opportunitytexas™ college access, success, & the 82 nd legislature raise texas summit federal...
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OpportunityTexas™ College Access, Success, & the 82nd Legislature
RAISE Texas SummitFederal Reserve Bank of Dallas
November 2, 2011 Don Baylor, Jr. ([email protected])
Senior Policy Analyst, Economic Opportunity
“Balancing” the 2012-13 State Budget
Medicaid “I.O.U”: $5 billion
General Revenue
Shortfall of $23
billion
(after use of Rainy Day Fund
for 2011, plus other 2011
revenue not in January
estimate)
Cuts to 2012-13 Budget:
$7 billion
(at least $5.3 b to PreK-12)
Cuts to 2011 Budget: $1.4 billion
Nontax revenue: $125 million (net)
GR-Dedicated Balances: $4.9 billion
Federal EduJobs: $831 million
Accounting tricks: $3 billion
Revised 2012-13 estimate: $1.2 billion
The Texas State Budget for 2012-13Biennial Total: $175 billion
(6% below 2010-11; 15% below current services)
Federally funded = shown in white;
other areas are General Revenue,
GR-Dedicated, & “Other” State Funds.
Other7% Property tax
cut 8%
PreK-12, 16%
HHS 18%PreK-12
6%Highway 4%
Other federal 4%
Higher Ed-ucation
13%
Highways 8%
Prisons 3%HHS 13%
Source: Legislative Budget Board, HB 1 and HB 4, May 2011. Includes $2.3 billion delayed Foundation School
Program payment.
Public School Grants Eliminated from State Budget for 2012-13
Pre-Kindergarten Early Start ● High School Completion/ Success ● Science Lab Funding ●
Texas Reading, Math and Science Initiatives ● Tuition Credit Program (Early High School
Graduation) ● Extended Year Programs ● Teen Parenting Program ● Middle School Physical
Education and Fitness Programs ● LEP Student Success Initiative ● Disciplinary Alternative
Education Programs (Safe Schools) ● Rural School Technology ● School-Based Prevention
Services ●
School Improvement/Parental Involvement AVANCE ● Arts Education ● Science and Math
Outreach ●
One Community One Child
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 6
College Access & Completion Areas of Focus
Postsecondary
Access
& Success
College Savings &
Financial Prep
Career & Skills
Development
Financial Aid
(Grants, Loans, Work-
Study)
Developmental
Education Reform
K-16 Financial
Education & Capability
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 7
College Access & Completion Program and Policy Recommendations
Financial Aid Index state funding for need-based grant aid to student population growth Create and fund an early commitment financial aid program for economically
disadvantaged elementary and high school studentsCollege Savings
Improve outreach and marketing of the Texas Save & Match program and 529 plans
Connect financial education to a college savings product Support and promote VITA programs that connect low-income families with
college savings productsFinancial Planning & Screening
Integrate college financial preparation into the financial aid curriculum in public schools
Promote awareness and Access to planning and screening tools such as the FAFSA4Caster and Net Price Calculators
Integrate FAFSA preparation activities at public schools, colleges and VITA sitesDevelopmental Education
Improve developmental education assessment policies at community colleges Reform the design and delivery of developmental education courses to better
target student needs
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Higher Education Partners
2011 RAISE Texas Summit
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 9
Higher Educational Attainment Drives Better Employment and…
Less
than
hig
h sc
hool
Hig
h sc
hool
Som
e co
llege
Bache
lor's
or h
ighe
r
13.0%9.0% 7.5%
4.4%
Unemployment Rate Lower for Texans with Higher Educational
Attainment - 2010
Source: CPPP Analysis, Economic Policy Institute analysis of Current Population Survey data, 2011
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…More Income
$9.86 $12.29 $14.05 $23.40
Median Hourly Wages Higher for by
Texans with Educational At-tainment (2010)
Source: CPPP Analysis, Economic Policy Institute analysis of Current Population Survey data, 2011
2011 RAISE Texas Summit
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Children are nearly three times more likely to emerge from poverty as adults if they complete college.
Without a College Degree
With a College Degree
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
45%
16%
23%
22%
18%
21%
9%
22%
5%19%
A College Degree Helps Poor Children Get Ahead (Children in Bottom Quartile)
Percent Adult Children with Income in Top Quintile
Percent Adult Children with Income in Fourth Quintile
Percent Adult Children with Income in Middle Quintile
Percent Adult Children with Income in Second Quintile
Source: Brookings Tabulations of PSID Data, Isaacs, Sawhill& Haskings, February 2008, Children in the Bottom Income Quartile
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Financial Barriers to College AccessFamilies overestimate college costs
Uncertainty over financing college decreases a student’s likelihood of college enrollment
Grant aid funding lagging behind enrollment growth and student need
Low- and moderate-income students are less likely to be enrolled in college savings plans
FAFSA application is difficult to navigate1 in 5 Texas students do not complete the FAFSA
because they do not know how to apply1 in 5 Texas students do not apply for financial aid
because the process is too time-consuming58% of Texas students do not complete the FAFSA
because they believe they are ineligible for financial aid
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 13
Texas Grant Aid Investments Lag Behind Other States
Source: CPPP Analysis, National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education, Measuring Up 2008
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 14
2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13
$267 $325
$361 $430
$622106,000
Students Served $559
77,000 Students Served
TEXAS Grants Cut by 10% in 2012-13 (Nominal Dollars)
Mill
ions
($)
Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board & General Appropriations Act 2001-2011
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 15
Student Loans are Primary Source of “Financial Aid”
Loans Make Up the Majority of Financial Aid for Texas College Students
% of Students Receiving Aid
Income
<$60,000
Income >=
$60,000
% Loans
Basic Needy Student 72% 92% 8% 49% $1.979B
Needy Student Using Aid to Replace Family Contribution
28% 42% 58% 75%
$1.765B
Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2009
Despite Federal & State Grants, Lower-Income Students Face Higher Unmet Need
0-100% 101-200% 201-300% 301-400% 401% +$0
$1,000$2,000$3,000$4,000$5,000$6,000$7,000$8,000$9,000
$10,000
$0 $0 $0$0
4-year Institutions2-year Institutions
Income as Percent of Poverty Line
Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats.2011 RAISE Texas Summit
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Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, Report on Student Financial Aid in Texas Higher Education, FY 2009
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0-200% 200% +0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Grants, 32%
Grants, 10%
Loans, 28%
Loans, 16%
EFC, 8% EFC, 74%
Unmet Need, 32%
Low-income families cover a higher percentage of college costs through financial aid, but…
Income as Percent of Poverty Line
Total Family Contribution
Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats.
Total Family
Contribution
Total Costs = $15,009 Total Costs = $17,708
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0-200% 201% +0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
EFCEFC
Unmet Need
Income as Percent of Poverty Line
Total family contributions as a proportion of income are greater for low-income families compared to higher-income families
47% of annual income spent on college costs
17% of annual income spent on college costs
Source: CPPP Analysis of National Postsecondary Student Aid Study of 2008, NCES Powerstats.
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2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1600000 184K12%
Enrollment at Texas Two-Year Public Institutions Grows at Twice the Rate of Four-Year Institutions
(2005-2010) Two-Year Institutions Four-Year Institutions Independent
1.2 M
1.5 M
Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, 2011
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Doing More With Less - 2012-13 Budget Texas Community Colleges
-5.8%
$3.56
$2.78
-21.8%
Annual
Appropriations per
Contact Hour 2010-
11 & 2012-13
Number of Contact
Hours
2010-11 & 2012-13
Instructional
Formula Funds
2010-11 & 2012-
13
-5.8% +20.4%
259M
312M$1.84M
$1.74M Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Association of Community Colleges 82nd
Legislature Session Summary, July 20112011 RAISE Texas Summit
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2012-13 Budget Financial Aid & Post-Secondary Training
-5.8%
$0
Jobs and Education for
Texans Grant Program
Skills
Development
Fund
State Financial Aid
Programs
-15% -40.1%
$48.5M
$81M$1B
$879M Source: CPPP Analysis, Texas Association of Community Colleges 82nd
Legislature Session Summary, July 2011
$15M
-100%
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New Laws Strengthen Higher EducationSB 851 – Uniform deadline for financial aid applicationsHB 2910 – Establishes grant program for higher education
institutions to partner with non-profit institutions to improve degree completion rates
HB9 - Outcomes-Based Funding bases a portion of higher education funding on specific student success measures, including graduation/completion rates
HB 1244/SB1564 – Developmental Education Assessment and Curriculum Reforms
SB 162 – Developmental Education Plan for Underprepared Students
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 24
2011 Policy AccomplishmentsNew Laws Improve Texas’ financial capability and college
savings SB 290 (Watson)—expands mandatory financial literacy
into statewide K-8 curricula and assessment platformsHB 34 (Branch)—builds on current financial literacy
requirement (12th grade economics) to include:Instruction on paying for postsecondary education and
trainingInstruction on completing the FAFSACurricula to be finalized for 2013-2014 academic year
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Policy Accomplishments(continued)HB 2594 (Truitt)—Payday and Auto Title Lending Reform Licensing
Bill creates Texas Financial Education Endowment to fund initiatives such as:“school and youth-based financial literacy and
capability”;“advertising, marketing, and public awareness
campaigns to improve the credit profiles and credit scores of consumers in this state”;
HB 399 (Castro)—requires universities to make available training on personal financial literacy (e.g. credit cards, loan repayment, retirement planning, budgeting, saving)
HB 3708 (Hochberg)—improves Save & Match program by eliminating college savings penalties (financial aid, public benefits)
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 26
Upcoming Work Engage New Stakeholders Monitor rulemaking for HB 3708
(Texas Save & Match) @ Texas Prepaid Higher Education Tuition Board
Participate in rulemaking for HB 2594 (Texas Financial Education Endowment) @ Texas Finance Commission
Pursue K-12 Financial Education Implementation @ Texas Education Agency (HB 34/SB 290)
CPPP to release review of Texas Financial Aid programs and policies
Perform Analysis of Local-Level Student Loan Data
Acquire and analyze local-level FAFSA completion figures
Develop College Readiness “Scorecard”
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 27
Payday and Auto Title Lending: Stop the Cycle of Debt (www.stoppaydayabuse.org)
State Revenue: Balanced Budget=Balanced Approach (www.texasforward.org)
Savings, Asset Building, & Financial Success (www.raisetexas.org)
Issues Affecting Low- and Moderate-Income Texans (www.cppp.org)
Creating Good Jobs, Increasing Income, & Promoting Savings (www.opportunitytexas.org)
Ways to Get Involved, Be Informed
Laura Rosen
OpportunityTexas Coordinator
www.opportunitytexas.org
www.facebook.com/OpportunityTexas
Don Baylor
Senior Policy Analyst, CPPP
2011 RAISE Texas Summit 29
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