opportunities for growth: sequent energy management
TRANSCRIPT
Opportunities for Growth:Sequent Energy Management
Doug SchantzPresident, Sequent Energy Management
Opportunities for Growth:Sequent Energy Management
Doug SchantzPresident, Sequent Energy Management
2007 Analyst ConferenceMarch 22, 2007
New York
2007 Analyst ConferenceMarch 22, 2007
New York
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent2
Business Model – “How We Make Money”Business Model – “How We Make Money”
What We Are:• A company with a core strength in physical logistics and optimization of
transportation and storage• Locational spreads (transportation capacity)• Physical storage spreads (cash, futures, time)
• A business that adds and creates value by understanding and meeting customers’ needs as well as by optimizing gas flows from supply basin to market center
• Service provider (asset management, producer & peaking services)• Leading manager of contractual storage and transportation assets in the
Eastern part of the U.S.• An organization of 130 people supported by strong systems, processes and
controls
What We Are:• A company with a core strength in physical logistics and optimization of
transportation and storage• Locational spreads (transportation capacity)• Physical storage spreads (cash, futures, time)
• A business that adds and creates value by understanding and meeting customers’ needs as well as by optimizing gas flows from supply basin to market center
• Service provider (asset management, producer & peaking services)• Leading manager of contractual storage and transportation assets in the
Eastern part of the U.S.• An organization of 130 people supported by strong systems, processes and
controls
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent3
Business Model – “How We Make Money”Business Model – “How We Make Money”
What We Are Not:
• Holder of large outright speculative positions• Modest risk limits (VaR, credit, basis)
• Financial market-maker
What We Are Not:
• Holder of large outright speculative positions• Modest risk limits (VaR, credit, basis)
• Financial market-maker
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent4
Dynamic ModelDynamic Model
Asset Management
Storage
Asset Management
Transportation
Proprietary Storage
Proprietary Transportation
Optimization / Trading
Services (Producer,
Peaking, etc.)
Asset Management
Storage
Asset Management
Transportation
Proprietary Storage
Proprietary Transportation
Optimization / Trading
Services (Producer,
Peaking, etc.)
Sequent’s business model includes a portfolio of assets and services that enable it to capture value in a variety of market conditions.
In any given year:
• The proportion of segments changes with market conditions
• Sequent has the ability to capture value in a dynamic environment
Sequent’s business model includes a portfolio of assets and services that enable it to capture value in a variety of market conditions.
In any given year:
• The proportion of segments changes with market conditions
• Sequent has the ability to capture value in a dynamic environment
For example:
• 2005 – heavy transportation activity
• 2006 – heavy storage activity
For example:
• 2005 – heavy transportation activity
• 2006 – heavy storage activity
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent5
Pipelines & StoragePipelines & Storage
EganEgan JISHJISHMossBluffMossBluff
Pipeline Capacity• Business conducted on 55 pipelines
• Significant transport on:Transco TETCO GulfSouthFGT ANR SonatDominion Columbia TennesseeE. Tenn. Northwest Texas GasSabine
Pipeline Capacity• Business conducted on 55 pipelines
• Significant transport on:Transco TETCO GulfSouthFGT ANR SonatDominion Columbia TennesseeE. Tenn. Northwest Texas GasSabine
Storage Capacity• More than 88 Bcf of capacity under
management
• Includes 5 Bcf of salt-dome storage at Egan, Moss Bluff and Jefferson Island
Storage Capacity• More than 88 Bcf of capacity under
management
• Includes 5 Bcf of salt-dome storage at Egan, Moss Bluff and Jefferson Island
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent6
Material Asset Management TransactionsMaterial Asset Management Transactions
Egan JISH
Saltville
PipelinesPipelines Boise, Idaho
MossBluff
Material Asset Management Transactions
A Strategic Portfolio of Contractual Storage and Transportation AssetsA Strategic Portfolio of Contractual Storage and Transportation Assets
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent7
A Story of GrowthA Story of GrowthEBIT ($ millions)
0102030405060708090
100
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Sales Volume (Bcf / day)
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Counterparties
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Pipelines
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent8
A Story of Growth (cont.)A Story of Growth (cont.)
Sequent's Percent of Margin from Non-affiliates
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Cash Payments to Affiliates ($ millions)
02468
1012141618
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Storage Capacity Under Management (Bcf)
0
20
40
60
80
100
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Reservoir Salt
Full-Time Employees
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent9
Analysis of 2006 and Bridge to 2007Analysis of 2006 and Bridge to 2007(amounts in $ millions)
2006 Reported EBIT 90$
Less: Physical Inventory Rollout Value from 2005 (16) Less: Total Storage Hedge Gains (41) Less: Total Transportation Hedge Gains (12) Less: Better than Expected Storage Spreads (10) Plus: LOCOM Adjustments 21
2006 Baseline EBIT 32$
Plus: Physical Inventory Rollout Value from 2006 13 Less: Unavailable Storage Capacity at Jan 1st (5) Plus: New Commercial Activity Impacting 2007 5 Plus: Decrease in SG&A Costs from Prior Year 5
2007 Baseline EBIT 50$
Additional Commercial Activity 0-10
2007 EBIT Range $50 - $ 60
(amounts in $ millions)
2006 Reported EBIT 90$
Less: Physical Inventory Rollout Value from 2005 (16) Less: Total Storage Hedge Gains (41) Less: Total Transportation Hedge Gains (12) Less: Better than Expected Storage Spreads (10) Plus: LOCOM Adjustments 21
2006 Baseline EBIT 32$
Plus: Physical Inventory Rollout Value from 2006 13 Less: Unavailable Storage Capacity at Jan 1st (5) Plus: New Commercial Activity Impacting 2007 5 Plus: Decrease in SG&A Costs from Prior Year 5
2007 Baseline EBIT 50$
Additional Commercial Activity 0-10
2007 EBIT Range $50 - $ 60
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent10
Credit MetricsCredit Metrics
Credit Exposure by Industry
Natural Gas Utility32%
Electric Utility & Diversified
39%
Banking4%Oil & Gas
4%
Natural Gas Pipelines
13%
Manufacturing3% Chemical
5%
Credit Exposure by Industry
Natural Gas Utility32%
Electric Utility & Diversified
39%
Banking4%Oil & Gas
4%
Natural Gas Pipelines
13%
Manufacturing3% Chemical
5%
Credit Exposure Rating Tiers
AA+ to AA-11%
A+ to A-29%
BBB+ to BBB46%
AAA8%BBB-
4%
BB+ & below2%
Credit Exposure Rating Tiers
AA+ to AA-11%
A+ to A-29%
BBB+ to BBB46%
AAA8%BBB-
4%
BB+ & below2%
Weighted average portfolio credit rating of A-
As of January 31, 2007As of January 31, 2007
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent11
Growth InitiativesGrowth Initiatives
• Move west and into Canada
• More penetration of the power generation business
• Contract additional salt dome storage capacity
• Contract key West to East transportation corridors
• Aggressively expand producer services activities
• Set up and build commercial and industrial marketing effort
• Move west and into Canada
• More penetration of the power generation business
• Contract additional salt dome storage capacity
• Contract key West to East transportation corridors
• Aggressively expand producer services activities
• Set up and build commercial and industrial marketing effort
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent12
Geographic Footprint ExpansionGeographic Footprint Expansion
2007/20082007/2008Current FootprintCurrent Footprint
44
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent13
Sequent Beyond 2007Sequent Beyond 2007
• “Song Remains the Same” – the business model is sound
• Growth in “baseline earnings” of about 10% / year • Opportunity to earn more with high volatility
• Leverage investments in systems and processes• “Economies of scale” benefit in mid and back office
• Focus on bench strength will provide headroom• Provide AGL Resources with substantial market
intelligence
• “Song Remains the Same” – the business model is sound
• Growth in “baseline earnings” of about 10% / year • Opportunity to earn more with high volatility
• Leverage investments in systems and processes• “Economies of scale” benefit in mid and back office
• Focus on bench strength will provide headroom• Provide AGL Resources with substantial market
intelligence
2007 Analyst Conference -Sequent14
Questions?Questions?