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INDIAN STOCK MARKET PREVIEW (JAN-JUL 2011)

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INDEX MOVEMENTS JAN SEPT 2011

NIFTY STATISTICS

HIGH LOW

AN 6181 5416

FEB 5599 5177

MAR 5872 5348

APR 5944 5693

MAY 5605 5328

UNE 5657 5195ULY 5740 5651

AUG 5551 4720

SEPT 5169 4829

NIFTY

SENSEXHIGH LOW AN 20664 18327

FEB 18690 17295

MAR 19575 17792

APR 19253 17786

MAY 19253 17786

UNE 18873 17314

ULY 19131 18713

AUG 18440 15765SEP 17211 15801

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PRESENT ECONOMIC SCENARIO

GLOBAL ECONOMIES

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US ECONOMY UPTO SEPT 2011If you take advantage of everything America has to offer, theres

nothing you cant accomplish. Geraldine Ferraro

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USA-INFLATION RATE The inflation rate in United States was last reported at 3.8 percent in Aug of

2011. From 1914 until 2010, the average inflation rate in United States was 3.38percent .

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MAJOR ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS-USA

The United States' main stock market index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average,declined 57 points or 0.53 percent during the last 12 months. From 1928 until2011 the Dow Jones Industrial Average market value averaged 2612.71 pointsreaching an historical high of 14164.53 points in October of 2007 and a record lowof 41.22 points in July of 1932

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CHINESE ECONOMY UPTO SEP 2011

China is clearly going to be the number oneeconomic power and it is already full of potential..

with lots of population and the buying powerincreasing by the day

Bernard Arnault

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CHINA GDP

GDP is worth 5879 billion dollars or 9.48% of the world economy, according tothe World Bank

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in China expanded 2.20 percent in the second quarter of 2011 over the previous quarter

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CHINA - EXPORTS

China exports were worth 173 Billion USD in August of 2011. Export growth hascontinued to be a major component supporting China's rapid economic growth.

Exports of goods and services constitute 39.7% of its GDP. China major exports are:office machines & data processing equipment, telecommunications equipment,electrical machinery and apparel & clothing. Chinas largest exports markets are

European Union, United States, Hong Kong, Japan and South Korea.

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The inflation rate in China was last reported at 6.2 percent in August of 2011 Inflation rate in China rose 6.2 percent over a year earlier, cooling from 6.5 percent

in July, the National Statistics Bureau said on September 9

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CHINA - IIP

Industrial Production in China expanded 13.5% in August of 2011 Industrial production measures changes in output for the industrial sector of the

economy which includes manufacturing, mining, and utilities.

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CHINA STOCK MARKET INDEX

China's main stock market index, the Shanghai Composite Index, declined 296points or 11.16 percent during the last 12 months.

From 1990 until 2011 the Shanghai Composite Index market value averaged1617.81 points reaching an historical high of 6092.06 points in October of 2007and a record low of 99.98 points in December of 1990

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JAPANESE ECONOMY UPTO SEPT 2011

"It was always a question of 'when'Japan would turn around, not 'if' Japanwould turn around."

Tod Jacobson

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JAPAN-GDP

Japan Gross Domestic Product is worth 5498 billion dollars or 8.87% of the worldeconomy, according to the World Bank

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Japan contracted 0.50 percent in thesecond quarter of 2011 over the previous quarter

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JAPAN-IIP

Industrial Production in Japan rose 0.6 percent in August of 2011

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JAPAN-STOCK MARKET INDEX

Japan's main stock market index, the NIKKEI 225, declined 925 points or 9.86percent during the last 12 months

From 1970 until 2011 the NIKKEI 225 market value averaged 12985.92 pointsreaching an historical high of 38915.87 points in December of 1989 and a recordlow of 1929.64 points in May of 1970.

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EUROPEAN ECONOMIES UPTO SEPT

2011

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GDP STATUS OF MAJOR EURO ZONE COUNTRIES

3346.7

2649.39

1460.25

329.92

2112.78

227.68 227.19

Germany France Spain Greece Italy Portugal Ireland

GDPGDP (IN $ BLN)

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IIP STATUS OF MAJOR EURO ZONECOUNTRIES

7.6

3.9

0.8

-11

3.7

-1.7

-5.5

Germany France Spain Greece Italy Portugal Ireland

IIPIIP

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INDIAN ECONOMY 2011

Q1 OF Y12GDP AT 7.7%

2011-12 GROWTH LIKELY TO BE AT 8%

AUG WPI INFLATION AT 9.78%

JULY IIP AT 3.3%

KEY INTEREST RATES : REPO @8.25%, CRR @ 6%

$ 1.3 TRILLION ECONOMY

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INDIAN GDP AT A GLANCE

4.4

5.8

3.8

8.3

6.2

9.5 9.79

6.77.4

8.5

2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011E

GDPGDP %

9.3

8.9

8.3

7.8

7

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4YEAR 2010-2011

QUARTERLY GDP %

GDP

Q1 OF Y12GDPAT 7.7%

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INDIAN IIP AT A GLANCE

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Apr-10

ARIL 2011CORE SECTOR GROWTH

2011 JULY IIPAT 3.3%

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-6330.4

-3754.3

6967.1 7,018.5

-5158.30

4947.40

-8000

-6000

-4000

-2000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

Jan--2011 Feb--2011 Mar--2011 Apr--2011 May--2011 June --2011

FII INFLOW (Rs. IN Cr.)

SEBI FII

FII FLOW TO INDIA AS PER SEBI DATA FOR JAN JULY 2011

JULY 11 FII FUND FLOW 7652.90 CRAUG 11 FII FUND FLOW 10905.50 CRSEP 11 FII FUND FLOW -391 CR

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INFLATION9.8

8.82 8.62 9.128.08

9.418.23

9.549.04 8.66 9.06

0123456789

10 9.188.28

8.74 8.76 8.537.7 7.47

8.558.06

9.01 8.96 9.13

7.78 7.61

FOOD INFLATION

AUG 2011 WPIINFLATION AT

9.78%

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MARKET SEGMENTS TURNOVER

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

J u n - 1

0

J u l - 1 0

A u g - 1 0

S e p - 1

0

O c t - 1

0

N o v - 1 0

D e c - 1 0

J a n - 1

1

F e b

- 1 1

M a r - 1

1

A p r - 1 1

M a y - 1

1

F&O

0

50000100000150000200000250000300000350000400000

J u n - 1

0

J u l - 1 0

A u g - 1 0

S e p - 1

0

O c t - 1

0

N o v - 1 0

D e c - 1

0

J a n - 1

1

F e b

- 1 1

M a r - 1

1

A p r - 1 1

M a y - 1

1

CAPITAL MARKET

050000

100000150000200000250000300000350000

400000450000

CURRENCY

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Banking Space

South Indian Bank

Federal Bank

Dhanlaxmi Bank

Power Space

Msp Steel & Power Metal Space

Hindalco

Sterlite Industres

SAIL

Tata Steel

Other Space

V Guard

ENIL

Everonn Education

Sobha Developers

NCC

FCH

Recent Recommendations

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COMPANY PROFILES

ENIL LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 266.65

Face Value 1052 Week High/Low 295.80/197

COMPANY SIZE Market Cap 1276.1Equity Capital 47.67

KEY MARKET RATIOS Industry PE 20.34PE 24.37Book Value 80.49

Latest EPS 10.95P/BV 3.32

SHARE HOLDING PATTERN Promoter 71.15FII 16.07General Public 6.25Others 6.53

EVERONN LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 538

Face Value 1052 Week High/Low 723.90/438.65

COMPANY SIZE

Market Cap 1026.66Equity Capital 19.03


Latest EPS 38.84P/BV 1.95SHARE HOLDING PATTERN

Promoter 42.67FII 28.62General Public 57.33Others 23.36

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SIB LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 24.25


COMPANY SIZE Market Cap 2741Equity Capital 113.01



SHARE HOLDING PATTERN Promoter -FII 36.20General Public 41.48Others 22.32

NCC LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 83.50


COMPANY SIZE Market Cap 2138.63Equity Capital 51.32


Latest EPS 6.37P/BV .93


COMPANY PROFILES

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SOBHA DEVELOPERS LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 285.50


COMPANY SIZE





FCH LTP (as on 06-7-2011) 140.35

Face Value 1052 Week High/Low 199/127.50

COMPANY SIZE


KEY MARKET RATIOS Industry PE 15.85PE 16.42Book Value 123.70Latest EPS 8.53P/BV 1.13


COMPANY PROFILES

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COVERED CALL STRATEGIES

FOR APRILBUY LIC HOUSING FUTURES....CMP 220/-......& SELL LIC HOUSING 220 CALL OPTION @ 8/50-........MAXIMUM PRFT...10000/-.....BREAK EVEN 212/-.......MARGIN REQUIRED 85000/-......ANNUALISED RETURN 140%......

FOR MAYBUY TATA STEEL FUT @ 583/-....& SELL 560 CALL OPTIONS @ 33/-.....MARGIN REQUIREDRs.60000/-.....BREAKEVEN POINT....550/-....MAXIMUM PRFT 5000/-.....ANNUALIZED RETURN100%....

FOR JUNEBUY PETRONET FUTURES...@ 138/-.....& SELL 140 CALL @ 3/75...4/-.......MARGIN REQUIRED80000/-......BREAKEVEN....134/-.......MAXIMUM PROFIT...12000/-......ANNUALIZEDRETRUN....160%

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FOR JULY

BUY PETRONET JULY FUTURES @ 141/-.....& SELL 140 JULY CALL @ 5/-.....MARGINREQUIRED ...70000/-....MAXIMUM PRFT 8000/-......BREAKEVEN POINT..137/-......ANNUALISED RETURN 125%

BUY BHARTI AIRTEL JULY FUTURES...@403/-403/50......& SELL 400 CALL OPTIONS @

14/50..14/75.....MARGING REQUIRED 1 LAKH..........MAXIMUM PRFT 11000/-........BREAKEVEN POINT 388/50........ANNUALIZED RETURN @ 110%

BUY SBI JULY FUTURES 2485/-.......& SELL 2500 CALL @ 60/-.......MARGIN REQUIRED80000/-........MAXIMUM PRFT RS.9375/-......BREAK EVEN POINT 2425/-......ANNUALIZEDRETRUN 120%

FOR NEXT 3 MONTHS (GIVEN ON JUNE)

BUY IDEA FUTURES @ 70.50......AND SELL IDEA 70 CALL OPTION..2.50.....MARGINGREQUIRED 70000/-....BREAKEVEN POINT 68/-.....MAXIMUM PRFT 8000/-....ANNUALISEDRETURN...140%

COVERED CALL STRATEGIES

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oct 05-2011

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