ohio state university extension solar energy in ... · analysis understanding the solar resource...

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OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY EXTENSION Solar Energy in Agriculture: Considerations for Investing in Photovoltaic Solar Systems Eric Romich, Assistant Professor and Field Specialist, Energy Development, Ohio State University Extension Part 2: Assessing System Cost A better understanding of direct system costs, indirect capital costs, operations and maintenance, and standard assumptions provides a more accurate financial analysis, fostering informed investment decisions. HOW TO ACCESS THE MATERIALS This bulletin series is made available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 license. Permission is granted to share, copy, and redistribute the material in any medium or format and adapt, remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose other than commercial. You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. The materials are available for download as a pdf, epub, and html page at the following URL addresses: 1. energizeohio.osu.edu/farm-solar-energy-development 2. wyoextension.org/publications/ BIBLIOGRAPHY 1 United States Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (USDOE/EIA). (2013). The Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013). U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Energy Information Administration. Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis. 2 United States Department of Energy National Renewable Energy Laboratory (USDOE/NREL). (2016, February). Distributed Generation Renewable Energy Estimate of Costs. Retrieved from National Renewable Energy Laboratory Energy Analysis: http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/tech_lcoe_re_cost_est.html KEY QUESTIONS TO ASK 1. Is shading, orientation, angle, and temperature included in production estimates? 2. Does the lifetime production include annual declines from panel degradation? 3. Can I easily identify the direct and indirect cost of the system? 4. What is the installed cost per watt? 5. Are the operations and maintenance costs included and defined in the proposal? 6. Is the value of electricity based on an average utility rate, or are fixed fees, demand changes, and energy charges evaluated separately? 7. What is the energy escalation rate used to calculate energy savings in future years? Is it real or nominal? Ohio State University Extension Community Development CFAES provides research and related educational programs to clientele on a nondiscriminatory basis. For more information: go.osu.edu/cfaesdiversity. Part 1: Estimating System Production Site-specific factors such as shading, orientation, tilt, temperature, and panel degradation can influence the amount of electricity produced by a PV solar system. Part 3: Forecasting the Value of Electricity To calculate energy savings for a project, one must consider important variables, including the details of the individual rate structure and the assumed energy escalation rate that influence the value of electricity a PV system produces. Part 4: Understanding Incentives Despite declining costs for PV solar, incentives are important to the cost-effectiveness of a project. Incentives come from four primary sources – federal, state and local government, and utility companies. Incentives greatly affect the financial viability of a PV installation. Part 5: Conducting a Financial Analysis Understanding the solar resource production, system cost, value of electricity, and available incentives enables a robust financial analysis. Accurately evaluating the viability of a solar project requires understanding financial concepts such as simple payback, net present value, and the levelized cost of energy. Part 6: PV Solar Example The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, developed the System Advisory Model (SAM) to help developers, installers, and potential system owners estimate the system production and financial impacts of renewable energy projects. SOLAR ELECTRIC INVESTMENT ANALYSIS BULLETIN SERIES Evaluating the financial prudence of an investment in solar requires careful consideration of system costs, the value of production, and operation and maintenance costs. Unfortunately, some proposals are hard to understand making it difficult to make fully informed investment decisions. This six-part bulletin series was developed in collaboration between the University of Wyoming and Ohio State University to increase participants’ knowledge of PV solar energy development and the financial considerations to guide informed decision-making with future investments. INTRODUCTION According to the 2013 Annual Energy Outlook Report, the national average cost for electricity in the industrial sector, which includes agricultural and irrigation, is projected to increase from 6.4¢ per kWh in 2013 to 12.8¢ per kWh in 2040 (USDOE/EIA, 2013). An increase in energy costs will generally raise the prices of agricultural products and reduce farm income, limiting the potential for growth. Energy inputs are important to agriculture, with direct and indirect energy-related expenses representing roughly 13% of total farm production expenses in 2005–2008. To stabilize energy input cost and maximize profitability on the farm, many agricultural producers are now considering investments in energy efficiency and on-farm solar electric generation. PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR ENERGY TRENDS Advances in technology and policy mandates that require the installation of photovoltaic (PV) solar have contributed to the reduction of system costs. For example, the average installed solar price for midsized systems (between 10 kW and 100 kW) has dropped from more than $10 per watt in 2000 to $3.46 per watt in 2016 (USDOE/NREL, 2016). The declining cost of equipment and installation makes installing a behind-the-meter PV solar system enticing for many agricultural producers. As a result, PV panels are an increasingly common sight on farms and rural properties across Ohio. 14 151 341 432 341 256 298 306 0 100 200 300 400 500 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of Ohio Certified PV Solar Facilities Source: Public Utilities Commission of Ohio. Report reflects approved cases through Friday, October 28, 2016

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Page 1: OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY EXTENSION Solar Energy in ... · Analysis Understanding the solar resource production, system cost, value of electricity, and available incentives enables a

OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY EXTENSION

Solar Energy in Agriculture: Considerations for Investing in Photovoltaic Solar SystemsEric Romich, Assistant Professor and Field Specialist, Energy Development, Ohio State University Extension

Part 2: Assessing System Cost

A better understanding of direct system costs, indirect capital costs, operations and maintenance, and standard assumptions provides a more accurate financial analysis, fostering informed investment decisions.

HOW TO ACCESS THE MATERIALSThis bulletin series is made available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial 4.0 license. Permission is granted to share, copy, and redistribute the material in any medium or format and adapt, remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose other than commercial. You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. The materials are available for download as a pdf, epub, and html page at the following URL addresses:

1. energizeohio.osu.edu/farm-solar-energy-development 2. wyoextension.org/publications/

BIBLIOGRAPHY1 United States Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration (USDOE/EIA). (2013). The

Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013). U.S. Department of Energy, U.S. Energy InformationAdministration. Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis.

2 United States Department of Energy National Renewable Energy Laboratory (USDOE/NREL). (2016, February). Distributed Generation Renewable Energy Estimate of Costs. Retrieved from National Renewable Energy Laboratory Energy Analysis: http://www.nrel.gov/analysis/tech_lcoe_re_cost_est.html

KEY QUESTIONS TO ASK1. Is shading, orientation, angle, and temperature included in

production estimates?2. Does the lifetime production include annual declines from panel

degradation?3. Can I easily identify the direct and indirect cost of the system?4. What is the installed cost per watt?5. Are the operations and maintenance costs included and defined in

the proposal?6. Is the value of electricity based on an average utility rate, or are

fixed fees, demand changes, and energy charges evaluated separately?

7. What is the energy escalation rate used to calculate energy savings in future years? Is it real or nominal?

Ohio State University ExtensionCommunity Development

CFAES provides research and related educational programs to clientele on a nondiscriminatory basis. For more information: go.osu.edu/cfaesdiversity.

Part 1: Estimating System Production

Site-specific factors such as shading, orientation, tilt, temperature, and panel degradation can influence the amount of electricity produced by a PV solar system.

Part 3: Forecasting the Value of Electricity

To calculate energy savings for a project, one must consider important variables, including the details of the individual rate structure and the assumed energy escalation rate that influence the value of electricity a PV system produces.

Part 4: Understanding Incentives

Despite declining costs for PV solar, incentives are important to the cost-effectiveness of a project. Incentives come from four primary sources – federal, state and local government, and utility companies. Incentives greatly affect the financial viability of a PV installation.

Part 5: Conducting a Financial Analysis

Understanding the solar resource production, system cost, value of electricity, and available incentives enables a robust financial analysis. Accurately evaluating the viability of a solar project requires understanding financial concepts such as simple payback, net present value, and the levelized cost of energy.

Part 6: PV Solar ExampleThe National Renewable Energy Laboratory, developed the System Advisory Model (SAM) to help developers, installers, and potential system owners estimate the system production and financial impacts of renewable energy projects.

SOLAR ELECTRIC INVESTMENT ANALYSIS BULLETIN SERIESEvaluating the financial prudence of an investment in solar requires careful consideration of system costs, the value of production, and operation and maintenance costs. Unfortunately, some proposals are hard to understand

making it difficult to make fully informed investment decisions. This six-part bulletin series was developed in collaboration between the University of Wyoming and Ohio State University to increase participants’ knowledge of PV solar energy development and the financial considerations to guide informed decision-making with future investments.

INTRODUCTIONAccording to the 2013 Annual Energy Outlook Report, the national average cost for electricity in the industrial sector, which includes agricultural and irrigation, is projected to increase from 6.4¢ per kWh in 2013 to 12.8¢ per kWh in 2040 (USDOE/EIA, 2013). An increase in energy costs will generally raise the prices of agricultural products and reduce farm income, limiting the potential for growth. Energy inputs are important to agriculture, with direct and indirect energy-related expenses representing roughly 13% of total farm production expenses in 2005–2008. To stabilize energy input cost and maximize profitability on the farm, many agricultural producers are now considering investments in energy efficiency and on-farm solar electric generation.

PHOTOVOLTAIC SOLAR ENERGY TRENDSAdvances in technology and policy mandates that require the installation of photovoltaic (PV) solar have contributed to the reduction of system costs. For example, the average installed solar price for midsized systems (between 10 kW and 100 kW) has dropped from more than $10 per watt in 2000 to $3.46 per watt in 2016 (USDOE/NREL, 2016). The declining cost of equipment and installation makes installing a behind-the-meter PV solar system enticing for many agricultural producers. As a result, PV panels are an increasingly common sight on farms and rural properties across Ohio.

14

151

341432

341256

298 306

0

100

200

300

400

500

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Number of Ohio Certified PV Solar Facilities

Source: Public Utilities Commission of Ohio. Report reflects approved cases through Friday, October 28, 2016