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    HUMAN RESOURCE PLANNING

    Introduction

    Steps in HR planning

    Forecasting

    Manpower wastage i.e., Surplus and shortage and its impact on HRP

    Benchmarking

    HR Business Pefrormance

    Downsizing

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    Meaning and definition of HRP

    HRP may be viewed as foreseeing the human resourcerequirements of an organization and the future supplyof human resources

    HRP is a process by which an organization should movefrom its current manpower position to its desiredmanpower position

    Through HR planning the management strives to have

    the right number and right kind of people at the rightplaces at the right time

    HRP does things which result in both the organizationand the individual receiving maximum long-run benefit

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    Need for HRP

    Every organization has to plan for human resources due to:

    The shortage of certain categories of employees and/or variety of skills despite theproblem of unemployment

    The rapid changes in technology, marketing, management etc., and theconsequent need for new skills and new categories of employees

    The changes in organization design and structure affecting manpower demand The demographic changes like profile of the workforce in terms of age, sex,

    education etc.

    The Government policies in respect to reservation, child labour, working conditionsetc.

    The labour laws affecting the demand for and supply of labour

    Pressure from trade unions, politicians, sons of the soil etc. Introduction of computers, robots etc.

    The involvement of lead time in manning the job with most suitable candidate

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    Benefits of HRP

    It checks the corporate plan of the organization

    It offsets uncertainty and change

    It provides scope for advancement and

    development of employees through training ,development

    It helps to anticipate the cost of salaryenhancement, better benefits etc.

    It facilitates the control of all functions,operations, contribution and cost of humanresources

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    Factors Affecting HRP

    EXTERNAL FACTORS

    Government policies

    Level of Economic Development

    Business Environment

    Level of Technology

    Natural Factors International Factors

    INTERNAL FACTORS

    Policies and Strategies of the company

    Human Resource policy of the company

    Formal and Informal Groups Job Analysis

    Time Horizons

    Companys production policy

    Trade Unions

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    Steps/Process of HRP

    Process of HRP consists of the following steps:

    Analyzing organizational plan

    Demand Forecasting

    Supply Forecasting

    Estimating the net human resource requirements In case of future surplus, plan for redeployment, retrenchment and

    lay-off

    In case of future deficit, forecast the future supply of humanresources from all sources with reference to plans of othercompanies

    Plan for recruitment, development and internal mobility if futuresupply is more than or equal to net human requirements

    Plan to modify or adjust the organizational plan if future supply willbe inadequate with reference to future requirements

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    HUMAN RESOURCE FORECASTING

    Forecasting

    The use of information from the past and

    present to identify expected future conditions.

    Forecasting Methods

    Managerial Judgment

    Estimatesasking managers opinions, top-down or

    bottom-up Rules of thumbusing general guidelines

    Delphi techniqueasking a group of experts

    Nominal groupsreaching a group consensus in

    open discussion

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    Forecasting contd.,

    Forecasting Methods (contd)

    Statistical /Mathematical

    Statistical regression analysis

    Simulation models

    Ratio Trend Analysis

    Econometric Models

    Forecasting Periods Short-termless than one year

    Intermediateup to five years

    Long-rangemore than five years

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    Forecasting HR Supply and Demand

    Forecasting the Demand for Human Resources

    Organization-wide estimate for total demand

    Unit breakdown for specific skill needs by number

    and type of employee Develop decision rules (fill rates) for positions to be

    filled internally and externally.

    Develop additional decision rules for positions impacted

    by the chain effects of internal promotions and transfers.

    Forecasting the Supply for Human Resources

    External Supply

    Internal Supply

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    Forecasting HR Supply and Demand

    Contd., Forecasting External HR Supply

    Factors affecting external

    Net migration for an area

    Individuals entering and leaving the workforce

    Individuals graduating from schools and colleges

    Changing workforce composition

    Economic forecasts

    Technological developments and shifts

    Actions of competing employers

    Government regulations and pressures

    Other factors affecting the workforce

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    Forecasting HR Supply and Demand

    Contd., Forecasting Internal HR Supply

    Effects of promotions, lateral moves, andterminations

    Succession analysis

    Replacement charts

    Transition matrix (Markov matrix)

    Exit Manager Supervisor Line Worker

    Manager .15 .85 .00 .00.

    Supervisor .10 .15 .70 .05

    Line Worker .20 .00 .15 .65

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    HR Performance and Benchmarking

    Benchmarking Comparing specific measures of performance

    against data on those measures in other bestpractice organizations

    Common Benchmarks

    Total compensation as a percentage of netincome before taxes

    Percent of management positions filledinternally

    Dollar/Rupee sales per employee

    Benefits as a percentage of payroll cost

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    Doing the Benchmark Analysis Contd.,

    Return on Investment (ROI) Calculation showing the value of expenditures for

    HR activities.

    BA

    CROI

    A = Operating costs for a new or enhanced system for the time period

    B = One-time cost of acquisition and implementation

    C = Value of gains from productivity improvements for the time period

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    Doing the Benchmark Analysis Contd.,

    Economic Value Added (EVA)

    A firms net operating profit after the cost of

    capital (minimum rate of return demanded by

    the shareholders) is deducted. Cost of capital is the benchmark for returns for

    all HR activities.

    Utility analysis

    Analysis in which economic or other statistical

    models are built to identify the costs and

    benefits associated with specific HR activities

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    Diagnostic Measures of HR Effectiveness

    HR expense per employee

    Compensation as a percent of expenses

    HR department expense as a percent of totalexpenses

    Cost of hires

    Turnover rates Absenteeism rates

    Workers compensation per employee

    Assessing HR Effectiveness

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    HR Audit A formal research effort that evaluates the current

    state of HR management in an organization

    Audit areas:

    Legal compliance

    Current job specifications and descriptions

    Valid recruiting and selection process

    Formal wage and salary system Benefits

    Employee handbook Absenteeism and turnover control

    Grievance resolution process

    Orientation program Training and development

    Performance management system

    Assessing HR Effectiveness Contd.,

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    HR Business Performance Calculations

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    HR Business Performance Calculations

    Contd.,

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    Workforce Realignment

    Downsizing, Rightsizing, and Reduction in

    Force (RIF) all mean reducing the number of

    employees in an organization.

    Causes

    Economicweak product demand, loss of market

    share to competitors

    Structuraltechnological change, mergers and

    acquisitions

    Managing Human Resource

    Surplus or Shortage

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    Workforce Realignment (contd) Positive consequences

    Increase competitiveness

    Increased productivity

    Negative consequences

    Cannibalization of HR resources

    Loss of specialized skills and experience

    Loss of growth and innovation skills

    Managing survivors

    Provide explanations for actions and the future

    Involve survivors in transition/regrouping activities

    Managing Human Resource

    Surplus or Shortage Contd.,

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    Downsizing approaches Attrition and hiring freezes

    Not replacing departing employees and not hiring newemployees

    Early retirement buyouts

    Offering incentives that encourage senior employees toleave the organization early.

    Layoffs

    Employees are placed on unpaid leave until called backto work when business conditions improve.

    Employees are selected for layoff on the basis of theirseniority or performance or a combination of both.

    Managing Human Resource

    Surplus or Shortage Contd.,

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    Downsizing approaches (contd)

    Outplacement services provided to displacedemployees to give them support and

    assistance: Personal career counseling

    Resume preparation and typing services

    Interviewing workshops

    Referral assistance Severance payments

    Continuance of medical benefits

    Job retraining

    Managing Human Resource

    Surplus or Shortage Contd.,

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    Investigate alternatives to downsizing

    Involve those people necessary for success in the planning

    for downsizing Develop comprehensive communications plans

    Nurture the survivors

    Outplacement pays off

    Dealing with Downsizing

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    THANK YOU