pensions conference 2015 - actuaries
TRANSCRIPT
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Pensions Conference 2015
24 – 26 June
Hilton Hotel, Glasgow
© QSuper Board of Trustees 2015 Page 2
An ALM Approach to DC Savings
Brnic Van Wyk
QSuper, Brisbane, Australia
24 June 2015
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Important information
This information is provided by the fund administrator, QSuper Limited (ABN 50 125 248 286 AFSL 334546) which is ultimately owned by the QSuper Board (ABN 32 125 059 006) as trustee for the QSuper Fund (ABN 60 905 115 063). Unless otherwise stated, all products are issued by the QSuper Board as trustee for the QSuper Fund. Where the term ‘QSuper’ is used it represents the QSuper Board, the QSuper Fund or QSuper Limited (as applicable), unless the context indicates otherwise.
This information has been prepared for general purposes only without taking into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs and should not be relied on as legal or taxation advice, nor does it take the place of such advice. Any statements of law or proposals are based on our interpretation of the law or proposals as at the time of preparation.
Consider whether the product is appropriate for you and read the PDS before making a decision. You can obtain the PDS from qsuper.qld.gov.au, or we can email you a copy at the end of this seminar.
The QSuper Board owns the copyright in this information (or has a licence to use the copyright where it is owned by another party). You may reproduce this information for personal, non-commercial use only. You may not distribute or transmit this information to any other person or otherwise use this information without obtaining the QSuper Board’s prior written consent.
© QSuper Board of Trustees 2015. All rights reserved.
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Background
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Australia
Three pillars:
1. Means-tested Age Pension from age 65
• Moving to 67 and then maybe 70
2. Compulsory occupational defined contribution system
• Mandatory employer contributions (currently 9.5% - to go to 12%)
3. Voluntary employer and member contributions
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Australia
• Less than 200 large industry and retail funds
• Small number of large public sector funds
• Corporate funds are limited
• Self managed superannuation funds (maximum 4 members)
Benefits
• Mandatory preservation until age 55 (moving to 60)
• Tax-free cash lump sum at retirement (if moved to a pension account)
• No lifetime annuity market – account based withdrawals (no maximum)
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The Good, the Bad and the Ugly
Good
• Compulsory contributions for most
• Voluntary tax advantaged contributions
• Means tested social security
Bad
• Some systemic inefficiencies – multiple funds, choice of fund
• Undiversified investment risk – Equity and peer risk dominate
Ugly
• Little formal annuitisation
• Gap between age for lump sum and social security
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QSuper
• Fund for current and former employees of the Queensland public service and
their families (two-thirds Health and Education)
• 540,000 members (55,000 DB; 250,000 inactive; 34,000 pension)
• Closed DB section ~ $25billion
• Default DC with 8 cohorts/investment strategies
• Investment Choice DC with 8 investment options
• Member direct investment platform
• Soft compelled 17.75% contribution rate (5% member)
• 90% of DC members are in the default – QSuper Lifetime
~$60billion
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The Evolution of Default DC
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1980s 1990s
2000s 2010s 2020s
First super revolution
Build assets Deliver outcomes
Second super revolution
Value and member outcomes are key drivers for change
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Evolution of Default DC – Australia
1st Gen
Not for Profit
Default
“Balanced”
Defensive
Growth
SAA
Retail
SMSF
Choice Sector Options
Financial Planner
Advised
Accountant Advised,
Property Heavy
Today Tomorrow
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Evolution of Default DC – Lifecycle and Target Date Funds
2nd Gen
Age 1st Gen
Default
<40
40 - 50
50 - 58
>58
Today Tomorrow
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Evolution of Default DC – QSuper Lifetime
3rd Gen
Account Balance
2nd Gen
Age 1st Gen
Default
<40 $0 +
40 - 50
<$50k
$50k +
50 - 58
<$100k
$100k - $250k
$250k +
>58 <$300k
$300k +
Today Tomorrow
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The Evolution of Default DC – The Future?
3rd Gen
Account Balance
2nd Gen
Age 1st Gen
Default
<40 $0 +
40 - 50 <$50k
$50k +
50 - 58
<$100k
$100k - $250k
$250k +
>58 <$300k
$300k +
Today
…. Gen 4th Gen
Jane
Sam
John
John Mick
Tomorrow
How will we bridge this gap?
‘X’ Gen
Personal Financial
Plan
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The Future of Default DC
…. Gen 4th Gen
Jane
Sam
John
Mick
Automated but
member engaged
- E.g. Merton,
Financial Engines
Default
“Give me 5 minutes”
- Trustee still guides
- Small advice
conversations
Tomorrow Today
‘X’ Gen
Ideal Personal Financial Plan
Full wealth picture in
mass financial planning
using:
- Wealth aggregator
tools
- Default income
streams
- Long life insurance
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“When” not “if”
• In 10 years time, would we ignore what we know about your members?
• Funds will become advice engines; even to default members
• This will invert current business plans
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The GFC changed everything
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Absolute return objective
Rolling 5 Year Returns
Balanced Option Vs CPI + 4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Jun-0
4
Dec-0
4
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
5
Jun-0
6
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
7
Dec-0
7
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jun-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
0
Balanced Option
CPI + 4% pa
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Peer relative return objective
Rolling 3 Year Returns
Balanced Option Vs SR50 Median
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Jun-0
2
Dec-0
2
Jun-0
3
Dec-0
3
Jun-0
4
Dec-0
4
Jun-0
5
Dec-0
5
Jun-0
6
Dec-0
6
Jun-0
7
Dec-0
7
Jun-0
8
Dec-0
8
Jun-0
9
Dec-0
9
Jun-1
0
Balanced Option
SR50 Median
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Actual member outcomes
Future Values of Members Investing for 20 Years
Balanced Option Real Return (17.75% cont) Vs 4% pa
$392,000
Feb 88
$530,000
Oct 87
$293,000
Jan 83
$412,000
Dec 80 $487,000
Apr 03
$610,000
Apr 02
$668,000
May 99
$286,000
Oct 74
$555,000
Jan 73
$598,000
Nov 07
$404,000
Mar 09
$439,000
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
Jun
-70
Jun
-72
Jun
-74
Jun
-76
Jun
-78
Jun
-80
Jun
-82
Jun
-84
Jun
-86
Jun
-88
Jun
-90
Jun
-92
Jun
-94
Jun
-96
Jun
-98
Jun
-00
Jun
-02
Jun
-04
Jun
-06
Jun
-08
Jun
-10
20 Year Period End Date
Balanced Option
4% pa
Assumptions
- Initial investment of median 40 y.o. member balance
- Monthly contributions of 17.75% of median 40 y.o. salary
- Investment returns based on a proxy Balanced return to June 1991
- Investment returns based on Balanced unit price grow th from July 1991 to June
2010
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Sequence of returns matters
Source: New York Times 01/02/11:
“In Investing, It’s When You Start and When You Finish”
• Expectations are often >7% (green)
• Rare for periods 20 years +
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A rationale for change
Who sets investment strategy and bears investment risk ?
1. Defined Benefit members:
• employer sponsor sets strategy and bears risk
2. Accumulation members:
• Choice: members set strategy and bear risk
• Default: Trustee sets strategy; members bear risk
3. Pension members:
• Choice: member sets strategy and bears risk
• Default: Trustee sets strategy; members bear risk
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GFC assessment
Post GFC, QSuper re-evaluated the environment:
• Lower GDP (growth) and inflation expectations, lower return environment
• Balance of risks changed – need for ‘new tools’
Strategy changes implemented for a “better one-size-fits-all” default:
• Removal of peer objective
• Move towards “risk balanced”
• Expansion of non-market cap equity
• Restatement of investment objectives
• Structural AE/IE adjustment
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The path QSuper is following
Goal: exercise fiduciary authority to accumulate assets and transition to
retirement income across member lifecycle.
Eventual aspiration is to set strategy for each individual, but we will begin by . . .
• Segmenting default Accumulation members into meaningful cohorts
• Developing investment strategy for each cohort using asset-liability management (ALM) principles
• Managing strategies dynamically as cohorts and risks change
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Monitoring Outcomes
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Monitoring retirement balances
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
$550,000
$600,000
$650,000
Jun
2006
Dec 2
006
Jun
2007
Dec 2
007
Jun
2008
Dec 2
008
Jun
2009
Dec 2
009
Jun
2010
Dec 2
010
Jun
2011
Dec 2
011
Jun
2012
Dec 2
012
Jun
2013
Dec 2
013
Balance at Retirement$420,000 Starting Balance
Balance
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Monitoring retirement income
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
Jun
2006
Dec 2
006
Jun
2007
Dec 2
007
Jun
2008
Dec 2
008
Jun
2009
Dec 2
009
Jun
2010
Dec 2
010
Jun
2011
Dec 2
011
Jun
2012
Dec 2
012
Jun
2013
Dec 2
013
Retirement Income$420,000 Starting Balance
Total Income
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Monitoring retirement outcomes
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Data analysis and cohorting members
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Segmenting cohorts of default members
Use age as a starting point. Age is a good proxy for:
• Investment horizons
• Member risk tolerance around adequacy vs. certainty
But it is imperative to also include other factors to determine funded status:
• Account balance, salary, contribution rate
• Variable retirement dates (later)
Make assumptions regarding unknown data
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Data analysis – behaviours in retirement
• 15% cash withdrawals at retirement
• Retirement at age 63
• Transfer to pension account at age 64
• Preference for phased withdrawals
from accumulation accounts
• Actual withdrawals plus estimate Age
Pension roughly equal annual ASFA
Comfortable income level of $40,000
Cash Withdrawals of Default Members
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
55 60 65 70 75 80
Age at Transaction
Perc
ent
of
Bala
nce W
ithdra
wn Cohort 1 Cohort 2 Cohort 3
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Financial planner interviews
• Based on interviews with 16,389 members since 1996 (for households)
• Majority of members own their own home
• Most members have material assets outside of super in addition to that
• Average desired retirement age is 62
1m and
greater
500k to
1m
300k to
500k
100k to
300k
less than
100k
Count 321 2,450 1,675 2,851 881
Average 62 61 62 63 63
Desired Retirement Age
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Desired income levels not linear to account balance
Total
Superannuation
Assets
Assets - Liabilities
(not incl Super and
House)
Desired Income
Now
Desired
Income in
Retirement
HomeBank
AccountsShares Term Deposits
Count 290 290 43 43 279 265 165 78
Average 1,264,142$ 536,778$ 48,609$ 41,605$ 678,962$ 86,170$ 139,495$ 138,747$
Median 1,154,198$ 356,682$ 43,225$ 44,000$ 600,000$ 38,000$ 50,000$ 98,500$
Count 2503 2503 230 230 2398 2170 1141 565
Average 674,363$ 333,306$ 41,270$ 34,864$ 553,330$ 54,986$ 70,606$ 83,536$
Median 647,502$ 223,337$ 38,980$ 36,000$ 500,000$ 20,000$ 18,000$ 48,000$
Count 2160 2160 172 172 2026 1892 875 496
Average 393,641$ 271,520$ 40,850$ 31,119$ 528,007$ 47,655$ 48,111$ 77,742$
Median 390,825$ 175,000$ 39,000$ 31,500$ 480,000$ 16,175$ 14,300$ 41,793$
Count 2741 2741 176 176 2466 2369 970 566
Average 196,732$ 241,526$ 34,511$ 25,835$ 487,286$ 43,323$ 42,869$ 79,451$
Median 195,159$ 157,270$ 34,763$ 30,000$ 445,000$ 13,500$ 10,680$ 34,310$
Count 952 952 42 42 768 809 271 168
Average 55,191$ 263,073$ 40,052$ 24,795$ 477,879$ 61,858$ 46,589$ 92,592$
Median 58,307$ 159,522$ 35,988$ 30,000$ 420,000$ 11,470$ 10,000$ 40,000$
Super Assets: > 1m (N = 290)
Super Assets: 500k - 1m (N = 2503)
NO RENTAL PROPERTY
Super Assets: 300k - 500k (N = 2160)
Super Assets: 100k - 300k (N = 2741)
Super Assets: < 100k (N = 952)
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Establish homogeneous cohorts with reasonably narrow distributions
Sample CART analysis:
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Cohorting the total membership
• Three phases to implementation
• Administration considerations
• Portfolio size limitations
• Member communication and engagement strategies
• CART analysis
• Basic lifecycle principles
• Subjective and qualitative overlay
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Membership data and cohort structure
Cohort No# MembersTotal FUMMed Age
Med Balance
30 40 50 60 70 80
$100,000 $100,000
$50,000 $50,000
$500,000 $500,000
$300,000 $300,000
$250,000 $250,000
Cohort 8177,167
$6,002.2m31
$18,012
Cohort 640,125
$4,573.0m45
$95,636
44 Cohort 7$7,900 83,916
$1,123.3m
Cohort 567,158
$1,882.6m53
$16,729
Cohort 414,710
$2,209.6m53
$140,682
Cohort 12,956
$1,574.3m61
$453,572Cohort 33,304
$1,349.8m54
$345,960
Cohort 251,169
$2,580.4m62
$19,522
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ALM Process and Methodology
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Re-defining risk
• The target lifetime cash flow creates a liability for the member (cohort)
• Aim to achieve the amount required to provide the income objective
• Risk: Historically variance of annual returns
Now variance around objective (income)
• We will measure that as a probability and expected size of “shortfall”
• Focus on downside measures because members are more concerned with
having less than overshooting target.
• We can estimate this regularly and tell members where they stand.
• This is similar to the concept of managing the “surplus” in DB fund.
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Investment Structure (ALM tenets)
Strategies will be constructed from a mix of:
1. A liability hedging (risk - free) asset combining two elements:
• An interest rate hedge (duration equivalent to term to retirement)
• An inflation hedge
2. Risky assets pool producing a solid risk premium (common to all cohorts)
The % mix between the two will designate the cohort strategy risk level
This is standard asset/liability management methodology
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Implementation Structure
• Hedging asset pool
represents risk free
asset for a cohort
• If future contributions
accrued at risk free rate
are sufficient to meet
the objective, we could
invest 100% in the risk
free asset as a baseline
strategy
Cohort 1
Cohort 2
Cohort 3
Cohort 4
Inflation
Hedge
Int Rate
Hedge
Inflation
Hedge
Int Rate
Hedge
Inflation
Hedge
Int Rate
Hedge
Inflation
Hedge
Int Rate
Hedge
Growth Assets
Equities, Real assets,
Bonds, Alternatives
Risk - free assets
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ALM Process
• Set an investment objective
• Identify a cohort’s assets and liabilities (on average)
• Stochastic projection of retirement outcomes (income and balance)
• Calculate base case outcome using “risk-free” rate
• Project various growth and risk hedge ratios
• Scenario, stress and sensitivity testing
• Consider asset only metrics (e.g. probability of negative return)
• Review regularly and manage over full lifecycle of the cohort
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Key factor: estimate social security benefits
• Allowing for estimate means tested Age Pension entitlements
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800
Age Pension Income
Financial assets ('000s)
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ALM Decision Framework
Consider alternative strategies using different risk measures and metrics:
• Minimum expected total retirement income (97.5% confidence)
• Downside vs. target in unfavourable scenarios (stress testing)
• Relative to expected downside, the additional expected median benefit
• Corporate risk measures
• Behavioural finance and member expectation considerations
• Only introduce investment risk to the extent that it adds value
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Unfavourable scenarios (stress testing)
• Initial modeling contained stress tests for 5 year short term scenarios:
o Japan style scenario extending for 5 years
o Major risky asset shock (-12% followed by 0% for 4 years)
o Severe unexpected inflation (drawn from Bridgewater Risk Tool)
• Extended modeling requires stress tests for longer periods (10, 20, 35 years)
• Worst equity returns are used as proxy for the growth asset outcomes
• Worst bond returns are used as a proxy for the risk-free asset pool
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Actual sequence of historic returns used for stress testing
Duration Equities Bonds
35 years Japan: 1990’s and GFC US: 1994 Bonds shock
20 years Japan: 1990’s and GFC US: Inflation shocks followed by
Volker’s disinflation
10 years US: GFC US: Inflation shocks followed by
Volker’s disinflation
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Sample Model Outputs
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Sustain 2: Older, high balance members
$47,125 $47,256 $47,379 $47,508 $47,634$47,748
$40,000
$45,000
$50,000
$55,000
$60,000
$65,000
$70,000
$75,000
$80,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Average Annual Income In Retirement (Primary)
Plus/Minus One Standard Deviation
Median (Base Case)
2.5th & 97.5th Percentiles (Base Case)
US: GFC
Japan: 1990s & GFC
US: 1994 Bond Shock
US: Inflation shocks followed by Volker's disinflation
$415,316 $418,500 $421,492 $424,627 $427,695$430,480
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
$550,000
$600,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Balance at Retirement(Secondary)
Plus/Minus One Standard Deviation
Median (Base Case)
2.5th & 97.5th Percentiles (Base Case)
US: GFC
Japan: 1990s & GFC
US: 1994 Bond Shock
US: Inflation shocks followed by Volker's disinflation
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Average Annual Income in
Retirement (Median Outcome)
Centrelink Self Spend
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
65 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89
Annual Income in
Retirement (Median Outcome)
Centrelink Self Spend Average
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Outlook: Younger members
$59,710$62,547
$65,543$68,788
$72,122$75,907
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
$160,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Average Annual Income In Retirement (Primary)
Plus/Minus One Standard Deviation
Median (Base Case)
2.5th & 97.5th Percentiles (Base Case)
US: GFC
Japan: 1990s & GFC
US: 1994 Bond Shock
US: Inflation shocks followed by Volker's disinflation
$502,249
$574,255
$651,474
$736,009
$823,575
$923,578
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$1,400,000
$1,600,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Balance at Retirement(Secondary)
Plus/Minus One Standard Deviation
Median (Base Case)
2.5th & 97.5th Percentiles (Base Case)
US: GFC
Japan: 1990s & GFC
US: 1994 Bond Shock
US: Inflation shocks followed by Volker's disinflation
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
H100 H80 H60 H40 H20 H0
Average Annual Income in
Retirement (Median Outcome)
Centrelink Self Spend
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91
Annual Income in
Retirement (Median Outcome)
Centrelink Self Spend Average
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Summary of strategies
Account B
ala
nce
H80
H40 $300,000
$250,000
H20
H30 H60
H0
Age
$100,000
$50,000 H20
H0
40 50 58
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Stylised illustration
GAP
20yr Hedge
10yr Hedge
2yr Hedge
Age
Cohort 5
Cohort 7
40 50 58
Acco
un
t B
ala
nce
Cohort 1
Cohort 3
Cohort 6
Cohort 4
Cohort 2
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General strategy considerations
Investment risk will reduce as age increases:
• Members have shorter horizons to smooth cycles in investment markets
• Asset values increase so effective financial risk increases
• Sequence of returns risk is very high at and around retirement
Investment risk will reduce as account balance increases:
• The impact of investment risk on final retirement incomes is amplified
• Age Pension impacts on retirement income diminish - retirement incomes are more volatile as account balances increase
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But this is not a glidepath!
We manage risks dynamically as they emerge
The system is still maturing
Demographics and the environment change continuously
We monitor and adapt objectives and strategies continuously
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An Overview of QSuper Lifetime
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QSuper Lifetime product philosophy
• Desire to move from delivering uncertain lump sum accumulation benefits to more certain targeted retirement income with mass personalisation
• Move to a personalised tailored structure to better meet individual needs
• QSuper's previous default option, Balanced, was a one-size-fits all approach
• Lifetime uses an Asset Liability Model to match investment strategies to member liabilities (targeted income streams in retirement)
• Attempt to balance certainty of outcomes against adequacy of outcomes
• Lifecycle investment strategies can take into account the member’s age, balance, Age Pension entitlements and current economic conditions
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Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) details
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QSuper Lifetime statistics
• Started 16 December 2013 with 439,761 members and $22.4 billion
• Currently (30 April 2015) has 449,844 members and $27.4 billion
• Less than 3% of members have switched to another investment option
• 66% of QSuper accumulation assets are held in Lifetime
• 96% of Lifetime members have their total balance in Lifetime
• Based on APRA statistics, Lifetime is the 4th largest MySuper product
• Awarded an Asian Investor award for Institutional Excellence in Australia/New Zealand and a 5 Heron Quality Star rating for 2015
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Members and assets in QSuper Lifetime
Focus 3 Sustain 2
$2.0 billion $1.3 billion
Aspire 2 4,800 members 2,700 members
$6.6 billion
Outlook 47,000 members Focus 2
Balance $8.2 billion $3.1 billion
179,000 members 18,000 members Sustain 1
$2.9 billion
Focus 1 54,000 members
Aspire 1 $2.0 billion
$1.3 billion 64,000 members
80,000 members
Under 40 40 - 49 50 - 58 58+
Figures at 30 April 2015AGE
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Considering assets and liabilities
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Retirement assets
What assets do members have to fund their retirement income?
• The Age Pension
• Current superannuation account balance
• Investment returns on the current account balance
• Future contributions
• Investment returns on future contributions
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Retirement liabilities
How much would it cost to provide an adequate retirement income?
• Starting with ASFA Comfortable income level at retirement
• Regular withdrawals from an account based pension
• Invested in long term balanced portfolio
• Estimate retirement period and life expectancy of 25 years
The value of the “GOAL” is about $600,000 in today’s dollars
This is similar to how an ALM process values its “LIABILITIES”
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A young QSuper member
From a section of the Outlook cohort in QSuper Lifetime:
• Average age : 29.8
• Median current account balance : $17,134
• Median salary : $34,249
• Contribution rate : 9.5% (SG rate)
• Number of members : 20,309
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DC Funding Level
125% Funding level
Age Pension 61%
Real Returns on FC 16%
Future Contributions 14%
Real Returns on CB 7%
Current Balance 2%
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Retirement assets are very different for different member groups
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Development of asset components for young members
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Risks that impact on retirement outcomes are different
Assets Value of Goal/Liability Both
Investment returns Consumption levels Inflation
Contribution rates Life expectancy Long term real rates
Interest rates Retirement age
Policy changes
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Performance monitoring and attribution
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Performance monitoring
Tier 1: Cohort evaluation against adequacy goal (medians)
• Actual vs. expected experience
• Change in future expectations
Tier 2: Growth asset pool and cohorts on an asset-only basis
• Traditional CPI+, volatility, drawdown, fees benchmarks
Tier 3: Risk-free asset pool against hedging objectives
• Not fully funded – still in development
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Attribution analysis of funding level
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Conclusion
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Potential changes to the current strategy
QSuper Lifetime is the first step in an ongoing process to improve the retirement
outcomes for default members
• Continuous improvement of process and methodology
• Increasing sophistication of modelling
• Dynamic management of strategies and objectives
• Review cohort structure – more granular grouping
• Use other factors like gender and contribution rate
• Members in the post-retirement phase is a key focus
• Understanding the risks and how these impact differently in cohorts
• Unitising asset pool to create scalability
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Conclusion
• Material change to the way we manage default accumulation monies
• Initially based on two factors: age and account balance
• No perfect solution but we start here and improve over time
• Remain flexible (e.g. to incorporate regulatory changes)
• Limited number of initial cohorts allows us to test decision making process
and make administrative adjustments
• ALM methodology has been used in DB fund since 2006
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Questions and discussion
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ALM Investment Principles
1. ALM represents the process of managing a group of members’ assets to
meet our best estimate of the members’ liabilities.
2. Invest “to” not “through” retirement.
3. Define risk as not achieving the retirement income objective.
4. Analyse the level of risk appropriate to the investments of each cohort by
starting with a risk-free baseline. Add investment risk only to the extent
warranted.
5. Construct cohort strategies by combining a unique risk-free asset with a
common pool of risky assets.
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ALM Investment Principles
6. Respond dynamically to changing investment environment and cohort
characteristics.
7. Default members have asymmetric risk preferences.
8. Assume members have Centrelink entitlements, under current policies, into
the foreseeable future.
9. Applying ALM principles to Accumulation default members is innovative.
We anticipate an extended period of continuous improvement.
10. Cohort boundaries, investment objectives, investment strategies are set at a
group level.