online appendix to “turning alphas into betas: arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 robustness...

21
Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and Endogenous Risk” Thummim Cho * Harvard University January 15, 2016 Please click here for the most recent version and online appendix. Abstract The outline is as follows. Section 1 verifies the robustness of the main empirical anal- yses to using alternative sample cutoffs, alternative measures of latent mispricing, alter- native definitions of arbitrageur funding shocks, and volatility-adjusted anomaly assets. Section 2 shows the main figures in the paper with anomaly labels. Section 3 explains the construction of anomaly signals in detail. * Department of Economics. Email: [email protected]. Website: http://scholar.harvard.edu/tcho.

Upload: others

Post on 25-Jul-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Online Appendix to“Turning Alphas into Betas:

Arbitrage and Endogenous Risk”

Thummim Cho∗

Harvard University

January 15, 2016

Please click here for the most recent version and online appendix.

Abstract

The outline is as follows. Section 1 verifies the robustness of the main empirical anal-

yses to using alternative sample cutoffs, alternative measures of latent mispricing, alter-

native definitions of arbitrageur funding shocks, and volatility-adjusted anomaly assets.

Section 2 shows the main figures in the paper with anomaly labels. Section 3 explains the

construction of anomaly signals in detail.

∗Department of Economics. Email: [email protected]. Website: http://scholar.harvard.edu/tcho.

Page 2: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

1 Robustness checks on main empirical results

1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs

In the paper, I use the first-half (pre-93) and the second-half (post-93) of my original sample of1972Q1-2015Q4 as proxies for times when arbitrageurs have negligible mass (µ = 0) in equityanomaly assets and for times when arbitrageurs have positive mass (µ > 0) in equity anomalyassets. However, the main empirical results are robust to using alternative sample cutoff years.I illustrate this by repeating the “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta” and “Intermediary AssetPricing of Anomaly Assets” regressions using the following cutoff years (and the correspondingsubsamples): 1991 (1972-1991 vs. 1992-2015); 1992 (1972-1992 vs. 1993-2015); 1994 (1972-1994 vs. 1995-2015); and 1995 (1972-1995 vs. 1996-2015).

First, I repeat the “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta” regression using four alternativesample cutoffs around the baseline cutoff of 1993. Table 1 below shows that the results aresimilar when these alternative cutoff years are used, although using earlier years than 1993 asthe cutoff brings down the statistical significance based on GMM t-statistics to the 10% level.

Table 1: Alternative Sample Cutoffs for “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta”

βpostj = b0 +b1r̄pre

j +η j

The regressions reported in this table use alternative sample cutoff years to repeat the cross-sectional regressionpredicting an anomaly asset’s endogenous (post-cutoff funding beta) based on its latent mispricing (pre-cutoffmean long-short return). The dependent variable in the post-cutoff funding beta β

postj , calculated under the as-

sumption that the beta is constant during the sample period: r j,t = a0 +βpostj ft + εt . t-OLS is the t-statistic calcu-

lated using only the residuals from the cross-sectional regression and accounts for a possible heteroskedasticity ofresiduals across anomaly assets. t-GMM refers to a t-statistic obtained from the GMM estimation procedure andaccounts for the effects of generated regressors and cross-anomaly correlations. Arbitrageur funding shocks areproxied by shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

Dependent Variable: Post-Cutoff Funding Beta βpostj

Sample Cutoff Year: 1991 1992 1993(Baseline)

1994 1995

Pre-Cutoff Mean Long-Short Return rprej 1.09 1.08 1.24 1.55 1.66

(t-OLS) (3.53) (3.49) (3.51) (3.53) (3.86)(t-GMM) (1.64) (1.69) (2.03) (2.18) (2.24)

Intercept -3.50 -3.19 -3.84 -4.41 -4.86(t-OLS) (-1.51) (-1.34) (-1.44) (-1.32) (-1.59)(t-GMM) (-1.54) (-1.45) (-1.68) (-1.64) (-1.79)

Anomalies 34 34 34 34 34Adjusted R2 0.31 0.29 0.26 0.26 0.30

2

Page 3: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Next, I repeat the “Intermediary Asset Pricing of Anomaly Assets” regression using fouralternative sample cutoffs around the baseline of 1993. Table 2 below shows that using alter-native cutoff years produce results similar to the baseline. Based on t-statistics that take intoaccount the generated regressor problem but not cross-anomaly correlations, the price of riskis significant in all alternative post-cutoff periods other than that based on the cutoff of 1995.However, the results are still weak based on the more conservative GMM t-statistics. AdjustedR2 remains high in all alternative post-cutoff periods.

Table 2: Alternative Sample Cutoffs for “Intermediary Asset Pricing of Anomaly Assets”

r̄postj = λ0 +λ1β

postj + e j

The regressions reported in this table use alternative sample cutoff years to repeat the asset pricing regressionthat explains the cross-section of post-cutoff mean long-short returns based on post-cutoff funding betas. Thetable reports the price of risk and intercept implied by the cross-sectional regression. Returns are expressedas annualized percentages. Funding betas are estimated in the time-series regression r j,t = a j + β j ft + ε j,t foreach anomaly asset. t-GenReg refers to t-statistics corrected for generated regressors but not for cross-anomalycorrelations. That is, to obtain the standard errors accounting for generated regressors, I allow for heteroskedasticresiduals ε j for the mean returns and do the correction derived by Shanken (1992), but under the assumption ofCov

(ε j′ ,ε j′′

)= 0 for j′ 6= j′′. t-GMM refers to a GMM t-statistics that additionally corrects for correlations across

anomaly assets. Arbitrageur funding shocks are proxied by shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

Dependent Variable: Post-Cutoff Mean Return r̄postj

Sample Cutoff Year: 1991 1992 1993(Baseline)

1994 1995

Post-Cutoff Funding Beta βpostj 0.19 0.20 0.18 0.15 0.14

(t-GenReg) (2.28) (2.40) (2.30) (2.13) (1.87)(t-GMM) (1.24) (1.35) (1.30) (1.27) (1.12)

Intercept 3.32 3.18 3.10 2.92 3.00(t-GenReg) (3.32) (3.18) (3.10) (2.92) (3.00)(t-GMM) (5.65) (5.28) (5.13) (4.72) (4.71)

Anomalies 34 34 34 34 34Quarters 96 92 88 84 80Adjusted R2 0.30 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.31

3

Page 4: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

1.2 Alternative measures of latent mispricing

In the paper, I use pre-93 mean long-short return as the measure of anomaly’s latent mispricing.Below, I show that the “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta” regression is robust to usingCAPM alpha and funding alpha. When Fama-French 3-factor alpha is used, the significancebased on the GMM t-statistic falls below the 10% level, although the R2 remains strong.

Table 3: Alternative Measures of Latent Mispricing for “Mispricing Turns into FundingBeta”

Baseline: βpostj = b0 +b1r̄pre

j +η j

The regressions reported in this table use alternative measures of latent msirpcing to repeat the cross-sectionalregression predicting an anomaly asset’s post-93 funding beta based on its latent mispricing. The dependentvariable in the post-93 funding beta β

postj , calculated under the assumption that the beta is constant during the

sample period: r j,t = a0 + βpostj ft + εt . The explanatory variable is the anomaly’s pre-93 CAPM alpha, Fama-

French three-factor alpha, or arbitrageur funding alpha in the pre-93 period. t-OLS is the t-statistic calculatedusing only the residuals from the cross-sectional regression and accounts for a possible heteroskedasticity ofresiduals across anomaly assets. t-GMM refers to a t-statistic obtained from the GMM estimation procedure andaccounts for the effects of generated regressors and cross-anomaly correlations. Arbitrageur funding shocks areproxied by shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

Dependent Variable: Post-93 Funding Beta βpostj

Latent Mispricing Proxied by Pre-93: Long-ShortReturn

CAPM Alpha FF Alpha Funding Alpha

Latent Mispricing 1.24 1.36 0.91 1.23(t-OLS) (3.51) (3.97) (3.79) (3.49)(t-GMM) (2.03) (2.01) (1.53) (2.04)

Intercept -3.84 -5.03 -2.06 -3.82(t-OLS) (-1.44) (-2.00) (-0.87) (-1.42)(t-GMM) (-1.68) (-2.05) (-0.80) (-1.68)

Anomalies 34 34 34 34Adjusted R2 0.26 0.35 0.30 0.25

4

Page 5: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

1.3 Alternative definitions of arbitrageur funding shocks

As a proxy for arbitrageur funding shock, I use shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers:

ft = ln(LeverageBD

t)− ln

(LeverageBD

t−1)

(1)

However, as pointed out in the paper, using stochastically detrended leverage of broker-dealermay be a better proxy for actual changes in funding conditions faced by arbitrageurs:

ft = ln(LeverageBD

t)− 1

N

N

∑s=1

ln(LeverageBD

t−s), (2)

where N is the number of quarters used to compute the moving average term. The main em-pirical results are robust to using different values of N. To illustrate, I repeat the “MispricingTurns into Funding Beta” and “Intermediary Asset Pricing of Anomaly Assets” regressionsusing N = 4, N = 8, and N = 12 instead.1

First, I repeat the “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta” regression using three alternativeproxies for arbitrageur funding shock. Table 4 below shows that the results are robust to usingthese alternative proxies.

1All series are annualized appropriately.

5

Page 6: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Table 4: Alternative Arbitrageur Funding Proxies for “Mispricing Turns into FundingBeta”

βpostj = b0 +b1r̄pre

j +η j

The regressions reported in this table use alternative arbitrageur funding proxies to repeat the cross-sectionalregression predicting an anomaly asset’s post-93 funding beta based on pre-93 mean long-short return. The de-pendent variable in the post-cutoff funding beta β

postj , calculated under the assumption that the beta is constant

during the sample period: r j,t = a0 +βpostj ft + εt . t-OLS is the t-statistic calculated using only the residuals from

the cross-sectional regression and accounts for a possible heteroskedasticity of residuals across anomaly assets.t-GMM refers to a t-statistic obtained from the GMM estimation procedure and accounts for the effects of gen-erated regressors and cross-anomaly correlations. Arbitrageur funding shocks are proxied by the stochasticallydetrended (trailing N quarters, where N varies by column) leverage of broker-dealers.

Dependent Variable: Post-93 Funding Beta βpostj

Detrend Arbitrageur Funding Using: N = 1(Baseline)

N = 4 N = 8 N = 12

Pre-93 Mean Long-Short Return rprej 1.24 2.64 3.73 4.69

(t-OLS) (3.51) (5.95) (5.21) (4.99)(t-GMM) (2.03) (2.96) (3.08) (2.99)

Intercept -3.84 -5.57 -6.38 -6.42(t-OLS) (-1.44) (-1.53) (-1.20) (-0.96)(t-GMM) (-1.68) (-1.75) (-1.43) (-1.16)

Anomalies 34 34 34 34Adjusted R2 0.26 0.39 0.35 0.35

6

Page 7: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Next, I repeat the “Intermediary Asset Pricing of Asset Pricing Anomalies” regression usingthree alternative proxies for arbitrageur funding shock. Table 5 shows that the results are robustto using these alternative proxies.

Table 5: Alternative Arbitrageur Funding Proxies for “Intermediary Asset Pricing ofAnomaly Assets”

r̄postj = λ0 +λ1β

postj + e j

The regressions reported in this table use alternative arbitrageur funding proxies to repeat the asset pricing re-gression that explains the cross-section of post-93 mean long-short returns based on post-93 funding betas. Thetable reports the price of risk and intercept implied by the cross-sectional regression. Returns are expressed asannualized percentages. Betas are estimated in the time-series regression r j,t = a j +β j ft + ε j,t for each anomalyasset. t-GenReg refers to t-statistic corrected for generated regressors but not for cross-anomaly correlations. Thatis, to obtain the standard errors accounting for generated regressors, I allow for heteroskedastic residuals ε j forthe mean returns and do the correction derived by Shanken (1992), but under the assumption of Cov

(ε j′ ,ε j′′

)= 0

for j′ 6= j′′. t-GMM refers to a GMM t-statistic that additionally corrects for correlations across anomaly assets.Arbitrageur funding shocks are proxied by the stochastically detrended (trailing N quarters, where N varies bycolumn) leverage of broker-dealers.

Dependent Variable: Post-93 Mean Return r̄postj

Detrend Arbitrageur Funding Using: N = 1(Baseline)

N = 4 N = 8 N = 12

Post-93 Funding Beta βpostj 0.18 0.29 0.35 0.40

(t-GenReg) (2.30) (2.37) (2.30) (2.37)(t-GMM) (1.30) (1.23) (1.25) (1.27)

Intercept 3.10 2.61 2.55 2.46(t-GenReg) (5.13) (4.27) (4.18) (3.94)(t-GMM) (3.15) (3.35) (3.55) (3.43)

Anomalies 34 34 34 34Quarters 88 88 88 88Adjusted R2 0.37 0.50 0.49 0.48

7

Page 8: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

1.4 Results using volatility-adjusted anomaly assets

I now repeat the main analyses using anomaly assets adjusted for the cross-anomaly differencesin volatility. To do this, I take the simplest approach of calculating each anomaly asset’s pre-93return volatility and using this to normalize the anomaly time-series returns to have a pre-93return volatility of 10:

rvol adjj,t ≡ 10

σ̃prej

r j,t , (3)

where σ̃prej is the pre-93 volatility of anomaly asset j. This way, an anomaly asset’s pre-93

average long-short return represents the anomaly’s pseudo-Sharpe ratio (“pseudo” because thenumerator is a mean long-short return rather than a mean excess return),

r̄prej ∝ Spre

j =r̄pre

j

σ̃prej

(4)

allowing for a volatility-adjusted profitability comparison. The anomaly assets’ post-93 returnvolatilities based on these volatility-adjusted returns are also similar to one another. The cross-anomaly mean and variance of post-93 return volatility are 11.22% and 2.44%, respectively.

Table 6 shows that results remain strong. The first two columns show that the pseudo-Sharpe ratios of the anomaly assets strongly predict their endogenous risks measured by post-93 funding betas and post-93 funding correlations. The third column shows that the post-93cross-sectional asset pricing result is stronger using volatility-adjusted anomaly assets, with themost conservative GMM t-statistics being close to the 10% significance level. This is becausenormalizing the volatilities mitigates the regression’s dependency on volatile anomaly assets.

8

Page 9: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Table 6: Tests Using Volatility-Adjusted Anomaly Assets

Mispricing to endogenous risk: βpostj = b0 +b1rpre

j +η j

Endogenous risk to expected return: rpostj = λ0 +λ1β

postj + e j

This table repeats the baseline “Mispricing Turns into Funding Beta” and “Intermediary Asset Pricing of AnomalyAssets” regressions using volatility-adjusted anomaly assets. These assets are obtained by normalizing the originalanomaly assets’ returns to have pre-93 volatility of 10. t-OLS in the first two columns is the t-statistic calculatedusing only the residuals from the cross-sectional regression and accounts for a possible heteroskedasticity of resid-uals across anomaly assets. For the last column, t-OLS is the t-GenReg used in Table 6 of the paper. Specifically, itrefers to t-statistic corrected for generated regressors but not for cross-anomaly correlations. That is, to obtain thestandard errors accounting for generated regressors, I allow for heteroskedastic residuals ε j for the mean returnsand do the correction derived by Shanken (1992), but under the assumption of Cov

(ε j′ ,ε j′′

)= 0 for j′ 6= j′′. t-

GMM refers to a t-statistic obtained from the GMM estimation procedure and accounts for the effects of generatedregressors and cross-anomaly correlations. Arbitrageur funding shocks are proxied by shocks to the leverage ofbroker-dealers.

Mispricing Turns into Endogenous Risk Endogenous Risk Explains(Proposition 1) Expected Return (Proposition 3)

Post-93 FundingBeta β

postj

Post-93 FundingCorrelation ρ

postj

Post-93 Mean Return r̄postj

-Short Return rprej

Pre-93 Mean Long1.05 3.54

(t-OLS) (2.00) (1.98)(t-GMM) (1.97) (2.05)

Post-93 Funding Beta βpostj 0.17

(t-OLS) (2.26)(t-GMM) (1.47)

Intercept -1.23 -2.76 1.20(t-OLS) (-0.97) (-0.62) (5.41)(t-GMM) (-1.31) (-0.68) (3.04)

Anomalies 34 34 34Quarters 176 176 88Adjusted R2 0.16 0.11 0.25

9

Page 10: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

2 Main figures with anomaly labels

BetaOhlson O

Size

PEAD(SUE)Value

36mMOMLR Reversal

ST Reversal

12mMOM

Sales Growth

IA ChEmployees

AccrualsIA Value

Ind 12mMOMIA Size

IA CF/Price Piotroski F

IdioVol

PriceDelay

FailProb

AssetGrowthNetIssuance

Seasonal

IA ChProfMgIA ChAT

PEAD(CAR3)

Investment

ROME

ROEROA

AssetTurnover

GrossMargin

GrossProfitability

IA ST Reversal

-10

010

20M

ean

Long

-sho

rt R

etur

n

-30 -15 0 15 30Funding Beta

Figure 1: Arbitrageur Funding Beta and Mean Return in the Pre-93 Period (1972-1993)This figure plots the mean long-short returns and arbitrageur funding betas of thirty-four equity anomaly strategiesin the pre-93 sample, proxying for the pre-arbitrage period. Return is expressed as annualized percentage. Fundingbetas are close to zero, and returns do not line up with funding betas. This is consistent with endogenous risksbeing small and anomaly assets not being priced by arbitrageurs in the pre-93 period. Funding beta is the betawith respect to arbitrageur funding shocks measured by shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

10

Page 11: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Beta

Ohlson OSize

PEAD(SUE)Value

36mMOMLR Reversal

ST Reversal

12mMOM

Sales Growth

IA ChEmployeesAccruals

IA ValueInd 12mMOMIA Size

IA CF/Price

Piotroski F IdioVol

PriceDelay

FailProbAssetGrowth

NetIssuanceSeasonal

IA ChProfMg

IA ChAT

PEAD(CAR3)

Investment

ROME

ROE

ROA

AssetTurnover

GrossMargin

GrossProfitability

IA ST Reversal

-10

010

20M

ean

Long

-sho

rt R

etur

n

-30 -15 0 15 30Funding Beta

Figure 2: Arbitrageur Funding Beta and Mean Return in the Post-93 Period (1994-2015)This figure plots the mean long-short returns and arbitrageur funding betas of thirty-four equity anomaly strategiesin the post-93 sample, proxying for the post-arbitrage period. Return is expressed as annualized percentage. Fund-ing betas tend to be positive, and returns roughly line up with funding betas. This is consistent with arbitrageursgenerating positive funding betas in the anomaly assets, and the funding betas carrying a price of risk. Fundingbeta is the beta with respect to arbitrageur funding shocks measured by shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

11

Page 12: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Beta

Ohlson O

Size

PEAD(SUE)

Value

36mMOMLR Reversal

ST Reversal

12mMOMSales Growth

IA ChEmployees

Accruals

IA Value

Ind 12mMOMIA Size

IA CF/Price

Piotroski F

IdioVol

PriceDelay

FailProb

AssetGrowth

NetIssuanceSeasonal

IA ChProfMg

IA ChAT

PEAD(CAR3)

Investment

ROMEROE

ROA

AssetTurnover

GrossMargin

GrossProfitability

IA ST Reversal

-30

-15

015

30P

ost-9

3 Fu

ndin

g B

eta

-10 0 10 20Pre-93 Mean Long-short Return

Figure 3: Pre-93 Mean Return Predicts Post-93 Arbitrageur Funding BetaThis figure plots the relationship between pre-93 mean long-short return and post-93 funding beta. The pre-93 (1972-1993) and post-93 (1994-2015) samples proxy for pre-arbitrage and post-arbitrage periods. Return isexpressed as annualized percentage. Funding beta is the beta with respect to arbitrageur funding shocks measuredby shocks to the leverage of broker-dealers.

12

Page 13: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

3 Anomaly signal construction

To construct anomaly signals, I focus on domestic common shares (share code 10 or 11) onNYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ (exchange code 1, 2, or 3). At the end of each month from 1972to 2015, I allocate all domestic common shares trading on NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ intodeciles based on an anomaly signal, such as the book-to-market ratio, with decile breakpointsdetermined by NYSE-listed stocks alone.

I use 34 different anomaly signals to construct 34 long-short portfolios. If the signal re-quires annual accounting data, I assume that annual accounting information is available with alag of 5 months. If the signal requires quarterly earnings data, I assume that the information isavailable immediately.

Anomaly 1: Beta arbitrage

This signal is constructed as in Green, Hand, and Zhang (2016) (GHZ). The beta is obtainedby regressing a stock’s weekly returns on equal-weighted stock returns in the previous 3 years.When 3 years of past returns are unavailable, I require a minimum 1 year of past returns. Forthe original paper, see Fama and MacBeth (1973)

Anomaly 2: Ohlson’s O-score

This signal is consturcted as in Novy-Marx and Velikov (2016) (NMV). See the paper fordetails. For the original paper, see Ohlson (1980).

Anomaly 3: Size

Size is the market value of common equity, calculated as shares outstanding times the price.For the original paper, see Banz (1981)

Anomaly 4: PEAD(SUE)

This signal is consturcted as in NMV. See the paper for details. For the original paper, seeRendelman, Jones, and Latane (1982)

Anomaly 5: Value

Value is the book value of equity divided by the market value of equity. When calculating thebook value of equity, I follow the exact method of Fama and French (1993): “COMPUSTAT

13

Page 14: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

book value of stockholders’ equity, plus balance-sheet deferred taxes and investment tax credit(if available), minus the book value of preferred stock. Depending on availability, we use theredemption, liquidation, or par value (in that order) to estimate the value of preferred stock”(p.8). For the original paper, see Rosenberg, Reid, and Lanstein (1985).

Anomaly 6: 36-month momentum

This is the 36-month cumulative return. I omit stocks without the full 36-month return history.For the original paper, see De Bondt and Thaler (1985).

Anomaly 7: Long-run reversals

This is the 60-month cumulative return. I omit stocks without the full 60-month return history.For the original paper, see De Bondt and Thaler (1987).

Anomaly 8: Short-run reversals

This is the prior 1-month return. I omit stocks without a prior 1-month return. For the originalpaper, see Jegadeesh (1990).

Anomaly 9: Momentum

Momentum at the end of month t is the cumulative 11-month return from the end of montht−13 to the end of month t−2. When the full return history is unavailable, I require the returnhistory of at least 6 months (e.g., if return information is available for the prior 6 months, themomentum variable is the cumulative 5-month return from the end of month t−7 to the end ofmonth t− 2). I assign a low momentum on new stocks by assigning a momentum value of -1for the stocks with less than 6 months of return history. For the original paper, see Jegadeesh(1990).

Anomaly 10: Annual sales growth

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. The annual sales growth is obtained by dividing thecurrent accounting year’s annual sales by the previous accounting year’s annual sales. For theoriginal paper, see Lakonshok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994).

14

Page 15: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Anomaly 11: Industry-adjusted change in the number of employees

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. It is the number of employees minus the industry-averagenumber of employees, where industries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). For theoriginal paper, see Asness, Porter, and Stevens (1994).

Anomaly 12: Accruals

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. It is defined as (income before extraodinary items (IB)− Operating Activities/Net Cash Flow (OANCF))÷((Total Assets (AT) + Lagged Total Assets(ATt−1))/2) if OANCF is available. If not, then the signal is constructed as in NMV. For theoriginal paper, see Sloan (1996).

Anomaly 13: Industry-adjusted value

This is the value signal defined above minus the industry average of the value signal, whereindustries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). For the original paper, see Asness,Porter, and Stevens (1994).

Anomaly 14: Industry momentum

This is the industry average of the momentum signal defined above, where industries are de-fined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). For the original paper, see Moskowitz and Grinblatt(1999).

Anomaly 15: Industry-adjusted firm size

This is the size signal defined above minus the industry average of the size signal, where in-dustries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). For the original paper, see Asness, Porter,and Stevens (1994).

Anomaly 16: Industry-adjusted cash-flow-to-price ratio

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. It is the cash-flow-to-price ratio minus its industry av-erage, where industries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). Cash-flow-to-price ratiois defined as the Operating Activities/Net Cash Flow (OANCF) divided by the market valueof equity calculated as the shares outstanding times price. When OANCF is unavailable, the

15

Page 16: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

numerator is the same as the numerator used by NMV to construct the accrual signal. For theoriginal paper, see Asness, Porter, and Stevens (1994).

Anomaly 17: Piotroski’s F-score

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. The score is calculated as 1(NI > 0)+1(OANCF > 0)+1(NI/AT > NIt−1/ATt−1)+1(OANCF > NI)+1(DLT T/AT > DLT Tt−1/ATt−1)+1(ACT/LCT >

ACTt−1/LCTt−1)+1((SALE−COGS)/SALE > (SALEt−1−COGSt−1)/SALEt−1)+1(SALE/AT>

SALEt−1/ATt−1)+1(SCST KC > 0) where NI is Net Income, OANCF is Operating Activi-ties/Net Cash Flow, AT is Total Assets, DLT T is Long-Term Debt, ACT is Total Current As-sets, LCT is Total Current Liabilities, SALE is Total Sales, COGS is Cost of Goods Sold, andSCST KC is the Sale of Common Stock (Cash Flow). For the original paper, see Piotroski(2000).

Anomaly 18: Idiosyncratic volatility

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. It is the standard deviation of the residual return fromregressing weekly stock returns to the contemporaneous equal-weighted weekly returns as wellas four previous weeks’ equal-weighted returns. For the original paper, see Ali, Hwang, andTrombly (2003).

Anomaly 19: Price delay

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. First, I regress the weekly stock return on the contempo-raneous equal-weighted weekly return and obtain the adjusted R squared. Second, I regress theweekly stock return on the contemporaneous equal-weighted weekly return as well as four pre-vious weeks’ equal-weighted returns, again obtanining an adjusted R squared. Then, I subtractthe ratio of the R2 from the first regression to the R2 from the second regression and subtractthat ratio from 1. For the original paper, see Hou and Moskowitz (2005).

Anomaly 20: Failure probability

This signal is constructed as in NMV. See the paper for details. For the original paper, seeCampbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi (2008).

16

Page 17: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Anomaly 21: Asset growth

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the total asset in the current accounting year dividedby the total asset in the previous accounting year minus one. For the original paper, see Cooper,Gulen, and Schill (2008).

Anomaly 22: Net issuance

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the 12-month growth rate in the net issuance definedas the monthly CRSP split adjustment factor times shares outstanding in the current month. Forthe original paper, see Fama and French (2008).

Anomaly 23: Seasonality

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the average of the coming month’s return in theprevious five years. For the original paper, see Heston and Sadka (2008).

Anomaly 24: Industry-adjusted change in profit margin

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. The change in profit margin is defined as the ratio of netincome to sales in the current accounting year minus the same ratio in the previous accountingyear. The industry adjustment is made by subtracting the industry-average change in profitmargin from the firm’s change in profit margin, where industries are defined by the 2-digit SICcodes (SIC2). For the original paper, see Soliman (2008).

Anomaly 25: Industry-adjusted change in asset turnover

This signal is constructed as in GHZ. The change in asset turnover is defined as (SALE / (AT +ATt−1)/2) - (SALEt−1 / (ATt−1 + ATt−2)/2), where SALE is Total Sales and AT is Total Assets.The industry adjustment is made by subtracting the industry-average change in asset turnoverfrom the firm’s change in asset turnover, where industries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes(SIC2). For the original paper, see Soliman (2008).

Anomaly 26: PEAD(CAR3)

This signal is constructed as in NVM and GHZ. Three-day cumulative return (-1 to +1) aroundthe date of the earnings announcement. For the original paper, see Brandt, Kishore, Santa-Clara, and Venkatachalam (2008).

17

Page 18: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Anomaly 27: Investment

This signal is constructed as in NMV. For the original paper, see Chen, Novy-Marx, and Zhang(2010).

Anomaly 28: Return on market equity

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the income before extraodinary items divided by theprevious quarter’s market value of equity. For the original paper, see Chen, Novy-Marx, andZhang (2010).

Anomaly 29: Return on book equity

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the income before extraordinary items divided bythe previous quarter’s book value of equity. For the original paper, see Chen, Novy-Marx, andZhang (2010).

Anomaly 30: Return on assets

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is the income before extraordinary items divided bythe previous quarter’s total assets. For the original paper, see Chen, Novy-Marx, and Zhang(2010).

Anomaly 31: Asset turnover

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is total sales divided by total assets. For the originalpaper, see Novy-Marx (2013).

Anomaly 32: Gross margins

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is gross profits divided by total sales. For the originalpaper, see Novy-Marx (2013).

Anomaly 33: Gross profitability

This signal is constructed as in NMV. It is gross profits divided by total assets. For the originalpaper, see Novy-Marx (2013).

18

Page 19: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

Anomaly 34: Industry-adjusted reversals

This is the short-run reversal signal defined above minus the industry average of the short-runreversal signal, where industries are defined by the 2-digit SIC codes (SIC2). For the originalpaper, see Da, Liu, and Schaumburg (2013).

19

Page 20: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

References

[1] Ali, Ashiq, Lee-Seok Hwang, and Mark A. Trombley, 2003, Arbitrage risk and the book-to-market anomaly, Journal of Financial Economics 69(2), 355-373.

[2] Asness, Clifford S., R. Burt Porter, and Ross L. Stevens, 1994, Predicting stock returnsusing industry-relative firm characteristics, working paper.

[3] Banz, Rolf W., 1981, The relationship between return and market value of commonstocks, Journal of Financial Economics 9(1), 3-18.Fama, Eugene F., and James D. Mac-Beth, 1973, Risk, return, and equilibrium: Empirical tests, Journal of Political Economy81(3), 607-636.

[4] Brandt, Michael W., Runeet Kishore, Pedro Santa-Clara, and Mohan Venkatachalam,2008, Earnings announcements are full of surprises, working paper.

[5] Campbell, John Y., Jens Hilscher, and Jan Szilagyi, 2008, In search of distress risk, Jour-nal of Finance 63(6), 2899-2939.

[6] Chen, Long, Robert Novy-Marx, and Lu Zhang, 2010, An alternative three-factor model,working paper.

[7] Cooper, Michael J., Huseyin Gulen, and Michael J. Schill, 2008, Asset growth and thecross-section of stock returns, Journal of Finance 63(4), 1609-1651.

[8] Da, Zhi, Qianqiu Liu, and Ernst Schaumburg, 2013, A closer look at the short-term returnreversal, Management Science 60(3), 658-674.

[9] De Bondt, Werner F.M., and Richard Thaler, 1985, Does the stock market overreact?Journal of finance 40(3), 793-805.

[10] De Bondt, Werner F.M., and Richard H. Thaler, 1987, Further evidence on investor over-reaction and stock market seasonality, Journal of Finance 42(3), 557-581.

[11] Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French, 2008, Dissecting anomalies, Journal of Finance63(4), 1653-1678.

[12] Heston, Steven L., and Ronnie Sadka, 2008, Seasonality in the cross-section of stockreturns, Journal of Financial Economics 87(2), 418-445.

20

Page 21: Online Appendix to “Turning Alphas into Betas: Arbitrage and … · 2017-01-16 · 1 Robustness checks on main empirical results 1.1 Alternative sample cutoffs In the paper, I use

[13] Hou, Kewei, and Tobias J. Moskowitz, 2005, Market frictions, price delay, and the cross-section of expected returns, Review of Financial Studies 18(3), 981-1020.

[14] Jegadeesh, Narasimhan, 1990, Evidence of predictable behavior of security returns, Jour-nal of Finance 45(3), 881-898.

[15] Lakonishok, Josef, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny, 1994, Contrarian investment,extrapolation, and risk, Journal of Finance 49(5), 1541-1578.

[16] Moskowitz, Tobias J., and Mark Grinblatt, 1999, Do industries explain momentum? Jour-nal of Finance 54(4), 1249-1290.

[17] Novy-Marx, Robert, 2013, The other side of value: The gross profitability premium,Journal of Financial Economics 108(1), 1-28.

[18] Piotroski, Joseph D., 2000, Value investing: The use of historical financial statementinformation to separate winners from losers, Journal of Accounting Research 38(Suppl.),1-41.

[19] Ohlson, James A., 1980, Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy,Journal of Accounting Research 18(1), 109-131.

[20] Rendleman, Richard J., Charles P. Jones, and Henry A. Latane, 1982, Empirical anomaliesbased on unexpected earnings and the importance of risk adjustments, Journal of FinancialEconomics 10(3), 269-287.

[21] Rosenberg, Barr, Kenneth Reid, and Ronald Lanstein, 1985, Persuasive evidence of mar-ket inefficiency, Journal of Portfolio Management 11(3), 9-16.

[22] Sloan, R., 1996, Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows aboutfuture earnings? Accounting Review 71(3), 289-315.

[23] Soliman, Mark T., 2008, The use of DuPont analysis by market participants, AccountingReview 83(3), 823-853.

21