pmi – clear lake "the next labor crisis..déjà vu to the 1990’s all over again" 2006...
TRANSCRIPT
PMI – Clear LakePMI – Clear Lake
"The Next Labor "The Next Labor Crisis..DéjàCrisis..Déjà
vu to the 1990’s All Over Again" vu to the 1990’s All Over Again"
20062006
by James Del Monte by James Del Monte JDA Professional Services, Inc.JDA Professional Services, Inc.
Hard Questions Part 1Hard Questions Part 1
1.1. Who are you and what does JDA stand Who are you and what does JDA stand for?for?
2.2. What is going on in the employment What is going on in the employment market?market?
3.3. Why is it taking so long to find a position Why is it taking so long to find a position I Want if unemployment is so low?I Want if unemployment is so low?
4.4. Why don’t recruiters return my calls?Why don’t recruiters return my calls?
5.5. What does the future employment What does the future employment outlook look like?outlook look like?
Hard Questions Part 2 Hard Questions Part 2
1.1. What positions are moving off shore What positions are moving off shore and how does this impact me?and how does this impact me?
2.2. Are P/M positions going more Are P/M positions going more contract or Full-Time?contract or Full-Time?
3.3. Why is it that when I am hiring Why is it that when I am hiring someone the recruiter's won’t stop someone the recruiter's won’t stop calling?calling?
4.4. Where are the people we need to Where are the people we need to hire going to come from?hire going to come from?
Hard Questions Part 3Hard Questions Part 3
1.1. What is the future of PMO’s?What is the future of PMO’s?
2.2. How much difference does a PMP How much difference does a PMP make?make?
3.3. I’m a PMP why don’t I get respect?I’m a PMP why don’t I get respect?
4.4. How do I position myself for a senior How do I position myself for a senior management position? management position?
5.5. What suggestions do you have to keep What suggestions do you have to keep my staff?my staff?
6.6. Are you done yet?Are you done yet?
What JDA Does. . .What JDA Does. . .
JDA provides clients with a full full complement complement of information of information technology professionals.technology professionals.Our services are designed to meet Our services are designed to meet the unique and changing the unique and changing requirements of our clients.requirements of our clients. Full-Time Staffing
Contract /Temporary Staffing
Special Projects Staffing
JDA
Law of Supply and DemandLaw of Supply and Demand
The demand for skilled professionals peaked 4Q99 and has decreased, bottoming out 3Q03. The current cycle indicates that
once again there are more positions than skilled professionals, and this is projected to continue past 2010.
Labor Surplus vs. Skill Shortage
1984
1995
2Q01
4Q04
Demand Bottomed
4Q99
Demand Peaked
Demand Bottomed Supply
Demand
1989 3Q03
Most Requested InformationMost Requested Information
How to write a How to write a resignation letter resignation letter articlearticle
High cost of High cost of turnover article turnover article
Job Creation
10 million more positions than people in the USA by 2010
Labor Surplus vs. Skill ShortageLabor Surplus vs. Skill Shortage
Employment IndexEmployment Index
Employment of workers in IT Occupations
3,150,000
3,200,000
3,250,000
3,300,000
3,350,000
3,400,000
3,450,000
3,500,000
3,550,000
3,600,000
3,650,000
3,700,000
Source: National Association of Computer Consultant Businesses (www.naccb.org)
Unemployment Virtually “Zero” Among Unemployment Virtually “Zero” Among IT ProfessionalsIT Professionals
OccupationOccupation 1Q2006 Unemployment rate1Q2006 Unemployment rate
Computer hardware engineers 2.0
Computer and information systems managers
2.3
Computer programmers 3.1
Computer scientists and systems analysts 2.2
Computer software engineers 2.3
Computer support specialists 3.6
Database administrators 1.3
Network and computer systems administrators
1.3
Network systems and data communications analysts
2.9
Source: unpublished tabulations of Current Population Survey data furnished by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Candidate PopulationCandidate Population
25% A Players25% A Players
50% B Players50% B Players
25% C Players25% C Players
• Will come from companies with less than 100 employees
• In Houston there are less than 4,000 companies with over 100 employees
• These companies need the same services as large companies - just not all the time
80% of Job Growth80% of Job Growth
Increase Staff, 75%
Remain the Same, 22%
Decrease Staff, 3%
2007 IT Hiring Percentages2007 IT Hiring Percentages
Position Demand . . .Position Demand . . .
% Skills Yrs. Exp.
10 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs.
30 Sr. Tech/ 4 – 8 Yrs 1st Line Mgmt
60 Staff/Tech 0 – 5 Yrs
Talent PoolTalent Pool
% Skills Yrs. Exp.
60 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs.
30 Sr. Tech/ 4 – 8 Yrs 1st Line Mgmt
10 Staff/Tech 0 – 5 Yrs
Position Demand . . . Position Demand . . .
Talent Pool . . . Talent Pool . . .
% Skills Yrs. Exp.
10 Mgmt./Conslt. 8+ Yrs. 60 8+ Yrs
30 Sr. Tech/ 4 – 8 Yrs 30 1st Line Mgmt 4 – 8 Yrs
60 Staff/Tech 0 – 4 Yrs10 0 – 4 Yrs
The job market has shifted from an Employer’s MarketEmployer’s Market to a Job Seeker’s MarketJob Seeker’s Market - to a Combination MarketCombination Market.
Candidate
Candidate
Candidate
Position
Position
Position
Position
Candidate
2000 - 20032000 - 20032000 - 20032000 - 2003 2004 - 20102004 - 20102004 - 20102004 - 2010
Market ShiftMarket Shift
Where Do All of the People Come Where Do All of the People Come From?From?
Internal Full-Time Staff
Low Cost Providers
Network Integrators
Hardware Support Providers
Software Developers/Support
Software Providers
Voice Data Providers
Contract or Temp Labor
Training Companies
Management Consultants
Sets the Price Yes NoAnnual Increases 5-15 % 3-6 %
Today’s MenuBusiness Analyst $50K - $ 80KProject/Team Leader - $65K - $110K Large CompanyData Center Manager $75K - $105KData/Voice Comm Spec. $55K - $ 95K. NET Market Value
Positions of TomorrowPositions of Tomorrow
Current globalization creates a market for PM, BA, and Functional Analysts who areneeded to manage 3rd party resources.
Skills CIO’s Look For Personal Inventory
Business/Functional Project Management Communication - written and oral Presentation Problem Solving Critical Thinking Leadership Organization Skills Time Management Attention to Detail Learning Ability Flexibility
The PMOThe PMO
31%
69% 67%
33%41%
59%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
PMO PMO part ofBusinessPlanning?
Do you measureyour PMO?
Strategic or Yes Tactical or No
What You Can’t Measure, You What You Can’t Measure, You Can’t ManageCan’t Manage
With no measurable criteria for a With no measurable criteria for a PMO, Businesses are not going to see PMO, Businesses are not going to see the added value and budgetary the added value and budgetary increases will cease.increases will cease.
Show your worth, give measurable Show your worth, give measurable results to show progress and proof of results to show progress and proof of value.value.
Hiring a Project Manager Hiring a Project Manager
0.0%
34.5%
65.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
PMP Certification
Required
Preferred
No Preference
Formal Education vs. CertificationsFormal Education vs. Certifications
50% of Companies questioned, claimed 50% of Companies questioned, claimed no better results with a PMP certified no better results with a PMP certified Project Manager than with one who has Project Manager than with one who has qualified experience but no certification.qualified experience but no certification.
More than half of the Companies More than half of the Companies preferred a formal degree and;preferred a formal degree and;
71% prefer an advanced degree before 71% prefer an advanced degree before promoting to a leadership role.promoting to a leadership role.
Advanced Degrees for Advanced Degrees for Management Management
71.9%
28.1%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Advanced Degree
Experience
Degree
Both
Why People StayWhy People Stay
Like the people they work withLike the people they work with Control and independence over Control and independence over
workwork Flexible work schedules Flexible work schedules Decision makingDecision making Increased levels of responsibilityIncreased levels of responsibility Reward and recognitionReward and recognition A sense of belonging A sense of belonging FunFun
Why People LeaveWhy People Leave
Bad management Lack of recognition or reward Too much travel Bad work environment Lack of job security Lack of training Long commute Pay/benefits Uncertainty about future Lack of career advancement
10 Ways to Keep Them!10 Ways to Keep Them!
1.1. Hire the right type of person: A or BHire the right type of person: A or B
2.2. Have people grow into the position vs. out of the position Have people grow into the position vs. out of the position
3.3. Rotate responsibilities and cross-train, offering a variety of Rotate responsibilities and cross-train, offering a variety of functions and responsibilitiesfunctions and responsibilities
4.4. Pay above-market cash or bonusesPay above-market cash or bonuses
5.5. Use non-cash rewards and recognition for results/ effortsUse non-cash rewards and recognition for results/ efforts
10 Ways to Keep Them!10 Ways to Keep Them!
6.6. Create a team environment / team buildingCreate a team environment / team building
7.7. Use temps or contractors for more routine Use temps or contractors for more routine workwork
8.8. Encourage communication with managerEncourage communication with manager
9.9. Make proactive counteroffers when you Make proactive counteroffers when you have someone you want to keep have someone you want to keep
10.10.Set clear expectations and give feedback Set clear expectations and give feedback on how they are doingon how they are doing
Bad SeedsBad SeedsGet rid of bad seeds and people who Get rid of bad seeds and people who don’t want to be there – the don’t want to be there – the dominant attitude will proliferate dominant attitude will proliferate through the group and pollute the through the group and pollute the team.team.