paladin energy ltd - australian securities · pdf filepaladin energy ltd disclaimer and notes...

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PALADIN ENERGY LTD ACN 061 681 098 Level 4, 502 Hay Street, Subiaco, Western Australia 6008 Postal: PO Box 201, Subiaco, Western Australia 6904 Tel: +61 (8) 9381 4366 Fax: +61 (8) 9381 4978 Email: [email protected] Website: www.paladinenergy.com.au Ref: 402369_1.docx 12 November 2015 ASX Market Announcements Australian Securities Exchange 20 Bridge Street SYDNEY NSW 2000 By Electronic Lodgement Dear Sir/Madam 30 September 2015 Quarterly Conference Call Presentation Attached please find the presentation in relation to the quarter ended 30 September 2015 conference call and investor update to be held tomorrow morning at 7.00am Perth time. Full details in relation to the call were announced on 11 November 2015. Yours faithfully Paladin Energy Ltd ALEXANDER MOLYNEUX Interim CEO For personal use only

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Page 1: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

PALADIN ENERGY LTD ACN 061 681 098

Level 4, 502 Hay Street, Subiaco, Western Australia 6008 Postal: PO Box 201, Subiaco, Western Australia 6904

Tel: +61 (8) 9381 4366 Fax: +61 (8) 9381 4978 Email: [email protected] Website: www.paladinenergy.com.au

Ref: 402369_1.docx

12 November 2015 ASX Market Announcements Australian Securities Exchange 20 Bridge Street SYDNEY NSW 2000

By Electronic Lodgement

Dear Sir/Madam

30 September 2015 Quarterly Conference Call Presentation Attached please find the presentation in relation to the quarter ended 30 September 2015 conference call and investor update to be held tomorrow morning at 7.00am Perth time. Full details in relation to the call were announced on 11 November 2015. Yours faithfully Paladin Energy Ltd

ALEXANDER MOLYNEUX Interim CEO

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Page 2: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Alexander Molyneux – Interim Chief Executive Officer

Craig Barnes – Chief Financial Officer

Darryl Butcher – EGM Technical and Project Development

Andrew Mirco – GM Corporate Development and Investor Relations

September Quarter Results

Conference Call and Investor Update13 November 2015

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Page 3: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101

Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves

1

This presentation includes certain statements that may be deemed “forward-looking statements”. All statements in this presentation, other thanstatements of historical facts, that address future production, reserve or resource potential, exploration drilling, exploitation activities andevents or developments that Paladin Energy Ltd (the “Company”) expects to occur, are forward-looking statements.

Although the Company believes the expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, suchstatements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those in the forward-lookingstatements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in forward looking statements include market prices,exploitation and exploration successes, and continued availability of capital and financing and general economic, market or businessconditions.

Investors are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and actual results or developments may differmaterially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking information.The Company does not assume any obligation to update or revise its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, futureevents or otherwise.

In the following presentation, for those deposits that are reported as conforming to the Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) 2004 or 2012code, the terms Inferred Mineral Resources, Indicated Mineral Resources, Measured Mineral Resources, Ore Reserves, Proved Ore Reserves,Probable Ore Reserves and Competent Person are equivalent to the terms Inferred Mineral Resources, Indicated Mineral Resources, MeasuredMineral Resources, Mineral Reserves, Proven Mineral Reserves, Probable Mineral Reserves and Qualified Person, respectively, used inCanadian National Instrument 43-101 (NI 43-101).

The technical information in this presentation that relates to Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves is based on informationcompiled by David Princep B.Sc. and Stephanie Raiseborough B.E., both of whom are Fellows of the Australasian Institute of Mining andMetallurgy. Mr. Princep and Ms. Raiseborough each have sufficient experience that is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of depositunder consideration and to the activity that they are undertaking to qualify as Competent Persons as defined in the 2012 Edition of the“Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves”, and as Qualified Persons as defined in NI 43-101. Mr. Princep and Ms. Raiseborough are full-time employees of the Company and consent to the inclusion of the relevant information in thisannouncement in the form and context in which it appears.

Previous tonnages, grades, assays and other technical data relating to the Oobagooma deposit are taken from historical records prior to theimplementation of the current NI 43-101. While the data is believed to have been acquired, processed and disclosed by persons believed to betechnically competent, they were estimated prior to the implementation of NI 43-101 and are therefore regarded as historical estimates for thepurposes of NI 43-101 and as an exploration target for the purposes of JORC disclosure. A Qualified Person as defined in NI 43-101 has notdone sufficient work to classify the historical estimate as current Mineral Resources. The Company is not treating the historical estimates ascurrent Mineral Resources as defined in NI 43-101 and for this reason the historical estimates should not be relied upon. At present, theCompany considers that these resources have no equivalent classification under NI 43-101 and should therefore be considered as unclassified.The historical information is presented on the basis that it may be of interest to investors.

Some of the information in this presentation, in relation to the mineral resources and ore reserves for all deposits except Manyingee andMichelin, was prepared and first disclosed under the JORC Code 2004. It has not been updated since to comply with JORC Code 2012 on thebasis that the information that the estimates are derived from has not materially changed since it was last reported.

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Page 4: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Paladin….

2

A GLOBAL URANIUM LEADER

OWNS LANGER HEINRICH, A STRATEGIC TIER ONE MINE

HAS OPTIMISATION AS A CORE COMPETENCY

PROVIDES BEST SENIOR LEVERAGE TO URANIUM UPSIDE

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Page 5: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Global Uranium Leader

3

ARMZ/Uranium One

Cameco

Rio Tinto

KazAtomProm

Areva

Navoi

Paladin

BHP Billiton

27.4

24.5

23.5

23.5

21.4

11.8

8.8

8.0

6.2

Paladin is the world’s leading independent pure

play uranium miner

Government owned

Divisions of diversified companies

Integrated with non-mining

Annual Capacity

Mlb

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Page 6: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Langer Heinrich A Strategic Tier One Mine

4

First Quartile C1 Cash Cost1

32.7MlbsCumulative production

Top 10 Uranium Mine by Production

2

4th largest open-pit

+20 Year Mine Life3

1 Source – UxC Uranium Production Cost Study – August 20152 Source – TradeTech Uranium Market Study – 2015: Issue 3 (based on 2015 production)3 At current processing rates

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Page 7: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Quarter to 30 September 2015 Highlights

5

C1 Cash Cost US$27.82/lbVs September quarter guidance

US$26/lb to US$30/lb

LTIFR 1.39Compared to 2.41 last quarter and

4.10 for 3 months ended 30 September 2014

US$46.12/lb ASP26.4% above average spot

US$11.3M Gross ProfitIncrease of 707% from

US$1.4M in 2014

Production 1.083Mlbs

Drummed Production 1.2Mlbs

Cash US$108.4M Vs pro forma guidance for repurchase

of CB’s US$101.5M to US$111.5M

Bicarbonate Recovery Plant (BRP) implemented and operating 200% of design

Repurchased US$20M of the US$274M Convertible Bond due 2017 for US$18.5M

Cash flow optimisation initiatives substantially implemented

C1 cash cost decreased 16% from US$33.03/lb in September 2014

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Page 8: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd 6

Sales revenue US$36.9M 0.800Mlb sold at average

realised price of US$46.12/lb

Loss of US$16.4M Lower than loss of

US$38.8M in 2014

EBITDA US$6.4MUS$21.6M turnaround from 2014

negative EBITDA of US$15.2M

US$20M Repurchase

of 2017 CBResulted in savings of approx. US$3.9M

Gross Profit US$11.3M

Increase from 2014 Gross Profit of US$1.4M

Cost of Sales US$25.7MDown from 2014

Cost of Sales US$37.9M

Down 32%

Down 5%

Down 58%

References below to 2015 and 2014 are to the equivalent three months ended 30 September 2015 and 2014 respectively.

Up 707%

Quarter to 30 September 2015 HighlightsF

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Page 9: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd 7

Quarter to 30 September 2015 Cash Flow

Sales proceeds of US$36.9M only

received in October 2015

108.4

(18.0) (1.2)(4.3)

(5.7)

(37.4)(3.2) (1.8)

(3.7)

183.7

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

US$

M

Q1 FY2016 change in cash and cash equivalents

Includes US$1.2M cash

portion of Carley Bore

acquisition cost

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Page 10: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

(0.8) 6.8

8.2

(44.6) (0.1)

36.9

(1.3) 0.1 0.8

0.4

6.4

-35

-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

US$

M

COS variance

(15.1)

18.7

(20.8) (0.2)

13.6

4.4

1.5

1.9

2.4

6.4

-20

-15

-10

-5

-0

5

10

US$

MRevenue variance

COS variance

8

EBITDA Variance Analysis

Quarter to 30 September 2015 vs. Quarter to 30 September 2014 Quarter to 30 September 2015 vs. Quarter to 30 June 2015

Revenue variance

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Page 11: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

63.86

46.25

0.39

1.55

0.44

(7.47)

(3.98)

(0.78)

(3.64)

(3.05)

(0.44)

(0.63)

30.00 35.00 40.00 45.00 50.00 55.00 60.00 65.00

Q1 FY2015 Actual all-in cash costs

Currency

Volume and grade

Efficiency - mining

Efficiency - processing

Efficiency - other

Capital expenditure

KM C&M

Exploration

Corporate

Debt servicing

Q1 FY2016 Actual all-in cash costs

US$/lb

9

All-in Cash Spending (Breakeven Price)

All-in spending reduced by

US$17.61/lb Vs. equivalent

quarter last year (excluding one

off items)

Volume effect Vs. the quarter to

30 June 2015

All-in spending in-line with plan

for US$39-41/lb range on full

year FY 2016 basis

Quarter to 30 September 2015 vs. Quarter to 30 September 2014

63.86

48.9146.87 45.48 46.25

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

Q1 FY2015 Q2 FY2015 Q3 FY2015 Q4 FY2015 Q1 FY2016

All-in cash expenditure

FY2015 Average US$50.75/lb

FY2016

Guidance

US$39-41/lb

US$/lb

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Page 12: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Capital Management

10

Total debt reduction1

― US$449.6M since June 2012

― US$20M during Sep Quarter

Next maturity is April 2017

Outlook for improved

operating cash flows

Strategic initiatives being

considered

2017 CB Funding Gap

Reduced to US$150-

US$180M

Breakdown of Key Debt Instruments 1 US$M

LHM Syndicated Facility Agreement 61

Convertible Bonds due April 2017 254

Convertible Bonds due March 2020 150

Total Debt 465

1 Reductions based on face value of debt

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Page 13: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Optimisation a Core Competency

11

Paladin maintains a world class

technical services team focused on

cash flow optimisation

BRP Enhancement 4 now operational

Capital Cost of additional

<US$100k of our original capital

cost of US$6.8M

Recovery of sodium bicarbonate

now exceeds 200% of design

Total operating cost saving now

>US$6/lb (>US$30Mpa)

Additional secondary benefits

33% Reduction

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Page 14: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Optimisation a Core CompetencyFY2016 Cash Flow Optimisation Initiatives

12

Mining and processing

optimisation:― Full-year impact of BRP plus increase in expected

performance to over 200% of design

― Alliance style mining contract

Other Controllable costs:― Reduction of head office staff and admin costs

― Exploration on care and maintenance (i.e., minimal

spend to meet licence commitments)

All in total expenditure including annualised impact and optimisation initiatives1

Assumed USD/NAD of 12.60 Vs 11.48 for FY2015

9.6% reduced grade to 694ppm offset by volume increase

1Includes: Operating cash flows; investing cash flows; and debt servicing (including principal and interest payments on the LHM syndicated facility agreement)

US$/lb

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Page 15: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Best Leverage to Uranium UpsideUranium is not affected by recent commodity rout

13

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15

Oil Bloomberg Commodity Index Uranium

Reb

as

ed

to

10

0%

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Page 16: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Best Leverage to Uranium UpsideUranium has a positive outlook and Paladin has leverage

14

Current situation is positive

― Japan 2 reactors restarted and

25 have applied to follow

― 2017 will see record nuclear

power generation

― 65 reactors under construction

– 59% in Asia

― Mined supply reduced 10% in

2014

― Higher prices are needed

Paladin is leveraged

― Publicly-listed uranium pure

play exposure

― FY2016 85% spot-related

exposure

― FY2017 & FY2018 almost

100% spot relatedSource: TradeTech for historical spot. Analysts’ forecast is based on average of 16

analyst forecasts as shown in latest available reports (analysts include: BAML; BMO;

Cantor; CIBC; CIMB; Cormark; CS; Dundee; JPM; Raymond James; RBC; RFC

Ambrian; Salman; Scotiabank; TD; and UBS).

39

48

55

68

Analysts’ forecast

US$/lb

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Page 17: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Strategy

15

1. Maximise LHM operating cash flows through optimisation

initiatives that preserve the integrity of the long-term life

of mine plan

2. Maintain KM and exploration on a “minimal expenditure,

care and maintenance basis”

3. Minimise corporate and administrative costs

4. Progress strategic initiatives with respect to partnerships,

strategic investment, funding and corporate transactionsFor

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Page 18: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

FY2016 Guidance

16

5.0 - 5.4Mlbs Production

LHM C1 US$25-27/lb7-14% lower than FY2015

Cash flow neutral

for FY2016Subsequent quarters to

be cash flow positive

December Quarter Sales 1.5 - 1.7Mlb

LHM C1 US$25-27/lb

Cash build to US$110-120M

US$4/lb ASP Premium to spot

US$19M corporate costs,

KM care and maintenance

and explorationUS$14M lower than FY2015

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Page 19: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Appendix

17

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Page 20: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Langer Heinrich Project Update

18

Production September Quarter― 1.083Mlb (drummed 1.200Mlb)

― recovery 82% (has now improved with reversion to typical ore)

― Bicarbonate Recovery Project (BRP) Enhancement 1 now operational at >200% of design

further significant reduction in reagent usage

further consequential benefits but one adverse (leach extraction)

C1 Cost US$27.82/lb, on track to achieve $25-27/lb for FY2016

Optimisation and innovation for further unit cost reduction

― further application of membranes― other focal areas:

process recovery operator training and operating systems process plant utilisation

Guidance FY2016 of 5.0 - 5.4Mlb

Actual

Sept Qtr

FY2015

Actual

Sept Qtr

FY2016

Ore processed 0.734Mt 0.847Mt

Ore feed grade 786ppm 706ppm

Recovery 85.6% 82.2%

U3O8 production 1.090Mlb 1.083Mlb

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Page 21: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Pipeline Projects

19

Kayelekera Mine ― now stable in C&M― restart feasibility study near completion and

current focus― site stable in terms of water and other

environmental issues for the long term

Michelin Deposit Canada― minimum expenditure planned for FY2016

Manyingee WA― Minimum activity planned for FY2016F

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Page 22: PALADIN ENERGY LTD - Australian Securities · PDF filePaladin Energy Ltd Disclaimer and Notes for JORC and NI 43-101 Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves 1 This presentation includes

Paladin Energy Ltd

Paladin Energy Ltd – Contact Details

20

Head Office

Level 4, 502 Hay Street

Subiaco Western Australia 6008

PO Box 201, Subiaco

Western Australia 6904

Telephone: +61 (0) 8 9381 4366

Facsimile: +61 (0) 8 9381 4978

Email: [email protected]

Website: www.paladinenergy.com.au

Investor Relations

Andrew Mirco

Telephone: +61 (0) 8 9423 8162

Mobile: +61-409-087-171For

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