Plan the PikePublic Kickoff Meeting

April 29, 2015

Agenda• 6:30: Presentation

• Introduction to the team• Why now? A national

perspective• Overview of the planning

schedule, process, and community engagement activities

• 7:00: Community Workshop

• 8:00: Community Report-Backs

By helping cities and suburbs alike manage the accelerating pace of demographic, economic, and environmental change, we create more livable, equitable, and resilient communities.

By helping cities and suburbs alike manage the accelerating pace of demographic, economic, and environmental change, we create more livable, equitable, and resilient communities.

Stantec’s Urban Places GroupStantec’s Urban Places Group

Stantec’s Urban Group:An interdisciplinary platformCan quickly draw on expertise as needed

Stantec Urban Places Group

(Boston)

Brownfields redevelopment: Elias Rashmawi

Rendering and animation:

Chuck Lounsberry

Sustainable technologies:

Miranda Gardiner

Economic impact analysis: Matt

Noonkester

Many more disciplines: Many more experts…

Creating urban environments that maximize regional competitiveness…

Our team, your partner

Sarah Woodworth (W-ZHA)Retail/Office Market Analyst

Laurie Volk (Zimmerman/Volk Associates)Residential Market Analysis

Nels NelsonUrban Planner

Wei Jin, LEED APUrban Planner

Erin Garnass-Holmes, MLA, MURPLandscape Designer

Delhi Township

Steve KearneyProject Manager

David Dixon, FAIAPrincipal-in-Charge

Economic/Retail Analysis and Development Strategy

Planning/Urban Design/Placemaking

A market-driven approach

• Investor’s Analysis• Capture market opportunities in order to earn a

financial return • Focus on supply, demand, economics, absorption and

development• “Will I make money”

• Strategist’s Analysis• Requires ‘outside of the box’ thinking• “How do I create a market?”

• Implementer's Analysis• Economic development from a resource allocation and

time perspective • “How do I achieve consensus, accountability and

progress?”

Empowering stakeholders to invest• Early Understanding of Market/Economic Realities

– Planning concepts informed by investment reality– Allows for informed decision-making

• Trade-offs; costs & benefits

• Jump-starts strategic thinking about implementation early in the process– Identification of tools & key stakeholders– Near-term target projects are packaged as part of planning

process, not after

• Forces the difficult issues of sequencing, placemaking and funding to be addressed early– A Business Plan as well as a Master Plan

Housing as a building block for change

Approach and process• Target market methodology• Determines market potential, not demand

• How does the potential market live now?

• How many are likely to move to the corridor?

• Who are they?

• What are their housing preferences?

• What are they able to pay?

• How fast will they rent or buy the new units?

Miami Township, Ohio

High Street, Columbus

East Franklinton, Columbus

Dublin, Ohio

Sandy Springs, Georgia

Sandy Springs, Georgia

• 1950s-late 90s: families with children represented largest demographic group

• 1950s-late 90s: homogeneous markets produced mass markets“we are a market of niches” (ULI)

• 1950s-late 90s: people under 50 consistently represented the largest share of population growth

• 2014: people over 65 will represent the largest share of population growth in most regions (and people over 62 are net sellers of houses)

Demographics

• 1950s-late 90s: families with children represented largest demographic group

• 2014: singles and couples represent the majority of households in virtually every region

• 1950s-late 90s: homogeneous markets produced mass markets

• 2014: “we are a market of niches” (ULI)• 1950s-late 90s: people under 50 consistently

represented the largest share of population growth• 2014: people over 65 will represent the largest share of

population growth in most regions (and people over 62 are net sellers of houses)

Demographics: US

• 1950s-late 90s: families with children represented largest demographic group

• 2014: one and two person households represent more than 50% of all households in Ohio

• 1950s-late 90s: homogeneous markets produced mass markets

• 2014: “we are a market of niches” (ULI)• 1950s-late 90s: people under 50 consistently

represented the largest share of population growth• 2014: people over 55 will represent ALL of Ohio’s

population growth to 2019 (increasing roughly 1%)

Demographics: Ohio

• 1950s-late 90s: families with children represented largest demographic group

• 2014: one and two person households represent more than 55% of all households within one mile of the Pike

• 1950s-late 90s: homogeneous markets produced mass markets

• 2014: “we are a market of niches” (ULI)• 1950s-late 90s: people under 50 consistently

represented the largest share of population growth• 2014: people over 55 will represent ALL of Delhi’s

population growth to 2019 (increasing roughly 0.4%)

Demographics: Delhi

• 1990…– Golf courses – Large backyards – Homogeneity– Escape from work– Convenient auto

access• 2013…

– Walkable streets– Transit– Diversity – Live near work– Sustainability

Markets: the great inversion

Markets: the great inversion• 1990…

– Golf courses – Large backyards – Homogeneity– Escape from work– Convenient auto

access• 2014…

– Walkable streets– Transit– Diversity – Live near work– Sustainability

18% Single-family

2008Existing housing supply

2008-2030Projected housing demand

27% Multifamily

42% Single-family

52% Multifamily

Markets: the great inversion

60%

40%

20%

20202010 2030

% jobs requiring a college degree

% workforce with a college degree

Economic development: competition for educated workers

US is educating half to two-thirds of the knowledge workers our knowledge industries will need

Economic development: knowledge workers are “urban”

Roughly 2/3 of educated,creative workers under 35 seek walkable, urban places that support lifestyles

…and they are voting with their feetEconomic development: knowledge jobs follow workers

Between 2000 and 2009 the number of college-educated 25- to 34-year-olds living in or close to downtowns jumped 26% in the 51 biggest US metro areas

Markets: major housing builders are following markets• Lennar

– $1b investment in multifamily-housing 2013-15 in “North Texas cities…downtown Los Angeles…Charlotte…Miami”

• Toll Brothers– 2014 permits…SF flat, MF +20%– “City Living has been successful

…It’s the next logical step.”• Kansas City Fed

– “even optimistic assumptions project a relatively moderate peak level of single-family construction, which will be followed by a large contraction over many years.”

Markets: retail—urban places maximize competitiveness…

Markets: retail—urban places maximize competitiveness…

Markets: retail—urban places maximize competitiveness…

Delhi Corridor: opportunity areas

Delhi Corridor: opportunity areas

Gateway

Main St.

Retail Core

Main St.

Delhi Corridor: opportunity areas

Delhi Corridor: existing retail core

Delhi Corridor: what we see

Delhi Corridor: catalyst sites

Delhi Corridor: catalyst sites?

Delhi Corridor: existing multi-family

Getting started

ample series 1

Getting started

ample series 1

Indianapolis Dayton

Cincinnati

Columbus

Getting started: visibility?

ample series 1

Getting started: visibility?

ample series 1

Getting started: parking lots

ample series 1

Getting started: visibility?

ample series 1

Getting started: inexpensive land

ample series 1

Getting started: inexpensive land

ample series 1

Getting started

hange

New suburban growth model

ample series 1

Financial feasibility

Large contiguous sites…at price levels that can justify redevelopment…are the thresholds for feasibility

Large contiguous sites…at price levels that can justify redevelopment…are the thresholds for feasibility

ample series 1

Financial feasibility

ample series 1

Critical mass

1,000-2,000 housing units within a 5- to 10-minute walk brings a block of “Main Street” to life.

1,000-2,000 housing units within a 5- to 10-minute walk brings a block of “Main Street” to life.

A mix of housing, shopping, recreation and other choices within a 5-minute walk builds quality of life and makes active transportation a viable choice for most people.

A mix of housing, shopping, recreation and other choices within a 5-minute walk builds quality of life and makes active transportation a viable choice for most people.

5-minute rule

5-minute rule

A multilayered hierarchy, from the most interactive to the most personal spaces, builds community.

A multilayered hierarchy, from the most interactive to the most personal spaces, builds community.

Public realm hierarchy

Connectivity

Transformation

before after

Transformation

before after

Public Participation

• April 29th Kickoff

• June 3-Day Charrette (w/o 6/6)

• August/September open house

• October Final Plan Celebration

*

May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov.

Project Initiation & Existing Conditions

Analysis

Community Engagement and Visioning Process

Market Assessment

Redevelopment Plan

Implementation Plan

Schedule

**

Workshop Exercises• Exercise 1: Vision: What will a revitalized Delhi

Pike corridor look like?

• Exercise 2: Strengths and weaknesses

Most Associated with Delhi

Delhi’s Greatest Assets

Describe Delhi in 5 Words

Questions