polk county comprehensive plan · -67% owner-occupied, 27% rental, 6% vacant • housing values...

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Polk CountyComprehensive Plan

Economic Development Task Force“Kick off” MeetingFebruary 2, 2005

Strategic Development PlanningStrategic Development Planning

Polk County Comprehensive Plan – Economic Development Task ForcePolk County Comprehensive Plan – Economic Development Task Force

AgendaAgenda

• Introduction of Task Force• Mission of Economic Development Task Force• Introduction of URS Team• Review of Comprehensive Plan Process• “Where is Polk County in the Midwest Economy

and Where is it Going?”• Discussion

• Collection of Handout Material

2



Introduction of Task ForceIntroduction of Task Force

• AIB College of Business• Accu-Mold Corporation• Neighborhood Development

Corporation• Keystone• ITA• Eastern Polk Regional

Development• Warren County Economic• Community Federal Bank• ABS Virtual• R&R• Ladco• Gilotti• Commercial Federal Bank

• Koehler• MidAmerican• Pioneer• Albaugh, Inc• BDF• Coldwell• Ankeny Industrial• Charter Bank• Hubbell• Dallas County Economic

Development• Greater Des Moines

Partnership• Des Moines Economic

Development



Introduction of the TeamIntroduction of the Team

Jon DeVries, AICPTimothy Butler, AICP

Stina FishBrian Ross

3



Review of the Comprehensive Plan ProcessReview of the Comprehensive Plan Process

Purposes of the PlanPurposes of the Plan•• LongLong--term strategyterm strategy

•• ShorterShorter--term decisions term decisions

•• Development reviewsDevelopment reviews

•• Basis for zoning Basis for zoning

•• Guide to capital budgetGuide to capital budget

•• Intergovernmental coordination Intergovernmental coordination

•• Private sector communication and Private sector communication and leadershipleadership




4




Purposes of the PlanPurposes of the Plan•• Link Land Use, Link Land Use,

Transportation, Transportation, UtilitiesUtilities

•• Focus on Focus on ImplementaImplementa--tiontion, Usability, Usability




Matching city and county land usesMatching city and county land uses•• City expansion plans, annexation City expansion plans, annexation

agreementsagreements

•• Regional highway plans (i.e., Northeast Regional highway plans (i.e., Northeast Beltway)Beltway)

•• Utility extensionsUtility extensions

•• Understanding community character Understanding community character and form of developmentand form of development

5




Primary Participation MethodsPrimary Participation Methods

•• Steering CommitteeSteering Committee•• Area Plan CommitteesArea Plan Committees•• Housing Task Force Housing Task Force •• Economic Development Task Economic Development Task

ForceForce•• Open HousesOpen Houses•• Resources for staff Resources for staff

presentationspresentations



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Natural ResourcesComprehensive Plan Base Information –Natural Resources

Land Base Land Base -- GeologyGeology

Abandoned coal mines Abandoned coal mines ––

Known LocationsKnown Locations

Geology Geology ––

Alluvial DepositsAlluvial Deposits

6




LandformsLandforms

Topography and ElevationTopography and Elevation

HydrologyHydrology




Vegetation Vegetation –– Land CoverLand Cover

Vegetation Vegetation -- HistoricHistoric

Hydrology Hydrology –– Flood Zones andFlood Zones and

Watershed BoundariesWatershed Boundaries

7




Soil AssociationsSoil Associations

Steep slopes and Steep slopes and ErodibleErodible SoilsSoils

Known and Potential Known and Potential Contamination SitesContamination Sites



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Socio Economic DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Socio Economic Data

• Population Density by Census Tract

8




050,000

100,000

150,000

200,000250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000450,000

1970 1980 1990 2000 2003

Popu

latio

n

Unincorporated Areas(est.)

Other Cities (est.)

West Des Moines

Urbandale

Ankeny

Des Moines

Comparative Population Change in Polk County, 1970-2003

Percentage Population Change, 1980-2003

1%12%-13%5%Unincorporated Areas (est.)

10%39%22%57%Other Cities (est.)

10%34%45%33%West Des Moines

8%22%32%24%Urbandale

15%47%20%69%Ankeny

-1%3%1%-5%Des Moines

4%15%8%6%Polk County Total

2000-03200019901980Population Area

Ten years endingPercentage Population Change,

1980-2003

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

1980 1990 2000 2000-03

Polk County Total Des MoinesAnkeny UrbandaleWest Des Moines Other Cities (est.)Unincorporated Areas (est.)




• Both County and cities grew faster than 1990 plan had predicted

• Unincorporated Polk County stayed fairly constant in population as its land base shrank

Actual Population 2000 Forecasts in 1990 Plan

Population Area Baseline Spill-over Target Policy

Actual 2000

Population

Des Moines 174,656 174,656 183,675 198,682

Suburban Municipalities 122,657 112,872 108,348 144,379

Exurban Municipalities* 3,537 3,537 3,537 5,714

Unincorporated Areas 26,050 26,050 31,340 25,826

Polk County Total 326,900 317,115 326,900 374,601

* Exurban municipalities in 2000: Alleman, Carlisle, Elkhart, Mitchellville, Polk City, Runnells, Sheldahl

Source: 1990 Comprehensive Plan, U.S. Census

9




• County median age declined (counter to national trends) in 1990s from 38.2 to 34.4

• Largest age cohort is 35-44

Age D istributionP olk C ounty

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,000

Under

5 5-9

10-

14

15-

19

20-

24

25-

34

35-

44

45-

54

55-

59

60-

64

65-

74

75-

84 85+

1990 Cens us 2000 Cens us




• Increasing racial and ethnic diversity (black, Asian, Latino)

• Overall increase in total households• Declining household size• More non-family households• More senior heads of household; female heads

of household

10



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Housing DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Housing Data

• 166,010 housing units (2003)- 6% increase since 2000- 22% since 1990- Grimes and Johnston saw largest increases

• 90% within municipalities (2000) • Tenure

- 67% owner-occupied, 27% rental, 6% vacant• Housing values increased over 50% in 1990s in all municipalities

- Highest values in Johnston, Clive, West Des Moines - Median value increased from $73,200 in 1990 to $103,100 in

2000 (40.8%)• Rental costs increased 31%



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Housing DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Housing Data

• Distribution of affordable housing• Continued market demand for larger, more

expensive housing; related impacts on housing affordability.

• Median household income for nonfamily households not keeping pace with housing costs

• 10.9% owner-occupied households are “cost-burdened,” 9.6% renter households

• County involvement primarily through Housing Trust Fund

11



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Water/Wastewater DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Water/Wastewater Data

• WRA Facility Plan Update- Ankeny, Altoona and Bondurant to

connect to regional system- “Expansion projects” -

• Four Mile Interceptor improvements, extension

• Little Four Mile Interceptor extension

• Mud Creek Interceptor and Little Four Mile Interceptor – South Branch

- Local projects: Saylor Creek Sewer• Water, sewer, land use relationships

Water Service Areas



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Land Use DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Land Use Data

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Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Land Use DataComprehensive Plan Base Information –Land Use Data



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –County ZoningComprehensive Plan Base Information –County Zoning

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Comprehensive Plan Base Information –AgricultureComprehensive Plan Base Information –Agriculture

• Northern 2/3 of County• 63% of County lies outside municipal

boundaries• Approximately 62% total County area in farms• Number of farms and farmers has declined• Acreage in farms, size of farms

have increased• Slight rise in farm income

Best Farmland Best Farmland Soils (CSR)Soils (CSR) Number of Farms

700

750

800

850

900

1997 2002

Total Acreage in Farms

224500

225000

225500

226000

226500

227000

227500

1997 2002



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –Community ResourcesComprehensive Plan Base Information –Community Resources

Community Facilities

Regional Facilities

Parks and Open Space

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Comprehensive Plan Base Information –TransportationComprehensive Plan Base Information –Transportation

• Multimodal:- Roadways- Transit- Non-motorized

• What is Included in the Transportation Element:- Roadway Improvements Major Routes/ Important

Secondary Outside Municipalities- Local/Regional Transit System Changes/

Improvements Outside Municipalities- Major Bicycle/Pedestrian System Elements- Airports – From Master Plan- Freight Movement



Comprehensive Plan Base Information –TransportationComprehensive Plan Base Information –Transportation

• What is NOT Included in the Transportation Element:

- Locations inside municipalities- Nuisance Issues (speeding, cut through traffic,

etc.- Local Street Projects- Local Bus System Routing Recommendations- Local Bicycle/Pedestrian Projects

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Economic Base AnalysisEconomic Base Analysis

• “Where is Polk County in the Iowa and Midwestern Economy and Where is it Going?”- Reviewed existing market conditions- Interviewed planning and business professionals- Profiled Midwest growth trends



Growth returned to the Midwest during the 1990sGrowth returned to the Midwest during the 1990s

Population Growth (Midwest vs. United States)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1969-79 1979-89 1989-1999

Perc

ent C

hang

e

United States Midwest

16



Michigan lags, Wisconsin leadsMichigan lags, Wisconsin leads

-4

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

5

1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04

Total employment

MI

IL

US

IN

percent change from year ago

WI

IA



Historic perspectiveHistoric perspective

• Region became high-income during late 19th and early 20th century through agriculture, resources, manufacturing & urbanization

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Agriculture and manufacturing--MW mainstays--will continue to shrinkAgriculture and manufacturing--MW mainstays--will continue to shrink

Industry Employment as percent of Total Employment: 1900 - 1997

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991Year

Perc

ent

Manufacturing/Total Agricultural/TotalSources: Historical Statistics of US, BLS, USDA



Region of manufacturing--both then and nowRegion of manufacturing--both then and now

Manufacturing share of total employment

10

15

20

25

30

35

1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002

perc

ent

Midw est

United States

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Per capita income vs. U.S.Per capita income vs. U.S.

Per capita personal income, MW vs. US

94

96

98

100

102

104

106

1978 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00

US

avg

= 10

0



Large cities are performing best...Large cities are performing best...

Midwest Growth in Population, 1990-2001

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Non MetropolitanAreas

Metro Area < 1million

Metro Areas > 1million

Chicago PMSA

Percent Change (%)

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Some urban areas (i.e Chicago) have morphed to services….can others do so?Some urban areas (i.e Chicago) have morphed to services….can others do so?

Chicago MSA Employment by sector, 1970-1997

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1970 1980 1990 1997

thou

sand

s

Financial, Legal and Business Services ManufacturingSource: U.S. Department of Commerce, County Business Patterns, author's calculations



Educational Attainment 2000Educational Attainment 2000

<H.S. H.S. Grad Some College

College Adv. Degree

U.S. 19.6 28.6 27.3 15.5 8.9Illinois 18.6 27.7 27.7 16.5 9.5Chicago PMSA 17.0 26.0 26.0 19.0 11.0Indiana 17.9 37.2 25.5 12.2 7.2IowaIowa 13.913.9 36.136.1 28.828.8 14.714.7 6.56.5Michigan 16.6 31.3 30.3 13.7 8.1Wisconsin 15.0 34.6 28.1 15.3 7.2

Educational Attainment 2000

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Two Pillars of Biotech DevelopmentTwo Pillars of Biotech Development

• NIH Grants• Patents• new Ph.D.s

• Venture Capital• R&D Partnerships• Startup Firms• Established Firms

Research

Commercialization



Midwest commercial biotechnology is weak…despite strong research activityMidwest commercial biotechnology is weak…despite strong research activity

Biotech CentersNIH funds ($M) bio Ph.Ds bio patents

Boston 1,433 355 3,007S.F. Bay area 704 215 3,991San Diego 681 82 1,632Raleigh-Durham 469 166 796Seattle 504 68 770New York 1,383 519 6,806Philadelphia 596 139 3,214Los Angeles 594 218 1,399Wash.-Balt. 952 241 2,162

Research CentersChicago 417 177 1,444Detroit 349 105 655Houston 420 135 634St. Louis 324 73 780

21



The Midwest produces more nanotechnology papers than any other region--Can it produce the commercialization?The Midwest produces more nanotechnology papers than any other region--Can it produce the commercialization?

344344

259259

754 754

175175

346346

323323

18071807

312312

543543

11731173

628628

976976

255255278278 479479354354

174174

294294

243243

1986 - 1987USA ~120WW Total ~450

1986 - 1987USA ~120WW Total ~450

1991 - 1992USA ~1,500WW Total ~3,800

1991 - 1992USA ~1,500WW Total ~3,800

2001 - 2002USA ~10,000WW Total ~34,000

2001 - 2002USA ~10,000WW Total ~34,000

211211

156156

122122

139139 128128




• Preliminary SWOT- Strengths – Employment Base, Transportation

Linkages, Available Properties- Weaknesses – Attraction of Young Professionals,

Changes in Financial Sector- Opportunities – Reinvestment in Downtown Des

Moines and in Brownfields- Threats – Unbalanced Suburban Growth, Loss of

New Technology growth to other centers

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• Locational Advantage

17%242,835 / 1,403,989TOTAL EMPLOYMENT

20%14,184 / 71,635Public administration

24%14,679 / 60,785Administrative and waste services

42%3,574 / 8,597Management of companies and enterprises

29%10,846 / 37,833Professional and technical services

28%4,186 / 14,950Real estate and rental and leasing

49%39,669 / 80,594Finance and insurance

26%8,835 / 34,182Information

23%14,987 / 65,349Wholesale trade

20%13,010 / 66,575Construction

State of Iowa EmploymentINDUSTRY

Percentage of State

Employment in Industry

Polk County Employment




• Migration of residents from other Counties 2000 - 2003

In Migration Out Migration Net MigrationIowa 25,071 23,219 1,852Other 11,046 10,830 216Foreign 422 248 174Northeast 1,236 1,333 -97Midwest 10,626 11,110 -484West 4,771 5,498 -727South 4,914 6,758 -1,844

Migration 58,086 58,996 -910

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Employment Base – State of IowaEmployment Base – State of Iowa

• Iowa vs. Peer States - Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska and Missouri

• Key Employment Categories- Manufacturing- Transportation and warehousing- Finance and Insurance- Public Administration- Total Employment



Employment Base – Iowa vs. Peer StatesEmployment Base – Iowa vs. Peer States

• Manufacturing

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

Illinois Iowa Minnesota Missouri Nebraska

2001 2002 2003 2004

24




• Transportation and warehousing

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

Illinois Iowa M innesota M issouri Nebraska

2001 2002 2003 2004




• Finance and Insurance

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000


2001 2002 2003 2004

25




• Public Administration

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000


2001 2002 2003 2004



Illinois

Iowa

Minnesota

Missouri

Nebraska

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

7,000,000

2001 2002 2003 2004


Total EmploymentTotal Employment

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Employment Base – Des Moines MSAEmployment Base – Des Moines MSA

• Des Moines vs. Peer MSAs- Minneapolis, Omaha, Springfield MO, Iowa City

• Key Employment Categories- Manufacturing- Transportation and warehousing- Finance and Insurance- Public Administration- Total Employment



Employment Base – Des Moines MSA vs. Peer MSAsEmployment Base – Des Moines MSA vs. Peer MSAs

• Manufacturing

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Des M oines Iowa City M SA M inneapolis M SA Omaha M SA Springf ield M O M SA

2001 2002 2003

27




• Transportation and warehousing

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000


2001 2002 2003




• Finance and Insurance

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000


2001 2002 2003

28




• Public Administration

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000


2001 2002 2003




• Total Employment

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

Des Moines Iowa City MSA Minneapolis MSA Omaha MSA Springfield MO MSA

200120022003

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• Retail Sales In-flow- 37% of all retail sales originated from non-Polk

County residents in 2003• Recent Expansion of Retail Space

- Jordan Creek Mall, a General Growth property opened in the summer of 2004 in West Des Moines

• More retail potential possible?




• Strong Office Base- Occupancy above 90% for all office classifications- 95% Class “A” office space- Core Des Moines Business District is retaining and

expanding premier office space- New expansions to the west of back office and flex

space

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• Industrial Space is being condensed- Firestone’s 850,000 sf distribution facility

consolidated other facilities- RR Donnelley’s 640,000 sf shuttered facility remains

vacant- Strong Occupancy / Weak Absorption

• Manufacturing space is declining• <700,000 sq ft of Warehouse space absorbed

annually since 2002- Manufacturing continues to contract – Can

distribution and intermodal grow?




• Next Research Steps- Summarize Task Force Input- Business Retention/Attraction Targets- Residential Development/In-fill Potentials- Education Institutions – Polk County Potentials- Regional Retail/Entertainment Potentials

• Economic Development Task Force- Continued Input- Next Meeting – March 2nd

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Task Force DiscussionTask Force Discussion

• What are the three strongest attributes of the Polk County economy?

• What are three weaknesses/threats for improving Polk County’s economy?

• What opportunities do you see in regards to Economic Development in Polk County over the next five (5) years?

• What are three threats to the economic growth of Polk County in the next five (5) years?

polk county comprehensive plan · -67% owner-occupied, 27% rental, 6% vacant • housing values...

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