 27% 28% 5% 18% 22% 97Some college 26% 32% 3% 19% 21% 102College graduate 30% 20% 2% 30% 17% 198Post-graduate 25% 13% 4% 45% 13% 154
Less than $30K 19% 22% 5% 26% 28% 36
$30K to $60K 29% 22% 1% 33% 15% 68$60K to $75K 24% 30% 6% 29% 11% 35$75K to $100K 31% 31% 1% 19% 17% 68$100K or more 32% 13% 2% 38% 15% 86
Inside 128 31% 19% 2% 32% 16% 146128 to 495 24% 21% 6% 29% 21% 162Central MA 28% 23% 2% 37% 10% 104Western MA 35% 17% 6% 20% 21% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 19% 32% 1% 30% 19% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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21
“How many times have you visited a casino outside of Massachusetts in the past twelve months?”
3 to 5 6 to 10 More Than Don't
Once 2 Times Times Times 10 Times Never Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 14% 6% 5% 2% 3% 69% 1% 558
Likely voter 14% 7% 5% 1% 3% 68% 1% 497 Non-likely voter 7% 3% 14% 3% 3% 70% 0% 32
Baker voter 18% 10% 6% 2% 5% 58% 1% 152Patrick voter 10% 5% 5% 2% 2% 74% 1% 190Cahill voter 18% 2% 3% 1% 8% 67% 1% 44Other/Undecided voter 15% 6% 3% 1% 2% 73% 1% 108
Registered Democrat 11% 5% 7% 2% 3% 71% 1% 172Registered Undeclared 17% 7% 5% 2% 3% 64% 1% 266Registered Republican 11% 6% 2% 0% 3% 78% 0% 66
Democrat 14% 5% 6% 2% 3% 70% 1% 253Independent 10% 7% 4% 3% 6% 70% 1% 141Republican 18% 7% 6% 1% 2% 65% 1% 155
Support Tea Party 17% 8% 3% 2% 4% 64% 1% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 18% 6% 6% 2% 2% 67% 0% 161
Oppose Tea Party 11% 5% 5% 2% 3% 72% 1% 206
Male 14% 7% 7% 2% 3% 67% 1% 270Female 14% 6% 4% 1% 3% 70% 1% 289
35 or under 24% 7% 6% 0% 4% 59% 1% 7935 to 49 11% 6% 11% 3% 1% 69% 0% 12150 to 64 13% 8% 1% 1% 4% 72% 1% 21065 and over 13% 4% 6% 3% 4% 68% 0% 140
White 15% 7% 5% 2% 3% 68% 1% 485African American 4% 6% 8% 0% 0% 82% 0% 28Other 10% 0% 14% 3% 8% 64% 2% 34
10 years or less in MA 15% 8% 4% 0% 2% 69% 1% 4211 to 20 years 15% 2% 2% 0% 2% 79% 0% 63More than 20 years 14% 7% 6% 2% 4% 67% 1% 448
High school or less 12% 5% 9% 2% 5% 66% 0% 98Some college 11% 8% 6% 2% 4% 67% 2% 102College graduate 17% 7% 5% 1% 3% 67% 1% 198Post-graduate 13% 4% 3% 3% 2% 73% 1% 154
Less than $30K 12% 5% 7% 1% 2% 72% 1% 36$30K to $60K 13% 8% 2% 5% 2% 71% 0% 68$60K to $75K 6% 18% 4% 2% 3% 65% 2% 35$75K to $100K 21% 7% 6% 2% 5% 54% 4% 68$100K or more 16% 8% 5% 2% 5% 65% 0% 86
Inside 128 11% 8% 4% 2% 4% 70% 1% 147128 to 495 15% 1% 3% 2% 4% 73% 0% 162Central MA 15% 12% 10% 0% 0% 61% 1% 104Western MA 22% 5% 5% 3% 2% 60% 3% 71Southern MA/Cape/Islands 9% 6% 7% 0% 4% 73% 0% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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22
“Turning to immigration for a moment … In general, how serious a problem do you think illegal immigration is in the United States: a veryserious problem, somewhat serious, not very serious, or not a problem at all?"
Not A
Very Somewhat Not Very Problem Don't
Serious Serious Serious At All Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 55% 30% 10% 4% 1% 557
Likely voter 55% 31% 10% 4% 1% 496
Non-likely voter 69% 14% 17% 0% 0% 32
Baker voter 80% 17% 1% 1% 0% 152Patrick voter 35% 43% 15% 6% 1% 190Cahill voter 62% 26% 12% 0% 0% 43Other/Undecided voter 54% 29% 11% 5% 1% 108
Registered Democrat 35% 43% 16% 5% 2% 172Registered Undeclared 66% 26% 5% 3% 0% 265Registered Republican 76% 17% 7% 0% 0% 66
Democrat 37% 40% 17% 5% 1% 253Independent 60% 27% 5% 7% 0% 141Republican 80% 16% 4% 0% 0% 155
Support Tea Party 81% 15% 4% 0% 0% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 51% 37% 9% 3% 0% 161Oppose Tea Party 38% 37% 17% 5% 2% 205
Male 57% 26% 11% 5% 1% 270Female 53% 34% 10% 3% 1% 288
35 or under 43% 36% 18% 4% 0% 7935 to 49 45% 37% 11% 6% 2% 12150 to 64 55% 33% 7% 4% 1% 21065 and over 68% 17% 11% 3% 1% 140
White 56% 30% 10% 3% 1% 485African American 21% 59% 15% 6% 0% 28Other 62% 12% 12% 14% 0% 34
10 years or less in MA 38% 41% 17% 4% 0% 4211 to 20 years 29% 41% 25% 2% 2% 63More than 20 years 60% 28% 7% 4% 1% 448
High school or less 64% 21% 12% 2% 1% 98Some college 64% 24% 5% 6% 1% 102College graduate 47% 40% 9% 3% 1% 198Post-graduate 51% 28% 14% 6% 1% 154
Less than $30K 57% 27% 11% 5% 0% 36$30K to $60K 52% 29% 10% 8% 1% 68$60K to $75K 65% 28% 7% 0% 0% 35$75K to $100K 58% 26% 15% 1% 0% 68
$100K or more 52% 39% 7% 1% 2% 86
Inside 128 53% 29% 13% 3% 2% 147128 to 495 55% 33% 8% 3% 0% 162Central MA 66% 19% 10% 6% 0% 104Western MA 47% 32% 12% 7% 2% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 48% 41% 9% 2% 0% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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23
“Overall, do you think illegal immigrants contribute to and help the state economy or do they take away from and hurt the state economy”
Contribute Take
and Away and Some of Don't
Help Hurt Both Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 27% 53% 14% 6% 552
Likely voter 27% 53% 14% 6% 491 Non-likely voter 22% 68% 6% 3% 31
Baker voter 12% 77% 7% 4% 150Patrick voter 41% 33% 17% 8% 187Cahill voter 22% 65% 12% 1% 43Other/Undecided voter 23% 51% 18% 8% 108
Registered Democrat 39% 33% 19% 9% 172Registered Undeclared 20% 62% 13% 5% 261Registered Republican 15% 76% 4% 4% 64
Democrat 40% 36% 17% 8% 249Independent 21% 60% 16% 3% 140Republican 10% 76% 9% 5% 153
Support Tea Party 7% 79% 12% 2% 146
Neither Support/Oppose 19% 60% 13% 8% 159Oppose Tea Party 47% 29% 16% 8% 204
Male 25% 58% 13% 4% 266Female 28% 48% 16% 8% 285
35 or under 32% 43% 20% 4% 7935 to 49 26% 55% 11% 8% 12050 to 64 29% 51% 15% 5% 20665 and over 21% 57% 14% 8% 139
White 25% 53% 16% 6% 479African American 35% 51% 0% 14% 28Other 35% 44% 13% 8% 34
10 years or less in MA 36% 44% 15% 5% 4211 to 20 years 44% 34% 16% 6% 63More than 20 years 23% 57% 14% 6% 442
High school or less 18% 64% 14% 4% 98Some college 17% 64% 12% 7% 101College graduate 33% 48% 15% 4% 195Post-graduate 31% 43% 16% 10% 153
Less than $30K 15% 65% 14% 7% 36$30K to $60K 35% 55% 9% 1% 68$60K to $75K 21% 66% 5% 9% 34$75K to $100K 31% 57% 11% 1% 66$100K or more 21% 59% 14% 7% 85
Inside 128 37% 46% 14% 3% 146128 to 495 25% 54% 16% 4% 160Central MA 23% 61% 11% 5% 103Western MA 19% 51% 15% 15% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 20% 54% 15% 11% 73
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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24
“Does Massachusetts need to do more to ensure that illegal immigrants do not receive public benefits?”
Yes - Yes - No - No - Don't
Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 56% 12% 6% 10% 12% 4% 554
Likely voter 57% 12% 6% 10% 11% 4% 493 Non-likely voter 62% 8% 5% 0% 24% 0% 32
Baker voter 81% 12% 1% 2% 3% 2% 152Patrick voter 33% 14% 10% 17% 21% 5% 188Cahill voter 75% 12% 6% 2% 4% 1% 43Other/Undecided voter 59% 12% 4% 11% 7% 7% 107
Registered Democrat 39% 9% 9% 14% 26% 3% 170Registered Undeclared 64% 14% 4% 8% 5% 5% 263Registered Republican 78% 15% 3% 2% 1% 2% 66
Democrat 37% 11% 8% 19% 20% 5% 249Independent 60% 17% 5% 6% 9% 3% 141Republican 83% 11% 3% 1% 1% 2% 155
Support Tea Party 80% 12% 2% 3% 2% 0% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 57% 18% 4% 9% 7% 5% 161
Oppose Tea Party 36% 8% 10% 17% 22% 6% 202
Male 59% 13% 5% 9% 10% 5% 269Female 53% 12% 6% 12% 14% 3% 285
35 or under 43% 15% 9% 14% 15% 5% 7935 to 49 54% 15% 3% 11% 12% 4% 12150 to 64 54% 14% 4% 10% 13% 4% 20865 and over 66% 5% 8% 8% 9% 3% 139
White 56% 12% 6% 9% 12% 4% 481African American 43% 14% 3% 16% 19% 6% 28Other 50% 7% 1% 23% 15% 4% 34
10 years or less in MA 37% 15% 8% 10% 22% 9% 4211 to 20 years 28% 22% 13% 21% 14% 3% 63More than 20 years 61% 11% 4% 9% 11% 4% 445
High school or less 73% 6% 7% 4% 6% 4% 98Some college 73% 6% 3% 7% 7% 4% 102College graduate 47% 17% 7% 13% 13% 3% 196Post-graduate 43% 15% 6% 14% 18% 5% 152
Less than $30K 65% 3% 12% 6% 8% 6% 36$30K to $60K 61% 7% 5% 6% 15% 7% 68$60K to $75K 62% 19% 4% 11% 4% 1% 35$75K to $100K 60% 11% 5% 14% 8% 2% 66$100K or more 53% 21% 5% 4% 15% 1% 86
Inside 128 48% 14% 5% 14% 16% 3% 146128 to 495 53% 10% 8% 13% 12% 4% 162Central MA 67% 15% 2% 9% 5% 2% 102Western MA 59% 11% 5% 2% 16% 6% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 56% 13% 7% 7% 11% 7% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
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25
“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.”
Strongly Agree Disagree Strongly Don't
Agree Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Disagree Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 6% 22% 9% 22% 33% 9% 553
Likely voter 6% 22% 8% 23% 34% 8% 492 Non-likely voter 8% 11% 17% 21% 28% 16% 32
Baker voter 2% 15% 1% 18% 59% 4% 152Patrick voter 13% 33% 13% 24% 9% 8% 190Cahill voter 2% 16% 6% 24% 48% 3% 41Other/Undecided voter 0% 13% 9% 27% 37% 13% 106
Registered Democrat 12% 25% 11% 22% 23% 7% 170Registered Undeclared 3% 22% 8% 25% 34% 7% 265Registered Republican 3% 12% 4% 16% 56% 9% 66
Democrat 9% 30% 10% 22% 20% 10% 249Independent 4% 17% 11% 24% 37% 8% 141Republican 2% 14% 5% 20% 50% 8% 155
Support Tea Party 2% 14% 6% 17% 56% 5% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 5% 22% 10% 25% 28% 10% 157
Oppose Tea Party 9% 28% 10% 23% 19% 10% 205
Male 5% 18% 6% 22% 42% 7% 266Female 6% 26% 11% 22% 24% 12% 288
35 or under 6% 26% 9% 19% 29% 11% 7735 to 49 4% 18% 6% 26% 34% 12% 12150 to 64 5% 23% 11% 24% 33% 4% 21065 and over 8% 20% 7% 16% 32% 15% 138
White 6% 22% 8% 22% 34% 8% 483African American 7% 32% 20% 15% 10% 15% 26Other 3% 23% 4% 29% 22% 18% 34
10 years or less in MA 2% 27% 11% 25% 21% 15% 4211 to 20 years 7% 32% 8% 25% 18% 11% 61More than 20 years 6% 20% 8% 21% 36% 9% 446
High school or less 8% 15% 14% 15% 38% 9% 94Some college 6% 27% 4% 20% 36% 7% 102College graduate 4% 18% 9% 25% 32% 11% 198Post-graduate 5% 29% 8% 22% 27% 9% 154
Less than $30K 10% 20% 14% 17% 28% 10% 34$30K to $60K 5% 31% 8% 21% 23% 11% 68$60K to $75K 6% 20% 5% 26% 34% 9% 35$75K to $100K 7% 22% 9% 25% 35% 1% 68$100K or more 9% 9% 8% 23% 42% 9% 86
Inside 128 5% 20% 14% 23% 28% 10% 145128 to 495 5% 22% 6% 20% 39% 8% 162Central MA 3% 26% 7% 25% 35% 4% 104Western MA 15% 22% 6% 17% 26% 14% 68Southern MA/Cape/Islands 1% 21% 8% 25% 31% 14% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/poll-for-the-2012-massachusetts-gubernatorial-election 28/30
26
“How familiar are you with the recent controversy over political patronage at the Massachusetts Probation Department … very familiar …somewhat familiar … not very familiar … or not familiar at all?”
Very Somewhat Not Very Not Familiar Don't
Familiar Familiar Familiar At All Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 12% 27% 20% 40% 2% 555
Likely voter 13% 29% 20% 37% 1% 493 Non-likely voter 2% 12% 14% 72% 0% 32
Baker voter 19% 22% 23% 35% 1% 150Patrick voter 11% 37% 22% 29% 0% 189Cahill voter 16% 38% 8% 39% 0% 43Other/Undecided voter 5% 22% 16% 52% 6% 108
Registered Democrat 14% 34% 16% 33% 3% 169Registered Undeclared 12% 26% 22% 39% 1% 265Registered Republican 8% 25% 18% 47% 2% 66
Democrat 12% 30% 19% 38% 1% 250Independent 15% 27% 17% 40% 2% 141Republican 8% 24% 22% 43% 2% 155
Support Tea Party 11% 24% 19% 44% 2% 146
Neither Support/Oppose 5% 24% 24% 45% 2% 161Oppose Tea Party 18% 35% 18% 27% 1% 205
Male 18% 27% 19% 34% 2% 268Female 6% 27% 21% 46% 1% 287
35 or under 7% 10% 14% 66% 3% 7935 to 49 7% 27% 21% 45% 0% 12050 to 64 14% 29% 25% 31% 1% 20865 and over 14% 34% 16% 35% 2% 140
White 12% 27% 20% 39% 1% 482African American 3% 31% 11% 45% 10% 28Other 5% 29% 19% 48% 0% 34
10 years or less in MA 9% 21% 24% 45% 0% 4211 to 20 years 3% 24% 20% 49% 4% 63More than 20 years 13% 28% 19% 38% 1% 445
High school or less 4% 17% 21% 55% 3% 96Some college 7% 22% 24% 43% 3% 102College graduate 11% 26% 21% 42% 1% 197Post-graduate 21% 39% 14% 25% 1% 154
Less than $30K 5% 11% 31% 50% 3% 36$30K to $60K 6% 27% 26% 41% 1% 68$60K to $75K 8% 18% 22% 51% 1% 35$75K to $100K 15% 33% 17% 35% 0% 68$100K or more 20% 28% 19% 33% 0% 86
Inside 128 15% 21% 19% 43% 2% 147128 to 495 13% 35% 18% 32% 2% 160Central MA 10% 24% 21% 43% 2% 103Western MA 8% 32% 16% 43% 1% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 8% 20% 28% 44% 0% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/poll-for-the-2012-massachusetts-gubernatorial-election 29/30
27
“Do you think the patronage controversy in the Massachusetts Probation Department is an isolated incident … do you think it is politics asusual for Massachusetts, or don’t you know enough about it to say?”
Isolated Politics as Don't
Incident Usual Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 5% 48% 48% 554
Likely voter 5% 51% 44% 493 Non-likely voter 0% 32% 68% 32
Baker voter 4% 59% 38% 150Patrick voter 8% 50% 42% 189Cahill voter 3% 69% 28% 43Other/Undecided voter 2% 35% 64% 108
Registered Democrat 6% 47% 47% 169Registered Undeclared 3% 53% 43% 265Registered Republican 5% 46% 49% 66
Democrat 6% 44% 50% 250Independent 4% 51% 45% 141Republican 3% 52% 45% 155
Support Tea Party 1% 55% 44% 146
Neither Support/Oppose 3% 38% 59% 161Oppose Tea Party 8% 56% 37% 205
Male 6% 59% 35% 268Female 4% 37% 60% 287
35 or under 7% 24% 69% 7935 to 49 1% 44% 55% 12050 to 64 5% 53% 42% 20865 and over 6% 55% 39% 140
White 5% 50% 45% 482African American 0% 30% 70% 28Other 6% 35% 59% 34
10 years or less in MA 3% 43% 54% 4211 to 20 years 5% 23% 72% 63More than 20 years 5% 52% 43% 445
High school or less 4% 36% 61% 96Some college 4% 49% 47% 102College graduate 5% 44% 51% 197Post-graduate 6% 59% 35% 154
Less than $30K 3% 34% 63% 35$30K to $60K 9% 44% 47% 68$60K to $75K 3% 37% 60% 35$75K to $100K 4% 49% 47% 68$100K or more 6% 59% 35% 86
Inside 128 4% 47% 49% 147128 to 495 6% 53% 41% 160Central MA 5% 42% 53% 103Western MA 2% 51% 46% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 5% 42% 53% 75
8/9/2019 Poll for the 2012 Massachusetts gubernatorial election
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/poll-for-the-2012-massachusetts-gubernatorial-election 30/30
“And on a completely different topic … what is your favorite professional sports team?”
Boston Boston N.E. Boston N.Y. Don't
Bruins Celtics Patriots Red Sox Yankees Other None Know (N=)
ALL MA ADULTS 4% 13% 23% 40% 2% 6% 10% 1% 557
Likely voter 5% 12% 25% 41% 2% 6% 9% 1% 496 Non-likely voter 0% 13% 19% 41% 2% 8% 17% 0% 32
Baker voter 5% 5% 35% 41% 3% 6% 4% 1% 152Patrick voter 4% 18% 17% 42% 1% 7% 8% 1% 190Cahill voter 1% 10% 44% 38% 0% 0% 7% 0% 43Other/Undecided voter 6% 14% 18% 40% 1% 4% 15% 2% 108
Registered Democrat 3% 17% 18% 45% 1% 5% 10% 1% 172Registered Undeclared 5% 11% 29% 37% 2% 6% 9% 1% 265Registered Republican 2% 9% 19% 54% 2% 5% 6% 1% 66
Democrat 4% 19% 15% 43% 1% 5% 10% 1% 253Independent 6% 6% 31% 33% 3% 7% 14% 1% 141Republican 4% 9% 29% 43% 2% 7% 5% 1% 155
Support Tea Party 3% 11% 33% 40% 2% 4% 6% 1% 148 Neither Support/Oppose 4% 10% 24% 40% 2% 9% 8% 3% 161
Oppose Tea Party 5% 15% 16% 43% 2% 6% 13% 0% 205
Male 6% 11% 30% 36% 2% 7% 7% 1% 270Female 3% 15% 17% 45% 2% 5% 12% 2% 288
35 or under 8% 19% 21% 30% 5% 10% 5% 2% 7935 to 49 6% 16% 23% 36% 1% 5% 11% 3% 12150 to 64 4% 13% 24% 42% 2% 6% 7% 0% 21065 and over 1% 7% 24% 46% 1% 6% 14% 1% 140
White 4% 11% 24% 44% 2% 5% 8% 1% 485African American 3% 48% 17% 2% 0% 13% 17% 0% 28Other 6% 11% 19% 25% 2% 11% 25% 2% 34
10 years or less in MA 0% 27% 2% 25% 2% 21% 18% 4% 4211 to 20 years 6% 19% 23% 35% 1% 8% 7% 0% 63More than 20 years 5% 11% 25% 42% 2% 4% 9% 1% 448
High school or less 5% 12% 30% 39% 1% 7% 7% 1% 98Some college 5% 11% 30% 40% 4% 1% 9% 0% 102College graduate 3% 17% 18% 39% 3% 9% 8% 2% 198Post-graduate 5% 10% 21% 42% 1% 6% 14% 1% 154
Less than $30K 0% 10% 26% 45% 0% 8% 11% 0% 36$30K to $60K 7% 8% 16% 48% 0% 5% 15% 0% 68$60K to $75K 7% 15% 18% 53% 2% 3% 1% 0% 35$75K to $100K 6% 11% 33% 40% 2% 0% 5% 2% 68$100K or more 1% 17% 28% 38% 3% 5% 8% 0% 86
Inside 128 5% 22% 17% 31% 2% 7% 15% 1% 147128 to 495 3% 12% 25% 44% 1% 6% 7% 2% 162Central MA 5% 10% 26% 44% 3% 9% 3% 0% 104Western MA 4% 8% 22% 40% 6% 2% 15% 4% 70Southern MA/Cape/Islands 5% 5% 30% 44% 0% 7% 9% 0% 75