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Colleagues, I have sent this paper to you to seek your feedback even though I am in the middle of revising the theoretical front end. Please pay particular attention to the empirical results as these are essentially the same even in the revision. Best, Steve Mezias 1

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Colleagues, I have sent this paper to you to seek your feedback even though I am in the middle of revising the theoretical front end. Please pay particular attention to the empirical results as these are essentially the same even in the revision. Best,Steve Mezias

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CODIFIED SELF REGULATION AND ITS CRISES: FINANCIAL REPORTING RULES IN THE UNITED STATES, 1973-1987

Stephen J. Mezias,*Seungwha Chung,**

and Mikelle Calhoun*

*Department of Management and Organizational BehaviorStern School

New York University40 West 4th Street

New York City, NY 10012Phone: 212-998-0229

Fax: 603-794-7685Email: [email protected]

**Department of Management, Yonsei University

This is a preliminary draft; please do not cite or quote without permission. Please direct correspondence to the first author. We would like to thank participants at the Great Scott Conference, Stanford University for many helpful comments.

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INTRODUCTION

Much of the early empirical work based on the neo-institutional perspective (DiMaggio

and Powell, 1991) was directed at providing evidence of the effects of institutional environments

on organizations. Many studies provided persuasive qualitative accounts of institutional change

as the basis of the hypotheses tested (Tolbert and Zucker, 1983; Meyer and Scott, 1983; Baron,

Dobbin, and Jennings, 1986; Dobbin, Edelman, Meyer, Scott, and Swidler, 1988; Edelman,

1990; Mezias, 1990). However, change to the institutional environment remained largely a

backdrop in this early work. Subsequent work has directly addressed institutional change,

including models of legal environments (Edelman, 1990; 1992; Abzug and Mezias, 1993;

Edelman and Suchman, 1997) and processes of legalization (Dobbin, 1992; Dobbin, Sutton,

Meyer, and Scott, 1993; Sutton and Dobbin, 1995). An important result of this work has been a

shift in neo-institutional views of regulatory processes towards more explicit emphasis on the

dynamic nature of legal environments, particularly regulatory initiatives (Edelman and Suchman,

1997; Schneiberg and Bartley, 2001). This view focuses on the role of markets, politics, and

institutional determinants by integrating capture theory, interest group theory, and institutional

theory. The aim of this paper is to contribute to our understanding of the theory and evidence for

the dynamic view of legal environments.

We propose to do this by developing arguments link capture theory, interest group

theory, and institutional theory with the forms of isomorphism proposed by DiMaggio and

Powell (1983) in the context of what we call the regulatory field. We then turn our attention to

the structuring of the process by professionals. Based on this, we examine separately decision

making for two types of regulatory change. The first is a more incremental type of changes,

which we call codified self-regulation. The second is much more significant regulatory change,

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which we describe as the creation of substantive standards. We apply our ideas in the context of

the regulation of financial reporting in the United States (henceforth, US) between 1973 and

1987. We find that capture theory, interest group theory, and institutional theory all can be

linked with variables that have a significant effect on outcomes. In addition, the prestructuring

of the decision context in processes dominated by professionals makes the role of this group

particularly important.

FINANCIAL REPORTING REGULATION

Financial reporting regulation by the federal government began following the 1929 stock

market collapse and the Great Depression. In response to the accounting scandals that followed

these events, Congress passed the legislation creating the Securities and Exchange Commission

(henceforth, SEC). Companies selling equity securities in the US became subject to the

requirement to file financial statements with the SEC. In creating these reports, firms are

required to follow the evolving set of rules known as generally accepted accounting principles

(henceforth, GAAP). From its inception that SEC has delegated the determination of GAAP;

Mezias (1990: 434-435) described the process:

“In 1937, the newly created Securities and Exchange Commission passed the power to dictate the content of generally accepted accounting principles to a private commission dominated by the accounting profession, the Committee on Accounting Procedure. Its principal role was to determine generally accepted accounting principles that the SEC would apply in its oversight of the financial statements of companies with publicly traded stocks. This role has been consistently controversial, resulting in frequent disagreements among powerful players in the institutional environment. Principally as a result of these upheavals in the institutional environment, the Committee on Accounting Procedure and the Accounting Principles Board have been replaced by the Financial Accounting Standards Board.”

Since 1973, the primary agency in determining the content of GAAP has been the

Financial Accounting Standards Board (henceforth, FASB). Describing how the SEC has

delegated authority to set accounting standards to the FASB, Skousen (1991: 118) wrote: The “...

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SEC stated explicitly in ASR No. 150 that it considers those accounting principles, standards,

and practices promulgated by the FASB as having considerable authoritative support. ... The

SEC thus recognizes the FASB as the primary standard-setting body...” The particular

delegation of authority embedded in the SEC decision to have a private body, currently the

FASB, set accounting rules, is somewhat unique. However, according to March and Olsen’s

(1989: 97) characterization of the corporatist state, this use of organizations “... at the margin of

the state has grown. Administrative functions have been entrusted to semi-autonomous

governmental or quasi-governmental agencies.” Although the specific arrangement between the

SEC and FASB may be unique, the practice of delegating policy authority to an autonomous,

quasi-governmental agency is not.

Carmichael and Willingham (1989: 11-12) have described GAAP as a hierarchy with the

Statement of Financial Accounting Standards issued by the FASB at the top. These regulations

qualify as the most formalized and legitimated part of the GAAP hierarchy. Thus, in studying

the evolution of financial reporting regulation, we will focus on the process by which the FASB

issues its most important pronouncements: the Statements of Financial Reporting Standards.

These are the specific regulatory changes that are the empirical setting in which we will test the

ideas discussed in the remainder of this paper.

Isomorphism in Regulatory Fields

The theoretical framework we use can be summarized in terms of a regulatory field. It is

a field in the DiMaggio and Powell (1983) sense of the word: It is at the interorganizational level

and consists of a relevant grouping of organizations and other actors that affect the outcome

under study. In our case, the outcomes under study are changes in the regulation of financial

reporting in the US. Since we are studying regulatory outcomes, we describe the

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interorganizational field of immediate theoretical relevance as a regulatory field. The relevant

actors for the determination of these outcomes are three. In the subsequent sections, we

elaborate on the role of each of these organized actors; Figure 1 presents a summary of our

arguments.

The first set of actors are labeled professionals; they include members of the certified

public accounting profession, particularly those acting in their roles as partners in the large

public accounting firms. The distinctive source of influence of this organized actors derives

from their control over normative isomorphic pressures. At the interorganizational level, the

professionals have been given control over the content of GAAP by the SEC. They also control

the professional bodies such as the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants that

determine important rules such as auditing standards and govern the body of professional

knowledge that drives judgements in the field. At the level of individual organizations, the

profession controls the certification of financial statements. By SEC mandate, which has the

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force of law, all financial statements filed with them must be certified by a professional

accountant. A small oligopoly of partnership firms largely control, organize, and deploy this

supply of labor as well as the rules they follow in performing their work (Boland, 1982). In

terms of motivation, we presume that the profession acts so as to minimize conflict, presumably

because this helps them maintain power and influence.

The second organized actor consists of the firms, for-profit enterprises lobbying to

influence the content of regulatory rules. Their distinctive source of influence derives from their

control over the content of financial statements. Through mimetic isomorphic processes, they

control important precedents embodied in the notion of prevailing practice (Edelman, 1990;

1992). In terms of describing their motivation and actions, we follow Schneiberg and Bartley

(2001) in using capture theory to describe them; thus, we assume that firms attempt to dominate

regulatory processes to obtain rules that they prefer.

The final organized actor includes those persons acting as members of the government

and its agencies; they are labeled Regulators. The distinctive source of influence of this

organized actors derives from their control over the legal environment (Edelman, 1990; 1992)

governing the interactions among the three actors. As noted by Mezias (1990), a wide variety of

state actors can affect the content of financial reporting regulation. For example, in addition to

the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which dictates rules for all firms filing financial

statements, a multitude of other agencies can also dictate rules for specific types of firms. The

Interstate Commerce Commission, the Federal Power Commission, and the Federal

Communications Commission are three; there are many others. In addition, agencies like the

Department of Defense often include provisions in their contracts that affect financial reporting

by suppliers of goods and services. We believe that the process by which these various

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regulatory actors have influence is well described by the concept of coercive isomorphism

(DiMaggio and Powell, 1983). Consistent with the concept of the legal environment (Edelman,

1990), we view the isomorphic pressures of law broadly, including both direct legal mandate and

such actions as litigation, legislative and administrative initiatives, and exercise of the bully

pulpit. In terms of motivation, we again follow Schneiberg and Bartley (2001). Thus, we claim

that regulatory action can be explained in terms of interest group theory, with a focus on

protecting the interests of consumers, broadly defined.

Table 1 summarizes these claims about the important actors, the mechanisms of their

influence, and their aims in exercising that influence. In the next section we apply these claims

in the context of lobbying the FASB to affect the content of specific regulatory changes. We

make predictions about how attention is structured and predict that the influence of these three

actors over outcomes at the FASB will vary by the type of decision.

RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

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The Central Role of the Profession

Our emphasis on the role of professional actors in the legal environment extends a long

tradition in the institutional literature. We explicitly model professionals as providers of

normative justification for the passage of new regulations. In terms of process, we expect the

dynamics to be similar to those discussed by Mezias and Scarselletta (1994). We rely on their

evidence about the cooperative relations of regulators and firms with the profession. In their

study of how professionals keep items off the agenda of the FASB, they found evidence that a

variety of mechanisms as well as characteristics of the decision making process itself were

important to shaping the attention of constituencies and the FASB. Based on this evidence, we

expect professionals, acting through associations, the major firms, and the FASB, to shape

attention in the process of creating new financial reporting regulations.

The manner in which we distinguish levels of attention to specific issues is fundamentally

consistent with the distinction between stronger and weaker regulatory intervention used by

Schneiberg and Bartley (2001). In applying their distinction, our study refines it in several ways.

A first follows from the level of analysis at which we study actual change to explicit and direct

regulatory rules. The model developed by Schneiberg and Bartley (2001) was applied to

understand the decision to regulate a market at the level of the fifty individual states of the US.

We take a similarly dynamic approach to understand regulatory outcomes, but do so at the

federal level of analysis (Abzug and Mezias, 1993). A second set of differences follows from the

previous focus on the decision to regulate. Without suggesting in any way that the decision to

regulate is not a distinctive and important outcome, we emphasize a different set of outcomes –

those related to ongoing changes in the content of regulation in the context of an existing

regulatory apparatus.

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Within this context, we distinguish two types of changes to existing regulation in terms of

the structuring of attention. The first and more frequent type of change is incremental; these

changes consist of little more than minor amendments to existing regulation or narrowly industry

specific pronouncements (Briloff, 1986; Tandy and Wilburn, 1992). For example, following the

high inflation of the late 1970s, some companies, in this case companies holding timberlands and

growing timber, were the subject of regulatory change. The result was a new pronouncement

regarding the impact of changing prices on financial reporting for the “specialized assets” of

timberlands and growing timbers. Relatively few firms were impacted and the implications for

the practice of financial reporting, auditing, and certification were limited. Regulation specific to

these firms was justified by the notion that they held specialized assets; the implication, of

course, is that they are otherwise “normal.”

We describe the process of incremental change to regulation as codified self-regulation of

the market. We use the term codified because firms work with the accounting profession to

bring the proposed rule under the umbrella of the exclusive license granted the accounting

profession by the state. By creating a new regulation of this type, a small group of firms can

embed their preferred practices as part of generally accepted accounting principles. We describe

it as self-regulation because the firms themselves are an important determinant of the content of

rules.

The second type of change, which we term substantive change, is much less frequent and

represents fundamental change to existing regulation that will affect the practice of many

existing firms. Recent proposals to force all firms that grant stock options to record some

expense for this on their financial statements would be an example of a substantive change to the

content of regulation. By sorting issues into the categories of codified self-regulation or

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substantive change to the content of regulation, the accounting profession prestructures policy

decisions. The result is that the attention to issues is fundamentally altered.

Hypothesis 1: The structure of attention will differ across codified self-regulation and

substantive standards.

We have argued that professionals structure attention to particular regulations; however,

their influence is not limited to mere design of process. They are also active participants,

providing different types of normative justification for a variety of regulatory decisions. In the

case of substantive changes; accounting professionals provide the normative justification for the

restoration of legitimacy and the logic of good faith. This enhances the passage of substantive

regulatory initiatives by providing a justification and rationale for proposed changes. In the case

of codified self regulation we view the role of the accounting profession as partners in capture

theory as envisioned by Schneiberg and Bartley (2001). We argue that firms and professionals

work together to create codified self-regulation: state sanction of the preferred financial reporting

practices of firms. As with the judicial endorsement of firm practice described by Edelman

(1994) in her study of the evolution of compliance with affirmative action mandates, we see

professionals working with firms to obtain state sanction for specific practices.

We go a step further by analyzing the central role of the accounting profession in terms of

their consistency with the lobbying positions of both regulators and firms and in reducing

conflict. According to the regulatory field argument, public policy is dominated by a small

group of organized actors operating in interconnected networks (DiMaggio and Powell, 1983).

Mezias and Scarselletta (1994) found evidence to support this claim in the context of financial

reporting regulation. While the institutional perspective is not the first to notice these policy

networks (Heclo, 1978; Schlozman and Tierney, 1986), it does pull together ideas from a diverse

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set of fields to emphasize the central role of professionals in the networks that shape public

policy. The first is the notion that individual behavior is not driven exclusively by self-interest.

DiMaggio and Powell (1991: 15-19) argued that accounts of what motivates individual behavior

in institutional theory constitute a theory of action. Specifically, the institutional perspective has

had a central focus on taken-for-granted scripts, rules, and classifications that make actors think

in more homogeneous ways and facilitate shared typifications. The second important idea is the

dominance of professional actors in the networks that shape policy. Taken together these ideas

imply a theoretical emphasis on how the larger environment directs organizations and

individuals, creating the lenses through which these actors view the world and providing

categories of structure, action, and thought.

The first implication of these ideas is that the process will not generally be characterized

by conflict. Meyer and Rowan (1977: 357-359) emphasized the shared nature of social

processes, discussing elaborate displays of confidence, satisfaction, and good faith by actors both

internal and external to organizations. The legitimacy of organizations and complex social

processes depend on ceremonial inspection and evaluation, also promoted by actors both external

and internal to the organization (Meyer and Rowan, 1977). We believe that these category-based

guides to behavior function as an important source of agreement. The argument is

straightforward: Ceremonial assessment requires the social construction of classification

schemes and judgment rules that all (or at least many) parties share. The relevance of this

argument to accounting regulation was suggested explicitly by Meyer and Rowan (1977: 350-

351):

“... modern accounting creates ceremonial production functions and maps them onto economic production functions: organizations assign externally defined worth to advertising departments, safety departments, managers, econometricians, and occasionally even sociologists, whether or not these units contribute measurably to the production of outputs.”

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By extrapolation, regulatory decision processes will be characterized by the logic of good faith,

the logic of confidence, and agreement regarding the criteria to be used for ceremonial inspection

and evaluation. As a result, participants in the process will tend to agree and cooperate on many

issues.

Institutional theory also has had an explicit focus on the rise of professions and the

consequent rationalization of social relations (Meyer and Rowan, 1977; Meyer and Scott, 1983;

DiMaggio and Powell, 1983; Galaskiewicz, 1985; Edelman, Abraham and Erlanger, 1992;

Lawrence, 1999). Meyer and Rowan (1977) explicitly linked the professions with the logic of

good faith, which predisposes actors to agree, and ceremonial assessment, which requires

agreement on aspects of process. The success of the Certified Public Accounting (CPA)

profession suggests the importance that professional identities can play, transcending identities

imposed by other obligations, such as membership in particular organizations or interest groups

(Larson, 1977; Scott, 1983, 1987a; Galaskiewicz, 1985). Indeed, Mezias and Scarselletta (1992)

provide evidence that most participants in FASB processes have certification as accountants even

if they are acting as representatives of other groups, such as the management of large firms or

regulators. Tolbert (1988: 104) described one effect of this common professional identity,

arguing that membership in a profession provides “...a common culture, in the sense of shared

definitions of problems and common repertoires for managing those problems.” Shared

professional identities as certified public accountants may be another important factor facilitating

agreement.

We also expect conflict to be minimized because of several sources of agreement among

members of a policy making network that have been suggested by the new institutionalism in

political science. In particular, this literature has developed a view of policy making as

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occurring in networks of full-time, expert participants who coalesce around specific issues. Like

the focus on interpenetration elaborated by Meyer and Rowan (1977), contemporaneous

literature emphasized the porous nature of relations in policy networks and sources of agreement

among the participants (Heclo, 1978; Schlozman and Tierney, 1986). Kingdon (1984: 124)

argued policy is conducted in issue networks populated by specialists who share a concern about

particular and well-defined areas of policy and interact with one another frequently. With

respect to the health field, he described how specialists gathered at seminars sponsored by

foundations to “... hear presentations, think about common problems, and meet one another in a

quasi-social context. In the process, they exchanged information, developed more common ways

of looking at problems, and cultivated their informal contacts in the health network.” Berry

(1984), Bendor (1987; 1988), and Bendor, Taylor, and Van Gaalen (1987) argued for the

importance of networks of expertise and agreement in understanding bureaucratic policy making.

March and Olsen (1989: 97-98) offered a similar view of public policy formation: “Public policy

making and the administration of public programs have been turned over to a network of

collegial bodies in which civil servants, experts, and the representatives of organized interests are

the major participants.”

Taken together, these arguments form a compelling institutional rationale to low levels of

conflict. Category-based guides to behavior and collective strategies such as ceremonial

assessment and evaluation require extensive agreement to be functional. The spectacular success

of the accounting profession has provided an important source of shared identity among

participants in the process. Finally, the policy-making network structures interaction in ways

that encourage long-term, collegial interaction. The result is that there will be relatively little

conflict among the three organized actors who are influential in the regulatory process.

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Hypothesis 2: The process for both incremental and substantive changes to regulation will

characterized by high levels of agreement, with the accounting profession in the central role.

Codified Self-Regulation

The first and more common type of change is what we term codified self regulation,

which is depicted in Figure 2. These regulatory changes are brought about by the rise of a

problem in the practice of financial reporting. Sometimes these practice problems arise because

of lack of clarity or applicability of previous regulations. These are corrected by minor changes

to existing regulation; Briloff (1986) and Tandy and Wilburn (1992) call these regulatory

changes amendments. The other type of practice problem that may trigger a non-substantive

change to the content of regulation is when a practice problem arises that only affects a small set

of firms. Rules governing transactions or practices that only occur in a fairly narrow context,

such as timber and timberlands are an example. Briloff (1986) and Tandy and Wilburn (1992)

call these industry specific standards. We group both of these kinds of regulatory changes

together as codified self-regulation because they have a fundamental similarity in terms of the

involvement of organized actors. The resolution of both types of practice problems do not

mobilize public interest; as a result, the public and regulators tend not be very attentive to the

process of issuing these new regulations.

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We believe that these rule changes do not represent a significant exercise of the coercive

power of the state. Rather, the important processes determining the content of such rules will be

the trade-off between the normative, what should be, and the mimetic, what is. This trade-off

will be managed in a cooperative effort involving firms and the accounting profession. This

leads directly to two hypotheses

Hypothesis 3: The financial reporting practices advocated by firms are more likely to be adopted

in the process of codified self-regulation.

Hypothesis 4: The financial reporting practices advocated by the accounting profession are more

likely to be adopted in the process of codified self-regulation.

Substantive Changes to Regulations

Substantive change to the content of regulation is less common and involves different

mechanisms by which the contents of new regulations are influenced; our arguments are

summarized in Figure 3. As we see it, substantive changes to regulation begin with legitimacy

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crises; the crisis triggered by the occurrence of the two largest bankruptcies to that point in US

history during the first several months of 2002, Enron and Worldcom, is an example. These

crises are met with sustained public outcry; in the case of the above example, this outcry was

intensified by and reflected in nonstop stories in the media about stockholder losses, layoffs, the

loss of confidence, and the crash of prices in the securities markets.

These forces come together to create a demand for substantive change to regulation;

efforts to effect this change will be spearheaded by regulators, scrambling to protect or at least be

seen as acting to protect the public interest. The changes advocated by regulators in this role will

require significant and widespread change to existing organizational practices. For this reason,

we believe that regulators will not act alone. The imprimatur of professional certification will be

particularly important in the justification of new regulations with such impact. Thus, regulators

will seek and obtain the assistance of members of the accounting profession. Perhaps most

importantly, this will be true because the profession or some subpart of it is able to offer

persuasive rationales to restore the legitimacy and trust lost in the crisis. Continuing with the

example above of the giant bankruptcies, this can be seen in the restoration of those members of

the accounting profession who had advocated the separation of auditing and consulting services

at accounting firms. Thus, the accounting profession remained influential despite the criminal

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finding against one of the large accounting firms, Andersen, in the course of the scandal.

In political terms, the reason for the alliance between regulators and the profession can be

cast as the only feasible coalition to overcome the opposition of firms. We expect that the

representatives of large firms will oppose substantive changes. Instead, they will advocate rules

that represent minimal or no change from current practice and justify this in terms of the mimetic

rationale of precedent. In the wake of legitimacy crises and the public outcry that accompanies

them, however, the certainty of crisis outweighs the uncertainty reducing properties of relying on

precedent: The logic for changing the status quo is clear. Thus, we expect the alternatives

advocated by firms will be rejected in the course of creating substantive change to regulations.

Hypothesis 5: The financial reporting practices advocated by regulators are more likely to be

adopted in the process of substantive regulatory change.

Hypothesis 6: The financial reporting practices advocated by the profession are more likely to

be adopted in the process of substantive regulatory change.

Hypothesis 7: The financial reporting practices advocated by firms are less likely to be adopted

in the process of substantive regulatory change.

THE EMPIRICAL STUDY

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We constructed our operational measures by sampling from the set of standards that had

been issued by the FASB. To legitimate its decisions, the FASB has adopted legalistic

procedures and a lengthy due process (Boland, 1982). An important point in this due process,

where participation and influence by various constituency groups is solicited most actively, is the

comment period. This period commences when the FASB releases an Exposure Draft describing

a proposed regulation; interested parties have a period of weeks or months to write letters of

comment that the FASB will consider before releasing the final standard. Because intense

communication among interested parties occurs at this time, the comment period was selected as

an arena for the study of how various organized actors interact to determine the evolution of

financial reporting standards (Mezias and Chung, 1989; 1991).

Now in place for nearly thirty years, the FASB has surpassed the lifespan of both of its

predecessor agencies, but not without significant changes from time to time. The agency and its

governance structure remained essentially the same through the late 1980s when there were

changes of great significance in the institutional environment. A first important change was the

beginning of a merger wave that reduced the number of the major accounting firms from the Big

Eight to the Big Five. Second, the voting requirements for the passage of new FASB regulations

were changed; prior to this change, a bare majority of four of seven Board members was

required. The new voting structure imposed the requirement for a supermajority of five of seven

for the passage of a new regulation. To avoid having these changes in the major players and

governance structure impact our results, we focus on the period from 1973 to 1987, prior to the

mergers of the major accounting firms and the voting rule change.

The focus of our study is the comment period, which begins with the release of an

Exposure Draft outlining a proposed regulation to be issued by the FASB. This document

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describes the different financial reporting practices that the have been considered during the

decision process and provides public notification of the alternative favored by the Board; it is

followed by a fixed period of time during which members of constituency groups may write

comment letters in response. As an example, consider SFAS # 40 as presented in Table 2; the

Exposure Draft for this statement discussed four possible alternative financial reporting

practices, endorsing the first and rejecting the other three.

TABLE 2: Alternatives in the Exposure Draft of SFAS#40: Financial Reporting and Changing Prices: Specialized Assets, Timberlands, and Growing Timbers

ALTERNATIVE 1: EITHER HISTORICAL COST (CONSTANT DOLLAR) AMOUNTS OR CURRENT COST MEASURE SHOULD BE PERMITTED. ACCEPTED IN FINAL STATEMENT.

ALTERNATIVE 2: THE STATEMENT SHALL REQUIRE MEASUREMENTS ON A CURRENT COST BASIS. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT.

ALTERNATIVE 3: THE STATEMENT SHALL REQUIRE INFORMATION ABOUT FAIR VALUES, DEFINED AS THE PRICES THAT WOULD BE ACCEPTED AS REASONABLE IN TRANSACTIONS BETWEEN A WILLING SELLER AND A WILLING BUYER. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT.

ALTERNATIVE 4: THE STATEMENT SHALL EXEMPT ACTIVITIES THAT USETIMBERLANDS AND GROWING TIMBER FROM REQUIREMENTS TO PRESENT INFORMATION ON A CURRENT COST BASIS. REJECTED IN FINAL STATEMENT.

To determine which comment periods would provide the data for this study, we took a

random sample of 30 SFAS issued by the FASB between 1973 and 1987. All of our hypothesis

tests rely on the distinction between codified self-regulation and more substantive standards. To

determine which standards qualified as which type, we used the coding of Tandy and Wilburn

(1992) adapted from Briloff (1986). Using this coding, our sample included twenty-five cases of

codified self-regulation and five cases of substantive change.

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To test Hypothesis 1, we needed a measure that indicated how attention is structured in

the process of issuing new regulations. To provide such a measure, we examined the due process

of the FASB. After an issue is admitted to the agenda of the FASB, decisions are made

regarding the necessity of engaging in any or all of four steps possible due process steps. These

include the following: (1) Forming a task force: The FASB may choose to ask persons with

various kinds of expertise on a particular issue to serve in a group that meets to consider the issue

that has been placed on its technical agenda. (2) Issuing a discussion memorandum: The FASB

may choose to prepare a formal document outlining preliminary ideas and logic concerning the

issue that has been placed on its technical agenda. (3) Having an invitation to comment: The

FASB may publicly announce its desire to hear from parties interested in the issue that has been

placed on its technical agenda as part of its early deliberations on the issue. (4) Holding a public

hearing: The FASB may choose to schedule a public meeting where it will hold discussions of

the issue that has been placed on its technical agenda with interested parties. Generally, these

steps occur prior to issuing an exposure draft. Consequently, they can be seen as part of the

context that structures the attention from organized actors reflected in the letters of comment

after the exposure draft is issued. We used a count of the total number of due process steps

executed for a particular standard as our measure of the structuring of attention; this variable is

called Due Process.

The remaining hypotheses address the issue of opinions expressed by members of the various

organized actors regarding the content of the exposure drafts. To code the letters to determine

the positions taken in lobbying, we began by determining what alternatives were discussed in the

exposure drafts. For the 25 standards that represent codified self-regulation, the exposure drafts

discussed 114 alternatives. This is the sample for our analyses of influence over the content of

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codified self-regulation. For the 5 standards that represent substantive change, the exposure

drafts discussed 37 alternatives. This is the sample for our analyses of influence over the content

of substantive changes to regulation.

We coded letters as being in favor or against these alternatives as follows. We began by

using the classification of comment letters sent to the FASB into the three organized actors. In

its own deliberations, the Board classifies letters into categories that correspond to our organized

actors; we used their classifications. We immediately faced the question of how to use letters

written by members of these organized actors to create variables indicating the opinions

expressed by organized actors about various alternatives. A first important operational decision

was the development of a coding scheme to record the positions taken in individual letters. We

read approximately fifteen letters from the comment periods of regulations not included in our

sample to derive three straightforward coding rules. First, if a letter stated explicit support for or

opposition to a specific alternative, then it was recorded as favoring or opposing that alternative.

Second, if a letter contained a clear statement of support for the Exposure Draft, it was coded as

favoring alternatives advocated by the FASB in the Exposure Draft. Third, if a letter contained a

clear statement of opposition to the Exposure Draft, it was coded as opposing alternatives

advocated by the FASB in the Exposure Draft.

This coding scheme recognizes that one letter may mention several alternatives; thus, a

single letter may count as being in favor or against multiple alternatives. Conversely, not all

letters in response to an Exposure Draft mentioned all alternatives. In every case, opposition or

support was determined from specific language in the letter using the three rules outlined above.

Only letters that contained statements that conformed directly to these three rules were counted

in creating the variables. There was never a case where a position coded based on one of these

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three rules contradicted a position coded by applying one of the other rules. There were cases

where a position coded based on one rule would be duplicated by applying another rule but we

did not double count. Once a letter had counted for or against an alternative under one of these

rules, this position was not counted again with respect to that alternative even if it qualified

under one of the other two rules. Finally, there were a very few cases where the decision was

made to eliminate a letter from the sample because it was too ambiguous to code using these

rules. Of the hundreds of letters read, no more than ten were eliminated for this reason; for most

Exposure Drafts, not a single letter was eliminated. To verify that these narrow text-based rules

resulted in high reliability, all of the letters received in response to the Exposure Draft for SFAS

# 22, chosen at random, were read by both authors. For over 95% of these letters, the assessment

of the text was identical for the two authors. Following the confirmation of this extremely high

level of reliability and given the large number of letters, we used single rater coding for the

letters written regarding the thirty regulations in our sample.

A second important decision concerned how to combine the opinions coded from

multiple letters to create a measure of the overall opinion of the organized actors regarding

alternatives discussed in the Exposure Drafts. We interpreted an institutional perspective to

suggest that the default assumption about members of the organized actors lobbying the FASB

should be one of structural equivalence, emphasizing similarity among members of the organized

actors. This is consistent with how these letters are handled during the due process of the FASB:

By the end of the comment period, they have been collected into binders, sorted by cateogry, and

are available for review by all personnel of the organization. At the same time, FASB personnel

espouse the view that the comment period is not an election, making it clear that high quality

letters have much more impact (Beresford and Van Riper, 1992). However, we believed that

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deviation from the assumption of structural equivalence should be based on a clear theory and

the availability of accurate measures. We lacked a compelling theory of what constitutes a high

quality letter to help us calculate a metric other than equal weighting.1 If a letter was in the

public record of comments from an organized actors, we regarded it as affecting the perception

of the opinion of that organized actors in subsequent Board deliberations; thus, all letters were

counted as they are presented in official records: one for one.2

We combined the positions for or against particular alternatives coded from letters from

members of each group to create a measure of the overall opinion of alternatives by particular

groups. The formula for this measure, called Percent Opinion, was:

PERCENT OPINION =(LETTERS FOR – LETTERS AGAINST)

(LETTERS FOR + LETTERS AGAINST)

It could range from minus one, unanimous opposition, to positive one, unanimous

support. This gives us summary measures of the overall opinion of each organized actor with

respect to each alternative in the sample. Moreover, because this measure is a percentage, it is

comparable across alternatives and across organized actors. The Percent Opinion figure was

calculated for all three organized actors with respect to the alternatives discussed in the Exposure

Drafts for both incremental and substantive changes. These are the variables that will be used to

test the hypotheses; they will be labeled as we have labeled the organized actors Professionals,

Firms, and Regulators.

Hypothesis Tests

1 We also do not have the data necessary to examine processes such as reputation or network centrality that might imply deviations from equal weighting of letters, which is a limitation of our study. As we make clear in our discussion of implications of our work for future research, we do believe this issue merits investigation.2 For Exposure Drafts with less than 100 letters of comment, all letters were read. For Exposure Drafts with between 100 and 200 letters of comment, every other letter was read; for those with between 200 and 300 letters of comment, every third letter was read.

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To test Hypothesis 1, we examine data that provides a contrast between codified self

regulation and substantive changes to regulation. We look at this in terms of an input measure:

How the professionally dominated FASB structures due process for specific issues. Specifically,

we look at the number of steps in its due process are executed. Based on Hypothesis 1, we

expect the number of due process steps to be different for codified self-regulation and for

substantive standards. Given that substantive changes stem from legitimacy crises and the public

outcry that accompanies them, we expect that the number of due process steps for substantive

standards will exceed the number for codified self-regulation.

To test the remaining hypotheses, we ran regression models using the percent opinion

variables. To test Hypothesis 2, we examine the patterns of interdependence among the percent

opinion variables of the three organized actors using linear regression. To assess the level of

agreement among the organized actors in their advocacy of various policy alternatives, we once

again use the percent opinion variables we created for each. We run three multiple regressions;

each has the percent opinion variable of one of the organized actors as a dependent variable with

the other two percent opinions as explanatory variables. We interpret Hypothesis 2 to imply that

the percent opinion variable of the professionals will have significant, positive explanatory

power as an independent variable for both firms and regulators. Further, since the percent

opinion variables are measured in the same units, we would predict that the size of the

coefficients for the professional percent opinion as an independent variable should be larger than

those for firms or regulators.

For the remaining hypotheses, we run regression models to predict FASB decisions about

each alternative. The independent variables in this regression will be the Percent Opinion

variables described above. The dependent variable was a categorical representation of the

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decision by the FASB for each of the alternatives in the Exposure Drafts. This variable was

coded zero if the alternative was rejected in the final SFAS issued by the Board; it was coded one

if the alternative was accepted. This categorical dependent variable is called Choice in the

analysis; an equation of the following form was estimated using maximum likelihood logistic

regression:

Choicei = 0 + 1Professionalsi + 2 Firmsi +3 Regulatorsi + i

where i designates the alternative. This equation is estimated first for codified self regulation, n

= 114; then it is estimated for substantive changes to regulation, n = 37.

Hypotheses 3 and 4 are tested directly by examining the coefficients from the estimation

of the model including only alternatives from the codified self-regulation sample. Support for

the hypotheses is indicated if the coefficients on the variables for the percent opinion of

professionals and firms are significantly greater than zero. Hypotheses 5, 6, and 7 are tested

directly by examining coefficients from the estimation of the model including only alternatives

from the substantive change sample. Hypotheses 5 and 6 are supported if the coefficients on the

variables for the percent opinion of regulators and professionals are significantly greater than

zero. Support for Hypothesis 7 is indicated if the coefficient on the percent opinion variable for

firms is significantly less than zero.

Control Variables

With a random sample and treating all of the standards in our samples as equal, we have

not taken account of the fact that some regulatory decisions attract much more attention than

others. To control for possible effects of attention to an issue, beyond the separation of codified

self-regulation and substantive changes, we introduced a variable intended to measure attention.

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It is a count of total letters submitted to the FASB in response to the Exposure Draft for each of

the rules in our sample; it is called Letters in the analyses. Also, because we looked at FASB

decisions over a period of about fourteen years, we were concerned that the process might

change during this period, despite the fact that we purposely constructed a window of time to

avoid major process changes. To control for possible effects of the passage of time during our

study period, we introduce a control variable called Months. The variable is a count of the

number of months between the release date of the Exposure Draft that corresponds to a particular

alternative and the release date of the earliest Exposure Draft in our sample.

RESULTS

Descriptive statistics along with correlation information for all the variables are reported

in Tables 3, 4, and 5. Table 3 presents the data at the analysis of the individual standards for

evaluation of Hypothesis 1 concerning the structuring of attention. The range of due process

steps appears similar across both types of standards, but the mean number for substantive

standards is large. Turning to Tables 4 and 5, it is clear that the means of all the percent opinion

variables are negative, indicating that letters on average expressed opposition to alternatives.

This is consistent with actors being more likely to write to oppose an alternative than to support

an alternative. There are significant and fairly large correlations among the independent

variables for the several regression equations that we need to run to test our remaining

hypotheses, suggesting the possibility of multicollinearity. To assess the potential effects on any

of the coefficients, we followed the advice of Johnston (1984: 249-250) and computed the

condition indices for the matrix of independent variables in our estimation equations. This index

measures the extent to which independent variables have variation independent of one another by

taking the ratio of the highest and lowest eigen values from the inverse of the variance-

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covariance matrix. Belsley, Kuh, and Welsch (1980), who developed the measure, suggested

that multicollinearity problems in estimating the effects of the independent variables are

indicated by condition indices in excess of 20; the largest condition index for our independent

variables is 7.48. Therefore, we conclude that despite the presence of some significant and fairly

large correlations, none of the estimates of the effects of the independent variables were affected

unduly by collinearity.

TABLE 3: DUE PROCESS STEPSCodified Self-

Regulation SubstantiveStandards

N 5 5Minimum 0 0Maximum 3 4Mean 0.6 2.0Standard Deviation 1 1.87

TABLE 4: Correlations and Descriptive Statistics Codified self-regulation, n = 114

Variables Means s. d. Choice Professionals Regulators Firms Letters

Choice 0.3982 0.4917Professionals -0.1739 0.7274 0.6184Regulators -0.0442 0.6599 0.3299 0.4189

Firms -0.2026 0.7044 0.5800 0.6245 0.3640Letters 92.41 70.72 -0.0537 -0.1206 -0.0582 -0.1397Months 72.63 30.29 -0.0661 -0.1544 -0.0053 -0.1476 0.0729

TABLE 5: Correlations and Descriptive StatisticsSubstantive standards, n = 37

Variables Means s. d. Choice Professionals Regulators Firms Letters

Choice 0.4211 0.5004Professionals -0.1788 0.7567 0.4620Regulators -0.1360 0.7289 0.6429 0.6372

Firms -0.1814 0.6455 0.2249 0.8899 0.4825Letters 166.16 62.958 -0.0090 -0.1023 -0.1101 -0.1917Months 62.52 50.80 0.1708 0.1873 0.1785 0.2753 -0.5888

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We proceed with the regressions of percent opinions of the various organized actors with

the percent opinions of the other organzied actors as independent variables to test Hypothesis 2.

Results are reported separately for codified self-regulation and substantive standards in Tables 6

and 7. These tables show that the professionals seem to be the opinion leaders in the

development of lobbying positions expressed in letters of comment to the FASB. In table 5, we

report the results of regressions for codified self-regulation standards. We see that the

Professionals variable is a significant predictor of both the percent opinions of firms and

regulators. Neither Firms nor Regulators is a significant predictor of both of the other percent

opinion variables. In addition, the Professionals variable has the second and third largest

coefficient of any of the variables in the equations for codified self-regulation.

In Table 7, we report the results of regressions for substantive standards. Again, we see

that the Professionals variable is a significant predictor of both the percent opinions of firms and

regulators. In addition, the variable has the single largest coefficient of any of the variables in

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the equations for substantive standards. Its coefficients overall are the first and third largest of

the six estimated for this analysis. Across both regression equations, we find that all four of the

percent opinions are above the median for the twelve coefficients estimated. A sign test of the

probability of this happening by chance is reveals the null hypothesis of no difference in the

coefficients is reject, p < 0.01 despite a sample size of only 12. Clearly, the accountants are the

opinion leaders in the network for policy making at the FASB. In addition, the cooperative

nature of the network is revealed by the patter of coefficients. Among those that are significant,

every single one is positive. Again, a sign test is informative. We test the null hypothesis that

significant coefficients are equally likely to be positive or negative; this is rejected, p < 0.01,

again despite a sample size of only 12.

We proceeded with the maximum likelihood estimation of the logistic regression

equations to predict FASB choices; results are given in Tables 8 and 9. From these tables,

support for the last five hypotheses can be assessed; we begin by reviewing the results for

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codified self-regulation reported in Table 8. As predicted in Hypothesis 3, lobbying by firms has

a statistically significant association with decisions by the FASB. The t-statistic on the

coefficient for the percent opinion of firms suggests that its value is significantly greater than

zero, p < 0.01. The greater was the value of the percent opinion expressed by firms in their

letters, the more likely an alternative was to be adopted by the FASB. Conversely, the more

negative was the opinion they expressed, the less likely an alternative was to be adopted by the

FASB. As predicted by Hypothesis 4, lobbying by the accounting profession has a statistically

significant association with decisions by the FASB. The t-statistic on the coefficient for the

percent opinion of the professionals suggests that its value is significantly greater than zero, p <

0.01. The greater was the value of the percent opinion expressed by professionals in their letters,

the more likely an alternative was to be adopted by the FASB. Conversely, the more negative

was the opinion they expressed, the less likely an alternative was to be adopted by the FASB.

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Some of the other results are also informative about the process. The constant is not

significant; this is consistent with the lack of any pattern absent the input of organized actors

during the lobbying. The FASB presents itself as responding to external constituencies (Miller

and Redding, 1986); the lack of a significant constant is consistent with that. The lack of

influence of regulators over the codified self-regulation process is also interesting. Of course, it

would appear from the descriptive statistics that one of the reasons that regulators have relatively

little influence is that they tend to have a percent opinion much closer to zero for codified self-

regulation than for substantive standards. Finally, neither of the control variables is significant.

The decisions of the FASB do not have a systematic time pattern, as indicated by the lack of

significance for Months. Within the set of standards represented by codified self-regulation,

there was no variance according to how many letters of comment were written about a specific

standard, as indicated by the lack of significance for the variable Letters.

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The results for substantive standards are reported in Table 9. As predicted in Hypothesis

5, lobbying by regulators has a statistically significant association with decisions by the FASB.

The t-statistic on the coefficient for the percent opinion of firms suggests that its value is

significantly greater than zero, p < 0.01. The greater was the value of the percent opinion

expressed by regulators in their letters, the more likely an alternative was to be adopted by the

FASB. Conversely, the more negative was the opinion they expressed, the less likely an

alternative was to be adopted by the FASB. As predicted by Hypothesis 6, lobbying by the

accounting profession has a statistically significant association with decisions by the FASB. The

t-statistic on the coefficient for the percent opinion of the professionals suggests that its value is

significantly greater than zero, p < 0.01. The greater was the value of the percent opinion

expressed by professionals in their letters, the more likely an alternative was to be adopted by the

FASB. Conversely, the more negative was the opinion they expressed, the less likely an

alternative was to be adopted by the FASB. Finally, as predicted by Hypothesis 7, lobbying by

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firms has a significant, p < 0.05, negative effect on decisions by the FASB. The more negative

was the opinion expressed by firms in their letters of comment, the more likely was the FASB to

adopt an alternative in the final standard.

Once again, some of the other results are also informative about the process. The

constant is not significant; this is consistent with the lack of any pattern absent the input of

organized actors during the lobbying. Across both codified self-regulation and substantive

standards, FASB decisions seem to have no statistical pattern absent the inputs of external

constituencies. Once again, neither of the control variables is significant. As with codified self-

regulation, the variable Months is not significant. We conclude that the decisions of the FASB

with respect to substantive standards do not have a systematic time pattern. Similarly, we

conclude that there was no variance in FASB decisions regarding substantive standards

according to how many letters of comment were written about a specific standard. As with

codified self-regulation, this is indicated by the lack of significance for the variable Letters.

Discussion

The results from our analyses uniformly supported the predictions we derived from the

regulatory field model, particularly the distinction between codified self-regulatoin and

substantive standards. This was true despite small sample sizes, particularly for the tests of

Hypotheses 1 and 2 but also for the regression analyses of substantive standards. In fact, the

comparison of coefficients to test Hypothesis 2 was based on only twelve coefficients. The

comparison between due process steps was based on a sample size of five for the substantive

standards and twenty-five for codified self-regulation. The regression analyses for substantive

standards had a sample size of only thirty-seven. Despite these small numbers, we found

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significant statistical support for all of our hypotheses. This speaks to the strength of the

underlying processes that we were trying to measure.

At the same time, there are some limitations to our study that should be kept in mind as

the results are interpreted. First, we examined only cases of actual regulatory change; items that

never made it onto the agenda of the FASB could not enter our sample. Agenda control has long

been understood as a significant potential source of influence over public policy processes

(Bachrach and Baratz, 19??). Mezias and Scarselletta (1994) provided evidence of how the

FASB uses a professionally dominated task force to deal with many issues, keeping them off the

agenda of the FASB. Clearly, the issues that do eventually become new regulations are

relatively few, and we should be clear that we have not sampled from the universe of possible

rules, but from the universe of actual rules. This is mitigated somewhat by the fact that our

results are consistent with the process dynamics studied by Mezias and Scarselletta (1994): We

also find that the process tends to be characterized more by agreement and cooperation than

disagreement and conflict, particularly the process of codified self-regulation.

The question of whether organized actors agree in the process of passing substantive

standards reveals a complex dynamic: The answer is not necessarily. In fact, the failure of

Regulators and Firms to agree highlights the central role of the accounting profession in this

network of influence. We observed above that organized actors that agreed tended to have

influence. A more precise statement about the relationship between influence and agreement is

the following: Organized actors that agree with Professionals are more likely to have influence.

It also seems fairly clear that the converse is true: Organized actors that do not agree with

Professionals do not have influence. These results suggest a dynamic and complex interaction

between agreement and influence; sorting this out will require richer data on how organized

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actors work together than were collected for this study. We do not observe coalitions among the

organized actors or look at their interactions during and before the comment periods in our

sample; this limitation should be kept in mind in interpreting the agreement we find here. We

also believe that future work should investigate the role of issue formation and agenda control in

framing choice processes such as the one we studied here. Authors in the literature of issue

formation have argued that agendas can be conceptualized as important means of focusing

attention in organizations. They act as informational filters, allocating attention to some issues

rather than others (Dutton, Fahey, and Narayanan, 1986; Dutton, 1986; Dutton and Jackson,

1987; Jackson and Dutton, 1988). The potential importance of this process is highlighted by

those who have argued that agenda control -- being able to determine which issues are presented

and in what form – can be an important source of power (Bachrach and Baratz, 1962; Ordeshook

and Schwartz, 1987).

The prediction of disagreement derived from self-interest models received little support

from the results. One reason could be related to the validity of the assumptions about

membership in organized actors implicit in our study. By treating them as organized actors, we

have assumed that categorizations of letters by the FASB according to constituency groups

named in its mission statement corresponds with some real notion of membership. Perhaps

rational theories of group membership pertain only to associations that people join consciously,

not to status as a member of a constituency group as mentioned in the mission statement of the

FASB. Future work should examine processes within the organized actors, especially in terms of

examining the potential importance of group process, identification, and cohesiveness.

However, this does not change the fact that work in the political perspective has named these

very organized actors in their public choice models of lobbying to affect financial reporting

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standards. Clearly, our findings cast doubts on a rationale for the formation of organized actors

focusing exclusively on the individual level self-interest of members. The functionalist logic of

this theory of group formation suggests that continuing lobbying activity by organized actors

indicates success in affecting the process (Newman, 1981). Yet, firms are very active in

lobbying against substantive standards despite the fact that they have a negative influence on

whether particular alternatives are adopted.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH

Before presenting our conclusions, it is useful to point to several possible limitations on

interpretation of the findings: First, the study considered only the influence of a pooled measure

of the opinions of organized actors. It may be that influence processes respond to the identities

of individual letter writers even though our measures do not. For example, a letter from

Anheuser-Busch may have a very different effect than a letter from a local microbrewery.

Further, there may leaders in formal or informal networks operating within the organized actors

that we have studied that may have different influence than other members of the network.

Whether there are more complex effects can only be sorted out by future research with a

different design, but the possibility clearly represents a potential limitation to the general

applicability of our findings. Third, the study focused on only a single part of the long due

process exercised by the FASB. While evidence from Mezias and Scarselletta (1994) suggests

that at least one earlier phase in the due process is similarly cooperative, more complete study of

the entire process by which financial reporting rules are changed should be pursued. All of these

implications and limitations touch on the issue of cooperation among organized actors. While

we do not have the process data to look at actual cooperation, we believe that future work should

involve collection of process data that would facilitate a closer examination of actual

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cooperation. Such data might be able to help distinguish between cooperation based in mutual

self-interest as opposed to cooperation rooted in taken-for-granted assumptions about legitimate

or appropriate action

Fourth, even generalizing within the confines of influence over incremental institutional

change, the findings concerning the influence of Professionals, Regulators, and Firms, in that

order, and the agreement among them must be viewed as tentative. Confidence in the findings is

bolstered by their consonance with previous historical, theoretical work (DiMaggio and Powell,

1983; Meyer and Scott, 1983); nonetheless, the findings are limited to a single regulatory field

and must be replicated in future research. Fifth and related, the assumptions necessary to

construct the percent opinion variables should be kept in mind in interpreting the results. A

deeper exploration of membership in organized actors and what it means would likely be

informative, especially if it allowed for exploration of approaches other than equal weighting of

members letters in aggregating to form the opinions of organized actors. Clearly, when both a

national association of organizations and a small firm write letters of comment, there is the very

real possibility that the influence they will have on the process will be different. Effects of

reputation and size need to be explored in future work to assess the robustness of our findings

here. Finally, the role of variance within organized actors might be explored more in future

work; one obvious area would be to investigate how group process, cross-actor agreement, and

influence interact.

The results of this empirical study suggest several conclusions and research implications.

The first conclusion is that strong support for the utility of the regulatory field framework,

including a focus on multiple levels of analysis and institutional strategies of membership and

standardization. Future research should be aimed at replicating these findings and extending

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them to other organizational fields and institutional environments. A second research

implication concerns the role of professional identities in creating cohesion and agreement;

further investigation is warranted. A related conclusion derives from the finding of high levels

of agreement, which suggest an alternative approach to self-interest models of the regulatory

process. Agreement, shared information, and shared assumptions may be a primary means for

collective actors to narrow the areas of conflict and strategic behavior. Rational models of the

standard-setting process might benefit from allowing agreement to loom larger than in most

current analyses. We also highlight the need for further study of processes of institutional

reorientation and the roles of self-interest and levels of influence of various actors at these times.

While our distinction between periods of institutional convergence and reorientation was

important to framing our study, it also suggests that no theory of institutional change is complete

without empirical study of periods of fundamental institutional change. It may be the case that

high levels of cooperation among organized actors and the particular actors that are successful in

exerting influence over incremental institutional change would not characterize periods of

institutional reorientation. Further, it may be that the processes operating during these periods of

upheaval provide an important frame for understanding the process of influence over incremental

change studied here. It may even be the case that incremental change is unimportant in the

context of fundamental change, which may wipe the slate clean. Conversely, there may be

important links between incremental processes of change and the likelihood of and chances of

success in effecting fundamental institutional change. Only further study of both types of

institutional change can answer these questions and provide a more complete understanding of

cycles of institutional change (March and Olsen, 1989).

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