oil forecast for 2015 based on a predictive algorithm
TRANSCRIPT
Oil Forecast For 2015 Based On
A Predictive Algorithm
Seeking Alpha Article
© I Know First 2014. All rights reserved.
www.iknowfirst.com
Summary
It's time for a full review of oil market performance
in 2014.
What are the consequences of oil price decline?
What do analysts expect for the oil market in 2015?
I Know First algorithm predicts a bullish forecast for
oil in a one-year time horizon.
www.iknowfirst.com
Reasons For 2014 Oil Plunge
Main Reason: On Nov 27th 2014, OPEC, which controls about 40% of the
world oil market, decided to maintain the current levels of oil production.
Without OPEC to defend prices, oil entered a free-fall, in accordance with I
Know First 2014 predictions (See next slide)
Demand has clearly decreased over the past few months as the
economies of China, Japan and Western Europe -- three main oil
consumers -- all appear to be weakening.
Oil demand stagnates when economic growth halts
Surging U.S. supply, along with additional supplies from Canada, has
caused oil prices to decrease more than most oil exporters had anticipated
www.iknowfirst.com
I Know First 2014 Forecast For Oil
The chart above shows I Know First’s prediction for oil for September 28th 2014
for the 3-month time horizonwww.iknowfirst.com
Losers & Winners
Losers Winners
Who Why Who Why
American Oil
Producers
Already planning on
decreasing oil production
for 2015
End Of Shale Boom?
Saudi Arabia Can gain market shares
back from its rivals
Oil-exporting
countries
Countries such as
Venezuela, Iran & Nigeria
can’t finance their 2015
budget with such a low
price
Recession ?
China Can boost China' s
slowing economy &
enable the Federal
Reserve to cut interest
rates
Russia Russia has publicly
announced that it will enter
into a recession in 2015
due to lower oil price &
sanctions
Consumers Increase their purchasing
power &stimulates their
spending
www.iknowfirst.com
What Our Algorithm Predicts for
2015
The algorithm is expecting a very volatile
oil market for the one and three-month
time horizon. Yet, the algorithm is bullish
for the one-year time horizon.
Oil appears to be back on track for year-
end 2015, according to analysts at
Goldman Sachs and market participants
agreeing with this forecast. However,
much depends upon Saudi Arabia and
Kuwait, which could raise production to
counter the cuts made in other Gulf States
www.iknowfirst.com
We developed an advanced algorithm
based on artificial intelligence and machine
learning that also incorporates elements of
artificial neural networks and genetic
algorithms
Dr. Lipa Roitman, a scientist with over 20
years of experience, led our R&D team to
develop and consistently enhance the
algorithm
Our live portfolio from 2013 returned 60.66%
in 12 months beating the S&P 500 by 31.27%
www.iknowfirst.com
A unique financial market forecasting algorithm that analyses, models and
predicts over 2,000 markets for short and long term:
Stocks
Commodities
ETF’s
Interest Rates
Currencies
World Indices
Firms that can consistently recognize the most opportunities and
overall trends has the key to the market
www.iknowfirst.com
How To Read The Prediction
Two indicators:
Signal – Predicted movement of the asset
Predictability Indicator – Historical correlation between the prediction and the
actual market movement
Become an Algorithmic Trader with
these algorithmic trading strategies
www.iknowfirst.com
Read Our Full Analysis
Oil Forecast For 2015 Based On A Predictive
Algorithmwww.iknowfirst.com
I Know First Sample Portfolio
Click To View
60.66% Return in 1-year beating
the S&P by over 30%
www.iknowfirst.com
Sign Up For Our Free Newsletter
Receive:
• Latest Market Opportunities Identified By The Algorithm
• Detailed Analysis Reports By Our Analytical Branch
• Stock Charts Generated By The Algorithm
• Exclusive Deals
www.iknowfirst.com
Top Stock Picks &
S&P 500 Forecast
Get Your
www.iknowfirst.com
Become an Algorithmic Trader with
www.iknowfirst.com