polio emergency operations plan - who...feb 01, 2012  · 1. how should the gpei emergency...

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Polio Emergency Operations Plan Context & major elements SAGE February 2012

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Page 1: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Polio Emergency Operations Plan Context & major elements

SAGE

February 2012

Page 2: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

"DECLARES polio eradication a

programmatic emergency for global

public health, requiring full strategy

implementation, strong national

oversight & accountability, and

vaccination recommendations for

travelers to & from infected areas "

21 January 2012

WHO Executive Board Resolution

Page 3: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

3

15-16 Feb GPEI strategy/innovation review

17 Feb SAGE review of 'framework' for global plan

March Nigeria & Pakistan expert consultations to finalize national emergency actions plans.

Finalize international partner support/plans.

April SAGE review of Nigeria & Pakistan emergency action plans & consolidated global plan

May World Health Assembly debate on polio

Timeline

Page 4: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

4

1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be

strengthened to help ensure infected countries, esp.

Nigeria & Pakistan, can get 'back on track' in 2012?

2. What guidance can SAGE give to national programmes

(esp. Nigeria & Pakistan) as they revise/refine national

emergency action plans?

3. Should new milestones be established before end-

2012 and the current strategic plan?

Questions to SAGE

Page 5: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Ensure all key areas of Nigeria, Pakistan, Afghanistan are reaching necessary coverage levels by end-2012

Sustain momentum in Chad, DR Congo, Angola to interrupt transmission in 2012

Heighten GPEI partner accountability & coordination to improve sub-national outcomes in these countries.

Goals

Page 6: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Endemic country

Wild virus type 3

Country with importation case

Wild virus type 1

India: >12

months with no

polio for 1st time

in history.

Context: polio cases last 6 months

Page 7: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140A

ng

ola

Chad

DR

C

Afg

han

Pak

ista

n

Nig

eria

Ca

se

s

Indigenous virus Re-established virus

Context: increasing polio cases 2nd half 2011

Nigeria & Pakistan

• type 1 & 3 WPV

• int'l exports

Page 8: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Context: poor program performance monitoring*

Correlation is 30% with LQAS!

Pakistan: district SIA monitoring coverage

Nigeria: district SIA monitoring coverage

Correlation is 17% with LQAS!

* analyses courtesy of the Global Good Fund

Page 9: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Immediately enhance accountability & management of core eradication strategies

Rapidly introduce & scale-up best practices/lessons learnt to improve strategy implementation

Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems

Operational Priorities

Page 10: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

30 10 100 30 10 30 10 30 100 100

30 20 30 20 30 100 100

30 30 60

100 10 40 10 40

8 CHD 18 CHD 28 2 30 50

30 50

Sudan 50 50 50 50

South Sudan 50 50 50 50

West Africa

Horn of Africa

35 65 35

100

35 65 35 65

50 50 50 50

100

Central Africa

100 100 100

Southeast Asia

100

Myanmar

Europe

Russian Federation*

50 50 50 50

50 50 50 50

Georgia* 50

Ukraine

50 50 50 50

*self-financing and not included in the FRR costing

CHD 100

100

50

100 100

50

100 100

100 100

Djibouti 100

100 100

50

100

50

100 100

100

100100100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100100

100 100

100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100 100 50

100 50

100 100

100

50

100

60

50 50

60 60

100

30 30

100

Turkmenistan

100

100

Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan

50

50 50

100

CHD 75

CHD 89

CHD 75

100

Burundi

CHD 100

100

100 100

100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

50

100

100 100

100

100

100 100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100 CHD 100

100

100 100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100

100

Chad CHD 100 100 100 100100 50 100 100 100

Angola 100

50

DR Congo 6

50

CHD 100

50 100 50 30

30

60

100 100

10040Afghanistan

Pakistan 100

100

Nigeria

India 100

100100

50

100

Liberia

100

Cote d'Ivoire

Niger 61

100

100Mali

Guinea

100

100

Ghana

Sierra Leone

100

100

Burkina Faso

Mauritania

Gambia

Senegal

Cape Verde

Kenya

Benin

Togo

Guinea Bissau

Ethiopia

Somalia CHD 100

Eritrea

Uganda

100Bangladesh

Cameroon

Rwanda

Central African Republic

11

100

Zimbabwe

CHD 25Nepal

Yemen

1Congo

5050

100

50

100 100 100100 30

100 60 100 100 100 30 30 30

60 60 60 30 10030

100

100

100

100

50 100 50 50

100 100 100 100

100 100 50 100 100

100

100 100

100 100

100

100

CHD 75

100

100 100 100

100

100

100 100

100 100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100 100 100

100 CHD 92

65 35

35 35

CHD 35 35

100 100 100

CHD 49 100 100

Gabon* 100

5050

CHD 100

CHD 100

100 100

Tajikistan 50 50

50 50

Kyrgyzstan

CHD 100

30 10 100 30 10 30 10 30 100 100

30 20 30 20 30 100 100

30 30 60

100 10 40 10 40

8 CHD 18 CHD 28 2 30 50

30 50

Sudan 50 50 50 50

South Sudan 50 50 50 50

West Africa

Horn of Africa

35 65 35

100

35 65 35 65

50 50 50 50

100

Central Africa

100 100 100

Southeast Asia

100

Myanmar

Europe

Russian Federation*

50 50 50 50

50 50 50 50

Georgia* 50

Ukraine

50 50 50 50

*self-financing and not included in the FRR costing

CHD 100

100

50

100 100

50

100 100

100 100

Djibouti 100

100 100

50

100

50

100 100

100

100100100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100100

100 100

100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100 100 50

100 50

100 100

100

50

100

60

50 50

60 60

100

30 30

100

Turkmenistan

100

100

Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan

50

50 50

100

CHD 75

CHD 89

CHD 75

100

Burundi

CHD 100

100

100 100

100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

50

100

100 100

100

100

100 100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100 100

100 CHD 100

100

100 100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100

100

100

Chad CHD 100 100 100 100100 50 100 100 100

Angola 100

50

DR Congo 6

50

CHD 100

50 100 50 30

30

60

100 100

10040Afghanistan

Pakistan 100

100

Nigeria

India 100

100100

50

100

Liberia

100

Cote d'Ivoire

Niger 61

100

100Mali

Guinea

100

100

Ghana

Sierra Leone

100

100

Burkina Faso

Mauritania

Gambia

Senegal

Cape Verde

Kenya

Benin

Togo

Guinea Bissau

Ethiopia

Somalia CHD 100

Eritrea

Uganda

100Bangladesh

Cameroon

Rwanda

Central African Republic

11

100

Zimbabwe

CHD 25Nepal

Yemen

1Congo

5050

100

50

100 100 100100 30

100 60 100 100 100 30 30 30

60 60 60 30 10030

100

100

100

100

50 100 50 50

100 100 100 100

100 100 50 100 100

100

100 100

100 100

100

100

CHD 75

100

100 100 100

100

100

100 100

100 100 100 100

100

100 100

100

100

100 100 100

100 CHD 92

65 35

35 35

CHD 35 35

100 100 100

CHD 49 100 100

Gabon* 100

5050

CHD 100

CHD 100

100 100

Tajikistan 50 50

50 50

Kyrgyzstan

CHD 100

Core Strategies: intense OPV campaign schedule

Endemic

Re-established

Recurrent Importation Countries

Page 11: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Heightened national leadership & oversight

Dr Muhammad Ali Pate

Minister of State for Health

Nigeria

Dr Mamouth Nahor N'gawara

Ministre de la Santé Publique

Tchad

Ms. Shahnaz Wazir Ali

Prime Minister’s Special Assistant

Pakistan

Page 12: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Heightened oversight & emergency support

Heads of agency (quarterly)

Agency, NIE & PAK heads of programme (monthly)

Operational directors (weekly)

National heads of programme & partners (monthly/quarterly)

Coordinated country,

regional & headquarters

fora

Page 13: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

13

Activation of emergency centres/procedures

Strategic Health Operations Centre (WHO)

Emergency Operation Center (CDC)

Page 14: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

14

Activation of emergency centres/procedures

• 23 Jan: UNICEF Executive Director, established an inter-divisional Polio Emergency Coordinating Committee under Deputy ExD Geeta Rao Gupta

• Allows ExD to quickly identify &

resolve bottlenecks using UNICEF emergency procedures ExD Mr Tony Lake

Page 15: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Monthly in-depth

country analyses:

'what's not working?

why? adjustments?

Quarterly risk

assessments:

regional focus

"next problems?"

Weekly: active

WPV "what's

new? what to

do?"

Coordinated, focused country support

Real-time programme performance tracking

Nat'l plan progress

Surveillance

Broad analysis of

program determinants

Human Resources

Political Oversight

Security

SIA quality

Social Mobilization

Impact on transmission

Epidemiology & lab

Page 16: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Immediately enhance accountability & management of core eradication strategies

Rapidly introduce & scale-up best practices/lessons learnt to improve strategy implementation

Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems

Operational Priorities

Page 17: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Best Practices/Lessons Learnt

A) huge expansion of technical assistance

B) improved OPV campaign monitoring

C) expanded use of environmental surveillance

D) rapid scale-up of routine immunization services

E) enhanced access in conflict-affected areas

Page 18: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Accelerate Innovation

A) expanded age groups for outbreak response

B) GIS & GPS technologies to improve SIA quality

C) vaccination of travelers

D) new surveillance technologies (e.g. env surv)

E) IPV campaigns (with or without tOPV-bOPV switch)

Page 19: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Dates Target for infected districts*

Jan-Jun 2012 4 SIAs, at least 2 with >80% coverage

Jul-Dec 2012 3 SIAs with >90% validated coverage

Jan-Jun 2013 4 SIAs with >90% validated coverage

Jul-Dec 2013 3 SIAs with >90% validated coverage

Performance Targets

* LQAS-confirmed coverage targets

Page 20: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

20

Importation country

Endemic country

Wild virus type 1

Wild virus type 3

Reported wild poliovirus cases, last 4 months

Polio today

Page 21: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

Nepal

EC

Russian

Federation

UKUSCDC

Luxembourg

Monaco

Rotary

International

Bill and Melinda

Gates Foundation

Angola

World Bank

IFFIm

WHO

Australia

Unicef Regular

Resources

USAIDCanadaJapan

JICA Loan

Conversion

India

2012-13 Funding Gap:

US$1.09 B of $2.23 B budget

‘Other’ includes: the Gov'ts of Cyprus, Finland, Italy, Monaco, Nigeria, Nepal, and Romania; and other Institutions: CERF, Is lamic Development Bank, Shinnyo-en. As of 26 September 2011

Domestic

Resources

19%

Non-G8 OECD/

Other 2%

Multilateral

Sector

5%

Private Sector

14%

G8

10%

Budget & financing, 2012-13

Page 22: Polio Emergency Operations Plan - WHO...Feb 01, 2012  · 1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be ... Accelerate innovation to address systemic problems Operational Priorities

22

1. How should the GPEI emergency operations plan be

strengthened to help ensure infected countries, esp.

Nigeria & Pakistan, can get 'back on track' in 2012?

2. What guidance can SAGE give to national programmes

(esp. Nigeria & Pakistan) as they revise/refine national

emergency action plans?

3. Should new milestones be established before end-

2012 and the current strategic plan?

Questions to SAGE