oil, gas & petrochemicals conference
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Oil & Petrochemicals ConferenceOil & Petrochemicals Conference
Luiz Henrique ValverdeIR Manager
Luiz Henrique ValverdeIR Manager
José Marcos TreigerIRO
José Marcos TreigerIRO
October 2005October 2005
22
Disclaimer
The material that follows is a presentation of general background information about BRASKEM as of the date of this presentation. It is information in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to potential investors. This presentation is strictly confidential and may not be disclosed to any other person. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made concerning, and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, fairness, or completeness of the information presented herein.
This presentation contains statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Such forward-looking statements are only predictions and are not guarantees of future performance. Potential investors are cautioned that any such forward-looking statements are and will be, as the case may be, subject to many risks, uncertainties and factors relating to the operations and business environment of Braskem and its subsidiaries that may cause the actual results of these companies to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements.
Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the risks and uncertainties set forth in a prospectus that may be obtained from the underwriters. Although Braskem believes that the expectations and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, based on information currently available to Braskem’s management, Braskem cannot and does not guarantee future results or events. Braskem expressly disclaims a duty to update any of the forward-looking statement.
Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States unless they are registered or exempt from registration under the Securities Act of 1933. Any public offering of securities to be made in the United States will be made by means of a prospectus that may be obtained from the underwriters. Such prospectus will contain detailed information about BRASKEM and its business and financial results, as well as its financial statements.
This presentation does not constitute an offer, or invitation, or solicitation of an offer, to subscribe for or purchase any securities. Neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Forward looking statements
33
A more ambitious strategic goal
To rank amongst the TOP 10 global petrochemical
companiesTo becomeLatin America’s leaderin thermoplastic resins
44
Strong platform for growth
A new approach to the Brazilian petrochemical sector
Oil exploration 1st Generation 2nd Generation 3rd Generation
INTEGRATION
NaphthaNaphtha andand CondensateCondensate CompetitivenessCompetitiveness
New dynamics in the value chain
55
Strong platform for growth
R$ 350 million per year in recurring synergies already captured
R$ million
240
Jun/03
260
Sep/03
285
Dec/03
208
Mar/03
310
Mar/04
330(2004)
Target
350
Dec/04
66
Strong platform for growth
Largest production scale in the region: cost competitiveness5.8 million tons in total annual capacity of petrochemical and chemical products
1. Braskem’s affiliates:a) Braskem jointly controls Copesul with the Ipiranga Groupb) Braskem owns 33.9% of Politeno´s total capital
2. Jointly owned by Suzano, Unipar, Petroquisa e BNDES
Thousand tons / year
Ethylene
PVC
PE
PP
828
610
1,438
Dow
1,135
Copesul1
520
540
1,060
Rio Polímeros2
520150
670
Ipiranga
500
130630
Unipar
85
476
561
Solvay
350
Politeno1
1,280
870
580
525
3,255
Braskem
625
Suzano
Source: CMAI and Braskem Source: CMAI and Braskem –– 2005 (year2005 (year--end capacities)end capacities)
77
Strong platform for growth
Leading market shares in Brazil - 2004Polyethylene (PE)
16%55%
29%
PVC
14%
29%57%
Ethylene*
57%
43%
Polypropylene (PP)
9%
51%40%
BRASKEM IMPORTS OTHERS(*) Based on production capacity
Source: Braskem and Source: Braskem and ABIQUIM ABIQUIM -- 20042004
88
Strong platform for growth
Consistent operational performance: ~US$ 1 Bi EBITDA last 12 months
635701
872794
947975
EBITDA – LTM*
EBITDA – LTM*
Gross Revenue– LTM*
*LTM – last twelve months
12,006
14,342
13,654
15,58115,866
R$ million
R$ million
US$ million
1,8562,066
2,4592,349
2,708 2,663
11,156
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05
3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q051Q04 2Q04
Source: BraskemSource: Braskem
99
Strong platform for growth
Solid financial and capital structure
2002 2003 2004 1H05
Net Debt/EBITDA
5.1
3.5
1.5 1.1
Net Debt Evolution
1,929 2,166
1,4521,221
2002 2003 2004 1H05
US$ million
2002 2003 2004 1H05
20% 22%43% 46%
Debt/ Equity
80% 78%57% 54%
Source: BraskemSource: Braskem
1010
High Standards of Corporate Governance
Strong platform for growth
A Level 1 Company in BOVESPA since February 13th, 2003
Commitment to move up to BOVESPA’s Level 2, in 2005
100% tag-along rights - in case of transfer of control - for all shareholders and all classes of shares
Code of Conduct: sets values, principles and practices governing corporate behavior
Pre-established corporate policies:– Trading of securities– Financial management – Insurance and Guarantees– Health, Safety and Environment
Compliance with SOx by Dec 2005
1111
Strong platform for growth…
A World-Class Company
55
R$ 350 million per year in recurring synergies, already captured
Strong platform for growth
R$ million
240
Jun/03
260
Sep/03
285
Dec/03
208
Mar/03
310
Mar/04
330(2004)
Target
350
Dec/04
Synergies
New Level of Competitiveness
• Best practices• Simplification• Integration• SOx Compliance
New Integrated Management
System
Technology and Innovation
...new steps in the value creation process
Braskem Business Braskem Business SystemSystem
1212
New steps in the value creation process
Braskem Technology and Innovation Center
InnovationInnovationProjectsProjects
Focus on value creation for customers– Product customization– New applications– Client services
Premium Premium pricingpricing andandcustomercustomer loyaltyloyalty PotentialPotential
ValueValueRANPV* RANPV*
((US$ millionUS$ million))
(*) NPV@risk calculated for a 5-year period at a discount rate of 11%
1313
New steps in the value creation process
R$ 420 million in productivity gains planned for 2007R$ 192 million accomplished by 1H05
R$ million/year
Annualized and recurring basis
140
Achieved 1H05
Target 2005
Target 1H05
Target 2006
Target 2007
+ 37%
170
360
420
Investments: R$ 334 million IRR: 79%
192
1414
New steps in the value creation process
ERP Project: a new integrated management system encompassing all business processes
Investment of R$ 130 million
Implementation until January 2007
NPV of R$ 260 million
1515
Ethylene production capacity expansions in Asia and in the Middle East
Even with the forecasted expansion, capacity utilization levels shall remain high (above 90%) in the next years (2005-2007).
16002000
0
900
0
6000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1620
1000
1350
8501000
3100
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
World World Ethylene Ethylene
Capacity in Capacity in 20052005
117 million 117 million ton/yearton/year
? = Capacity additions in Iran have been systematically postponed
0 0300
38503600
1000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia
Total 2005-2007 = 300 thousand tons
Total 2005-2007 = 3,970 thousand tons (?)
Region total = ZERO
Others Others –– Middle EastMiddle East
Asia Asia –– India, China* and Taiwan India, China* and Taiwan
Total 2005 - 2007 = 3,600 thousand tons
Iran ?Iran ?
0 0 0
850
2500
1000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
* Not including potential projects in ChinaSource: Deutsche Bank and CMAI – information updated until June/05 (in 000 ton/year)
1616
Global Supply and Demand Balance
Relevant Ethylene capacity growth should be concentrated in Asia and in the Middle East from 2008 to 2010;
Delays in the addition of new Ethylene capacities should make the cycle last longer;
Global capacity utilization rates above 90%.
SupplySupply
Global GDP growth at approximately 4% per year, from 2005 to 2008;
Increase in global demand for main thermoplastic products (PE/PP/PVC);
Gradual inventory reduction expected by 2007;
China should remain as a net petrochemical importer until the end of the decade
DemandDemand
Expectation of higher margins for petrochemicals through 2007;
Raw material prices (oil and naphtha) continue to have the highest impact on margins;
Margins should maintain their high levels.
Prices and MarginsPrices and Margins
M2
Source: CMAI / Braskem
Slide 16
M2 Not sureMZ-Consult; 9/8/2005
1717
Strategic drivers for the future
Organic Organic GrowthGrowth
Selective Selective GrowthGrowth
Enhancement of the Enhancement of the Aromatics Chain Aromatics Chain
InternationalizationInternationalization
Value creation
1818
Organic Growth
Brazil: a growing and dynamic market for thermoplastic resins…
Overall Market Consumption(Polyethylene, Polypropylene and PVC)
1,601
1993
2,293
1996
3,107
2000
3,419
2004
8.0% CAGR*
Ton (000)Elasticity: 3.0x
GDP growth
* Compounded Annual Growth Rate
SourceSource: : TheThe BrazilianBrazilian AssociationAssociation of of ChemicalChemical andand DerivativeDerivative ProductsProducts (ABIQUIM) (ABIQUIM) andand BraskemBraskem
1919
Organic Growth
Per-Capita Thermoplastics Consumption – 2004
Polypropylene PolyethylenePVC
kg / person
SourceSource: : ChemicalChemical MarketMarket AssociatesAssociates, Inc. (CMAI) , Inc. (CMAI) andand Braskem / 2004Braskem / 2004
14.2
3.7
21.3
5.47.5
32.0
45.2
9.8
22.820.4
5.9
…and strong potential for growth
USA
Europe
Brazil
China
5.6
2020
Shareholder Structure *
Free-FloatPETROSPREVI PETROQUISA NORQUISA
2.5% 2.6% 10.0% 8.4% 2.4% 1.5% 11.0%48.6% 31.7%25.4% 9.1%
ODEBRECHT
29.5% 29.5% 35.0% 33.9%100% 63.7%
POLIALDEN
% Voting Capital - % Total Capital
46.5%
* June 30, 2005.
2121
Organic Growth
Recent amendment establishes new terms and conditions
– Option to increase Petroquisa’s voting capital in Braskem from 10% to 30%, through capitalization of petrochemical assets
– List of assets to be disclosed by Petroquisa no later than September 29, 2005
– All assets will be valued based upon respective discounted cash flow (DCF method)
– Option deadline: December 31, 2005
Industry Consolidation: Petroquisa OptionPotential for important synergies and impact on Braskem’s future cash flow
2222
Selective Growth
Paulínia Project: becoming the #1 Polypropylene player in the region
PaulíniaPaulínia
Joint Venture with Joint Venture with PetroquisaPetroquisa::–– 60% Braskem60% Braskem–– 40% 40% PetrobrasPetrobras
350Kt PP annual production capacity350Kt PP annual production capacityUS$ 240 mm investmentUS$ 240 mm investmentPolymer Polymer –– Grade Propylene supplied by Grade Propylene supplied by PetrobrasPetrobrasStart up Start up –– end 2007 / beginning 2008end 2007 / beginning 2008
Brazil /BoliviaBrazil /Bolivia
Venezuela
New greenfield capacities based on competitive raw materials with high rates of return
PP: Venezuela: 400 PP: Venezuela: 400 ktkt in partnership with in partnership with PequivenPequiven**
PE: BrazilPE: Brazil--Bolivia complex: 600 Bolivia complex: 600 ktkt (2009) *(2009) *
* To be presented to Braskem´s Board of Directors
2323
Enhancement of the Aromatics Chain
Opportunities for Value Creation from aromatics, fuels and by-products
Paraxylene capacity increase, combined with a potential downstream integration to produce PTA
Start ETBE production - as an alternative to MTBE
Isoprene debottlenecking
Butadiene profitability enhancement
2424
Internationalization
Product and Process Technology
Agreement with Basell for the development of processes and products related to the spherilene(PE) technology
Technology licensing for Petroquímica Paulínia
Development of new products and– 10% of 2004 revenues from sales
products developed in the previous
A pioneer in nanocomposite research inAmerica:– Focus on cost reduction and performance
servicesof new 2 years
Latin
improvement for thermoplastic resins
2525
Internationalization
Evolution of exports Destination of exports – 1H05
North America41%
Europe25%
SouthAmerica
18%
Row
2%
Strategic presence in international markets
US$ million
2002 2003 2004 2005
301
617710
~1 Bi *
509
* Annualizing 1H05 exports
1H05
Asia14%
2626
Strategy to grow with value creation
Strengthen market leadership in Brazil through consolidation in the local market, capturing synergies
Expand production and sales outside of South America, capturing value and creating a growth platform for the future
Organic Organic GrowthGrowth
Selective Selective GrowthGrowth
Enhancement of the Enhancement of the Aromatics Chain Aromatics Chain
InternationalizationInternationalization
Value creation
Consolidate market position in key products in Latin America and guarantee competitive sources of raw material
Leverage aromatics production chain by broadening its portfolio of products and services in the local market
2727
A unique investment opportunity
Market leadership in the region
Consistent operational performance
Solid financial structure
Ongoing competitive improvements: and ERP
Structural market growth opportunities in the region
Consolidation in the Brazilian Petrochemical Industry: an opportunity for value creation
Greenfield projects in the region based upon access to competitive raw materials
Technology autonomy to pursue internationalization
HighHigh Standards of Corporate Standards of Corporate GovernanceGovernance
Oil & Petrochemicals ConferenceOil & Petrochemicals Conference
October 2005October 2005
José Marcos TreigerIRO
José Marcos TreigerIRO
Luiz Henrique ValverdeIR Manager
Luiz Henrique ValverdeIR Manager