Option Pricing Theory and Its Applications

by

John C. Cox and Chi-fu Huang

April 1987WP #1881

Option Pricing Theory and Its Applications*

John C. Cox and Chi-fu HuangSloan School of Management

Massachusetts Institute of TechnologySeptember 1986

*To appear ill Frontiers of Filancial Theoy, editredl by S. Bliatt.acarta and G. C(onstantinides, Littlefield k Adams, 1987.

Table of Contents

1 Introduction ...........................

2 The martingale approach to option pricing ............

2.1 The setup .........................

2.2 Dynamic spanning and the martingale representation theorem

2.3 Some Generalizations ...................

3 Existence and properties of optimal strategies ...........

4 Applications to Contingent Claim Pricing .............

. . . . . . . . . . . 1

... . . . .1. .o . . . 1

... . .. 1... . . . ... 1

... . . . .. 8. . . . . 8

.. . . . . . . . 11

.. . . . . . . . 12

. . . . . . . . . . . .15

1___*___�11_______1_�-.�--�--- -�1___...__��__ ._

i

1. Introduction

Option pricing theory has a long and illustrious history. The first scientific study of options

was done by Louis Bachelier in 1900 in a remarkable work that also contained several pioneering

results in the theory of stochastic processes. Unfortunately, Bachelier's work fell into obscurity

and remained undiscovered by economists for over fifty years. Little research was done on options

during that time, but subsequently the field became more active. Key contributions were made

in the 1960's by Samuelson [1965] and Samuelson and Merton [19691. It was not until the 1970's,

however, that a completely satisfactory theory of option pricing was developed. This new theory,

which revolutionized the field, was initiated by Black and Scholes [1973] and extended in important

ways by Merton [1973]. Their path-breaking articles have formed the basis for nearly all subsequent

work in the area.

Recent work on option pricing has tended to fall into two broad categories. The first category

is foundational work whose objective is to refine, extend, and(l elucidate the basic ideas underlying

the Black-Scholes theory. In Section 2 of our review, we present this line of research by rederiving

the basic Black-Scholes results from the perspective of subsequent work. In the second category

are articles which have developed apIplications of this b)asic theory. It is the tremendous variety

and power of these applications that has given the field muchll of its vitality. As one illustration of

this, we show in Section 3 how option pricing theory call be fruitfullly applied to a classical issue in

financial economics, the intertemporal portfolio problem. In Section 4, we briefly survey a number

of other applications of the theory.

2. The martingale approach to option pricing

In this section, we will develop option pricing theory from a somewhat different perspective

than the the way in which it was originally p)resented in the articles of Black and Scholes [1973]

and Merton [1973]. We will exploit the martingale connection of an arbitrage free price system as

first observed by Cox and Ross [1976] and formalized by Harrison and Kreps [1979]. This approach

will lead naturally to a discussion in Section 3 on some fundamental issues in portfolio theory.

To simplify notation, we will take the Black-Scholes model of securities prices as a starting

point and later discuss directions for generalization. Throughout we will consider an economy with

a long horizon. However, we focus our attention only on the tilme interval [0. 1].

2.1. The setup

Let there be two securities, one risky and another riskless. The risky security does not pay

dividends on [0, 11 and has a price process:

S(t) = exp { (- 4a2) t + rW(t) (2.1)

1

where t and a are two strictly positive constants, and where {(t)} is a standard Brownian motion

under a probability P.' The interpretation of t and a will be clear if we take the differential of

(2.1):

dS(t) = uS(t)dt + aS(t)dW(t).

The a is the instantaneous standard deviation and p, the instantaneous expected value of the rate

of return of the risky asset. The riskless asset does not pay dividends on [0, 1] and has a price

process

B(t) = exp{rt} t E [0,1]. (2.2)

The vector price processes (B, S) will be termned a price system.

An investor in the economy is interested in trading in the two securities to achieve an optimal

random wealth at time one. We shall assume that the random t.ine one wealths in which he is

interested have finite second mloments 2 and that he has no sources of income other than his endowed

wealth at time zero.

One immediate question that comes to mind is how do we know the price system written down

is a reasonable price system? In the least, the price system should( not allow us to create something

out of nothing or create free hunches. In order to fornmulate what we mean by creating, we have to

talk about what types of investment strategics, or trading strategies, are allowed and what kind of

information can be used by investors. For a rich model of securities trading, we would certainly like

to include as many trading strategies as possible, as long as there is no free lunch that can arise.

The information an investor has at any time t is the past realization of the price system. Since

the riskless asset has a purely deterministic price process, at time zero, an investor knows its future

price behavior completely. Thus, the information that an investor has learned between any time

t and time zero is just the realizations of the risky asset price process there. We shall use F to

denote the information that an investor possesses at time t.3 Compactly denoted, the information

structure of an investor is F = {7;;t C [0, 1]}, or a filtratiozn genlrate(l hy S. Note that from (2.1)

we can writeIn S(t) - (t - 12)w(t) 2 t E [0, 1]

a

Thus knowing the realizations of S is equivalent to knowing those of the Brownian motion W. Thus

the filtration (information) generated by S is equivalent to the filtration (information) generated

by W.

A process is said to be consistent. with the information structure if its values at time t can

only depend upon the information at that time. Alternatively, a consistent process is also said

'-A standard Brownian motion is a Brownianl motion that start.s at zero at, timne zero.2Any random variable that has a finite second moment. must have a finite ineai and a finite variance.8 Mathematicians call 55 the sigma-field generated )y {S(); 0 < R < t).

2

to be adapted. A process is said to be pred(ictable if its values at time t depend only upon the

information strictly before time t. A predictable process is certainly adapted.

A trading strategy is a pair of predictable processes {a(t), 0(t)}. For every t G (0, 1], interpret

a(t) and (t) to be the number of shares of the riskless and risky security, respectively, held at time

t before time t trading. That is, a(t) is the number of shares of the riskless security carried by an

investor from an instant before time t into t, likewise for 0(t). Then naturally, the informational

constraint is that the values of (a(t), 0(t)) be dependent only upon the information strictly before

time t. As for (a(0), 0(0)), they represent the initial holdings of the two securities and are therefore

nonstochastic.

A trading strategy is said to be simple if it is bounded and if it only changes its values or trades

at finitely many of points of time. The number of those time points, although finite in number,

can be arbitrarily large.

Since a simple strategy can easily be implemented in real life, it seems that we should at least

allow all the simple strategies that, satisfy an appropriate luflget constraint. Formally, a simple

strategy (, 0), with trading dates 0 = to < tl < < t,, = 1, is admissible if

a (ti)B(ti) + (ti)S(t;) = (t+l)B(t) + O(ti+l)S(t;) Vi = 01, . .. , n - 1. (2.3)

The left-hand-side of (2.3) is the value of the strategy at time ti before the trading; and the right-

hand-side is the value after the trading at ti. That they are equal is a natural budget constraint,

since an investor does not have income other than his endowed time zero wealth. The value of the

strategy at time zero will be equal to an investor's time zero wealth. Here we note that any simple

strategy generates a time one wealth with a finite second moment,. It can be easily verified that

(2.3) implies that

a(t)B(t) + ()S(t) = a(0)B(O) + 0(0)S(0) + a(.s)dB(s) + O(s)dS(s) t E [0, 1. (2.4)

That is, the value of a strategy at time t is equal to its initial value plus accumulated capital gains

or losses. Any trading strategy, not necessarily simple, that satisfies (2.4) will henceforth be termed

a self-financing strategy for obvious reasons. (Implicit in this statement is the requirement that all

the integrals are well defined.)

Let H denote the space of admissible strategies. We will specify H carefillly later; for the time

being, we only say that it includes all the admissible simple strategies and any element of it must

be self-financing. Here we are obliged to explain why we are not: content with simple strategies,

since it seems that those are the ones that are likely to be carried out in real life. Besides certain

technical reasons, here we can only point out that some financial assets, like options, cannot be

manufactured by simple strategies. Thus, for the riclmcss of the model, we would like to also

3

consider strategies that are not simple. For technically inclined readers, we note that the space of

simple strategies lacks the closure property that is convenient for many purposes.

Now we shall formalize what we mean by a free hlnch. Ill words first, a free lunch is a sequence

of admissible trading strategies whose initial costs go to a nonpositive real number and whose

time one value goes to a nonzero positive random variable. Formally, a free lunch is a sequence of

admissible trading strategies (a", 0") G H, n = 1, 2, . .. , such that lim,, a"(O)B(O) + 0"(O)S(O) < 0

and that lim, a"(1)B(1) + 0"(1)S(1) > k, where k is some nonzero positive random variable.4

Now we are ready to discuss a important consequence of the no free lunch condition. We

shall first fix some notations. Putting S*(t) = S(t)/B(t) and B*(t) = 1, (B*, S*) is a normalized

or discounted price system, where the riskless asset is the nuleraire.

The following theorem, an application of Harrison antid Kreps 19791 and Krepls [1981] gives the

connection between the normalized price system and allartinlgales.

Theorem 2.1. Sppose that (B, S) admllits no free llnchlcs. Thllen there exists a probability Q

under which S* is a martingale. The probabilities Q and P are e(luivalent i the sense that an

event is of probability zero rIlder P if and only if it is of probability zero under Q. Moreover, the

derivative of Q with respect to P, d(enoted y dQ/dP. has a finite variance. Conversely, if there

exists such a probability Q then there are no free hluches for simple admissible strategies.

Remark 2.1. In a finite state model with finitely many discrete periods, the above theorem

follows from the absence of simple free Ilnclhes, as an application of the Farkas Lemma (see, e.g.,

Holmes [1975], p.92). A simple free hmch is all admissible strategy whose initial cost is nonpositive

and whose time one value is a nonzero positive random variable. Moreover, when there is an agent

whose preferences have a von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility representation, dQ/dP can

be viewed as his marginal utility per Ilnit of prol)ability P. When there are an infinite number

of states, the absence of simple free hunches is no longer sufficient for the above theorem for some

teclmical reasons. We refer interested readers to Kreps [1981] for a host of related issues.

Normally we would not expect price processes to be martingales. A set of sufficient conditions

for that to be true is: investors are risk neutral and the interest rate is zero. In the above theorem,

the normalization takes out the positive interest rate and the change of probability subsumes

risk aversion. We shall call the probability Q a iartingale measure. We will see shortly that a

martingale measure is just a Cox and Ross [1976] risk neutral probability.

The task now is to verify that there exists a martingale measure for the price system (B, S).

Our approach will be through construction. We will define a prolbatlility and show that it is a

martingale measure.

4 The convergence of the time zero investmlllert is in real numbers. Th'e convlrgelnCe of time one valie is in the sense of the

expectation of the square of the difference.

4

Plt

= exp { W (1) - ( ) (2.5)

Since W(1) is a normally distributed random variable with mean zero and variance 1, is a log-

normal random variable. A log-normal random variable has finite arbitrary moments and is strictly

positive. Define a probability Q by

Q(A) = E [I1Ag VA 7,

where A is any distinguishable event at. time one and IA is an indicator function of the event A

taking the value 1 if the true state of the nature lies in A and taking the value 0 otherwise. The

density of Q with respect to P is just f. The two probabilities P and Q are equivalent since is

strictly positive.

Now we claim that Q is a martingale measure. To prove this, we need a mathematical result, the

Girsanov Theorem, which states that the Brownian motion {WT(t)} under P becomes a Brownian

motion plus a drift term under Q (see, e.g., Liptser and Shiryayev [1977]).

Theorem 2.2. (Girsanov) Putting

z(t) = (t) + ( ) t.

then {z*(t)} is a Standard Brownian motion ulnder Q.

The drift term in the above theorem comes from equation (2.5). In fact, the Girsanov Theorem

holds more generally than is stated in the above t.heorem. When the three parameters It, a, and r

are not constant but are stochastic processes themselves. we simply replace (_) t by the integral

of ( ) from 0 to t. When there are more than one risky securities ad /L and are a vector and a

matrix, respectively, we replace r by a-l(p - r). (Of coulse, in the general case, there are some

additional regularity conditions.)

Given the Girsanov Theorem, we can write for all 0 < ,. < t < 1:

S*(t)= exp { ( _(2 _ r) t + W(t)2 -(2.6)

= S (q}cxp {4a2f(t- )+ - (z (t) - ))

Given S*(s), S*(t) is equal to S*(.s) tinies a log-normal randoml variable with unit. mean under

Q. Letting E*[.;] )be the conditional expectation under Q given the informat.ion at time t, we

immediately have

E*[1S*(t)lY,] = S(s),

5

which simply says that {S*(t)} is a nmartingale under Q. Thus according to Theorem 2.1, (B, S)

admits no free lunches for admissible simple strategies.

The question that remains is whether the existence of a martingale measure implies no free

lunch for a strategy space containing non-simple strategies. For example, consider all the self-

financing strategies. The answer is no by an example due to Harrison and Kreps [1979]. They

conceive of a self-financing strategy termed the doubling strategy. This strategy is like borrowing

to double your bet in roulette each time you lose. As long as you can borrow an unbounded amount

and can bet infinitely often, you are sure to win in the end. By way of doing this, you will essentially

create something out of nothing. This kind of scheme is certainly self-financing. It is feasible in

our economy since there are infinitely many trading opportunities in [0, 1] and there are no bounds

on the numbers of shares of securities that an investor can hold, and hence no limit on the amount

of borrowing that can be done.

There are two approaches that one can take to make (B, S) a viable model of securities

prices, while allowing non-simple strategies. The first one is suggestedl by Harrison and Kreps. To

implement a doubling strategy, one has to allow the possibility thllat onc's wealth can go negative

and be unbounded from below before one actually wins. Hence prohibiting an investor from having

negative wealth will certainly rule out the doubling strategies. Harrison an(l Kreps conjectured that

the nonnegative wealth constraint may also rule out all the free lunches. Dybvig [1980] confirmed

their conjecture.

The second approach is to put a certain condition on the number of shares of securities that

an investor can hold. The idea is that a doubling strategy will involve shorting more and more of

the riskless security and going long in the risky one in some state of the nature. If we put a bound

on the position in the risky security that one can take over time, then the doubling strategy will

not be implementable. Note that a bound need only b)e plut on the 1)osition of the risky security,

since the same bound will affect the position of the riskless security through the budget constraint.

It turns out that we can admit strategies more general thllall the bounded ones. They only need to

satisfy a square-integrability condition:

E* ((t)(t))2dt < oo, (2.7)

where E*[.] is the expectation at time ero unllder . This approach has been adopted by Harri-

son and Pliska [1981] and Duffie and Huang [19851. It turns out tha.llt any self-financing strategy

satisfying (2.7) is the limit of a sequence of admissible simple strategies.5 In words, a non-simple

self-financing strategy satisfying (2.7) can be approximated(l arblitrarily closely by a admissible

5 That is, ifO satisfies (2.7), then there is a sequene of i,lle ,,, = 1, 2, u that [ ) )) ]

as -" o-.

6

simple strategy that trades very very frequently. It call l)e easily shown that. any simple strategy

satisfies (2.7).

The two approaches turn out to be functionally equivalent for a class of utility maximiza-

tion problems. The nonnegative wealth constraint rules out free lunches, but still allows suicidal

strategies-strategies that are mirror images of free lunches and throw money away. The condi-

tion (2.7), however, rules out both free lunches and suicidal strategies. For nonsatiated investors,

suicidal strategies will never be employed. Thus the two approaches are equivalent for a nonsa-

tiated investor in that they yield the same solution set for the investor. Here we take the second

route by defining H to be the collection of self-financing strategies (a, 0) satisfying (2.7) such that

a(1)B(1) + 0(1)S(1) E L 2(P), where we have used L 2(P) to denote the space of random variables

consistent with I' and having finite variances under P. Thus defined, H is a linear space and that

makes our discussion to follow on dynlamic spanning easier. (If we took the first approach, the

space of admissible trading strategies will not be a linear space.)

Now we summarize in the following theorem:

Theorem 2.3. (B, S) admits no free hlnches with respect to H.

Before we leave this section, we note two things. First, if we substitute for P the martingale

measure Q, we will only change the drift, term of the price process of the risky security. The

instantaneous standard deviation term will not be affected. To see this, we apply It6's lemma to

(2.6) and get

dS*(t) = S*(t)z*-(t). (2.8)

Under Q, S* is a martingale and does not have a drift term. The instantaneous standard deviation

under Q of the rate of retulrn on S* is still r. This property is not p)articular to the normalized

price process. For S, we have

dS(t) = rS(t)dt + 7S(t)dz*(t). (2.9)

Under the martingale measure, the instantaneous expected rate of return of S is equal to the riskless

rate and the a is unaffected. So, as we mentioned previously, the martingale measure is just the

risk neutral probability of Cox and Ross [1976].

Second, It6's lemma implies that (a., ) C H if and only if

a(t) + O(t)S*(t) = a(0) + t0(0)$*(0) + / (,s)r,*(,q)s)dz(.q). (2.10)

Now note a result in the theory of stochastic integration: Let satisfy (2.7). Then

'j (.q)S*(.q)dz*(q) t [o. 1]fo7

· *·��1��11�_�_�__ �_�_

is a martingale having finite second moment under Q. It follows that the left-hand-side of (2.10),

the value of the strategy (a, 0) G H in units of the riskless security, is a martingale with a finite

second moment under Q:

a(t) + (t)S*(t) = E* [a(1) + 0(1)S*(1) lY] t C [0, 11. (2.11)

A consequence of this is that if we know the final value of a strategy (a, 0) H and 0, then we

know a by rearranging (2.11):

a(t) = E* [(l1) + 0(1)S*(1)7I] - O(t)S*(t). (2.12)

That is, the final wealth generated y an admissible trading strategy is completely determined

by the number of shares of the risky security that is held over time. The number of shares of the

riskless security held over time will then be determinedi through the budget constraint as manifested

by (2.12).

2.2. Dynamic spanning and the martingale representation theorem

Recall that an investor's task is to find an optimal time one wealth tro through trading dynamically

in the two securities. We have learned from the previous section thlat there do not exist free lunches

for admissible strategies. In this section, we will first examine the kinds of time one random wealth

that can be achieved by trading in the two long-lived securities. We will show that although there

are only two long-lived securities, any timie one wealth that has a finite second moment under both

P and Q is achievable through some strategy in H. Through the sequential trading opportunity,

one can turn the two long-lived securities into an achievable final wealth space infinite in dimension.

In particular, a European call option written on the risky asset expiring at time one with any

exercise price K > 0 is achievable and( thus has a well-defined price. We will compute its price and

demonstrate the strategy that manufactures it.

To fix notations, let L 2(Q) be the collection of random variables that are consistent with the

information at time one and have finite second moments under Q. We will first show that ally

element of L 2(P) n L 2(Q) is achievalble through some strategy in H. This is a direct consequence

of the martingale representation theorem, duc originally to Knita and Watanabe [1967]. Before

recording this theorem, we note tha.t since z*(t) = IW(t) + (I) t, t te information structure F is

also generated by z*.

Theorem 2.4. (Kunita and Watanabe) Suppose that the information structure F is generated

by z*, a Brownian motion under Q. Then any finite secndl moment martingale {m(t)} tunder Q

consisten t with F can be represented as a stoclhastic integral with resp ect to {z*(t)}:

m(t) = m(0) + jl (s)dz*(s) t 10, 1],/08

where {q((t)) is Ipredictable and satisfies

E* [/ ?7(t)12t] d < oo. (2.13)

(Note that although here {z*(t)} is a one dimensional Brownian motion under Q, the above theorem

applies also to the case where the Brownian motion is multi-dimnsional.)

Now let x E L 2(P) n L 2(Q). We want to show that there exists (a, t0) E H that manufactures

z. Since has a finite second moment under Q, xe-" does too. Hence, {E*[xe-r'F]) is a finite

second moment martingale under Q. By the martingale representation theorem, we know there

exists {tr(t)} satisfying (2.13) such that

= E[xc-] + tn(t)dz*(t)

-r x J t (2.14)

= E*[xe-r] + J| (t) S*(t)ndz*(t).

Putting (t) - r(t)/(S*(t)at) and defining a(t) by (2.12), we can easily verify that (a, ) E H and

it manufactures x. 6 Hence any element of L 2(P) n L 2(Q) is achievable through some strategy

(a, ) in H. From the previous section, we also know how to compllte the price for x: the price for

x at time t is E'[ze-I(-')rl].

Consider now a European call option written on the risky security with al exercise price of K >

0 and an expiration date of time one. The payoff of this option at time one is y - mllax[S(1) - K, 0].

Note that S(1) is a log-normal random variable both under P and Q, so y G L 2 (P) n L 2(Q). That

is, this call option can be manufactured )y some (a, 0) C H. Its price at time t, denoted by C(t),

is

C(t) = E' [ye-(-''rI] . (2.15)

Carrying out the computation, we get the Black-Scholes formula.

From the Black-Scholes formula, we know that the price of a Eluropean call option at any time t

depends upon S(t), a, r, K, and t. Since r, r, and K are constants. we can write C(t) = C(S(t). t).

It is easily verified that C(S(t), t) is twice continuously differential)le with respect to S(t) and once

continuously differentiable with respect to t. It6's lemima imllies

C(S(t), t)e =' C(O) + CS(S(8). 8).*(s)adz (s)

+ f' e R (!2(82(.)OSs(S(S). S) + rS(.8),s(tS(.).) + (-R(S(C), s)-r(S(i), s)) d8.

(2.1G)

6 A technical argumentt can show that (.O) is predictale.

9

_____l___�____�li_�__�1_____11·�___��_��

One can verify that

E* [l(Cs(s(t),t)S*(t))2dt < 00.

Thus the second term on the right-hand-side of (2.16) is a martingale under Q. Recall that the

normalized price for any achievable time one wealth is a martingale under Q. Hence the third term

on the right side of (2.16) is also a martingale. A martingale does not have any drift term. It then

follows that the third term on the right side of (2.16) must be zero and therefore

-as2(t)Css(S(t),t)+ rS(t)Cs(S(t), t) + C,(S(t). t) - rC(S(t) t) = 0. (2.17)2

Since S(t) is log-normally distributed and therefore has a support equal to the positive real line

excluding zero, the option price lmust be a solution to the partial differential equation:

_-a2 2C,,(z, t) + rC,( , t) + C,(x, t) - rC(x, t) =0 Vx C (0, oc) t o, 1]. (2.18)2

This is the so called fundamental partial differential equation for valuation in the option pricing

literature. Here we derived this partial differential equation as a y-produllct of the option pricing

formula.

Given (2.16), it is then clear what is the strategy that manufactures the call option: 0(t) =

C(s(S(t), t) and a(t) is defined by (2.12). The number. of shares of the risky security held at time t

is just the partial derivative of the option price with respect to S(t). The number of shares of the

riskless security held is then determined through the budget constraint. One can also verify easily

that It6's lemma can be applied to (s Thus ('s is itself an It6 pIrocess, which fluctuates very fast

and is not a simple strategy onI S.

We note that in the aove demonstratioll of the strategy for a call option, the only property

that we made use of C(S(t), t) is that it has certain continuous partial derivatives for It6's lemma

to work. Thus we have in fact demonstrated a general method in constructing a strategy for an

achievable time one wealth whose value at any time t is a function of S(t) and t, to which the It6's

lemma can be applied. We will see this point again in the next section.

Using the martingale approach in otion pricing theoly has several advantages. First, the

interplay between the existence of free lunches and admissible trading strategies is clearly revealed.

Second, it brings forth the observation that a reasonable )price system should, in the least, be a

martingale after a normalization and a change of probability. Third, the space of reachable final

wealths can be explicitly characterized. Not only optiOns, blut also everything else that lies in

L2 (P) n L2 (Q) is reachable. Hence we have the amazing fact. that thile number of traded securities

is finite in number, but the space of reachable tilme one wealths is of infinite (illlension. This is not

a mystery, however, since we have an unlcountably infinite nimlnber of trading opportunities.

10

11

2.3. Some Generalizations

We have mentioned that the martingale approach can be applied to very general stochastic

environments. The following is such a scenario: There are a finite number of securities indexed by

j = 0, 1, 2, .. , J, which, for simplicity, do not pay dividends. Except for the 0-th security, all the

others are risky. Denote by {B(t), S(t) = (Sl(t),...,S(t))T } the price processes for the riskless

and the risky securities, where T denotes the transpose. We assume that B(t) = exp{J r(s)ds)}

and that S is an J-dimensional It6 process:

S(t) = S () + | / (s) ds + a(s)dW(s) Vt e [o, 1],

where W is a J-dimensional standard Brownian motion. It6's lemma implies that S*(t) S(t)/B(t)

can be written as

S*(t) = S*(0) + (()- r(±)S(s))d + s)t() si B(,lB(s) W()

S( -*(o ) + ((.)( . )d ( + ().

Now under some regularity conditions, and especially with the nonsingularity of the J x J matrix

process {a(t)}, there exists a unique martingale measure. Therefore, as an application of Theorem

2.1, there are no free luhmches for self-- financing simple strategies. When we consider the space of

self-financing trading strategies {a(t), (t) = ((t),..., 0:(t))} that satisfy the following square-

integrability condition:

E* [j 0(t) * (*t) (t)TO(t)Tdtl < oo,

no free lunches exist, where as usual E*[.] denotes the expectation under the martingale measure

Q. Under some regularity conditions and a generalization of Theorem 2.4, any final wealth in

L 2 (P) n L2(Q) is reachable by a self-financing strategy satisfying the above integrability condition.

The value at time t of any reachable final wealth, in lunits of the 0-th asset, is just the conditional

expectation at that time of the final wealth unlder the martingale measure. Readers are referred to

Cox and Huang [1986a] and Harrison and Kreps [19791 for complete details.

We have also noted earlier that, using the marl'tingale approach to price a call option in the

Black-Scholes context, the price of an option can be computed by evaluating the conditional ex-

pectation of (2.15). As a consequence, the fundamental partial differential equation for valuation

(2.18) becomes an implication of the Black-Scholes option pricing formulla; it is no longer the vehi-

cle through which the call option price is solved, as it was in the original treatments of Black and

Scholes [1973] and Merton [1973J. The two approaches are indeed equivalent i the simple set up

of the Black-Scholes economy.

In many situations, however, it is impossible to evaluate the relevant conditional expectation

explicitly. For example, consider valuing an American put option expiring at time one in the set up

11

D�l�l··�_ ��_ _

of Section 2.1. It is well known that it may be oI)timal for the holder of such an option to exercise

it, before the expiration date (see Merton [1973]). Then the value of the put option depends upon

the optimal exercise policy and will be given by the supremnum of the conditional expectation over

all exercise strategies. In this case, no analytic expression has yet been found for the value of the

option. However, we do know that the fundamental partial differential equation for valuation will

be satisfied by the put option price before exercise and that the exercise strategy will be chosen

to maximize the value of the option. Hence one can use numerical techniques for solving partial

differential equations to find the approximate optimal exercise policy and the approximate value

of the put option. Readers may consult Brennan and Schwartz [1977a] and Parkinson [1977] for

details.

Even without the optimal exercise problem, conditional expectations will usually be impossible

to evaluate explicitly in situations with general stochastic environments such as the one depicted

in the beginning of this section. Hence it will again be necessary to solve the fuldamental partial

differential equation numerically in order to obtain specific result.

It is important to note that all of the results we have d(escril)ed express the value of an option

in terms of the value of some other security or set of securities. It is the derivation of relative pricing

results using only a few properties of the uniderlying equililbrium that characterizes option pricing

as a separate field of study. In any situation in which the relative pricing methodology cannot

be applied, option valuation must be considered in the context of a complete general equilibrium

model (see, e.g., Rubinstein [1976]). In those cases, option Ipricing theory becomes indistinguishable

from the more general theory of asset. valuation.

3. Existence and properties of optimal strategies

Let us come back to an investor's maximization probllem. We learned from the previous section

that there are no free lunches. Hence it is sensible now to ask whether there exists a solution to

an investor's dynamic optimization program. For ease of exposition, we assume that the investor

seeks to maximize his expected utility of time one wealth anlld that his utility function is of the

constant relative risk aversion type: u(w) = _-iwl-6, with ib y 1. Formally stated. the problem

the investor tries to solve is:

Imax Euv-b]

(ne,O)EH 1 -

s.t. a(0)B(0) + 9(0)S(0) = Ko (3.1)

a(1)B(1) + 0(1)S(1) = w G L(p),

where K0 is the investor's initial wealth at time zero, and whlere L (P) is the collection of all the

nonnegative elements of L2 (P).

12

IlI

Merton [1971] has solved this problelll by way of the stocllastic dynamic programming. To

show that there exists a solution to a problem like (3.1) using dynamic programming, there are two

approaches. The first is through some existence theorems in the theory of stochastic control. Those

existence theorems often require an admissible control to take its values in a compact set, but here

that is not satisfactory. If we are modeling frictionless markets, any compactness assumption on the

values of controls or strategies is arbitrary. Moreover, most of the treatments of stochastic control

theory are extremely complicated, e.g., Krylov 19801. More comprehensible treatments such as

Fleming and Rishel [1975], do not consider cases where the controls affect, the diffusion term of

the controlled processes. This, unfortunately, rules out, the portfolio problem under consideration.

(The control referred to above is a strategy in our context.)

The second approach is through construction: constlruct a control or a strategy and show that

it satisfies the Belllnan's equation. Merton's solution to (3.1) uses the second( approach. In general,

however, it is difficult to construct a solution.

Using the insights from the mart.inglale approach to the contingent claims pricing theory, we

will demonstrate a technique that proves the existence of a solution to (3.1) when the space of

admissible controls is a linear space. This technique is easier to unlderstand than the theory of

stochastic control and the properties of a solution can be easily characterized. Kreps [1979] was

the first to recognize the possibility of this new technique.

We know from the previous sections that any element x of L 2(P) n L 2(Q) is achievable and

has a price E*[xe-']. Thus the investor can be viewed as facing the static problem of choosing an

element of L+(P) n L2 (Q) subject to his budget constraint. We shall consider a slightly different

problem that is easier to solve.

Consider the following static n maximization problem:

1max E[u -'j

rEL(r) 1 - b (3.2)

s.t. E*[we-r ] = Ko.

Noting that E*[we- 'r = E[we- r ] , we can use the Lagrangian method to get the unique solution

to (3.2):

= Ko exp {r_ ( r (-r) * }t7 + 7 ,

a log-norimally distributed random varial)le under Q. Thus it- hlas a finite second moment under Q.

That is, i} E L+(P) n L2 (Q) and, by the martingale representative theorem, is achievable through

some strategy (, 0) G H.

We claim that (c, 0) is a solution to (3.1). If this is not the case, there must exist a (a, 0) G H

that satisfies the constraints of (3.1) such that

b ] -b

13

III

where w = a(1)B(1) + 0(1)S(1). We know w E L 2 (P) and E*[we-r] = Ko, and is thus feasible in

(3.2). This contradicts the fact that ) is a solution to (3.2). In fact, given that H is a linear space

and that the utility function is strictly concave, (, 0) is the unique solution to (3.1).

Using a static maximization method together with the martingale representation theorem we

have demonstrated the existence of a solution to (3.1). The space of admissible controls H is a linear

space, embodying the notion of frictionless markets. Here we used a specific utility fnction, but the

idea can be applied to a large class of utility functions and a very general stochastic environment

(see Cox and Huang [1986a] and Pliska [19861).

As in option pricing theory, we can readily comput.e the optimal strategy. Let f(t) be the

value of iw at time t. We know

f(t)e-r = E*[je-rlI]

= Koexp{{ 2 ( ) a r2 Z (t)}

(p-\2 01 ______b12b

-12 1 2 ) In S (t) + -(-r)t}

Thus we can write f(t) = f(S(t), t). It is easily checked that we can apply It6's lemima to f. Since

f(t)e- rt is a martingale having a finite second moment. under Q, It6's lemma implies that

' f(S(s), s)e-r 1 p, - rf(S(t),t)er t = f(O) + I - s).

(S) b a2 S *( s )

The same arguments as in the option pricing part show that

f(S(t), t)e-" 1 i. - ro((t) t

f(S(t), t) 1 -r

S(t) b, a2

The proportion of the investor's wealth invested in the risky asset is a constant:

0(t)s(t) 1 pt- r

f(S(t), t) b f 2

By applying It6's lemma to f(S(t), t), we find that 0(t) is (lqual to fs(S(t), t). Then (t) is de-

termined through (2.12). This technique for characterizing optimal portfolio policies can be applied

more generally. It is especially effective in situations ill which utility is derived from intellrmediate

consumption as well as terminal wealth. The natural nlonnegativity constraint onl consumption and

terminal wealth can be handled with no added difficulty. For example, in the maximization of the

terminal wealth case, the solution for the constrained problem can lbe decomposed into two parts.

14

----·- ··-;,,,----- -··-·--. --- ·-·--.-. · ; . ; .---.-.....;...,

The first part is an unconstrained solution for a fraction of th.ll initial wealth and the second part is

a put option written on the first part with a zero exercise price. The fraction of the initial wealth

in the first part is determined such that the value of the put option in the second part exhausts

the remaining initial wealth. Readers are referred to Cox and Huang [1986b] for details.

4. Applications to Contingent Claim Pricing

As is evident from the previous sections, option pricing theory can potentially be applied to

any security whose future payoffs are contractually related to the value of some other security or

group of securities. Option pricing theory thus leads directly to a general theory of contingent claim

pricing relevant for a wide variety of financial instruments. This theory has been especially useful

for practitioners because it not only plrovides a standard of value but also provides a production

technology for duplicating the payoffs of any contingent claim b)y sing an appropriate dynamic

strategy. Consequently, it provides a constructive technique for exploiting misp)ricing opportunities

and for hedging the risk associated with holding positions in contingent claimls.

A particularly important application of contingent claim pricing theory has been in the relative

valuation of corporate securities. Here the theory links the value of a single corporate security to

the total value of all of the firm's outstanding securities. For example, consider a firm which has

outstanding common stock and a single issue of zero coupon bonds with a pronlised payment B and

a maturity date T. If the value of the firm on the maturity date is greater than B, the bondholders

will be paid in full; otherwise, the firm will be in default. and the ownership of the firm will pass to

the bondholders. Thus, in a perfect and frictionless market, the value of the bonds at date T will

be the maximum of B and( the value of the firm. This is exactly the same as the value at date T of

a portfolio containing a long position in a default-free zero coupon bond with promised payment

B and maturity date T and a short position in one European put option on the value of the firm

with exercise price B and expiration (late T. Since the bonds and the portfolio have the same

future value in all circumstances, they must have the same current value. Consequently, the proper

discount to the corporate bonds for the possibility of default is exactly equal to the value of the put

option. Among the early work in this area are articles by Merton [1974] and Black and Cox [1976]

on ordinary bonds and Ingersoll [19771 and Brennan and Schwartz [1977b] on convertible bonds.

Some especially interesting recent. work concerns the gamfe-theoretic issues associated with

corporate securities whose owners have certain discretionary conversion rights, such as warrants.

Warrants differ from ordinary options in several important ways. When all option is exercised, the

number of shares outstanding of the underlying stock remlains unchanged and the exercise price is

transferred to the individual who sold the option. As a consequence, setting aside informational

issues, the exercise of any one option lhas no effect on the value of anlly other outstanding option.

Therefore, all options with identical termls will optimally be exercised at the same t;ime. By analogy,

15

------ -__ ____ _I _-__ ___ ___ I _ ~__~

warrant issues have traditionally been valued under the assumption that all of the warrants would

be exercised simultaneously. However, when a warrant is exercised, new shares are issued and the

exercise price becomes part of the assets of the firm. By employing option pricing methodology,

Emanuel [19831 showed that the differences between options and warrants imply that simultaneous

exercise may no longer be optimal for a warrant issue owned by a single agent. The exercise of any

one warrant influences the value of the remaining ones, and a monopolist can use this situation to

his advantage by in effect sacrificing some warrants for the good of the others. Competing owners

of individual warrants would not have this opportunity, so the distribution of ownership may affect

both the value of the warrants and the optimal pattern of their exercise. In subsequent work,

Constantinides [1984] found that the total value of a warrant issue held by comp)eting individuals

is in some situations the same as that delived under the assumnltion of simultaneous exercise.

Surprisingly, this is true even though the competing individuals may not exercise their warrants

simultaneously. Constantinides and Rosenthal [1984] explicitly modeled the exercise of a warrant

issue held by competing individuals as a noncooperative game andl Irovi(fded some existence results.

Spatt and Sterbenz [1986] examined the interaction between optimal warrant exercise strategies

and the firm's capital structure, dividend, and reinvestment policies. Among other things, they

showed that the firm can follow policies which will eliminate any advantage to sequential exercise

strategies. These papers are part of a growing body of literature onil strategic issues in the valuation

of corporate securities, and this will undoubtedly be an active area of research in the future.

16

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17

III

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18

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19

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