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Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision Making Nima Kargah-Ostadi, PhD, PE, PMP Pavement Engineering Manager, Fugro Road Profile User’s Group (RPUG) Conference November 16, 2017 Denver, CO

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Page 1: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision Making

Nima Kargah-Ostadi, PhD, PE, PMPPavement Engineering Manager, Fugro

Road Profile User’s Group (RPUG) ConferenceNovember 16, 2017 Denver, CO

Page 2: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com2

this presentation will address:

Performance management conceptPerformance measures used for decision makingPerformance measures used for reportingExample gap analysis Insights and remaining questions

https://www.tpmtools.org/

Page 3: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com3

Performance Management Concept

Measures used for planning investmentsMeasures used for reporting investment benefits

https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/tpm/resources/training.cfm

Page 4: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com4

Management Performance Measures

Network-Level DecisionsOverall/combined condition indicese.g. Pavement Quality Index (PQI),

Pavement Condition Index (PCI), etc.Used for planning and budget

allocationProject-Level DecisionsIndividual performance measurese.g. rut depth, transverse cracking,

faulting, fatigue, etc.Used for selecting specific

treatments

Page 5: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com5

Reporting Performance Measures

Reports Communication Funds• Tie asset management analysis

results to funding– Data-driven, performance-based,

defensible– Feedback & evaluation of asset

management processes• Transparency, e.g. dashboards• Accountability, e.g. HPMS Reporting

Page 6: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

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Example: Virginia DOT Dashboard

http://dashboard.virginiadot.org/

Page 7: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com7

Federal HPMS Reporting Measures

Page 8: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

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LTPP InfoPaveData: LTPP flexible sections in Texas (173)

Page 9: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

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Reporting vs Network Level Measures

Example: HPMS2016 versus ASTM PCIData: LTPP flexible sections in Texas (173)

R² = 0.2286

0102030405060708090

100

0 20 40 60 80 100

Perc

ent C

rack

ing

Pavement Condition Index (%)

HPMS2016 Percent_Cracking Vs ASTM D6433 PCI

R² = 0.4536

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 20 40 60 80 100Aver

age

Rut

Dep

th (m

m)

Pavement Condition Index (%)

HPMS2016 Rutting Vs ASTM D6433 PCI

Page 10: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

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Reporting vs Project Level Measures

Example: Cracking Percent versus LTPP CrackingData: LTPP flexible sections in Texas

R² = 0.3531

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 100 200 300 400

Perc

ent C

rack

ing

Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m)

HPMS2016 Percent_Cracking Vs LTPP

Alligator Cracking R² = 0.2103

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 100 200 300 400 500

Perc

ent C

rack

ing

Wheel Path Longitudinal Cracking (m)

HPMS2016 Percent_Cracking Vs LTPP WP Longitudinal

Cracking

Page 11: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

www.fugro.com11

Reporting vs Project Level Measures

Example: Cracking Percent versus LTPP CrackingData: LTPP flexible sections in Texas

R² = 0.7157

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 100 200 300 400

Perc

ent C

rack

ing

Gator + 0.75*WP_LongCrack(sq. m)

HPMS2016 Percent_Cracking Vs LTPP

Gator+0.75*WP_LongCrackR² = 0.6545

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 100 200 300 400 500

Perc

ent C

rack

ing

Gator + 1.0*WP_LongCrack (sq. m)

HPMS2016 Percent_Cracking Vs LTPP

Gator+1.0*WP_LongCrack

Page 12: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

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Insights and Remaining Questions

Federal HPMS Reporting MeasuresCANNOT replace existing network-level measures

MIGHT be used for treatment decision making

Agency investment decisions might not be reflected in the reported performance measures

Should the existing agency measures change? Probably not!

Should the federal reporting measures change? Probably won’t!

Can there be any correlation?

Page 13: Pavement Performance Measures: Reporting Versus Decision ... Kargah-Ostadi.pdfR² = 0.3531 0 20 40 60 80 100 0 100 200 300 400 Percent Cracking Alligator Cracking Area (sq. m) HPMS2016

Nima Kargah-Ostadi, PhD, PE, PMPPavement Engineering [email protected]