part i - setting the context: a candid view of our city's challenges and opportunities march...
TRANSCRIPT
Part I - Setting the Context:
A Candid View of Our City's Challenges and Opportunities
March 16, 2010, 6:30p.m.
HEARRR Lecture Series
Flawless ExecutionBy: James D. Murphy
FUTURE
PICTURE
STRATEGY
LEADER’S INTENT
STANDARDS
TRAINING
PEOPLE
THE FLAWLESS EXECUTION ENGINE
Part I – Setting the Context: A Candid View of Our City’s Challenges and Opportunities
Aur
ora
Blo
omin
gton
Cha
mpa
ign
DeK
alb
Elg
in
Jolie
t
Peo
ria
Spr
ingf
ield
Roc
kfor
d
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
Families below poverty level (percent)
Percentage Families Below Poverty Level
Aurora
Bloomington
Champaign
DeKalb
Elgin
Joliet
Peoria
Springfield
Rockford
Percentage Families Below Poverty Level
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Total CityPopulation
Kids (0-18) Adults (18-64) Seniors (65-above)
Below Poverty Level Above Poverty Level
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
• Approximately 35,000 people live in poverty
• 36% of our people in poverty are kids
Source: U.S. Census, 2008 American Community Survey
The National Average is 19%
FERTILITY 2006 2008 US Illinois
Births in the past 12 months 1,607 2,313
Unmarried women (widowed, divorced, and never married 51.8% 49.1% 34.3% 34.2%
Per 1,000 women 15 to 19 years old 43 75 29 27
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
Total CityPopulation
Kids (0-18) Adults (18-64) Seniors (65-above)
Below Poverty Level Above Poverty Level
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
• Approximately 35,000 people live in poverty
• 36% of our people in poverty are kids
Source: U.S. Census, 2008 American Community Survey
Food Service Dept: Free/Reduced Apps
TOTAL PER YEAR
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Year
ENROLLMENT
FREE/REDUCED APPS
AVERAGE PERCENT OF FREE/REDUCED APPS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
PERCENT OFFREE/REDUCED APPS
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
• A Rockford single-parent female who has less than a high school graduate degree lives 81.4% below the poverty level. Married-couple families with less than a high school graduate live 14.4% below the poverty level.
• A Rockford single-parent female who has a high school degree or equivalency improves her family’s chances dramatically, living 44.6% below the poverty level. Married couple families with similar education live at 10.6% below the poverty level.
• Some college or an associate’s degree? 13.2% Married couple families improve to 0% below poverty level. Bachelor’s degree or higher, and single-parent females are statistically at 0% below poverty level. Married couple families see no change in poverty level.
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
Labor Force & Employment Trends
2008 US Illinois
DISABILITY STATUS 15.2% 12.1% 10.3%
22,908 people have disability status in the City of Rockford
The State of Poverty in the City of Rockford
City Public Housing Authority Density
Low IncomeHousing Distribution
Disorder Map
Annexation History
Disorder Map
Urban SprawlRockford Land Area Growth
(1900-2009)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000-2009
Decades
Sq
ua
re M
ile
s
City of Rockford Population Density(persons per square mile)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000-2009
Cost of Sprawl: High Crime Rate
City
Crime Rate per
1000
Crime Rate per 1000 Rank
(Hi to Lo)Land Area (Sq. Mi.) Population Density
Population Density Rank (Lo to
Hi)
Springfield 8308 1 54 2,142 2
Rockford 8109 2 61.81 2,474 4
Peoria 6773 3 44.4 2,538 3
Decatur 5910 4 41.56 1,873 1
Chicago 5821 5 227.13 12,515 16
Champaign 4545 6 16.99 4,212 12
Schaumburg 4452 7 19 3,832 8
Evanston 4235 8 7.75 9,708 15
Bloomington 3569 9 22.5 3,332 5
Aurora 3552 10 38.53 4,365 13
Joliet 3375 11 38.06 3,831 7
Cicero 3278 12 5.85 14,144 17
Elgin 3063 13 25 3,946 9
Waukegan 2730 14 23.1 3,957 10
Bolingbrook 2124 15 20.51 3,435 6
Naperville 2015 16 35.38 4,002 11
Arlington Heights 1939 17 16.41 4,689 14
Cost of Sprawl: High Property Tax Rate
2006 Rate 2006 Rank
Property Tax Overall Ranking 9.27 8th
Residential 9.15 12th
Farm 8.09 26th
Commercial 9.73 8th
Industrial 9.61 9th
LRTP – Population ProjectionsRockford MSA Population Growth and Wealth Index
1969
2005y = -0.0002x + 170.15
R2 = 0.794980.00
85.00
90.00
95.00
100.00
105.00
110.00
260,000 270,000 280,000 290,000 300,000 310,000 320,000 330,000 340,000 350,000
Population Growth (1969-2005)
Wea
lth
Ind
ex (
1969
-200
5)
TRANSPORTATION / LAND USE INTERRELATIONSHIP
Rockford MSA Annual Per Capita VMT and Wealth Index
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Year
An
nu
al
Per
Cap
ita V
MT
(1982-2
005)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Wealt
h I
nd
ex
(1982-2
005)
VMT Wealth Index
TITLE VI CIVIL RIGHTSENVIRONMENTAL JUSTICE
City of Rockford Density and Income Gap of Black/White Residents in Rockford MSA
20001990
1980
1970
19601950
y = -7E-05x + 0.6107
R2 = 0.8616
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
2,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,5006,0006,5007,000
Population Density in Residents per Square Mile for City of Rockford (1950-2000)
Inco
me G
ap
of
Ro
ckfo
rd M
SA
Bla
ck/W
hit
e R
esid
en
ts (
1950-2
000)
Sprawl has hurt the RegionRockford MSA Per Capita Income Compared to U.S. Average
(A Fifty Year Perspective)
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
$45,000
1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 2008
United States Rockford
Sprawl has hurt the RegionRockford MSA Per Capita Income Ranking
41 4765
148 137
244
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 2008
Current State of Job Market
CITIESSeptember
2009
EAST ST. LOUIS 17.6
ROCKFORD 17.2
NORTH CHICAGO 16.7
KANKAKEE 16.6
MAYWOOD VILLAGE 15.4
HARVEY 15.4
CHICAGO HEIGHTS 15.3
BELVIDERE 15
CALUMET 14.1
DOLTON 14
CITIESSeptember
2009September
2008Annual Change
PEKIN 13.7 6.5 7.2
ROCKFORD 17.2 10.3 6.9
BELVIDERE 15 9.1 5.9
PEORIA 12.2 6.4 5.8
MAYWOOD 15.4 9.8 5.6
DECATUR 13.7 8.2 5.5
FREEPORT 13.5 8 5.5
CHICAGO HEIGHTS 15.3 9.9 5.4
ELGIN 12.2 6.9 5.3
JOLIET 12.2 7.1 5.1
LARGEST CITY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE LARGEST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ANNUAL INCREASE
No other city in the State of Illinois has suffered in 2009 in terms of high unemployment and annual job loss than Rockford.
Where are the cities with low unemployment and low annual job loss?
CITIESSeptember
2009
CARBONDALE 6.3
WILMETTE 6.3
NORTHBROOK 6.7
HIGHLAND PARK 6.8
NORMAL 6.9
GLENVIEW 7
GLEN ELLYN 7.4
EVANSTON 7.6
PARK RIDGE 7.6
WHEATON 7.6
CITIESSeptember
2009September
2008Annual
Change
CARBONDALE 6.3 5.3 1
NORMAL 6.9 5.3 1.6
SPRINGFIELD 8.2 6.4 1.8
HIGHLAND PARK 6.8 4.9 1.9
WILMETTE 6.3 4.2 2.1
O'FALLON 8 5.8 2.2
URBANA 8.2 6 2.2
NORTHBROOK 6.7 4.4 2.3
CHAMPAIGN 8.1 5.7 2.4
GLENVIEW 7 4.4 2.6
LOWEST CITY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE LOWEST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ANNUAL INCREASE
CITIESSeptember
2009Unemployment
Rank
Annual Change
from 2008
Annual Change
Rank
Variance between Unemployment Rank and Annual Change Higher Education Opportunities
CARBONDALE 6.3 1 1 1 0 Southern Illinois University, John A. Logan College
HIGHLAND PARK 6.8 4 1.9 4 0
College of Lake County, Keller Graduate School of Management, University of Illinois at Chicago, Music Arts School, a campus of The Music Institute of Chicago
WILMETTE 6.3 2 2.1 5 4.5
National-Louis University,School of Art Institute of Chicago, Northwestern University, and Northeastern Illinois University
NORMAL 6.9 5 1.6 2 4.5Heartland Community College, Illinois Wesleyan University, Lincoln
College, Illinois State University
GLENVIEW 7 6 2.6 10 8Oakton Community College, Rinity University, National-Louis
University
EVANSTON 7.6 8 2.7 12 8Northwestern University, Oakton Community College, National-Louis
University
PARK RIDGE 7.6 9 2.7 13 8Oakton Community College, Triton College, Northeastern Illinois
University
NORTHBROOK 6.7 3 2.3 8 12.5 Trinity International University, Oakton Community College
WHEATON 7.6 10 3.1 18 32Wheaton College, Benedictine University, North Central College,
College of DuPage, Devry Institute of Technology
CHAMPAIGN 8.1 19 2.4 9 50 University of Illinois, Parkland College, College of Fine & Applied Arts
O'FALLON 8 18 2.2 6 72
William Jewell College, University of Illinois at Chicago, Westwood College, Southwestern Illinois College, and Southern Illinois-Edwardsville and Scott Air Force Base
GLEN ELLYN 7.4 7 3.2 21 98
College of DuPage, Devry Institute of Technology, Elmhurst College, Illinois Benedictine, Illinois Institute of Technology, National University of Health Sciences, National-Louis University, North Central College, Robert Morris College, Universal Technical Institute, and Wheaton College
URBANA 8.2 21 2.2 7 98University of Illinois, University of Illinois College of Medicine, Parkland
College
SPRINGFIELD 8.2 20 1.8 3 144.5
Springfield Technical Community College, Springfield College, University of Illinois Springfield, Southern Illinois School of Medicine, Lincoln Land Community College, Robert Morris College. State Capitol
What do these cities have in common?Cities that host State of Illinois Higher Education Facilities
Cities that are within 15 minutes of a State of Illinois Higher Education Facility and that host top tier private colleges.
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT 2006 2008 US Illinois
Population 25 years and over 97,708 103,134
Less than 9th grade 8.2% 9.5% 6.4% 6.40%
9th to 12th grade, no diploma 13.7% 14.2% 8.7% 7.70%
High school graduate (includes equivalency) 33.6% 32.9% 28.5% 27.30%
Some college, no degree 16.9% 18.9% 21.3% 21.40%
Associate's degree 9.8% 5.9% 7.5% 7.30%
Bachelor's degree 11.3% 11.4% 17.5% 18.60%
Graduate or professional degree 6.6% 7.2% 10.2% 11.20%
Percent high school graduate or higher 78.1% 76.3% 85.0% 85.90%
Percent bachelor's degree or higher 17.8% 18.6% 27.7% 29.90%
The State of Educational Attainment in the City of Rockford
To Achieve Parity with the National Average
Among 18 – 24 year old residents:• About 960 more people without a high school degree
must earn a GED• About 1,700 more people with only a high school
degree must experience “some college”• About 930 more people must earn at least a
bachelor’s degree – That’s about 10% of the group who already reports “some
college”
Source: NIU Center for Governmental Studies
To Achieve Parity with the National Average
Among 25 – 34 year old residents:• About 720 more people without a high school degree
must earn a GED• About 143 more people with only a high school
degree must experience “some college”• About 4,550 more people must earn at least a
bachelor’s degree – That’s about 50% of the group who already reports “some
college”
Source: NIU Center for Governmental Studies
To Achieve Parity with the National Average
Among 35 – 44 year old residents:• About 550 more people without a high school
degree must earn a GED• About 4,420 more people must earn at least a
bachelor’s degree – That’s about 40% of the group who already
reports “some college”
Source: NIU Center for Governmental Studies
“The Five Dysfunctions of a Team” by Patrick Lencioni
Inattention to
Results
Avoidance of
Accountability
Lack of
Commitment
Fear of
Conflict
Absence of
Trust
