nxp 2012 analyst day final
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researchTRANSCRIPT
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ZNXP SemiconductorsAnalyst Day 2012
New York | September 13, 2012
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Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statement
This document has been prepared by NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXP) solely for informational purposes. The presentation includes the following slides, the oral presentation of the slides by NXP or any person on its behalf, any question-and-answer session that follows the oral
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Disclaimer and Forward Looking Statement - cont In addition to providing financial information on a basis consistent with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), the Presentation
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This presentation includes forward-looking statements which include statements regarding our business strategy, financial condition, results of operations, and market data, as well as any other statements which are not historical facts. By their nature, forward- looking statements are
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These factors, risks and uncertainties include the following: market demand and semiconductor industry conditions, our ability to successfully
introduce new technologies and products, the demand for the goods into which our products are incorporated, our ability to generate sufficient
cash, raise sufficient capital or refinance our debt at or before maturity to meet both our debt service and research and development and capital
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customers equipment and products, our ability to successfully establish a brand identity, our ability to successfully hire and retain key management and senior product architects; and, our ability to maintain good relationships with our suppliers. In addition, this presentation
contains information concerning the semiconductor industry and our business segments generally, which is forward-looking in nature and is
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We have based these assumptions on information currently available to us, if any one or more of these assumptions turn out to be
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uncertainties, please refer to the risk factors listed in our SEC filings. Copies of our filings are available from our Investor Relations department or
from the SEC website, www.sec.gov.
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Agenda
Begin End Presenter
8:05 8:20 Introduction Rick Clemmer, Chief Executive Officer
8:20 8:50 Automotive Kurt Sievers, EVP and General Manager
8:50 9:05 Automotive Q & A
9:05 9:25 Infrastructure & Industrial Alexander Everke, EVP and General Manager
9:25 9:35 Infrastructure & Industrial Q & A
9:35 9:50 Break
9:50 10:20 Portable & Computing Dave French, EVP and General Manager
10:20 10:35 Portable & Computing Q & A
10:35 11:05 Identification Ruediger Stroh, EVP and General Manager
11:05 11:20 Identification Q & A
11:20 11:50 Financial Update Peter Kelly. Chief Financial Officer
11:50 12:05 Financial Q & A
12:05 12:15 Close Rick Clemmer, Chief Executive Officer
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ZNXP Semiconductors
Rick ClemmerChief Executive Officer
-
Strategy Review
Lessons Learned
Key Achievements
Overview
-
Leverage unique HPMS capabilities to power new product engine
Margin expansion into long-term model
Focused on high growth application segments fueled by key mega-trends
Multiple growth drivers across a range of target applications
Capital structure de-leveraging
Business Strategy
Above-market
Sales Growth
Unparalleled
Earnings Leverage
1
2
3
4
5
-
Key Mega-Trends (>$1,100 billion spend1)
Highest Growth Segments in 8 Priority Application Areas
Application-optimized analog and digital solutions that help our customers totruly differentiate their products in terms of features, cost and time to market
8
Energy
Efficiency
Connected
DevicesSecurity
Focused on Growth from Key Mega Trends
Health
Automotive IdentificationWireless
InfrastructureIndustrial MobileLighting ComputingConsumer
1. Represents estimated market size of the sectors shown
High-Performance Mixed-Signal Solutions
require
to address
-
Product Engine Tuned to HPMS Capabilities
Source: Patent data from annual filings and company websites
Note: Total non-GAAP R&D expenses associated with HPMS segment.
Leading RF,
Mixed-Signal and
Power Design Skills
Deep Systems
Applications
Expertise
Deep IP
Portfolio
HPMS R&D Investment($M)1
Broad Product
Portfolio Across
System Functions
Differentiated Processes
Technology + World-class
Manufacturing Assets
389 533
2009 2011
900
1,100
2,253
3,858
11,000
35,000
MXIM
LLTC
MCHP
ADI
NXP
TXN
WW Patent Awards
-
Broad and diverse customer base
High barriers to entry
Sticky customer relationships
Long product life cycles
Greater price stability
Sustainable and higher margins
Large, Fast Growing
HPMS SAM Estimated to Grow 7% 5-yr CAGR
Approximately 250300bps Faster than Overall
Semiconductor Market1
($ in
M)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2010 2011 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
7%
Continued Focus on the HPMS Market
and is Attractive Due to
HPMS SAM
1. Based on NXP internal research and analysis of the serviceable and addressable market (SAM)
-
Lessons Learned
Product Investments CFL Lighting Driver - rare earth cost and LED pricing closed opportunity
DAC Investment would not have yielded acceptable return or share
Gross margin expansion slower than anticipated model still valid
Operating margin expansion should accelerate faster
Not immune from macro influence
Margin Expansion
Cyclicality
-
$3.7 $3.7 $3.8 $3.8 $3.0 $3.1 $3.0 $3.0 $2.9
0x1x2x3x4x5x
3QCY2010 1QCY2011 3QCY2011 1QCY2012 3QCY2012E
0.00
0.40
0.80
1.20
1.60
3QCY2010 1QCY2011 3QCY2011 1QCY2012 3QCY2012E
1.5x
~$575M
Key Achievements
1. Based on NXP internal design win tracking database, all values assume a 3-year lifecycle
2. Based on normalized NXP revenue growth, versus normalized, market-capitalization weighted index of HPMS Peers
3. Data for 3Q12 based on First Call estimates
Increased Product Traction1
Delivered Faster Growth2,3
Reduced Leverage
Cumulative and Approved Design-win Award
NXPI - HPMS HPMS Peer
Net Debt ($B) Net Debt/TTM adj. EBITDA
2.9x
4.9x
0x
10x
20x
30x
3QCY2010 1QCY2011 3QCY2011 1QCY2012 3QCY2012E
-
#3 - Focused
Contender
11%
#2 - Competitive
22%
#1 - Market
Leader
50%
Emerging
Player
17%Automotive
~ Flat Y-Y
Identification
+19% Y-Y
Infrastructure
& Industrial
(3%) Y-Y
Portable &
Computing
(4%) Y-Y
Standard Products
9% Y-Y
2011 Product Segment Contribution ($M) and 2011 Product Line Position1
Competitive HPMS and Standard
Product Franchises
1. Based on NXP internal research and analysis of the serviceable and addressable market (SAM)
-
Z
-
Kurt Sievers Executive Vice President & General Manager
Automotive Business Unit
Automotive
-
NXP Connects the Car
Car to Car, Car to Infrastructure, Car to Portable, Inside the Car
NFC
LF, UHF
802.11p
NFC
802.11p
Ethernet
ISDB-T
Cellular
-
Automotive Market Opportunities
Car EntertainmentIn-Vehicle
NetworkingCar Access
Magnetic
Sensors
Emerging
Market Size1
Market Growth Rate2
Market Share3
NXP Rank4
RMS5
Key Products
$1.2B
6%
35%
#1
1.5
$0.5B
6%
52%
#1
2.3
$0.4B
6%
41%
#1
2.6
$0.8B
5%
12%
#3
0.4
$0.2B
40%
0%
N/A
N/A
Key Competitors STM TXN
SLAB
IFX
ATML
TXN
TXN
ATML
IFX
Allegro
MELE
LLTC
TXN
Key Customers
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research of applicable peers for 2011; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015;(3) Market share based on NXP CMI internal research versus applicable peers for 2011; (4) NXP rank 2011; (5) Relative Market Share 2011
Core
Business
Tuners
DSPs
Audio Amps
CAN/LIN
FlexRay
Ethernet
Immobilization
Keyless Entry/Go
SmartKey
ABS Sensors
Angular Sensors
Temp. Sensors
LED Drivers
Intelligent Traffic Management
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1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
2012 2013 2014 2015
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 2013 2014 2015
419
460
210
249
190 213
323344
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2012 2013 2014 2015
$/c
ar
Semiconductors to Outgrow Car Market
Global Car Production(CAGR 2012 2015: 3%)
Source: IHS Automotive July 2012, Strategy Analytics July 2012, NXP estimates
Average Semi Content Per Car ($)
Mill
Un
its
Europe 2% China 7% N. America 2%
Japan -3% ROW 5%
Light Vehicle
Production [MU]
Automotive
TAM [M$]
Automotive SAM [M$]
Semi TAM to Outgrow Car Production
Mature Regions China ROW WW Average
Ind
exed
to
1 f
or
20
11
-
0500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
2011 TAM $23B
NXP is clear leader in selected MixedSignal segments
Strategy: SAM expansion through innovationand add select emerging business
Sharp Focus on Selected Segments
Source: Strategy Analytics, April 2012
Power 23%
Discrete 3%
Memory 5%
C 28%
Non-Power Analog
Mixed Signal 24%
Sensors
13%
Automotive BU Focus SAM 6.5% 3-Yr CAGR
Car Entertainment Sensors IVN
Car Access SSL
SA
M [
M$
]
Opto 4%
-
Mega Trends Shaping Automotive
Energy Efficiency Government regulations
Electrification of Drive-Train
Replacement of mechanics by smart electronics
Connected Devices Safety
Entertainment & convenience
Intelligent traffic management
Security
Hacking prevention for connected cars
Theft prevention
Counterfeit part detection
-
Safety Entertainment
Assisted driving
Collision avoidance
eCall & roadsideassist
Traffic Management
Seamless media
Digital radio
Multi-channel sound
Hands free calls
New mobility
- Car sharing
- eCar management
Road pricing
Remote car management
Passive keyless entry / go
Personalization
Trends Driving the Connected Car
Convenience
-
Driving Growth in Automotive Connect the Car
#1 Car Entertainment
#1 Car Access
#1 In-Vehicle Networking
#3 Magnetic Sensors
Core
SW Defined Digital Radio
Class-D Amplifiers
Passive Keyless Entry/Go
Smart Key
FlexRay & Ethernet
Partial Networking
LED Drivers
Intelligent Traffic Mgmt
Growth
Expand SAM in Core
and Add Select
Emerging Business
Maximize Share
-
Car Access
Immobilizer
Remote Keyless Entry
Passive Keyless Entry/Go
2 Way RF
Smart-Key
SA
M/C
ar
Time
Emerging Business
Telematics
LED Lighting
Car-2-X
Time
SA
M/C
arIn-Vehicle Networking
CAN/LIN
Partial Networking
Isolation
SA
M/C
ar
Time
FlexRay
Ethernet
Car Entertainment
SA
M/C
ar
AM/FM
ClassAB
RFCMOS 1-Chip (DSP & Tuner)
Class-D
Software Defined
Digital Radio
Time
SAM Expansion & Addition of Select Emerging Business
-
Software Defined
Digital Radio
#1 in Car Entertainment Growth Strategy
Designed-In at 19 of Top 20 Tier-1
Expand #1 in AM/FM & Digital Radio- Fully integrated 1-Chip
Expand SAM in fast growthDigital Radio & TV
- Software Defined Radio
Conversion Class-AB Class-D
AM/FM &
Basic Audio
Sound
System/
Adv.
Audio
Digital
Radio
System Value:
$69 /Car
System Value:
$1325 /Car
AM/FM
Car Entertainment
SA
M/C
ar
AM/FM
ClassAB
RFCMOS 1-Chip (DSP & Tuner)
Class-D
Time
-
SAF775x Industry 1st Analog/Digital Radio One-Chip
HD Radio, DAB, DRM
Software-defined multi-standard
In mass production
Radio/audio processing and AM/FM/DAB tuners
Release early 2013
Designed-in at several leading OEMs and Tier-1s
SAF35xx Industry 1st GlobalAutomotive Digital Radio
#1 in Car Entertainment Leadership Products
Surround Sound
AcousticNoise Cancel
-
#1 in Car Access Growth Strategy
Designed-In at almost all OEMs
Expand #1 in classic keys
- Fully scalable system solutions
Expand SAM with fast growth convenience functions
- Passive keyless entry/go
- 2-way long range keys
- NFC enabled keys
incl. 2-way RF~$10-13/car
Classic Key
RKE
Passive Keyless
Entry/Go
PKE 2-way RF
~$7/car$5/carSystem Value:
2-3x
1x
2 x
1x
Car Access
Immobilizer
Remote Keyless Entry
Passive Keyless Entry/Go
2 Way RF
Smart-Key
SA
M/C
ar
Time
-
NCF2960 Industrys Smallest One-Chip Car-Key
2-way communication
Multi channel simultaneous low power reception
Volume ramp 2013 Japanese car maker
Immobilizer, keyless entry, AES security, 16bit MCU
Full one-chip integration
Volume ramp in 2013 with leading EU car maker
NCF2983 Multi Channel 2-way RF Transceiver
#1 in Car Access Leadership Products
-
010
20
30
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
#1 in In-Vehicle Networking Growth Strategy
On average, every new car
contains 8 NXP IVN-chips
Total Market [Nodes/ Car]
NXP #1
NXP #1
NXP #1
20 kbit/s
1 Mbit/s
10 Mbit/s
100 Mbit/s
Body
Drivetrain
Chassis
Infotainment
Camera
Emerging
Drive share and value in CAN/LIN
Lead emerging FlexRay- BMW, Audi, VW, Daimler
Seed ethernet OPEN Alliance
In-Vehicle Networking
CAN/LIN
Partial Networking
Isolation
SA
M/C
ar
Time
FlexRay
Ethernet
-
Emerging Business
- Secure location based service
- Designed In at leading OEMs
- >1500 cars in field trials globally
Telematics Car-2-X Communication
- Secure software defined radio
- 1st SoP at OEMs 2015/16
- >2500 cars in trials with leading OEMs
Emerging Business
Telematics
LED Lighting
Car-2-X
Time
SA
M/C
ar Automotive LED lighting
- 1-channel driver for bulb
replacement (Launch Q1 2013)
- Multi-channel drivers for
complete LED front-lighting module
- Design win with top global Tier1
-
Automotive Sustainable Competitive Advantage
Leading, in-house Mixed-Signal
- High voltage/temperature
World class RF-CMOS
- High integration/
low power
NXP connects the car
- Car entertainment
- Car access
- In-vehicle networks
- Telematics & Car-2-X
Unique application & system expertise
Automotive quality & customer service
Global supply-chain
Competent, motivated and engaged workforce
TrustedPartnerTechnology Solutions
NXP Connects the Car
-
Q&A
-
Z
-
ZAlexander EverkeExecutive Vice President & General Manager
Infrastructure & Industrial Business Unit
Infrastructure & Industrial
-
Leading RF and Power Process Technology
and System Know-How
SiGe:C BiCMOS
System
Know-How
Product
Businesses
Proprietary
Process
Technologies
Supply chain:
In-house 8 Fabsand Back-end
SSMC Singapore (JV TSMC) ICN8, Nijmegen, NL
0.18 0.8 m0.14 0.25 m
Back-end: APP,
APB, APK
LDMOS
7/8High Voltage SOI
RF Front-End AC-DC Power Conversion
RF
Power
Amp
RF
Small
Signal
RF
Trans-
ceiver
Power
Adaptors
Lighting
Drivers
Base Station Broadcast Broadband Power Adaptor Lighting
-
Infrastructure & Industrial Market Opportunities
Power Amplifier
Small Signal
Power Adapters
Lighting Drivers
Market Size1
Market Growth Rate2
Market Share3
NXP Rank4
Key Products
$0.93B
4%
23%
#2
BST PA &
MMIC
Broadcast PA
A&D PA
$1.10B
6%
11%
#3
LNA, VGA
BST ICs
Building
blocks
$0.62B
5%
8%
#4
AC/DC
Controllers
AC/DC
Regulators
$0.18B
19%
16%
#1
TL/HID drivers
CFL drivers
LED drivers
$1.35B
14%
3%
N/A
Smart Audio
Amplifier
Healthcare
Low power RF
IPCAM
Key Competitors FSL
IFX
ADI
TXN
SWKS
HITT
ONNN
STM
FCS
POWI
POWI
iWatt
TXN
FCS
TXN
WLF
SLAB
STM
Key Customers
Core
Emerging
Business
High Performance RF Power & Lighting SolutionsRF
Transceivers
$0.51B
2%
24%
#1
Silicon Tuners
MXL
SLAB
RDA
Mature Emerging
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research of applicable peers for 2011; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015;(3) Market share based on NXP CMI internal research versus applicable peers for 2011; (4) NXP rank based on NXP CMI research in 2011
-
Mega Trends Shaping Infrastructure & Industrial
Energy Efficiency
Increasing cost of energy and
CO2 footprint regulations
GreenChipTM power adaptors
LED general lighting
Remote energy management
Connected Devices
10-fold growth in mobile data
traffic 2012-15, Internet of Things
3G/4G base station RF ICs
Mobile WLAN LNAs
Smart Lighting / Internet of Things
Health
Aging population and increasing
health care cost
Wireless hearing aids / implantables
Wireless compliance monitoring
Key Opportunities
-
HPRF Strategy to Outgrow the Market1,2
Key Growth Drivers
0.47 0.50 0.47 0.50 0.53 0.56
0.39 0.42 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.42
1.13 1.10 1.07 1.08 1.11
1.15
2010 '11 '12 '13 '14 2015
6%
RF PA
Microwave/
Broadband
RF PA
Base Station
RF Small
Signal
5%
2%
1.98 2.031.91
1.982.05
2.13
RF PA: Capitalize on leading market share in
3G/4G base stations
RF SS: Attack adjacent GaAs market with our
next generation SiGe
Capture multimarket opportunities through
specialty distributors
Total 4%
CAGR
12-15
HPRF Market Grows at 4% CAGR
$ Million
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015
-
0100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 '11 '12 '13 '14 2015
RF PA: Capitalize on Leading Market Share in
3G/4G Base Stations
2G
3G
4G
NXP MS ~15%
NXP MS ~40%+
NXP MS 50%+
Non-2G market CAGR 15% for
201215
40 /50%+ Design-Win share in new
3G/4G platforms
2.5X market share growth 2008-
2011, and
continuing
RF Power Market for Base Stations ($M)
Source: Market size based on NXP CMI internal research of applicable peers for 2011
-
RF SS: Attack Adjacent GaAs Market with our
Next Generation SiGe
SiGe intrinsically lower cost than GaAs (4-8x)
8 vs. 4/6, substrate cost, integration
RF performance SiGe now as good as GaAs
First target 0.6B$ of 2.6B$ fragmented GaAs market
Base stations, WLAN/GPS LNAs
HPRF Process Technology Landscape
Low
Mediu
mH
igh
Very
hig
h
2 5 10 30
LDMOS GaN
GaAs
RF-CMOS65/45/32 nm
SiGe:C BiCMOS
BiCMOS
Handset
applications
Consumer Satellite/
Auto applications
Comms
infra apps
Military & /Aero
Source: Strategy Analytics
Pe
rfo
rma
nce
/Outp
utP
ow
er
Frequency(GHz)
-
Mobile Devices and Wireless Infrastructure
Provide Leverage into Adjacent Markets
Industrial
Scientific
Medical
Aerospace
& Defense
Wireless Infra
Mobile
Discretes Portable LNAs Range Extenders
LNAs VGAs VCOs Mixers Modulators Power Transistors MMICs
Multi-Market Portfolio
Shaper applications
Re-use
RF Small Signal RF Power Amplifiers
RF Small Signal
-
Power Adaptors Growth Mainly Driven by New Low-Power Charger Business1,2
167 178 184 198 207220
201242
275314
356386
200182
162144
130112
2010 '11 '12 '13 '14 2015
CAGR
12-15
(12%)
Low Power
Medium / High
Power
High-Power
(Not Addressed)
12%
5%
$ Million
Addressed Power Adapter Market CAGR 10%
612615
641668
701748 Total
Key Growth Drivers
Maintain/grow#1 position in
high/medium
power controllers
Establish new position in low-
power chargers
5%
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015
-
Maintain/Grow #1 Position in High/Medium Power
Controllers Based on Two Key Differentiators
Lowest total system cost
Lowest switch losses in lateral process
High-temperature reliability and ease of
design
Ruggedness thanks to full oxide
isolation
Process Technology: High-Voltage SOI
advantages vs. foundry HV BCD
System Architecture: GreenChipTM
delivers leading efficiency & cost
Power efficiency up to 94%
Power density up to 20W/inch3 Enables small form factors
Minimal stand-by power
Dimming capability in
lighting applications
Also leveraging these differentiators into
low-power adaptors and LED drivers
-
Po
we
r ef
fici
en
cy
Load (mW)
Leading power efficiency
at all load levels100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Industry Benchmark
Estimated NXP revenue
mix 2012-15
Establish New Position in Low-Power Chargers
Highest level of
BoM integration &
small form factor
Mid/HighPower
LowPower
The most innovative platform
coming out of NXP
Power yet
96%
59%
4%
41%
2012 2015
-
40
20
105
4 3.5
60
40
20
107
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
LED General Lighting Penetration Increasing Steeply
General lighting fastest growing opportunity for high-brightness
LED drivers
Regulation on energy conservation and CO2 abatement driving
adoption
Next is steep cost reductions for LED bulbs (~30% per year) versus
CFL
Source: McKinsey Lighting the Way (2012), NXP CMI Research
LED Bulb Retail Price ($)
LED Penetration % Per Application
47
77
92
7
15
35
12
13
17
0
20
40
60
80
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
60W LED
Backlighting
General Lighting
Auto Lighting
40W LED
100W CFL
-
General Lighting Growth Strategy1,2
28 26 27 30 35 41
72 8294 91 90
88
4774
120171
218
275
2010 '11 '12 '13 '14 2015
146
183
241
292
343
404
CAGR
12-15
32%LED
Conv. (2%)
CFL 14%
Lighting Driver Market Grows at 19% CAGR
$ Million
Key Growth Drivers
Grow #1 position in LED with lowest cost solutions
Leverage Strong Customer Base in Conventional Lighting
(15 year heritage)
Lead creation of Smart Lighting category
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015
-
BottomTop
70% BoM Part-count Reduction for Dimmable Controls Possible Due to Proprietary SOI Process
Current isolated BoM
54 Pieces
Top Bottom
Non-isolated BoM
41 Pieces
BottomTop
LED direct to
Mains BoM
15 Pieces
>3x reduction
Grow #1 Position in LED with Lowest Cost Solutions
-
Lead Creation of Smart Lighting Category
Smart LED Lighting = Potential for 25% Home Energy Savings
Very Attractive User Experience = Convenience, Safety, Ease of
Installation
Large Semiconductor Opportunity (>12B bulbs sold per year)
Smart Lighting is cornerstone of broader Internet-of-Things strategy
-
Strong Growth Opportunity in Our Core Business
and More to Come
High Performance RF: Grow Market Share Highest design-win share in fastest growing LTE market
Expanding SS RF serviceable market by attacking GaAs market with SiGe
Selling our base station and mobile portfolio into adjacent markets
Power & Lighting: Win in High Growth Market Segments Leverage technology and expertise to capture high growth low-power
adaptor market
Expand leadership in LED drivers in general lighting
Shape emerging smart lighting application
Emerging Businesses: Capture New Growth Opportunities in Mobile Audio, Healthcare and Internet of Things
-
Q&A
-
Z Break
-
ZThis Evenings Agenda
Departure: 8:00 PM
Oktoberfest MnchenDave FrenchExecutive Vice President
Portable & Computing Business Unit
Portable & Computing
-
ZThank Youwww.nxp.com
We are in the intelligent, connected device business
Enabling the rapid creation of programmable systems
NXP is the trusted partner in high performance,
embedded MCUs and Interconnected ICs from broad
market success to focused solutions in mobile
-
Portable & Computing Market Opportunities
Market Size1
Market Growth Rate2
Market Share3
NXP Rank4
Key Products
Key Competitors
Key Customers
Interface Products MCU Logic
$2.1B
4%
11%
#1
I2C, Multiprotocol
Auto Display Drivers
Display Port
Thunderbolt
GPIO
UART
Level Shifters
$3B
4%
7%
#11
MCU
Industrial Control
Building Automation
Consumer
$1.5B
2%
22%
#1 Volume, Auto,
Mobile
Voltage Translators
Data Mux
Logic Gates
$5B
10%
0%
N/A
Smart Power
High Speed Smart Switches
Connector Hub
Sensor Hub
TXN
ADI
STM
STM
FSL
Renesas
TXN
ON
TXN
STM
MXIM
Mobility
EmergingCore
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research of applicable peers for 2011; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015;(3) Market share based on NXP CMI internal research versus applicable peers for 2011; (4) NXP rank based on NXP CMI research in 2011
-
54
Energy Efficiency Embedded MCU optimizing power usage
Integrating connector data/power
Connected Devices Multiple protocols, multispeed interfaces
Elegant connectors, easy plug and play
Security Device identity based power/data switching
Secure interfaces
Medical Intelligent, diagnostics devices
Easy to connect, home medical devices
Mega Trends Driving Portable & Computing
-
2000 2005 2010 2015
PCs
Smartphones/
Gaming
Consoles
Consumer
Electronics
Car
Industrials
Source: WSTS (extrapolated after 2011), Cisco, Machina Research / GSMA
Note: connected devices = Connections to remote sensing, monitoring and actuating devices, together with associated aggregation devices
Internet of Things Drives Connectivity Standards
Number of Connected
Devices (B Units)
2020
Internet of Things
Connections
Early
2000s
2011
~35%
PC
Mo
bile
Th
ings
~30%
~10%
~10%
~5%
~10%
2020
Consumer
Electronics
Buildings
Utilities/
Energy
Automotive
Healthcare
Other
~1
912
2550
-
Portable/Mobile
Low Power
Computing/Industrial Mobile Convergence
Intelligent Device Capabilities Converge in Mobile
Same connectivity used
in phones & PCs
- Interfaces: USB, I2C, SD, HDMI
- Legacy IO support issue in PC &
phone
PC becomes mobile, phones
become full PCs
- Tablet & Ultra books for PC mobility
- Docking for full PC experience of phone
Smaller Chipset
22nm
Higher
Integration
Energy
Saving
Data Rate Increase
825Gbps
Smaller Chipset
28nm
More
LED
More
SensorsSmall &
Low Power
Higher
Integration
-
Portable & Computing Three Product Lines
Core: White Goods, industrial, CE
Growth: Mobility, secure processing
32-bit ARM; rich analog I/O portfolio
Core: Automotive, PC, CE
Growth: Mobility
Mobile leadership; proprietary mixed
voltage processes
Core:I2C, USB, Thunderbolt,
PC market
Growth: Mobility, high speed switches
Low power, >20GHz mixed data/power
InterfaceProducts
MCULogic
-
Reference year % of Sales: 2011
Broad Core Business with Emerging Growth in Mobile
2011 Revenue Total: $660M
Automotive $61M
Consumer $204M
Industrial $196M
Electronic Mkt Serv $48M
Computing $70M
Communication $81M
Automotive
9%
Consumer
31%Industrial
30%
Electronic
Mkt Serv
7%
Computing
11%
Communication
12%
-
NXP Logic #1 in units worldwide.
#1 and fastest growth in Mobility
NXP Logic #1 in Automotive establishing
automotive class quality
Market Share in Volume (B units) Market Share in Value ($B)
NXP shipped 5.2 B units in 2011
7th year of continuous market share gains
as of 2011
15%
20%
25%
30%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0.19 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.19 0.27 0.27
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20011
WW GPL WW NXP GPL NXP Unit Share (%) WW GPL WW NXP GPL NXP Revenue Share (%)
17%
29%
13%
19%
Logic Products: Customer Engagement Foundation1
Source:
(1) WSTS Global Semiconductor June 2012 and NXP CMI internal research
-
Interface Market (SAM $M)
Interface Products Show Analog Business Model1,2
High Speed Interface System Management CWG
Interface Market (CAGR)
High Speed Interface (HIS) 8%
System Management (SM) 4%
Clocks, Watches, Graphics (CWG) 3%
HSI (High Speed Interface)
High-speed analog switches: multi-protocol
SM (System Management)
I2C enabled ASSP (GPIO, temp sensors,
LED controllers)
CWG (Clocks, Watches, Graphics)
LCD segment drivers; real time clocks
Precision circuits
754
446
956
701
428
900
711
455
929
722
502
975
749
543
1006
777
586
1037
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015
-
Thunderbolt Switches
Speed20 Gbps
Pre-2008
Differentiation Supporting Diverse Base of Protocols
2009 2010 2011 2012
PCIe Switches
DisplayPort Switches & Adapters
2013 2014
10 Gbps
5 Gbps
2015
mSATA, USB Switches,
USB3 Redrivers
-
Long Product Life in Fragmented Interface Segment
Speed
5 Gbps
10 Gbps
20 Gbps
Data, Video, Power
over one connector
20G+
3.4G
5G
5.4G
2.7G
10G
Pre-2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
8G
-
-200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11
2012 (ytd) Total MCU Market $6.07B - 6.6% vs. $6.5B (11)
2012 (ytd) 8-bit MCU Market $1.62B - 14.2% 26.7% of Total; Units: - 7.0%
2012 (ytd) 32-bit MCU Market $2.85B + 0.7% 46.9% of Total; Units: + 23%
MCU Market Transition to 32bit ARM Solutions
8-bit 16-bit 32-bit MCU
MOS MCU Market Monthly Sales ($B)1
Source: 1. WSTS Global Semiconductor June 2012
-
32-bit, Multicore Architectures
2011 TAM: $16B
NXP Positioned for Growth in 32bit ARM
8-bit/16-bit Architectures
ARM Open
Ecosystem
Propriety Core &
Closed Ecosystem
-
Differentiating Leading Cores with Diverse I/O
8/16-bit Mass Market Replacement
Scalable base platforms: Cortex-M0
Low active current @ 100 uAmp/MHz
Connectivity: USB, CAN
Low-pin-count packages
Integrated EEPROM
Port
folio
Time
Building Automation
Time
Port
folio
Portable
Form factor (WLCSP, TFBGA)
USB-Audio Streaming
1.8V supply voltage
Port
folio
Time
Low-cost USB
Scalable base platforms: Cortex-M0, M3
Industrial Control
Port
folio
Configurable timer system
Time
LCD Graphics control
Connectivity: USB, Ethernet, CAN
Scalable base platforms: Cortex-M0, M3, M4
Analog sub-system
Scalable base platforms: Cortex-M0, M3, M4
Low active current @ 100 uAmp/MHz
Connectivity: Ethernet, USB, CAN
Digital signal processing
LCD Graphics
-
SPI
I2C
Sensor Hub System
LPC1100LV
1.8V Cortex-M0 MCU, CSP
LPC11U00
128KB Flash CM0 MCU, CSP
Cortex-A
Application
Processor
For Mobile
SPI
I2C
SPI
I2C
SPI
I2C
SPI
I2C
or
Energy Efficiency Demands Distributed Controllers
X86
CPU for
Industrial/
Computing
TempSensor
IR Sensor
Gyro
AcceleroMeter
MagnetoSensor
External Input
External Input
External Input
External Input
External Input
I2C
USB
or SPI
-
NXP MCU Applications in Smart Phones & Tablets
Haptics
- Partner with Haptics vendors
- MCU drives PWM for voltage control
Touchscreen
- Digital MCU for touchscreen algorithm
- CSP package option, SPI and I2C interface
- Full-speed USB option with LPM mode
Sensor Hub
- Digital processing for analog sensor
and MEMS in a smartphone or tablet
- Reduces A/P load and system power
Auto Focus
- Partner with camera module vendors
- Actuation control for image
stabilization in camera modules
-
Portable & Computing Sustainable Competitive Advantage
Multicore, rich connectivity
Moving towards ASSP
Ultra efficient power management for
distributed controllers
Analog business model
>20GHz switching performance
Low power data/power designs
#1 volume; deep portfolio supplier
Foundation for relationships
Automotive quality
Mobile leadership
InterfaceProducts
MCULogic
-
Q&A
-
Z
-
ZRuediger StrohExecutive Vice President & General Manager
Identification Business Unit
Identification
-
NXP is in the trust business
enabling convenience & security
in an increasingly networked world
Authenticating Identities
Securing Transactions
-
EmergingCore
Identification Market Opportunities
Market Size1
Market Growth Rate2
Market Share3
NXP Rank4
Key Products
Key Customers
End to end system solutions
Secure Microcontrollers for Contact & Contactless applications
Secure software
Packaging & antenna solutions
Mobile Transactions (excl. Bulk-
SIM), Authentication
eGovernment, Payment, Smart
Mobility, Tagging, Infrastructure
End to end system solutions
NFC Radio and Secure Elements for embedded, SWP-SIM and microSD
Secure software
Packaging & antenna solutions
$1.47B
12%
44%
#1
$0.36B
37%
12%
#1 in Mobile, entering Authentication
Key Competitors IFX SSG STM
Renesas BRCM INSD
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research of applicable peers for 2011; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015;(3) Market share based on NXP CMI internal research versus applicable peers for 2011; (4) NXP rank based on NXP CMI research in 2011
-
-500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Identification is a Growth Market1,2E
me
rgin
gC
ore
Authentication 50%
Mobile 24%
Infrastructure 16%
Tagging 30%
eGov 12%
Pay TV 1%
Banking 10%
Transit 7%
Bulk SIM (-3.0%)
ID Market (M$)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR
15%
Source:
(1) Market size based on NXP CMI internal research; (2) Market growth rate is 3-yr. CAGR based on NXP CMI research for 2012 2015
CAGR
12-15
-
Mega Trends Driving Sustainable Growth
Digitization of Documents Urbanization & Smart Cities
Smart Phone AdoptionBanking System Security
* Assumes 1/4 thick passport stacked
25,600 miles* (>Earth
circumference)
150M1,037M
Source: Schlumberger, Smart Payment Association
Shipments of
EMVco chip cards
China, India, and Brazil in top five for smartphone shipments by 20160.3B
1B+
Sources: Population Reference Bureau, United Nations
in urban centers
67%in urban centers50%
Source: Gartner (Oct 2011)
-
Identification Sustainable Competitive Advantage
ContactlessPerformance
SecurityComplete Solutions
-
Deep Expertise in Security Technology
1000+ Engineers and >700 Related Patents
Hardened SiliconSoftware Resistant
to Fault Injection
Tamper Resistant Circuits
The Security Cube
-
Fastest e-Passport Transaction Time 2x Operating Distance, 1/3 Antenna Size
World-Class Contactless Performance
Source: NXP
4G NFC: NXP PN547
3G NFC: NXP PN544
1G NFC: Competition2x Performance
1/3 Footprint
Operating Distance
Antenna Cost/Footprint
>$0.50Cost Savings
MIFARE is the Industrys Choice90% of Contactless POS Rely on NXP
Source: NXP
Source: NXP
Source: NXP,
www.MIFARE.net
-
NXP = Governments Trusted Partner
China Ministry
of Public Security
Contactless
Intelligence
Smart Card
Middle East
Complete Solutions Deliver Long Term Growth
Over 1B
certified secure
micro controller
delivered to
citizens
Trusted by
86 out of 102
governments
for their
ePassports
90% of the
ecosystem
players have
qualified NXP
solution
-
Emerging Markets Are Our Next Growth Engine
Anti-counterfeiting
Cyber-security
Mobile
-
NFC Enables a Richer and Secure Consumer
Experience with Mobile
Loyalty Mobile Apps
Couponing
PaymentSecure
Element
NFC
Radio
NFC
Tag PresenceBased
Services
-
SE, Trusted Middleware, NFC Radio
driving Optimized Antenna
Host SW
Secure ElementSecure OS
NFC Radio
NFC Antenna
We Secure Complete Mobile Transactions Solutions
-
Computing Add-on
Cloud Computing
Industrial Control
SmartGrid
Anti-Counterfeit and Cyber Security Offer New
Growth Opportunities in Authentication
BenefitBrand Protection Networking Trusted
Contract Manufacturing on NET Critical ServicesMarket Driver
Anti-Cloning Device TrustedNXP Solution
Anti-Counterfeit Cyber Security
Electronic Accessories
High ValueDisposables
-
Global Leader in Authenticating Identities,
Securing Transactions and Convenient Interactions
Mobile Transactions
Anti-Counterfeit
Cyber Security
eGovernment
Banking
Smart Mobility
Core Emerging
-
Q&A
-
Z
-
ZZ
NXP Semiconductors
Peter KellyChief Financial Officer
-
No other changes to original guidance
We anticipate reporting 3Q12 results on October 25, 2012,
before the market opens.
3Q12 Guidance Update
Original
Guidance
Revised
Guidance
Product Revenue 6 12% 8 10%
Total Revenue 4 10% 6 8%
Non-GAAP EPS $0.50 - $0.62 $0.53 - $0.59
-
Performance So Far
Our Financial Model
Our Capital Structure
Overview
-
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Phase I
Phase III
Phase II
Roadmap to Exceptional Earnings
Create Independent Company
- Separate from Philips
- Refocus on HPMS from SoC
-
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Phase I
Phase III
Phase II
Roadmap to Exceptional Earnings
Create Independent Company
- Separate from Philips
- Refocus on HPMS from SoC
Create Profitable Growth
- Restructure NXP
- Reduce debt
- Improve margin
- Lower break-even
- Develop world class team
- IPO
- Invest for product growth
-
2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Phase I
Phase III
Phase II
Roadmap to Exceptional Earnings
Create Independent Company
- Separate from Philips
- Refocus on HPMS from SoC
Create Profitable Growth
- Restructure NXP
- Reduce debt
- Improve margin
- Lower break-even
- Develop world class team
- IPO
- Invest for product growth
Accelerate Profitable Growth
- Consistently outgrow market
- Improved profitability
- Strong free cash flow
- Investment grade capital structure
-
Financial Performance Revenue1
HPMS Revenue
Total Revenue
1. Based on trailing-twelve month revenue. Normalized NXP revenue growth, versus normalized, market-capitalization weighted index of Peers
NXP Total Revenue Normalized Peer
Revenue Growth (right)
NXP Product Revenue
Normalized (right)
NXP HPMS
Revenue
Normalized HPMS
Peer Growth (right)
NXP HPMS Normalized
Growth (right)
$2,598
$2,953 $2,898
1.12
1.000.99
0.6x
0.7x
0.8x
0.9x
1.0x
1.1x
1.2x
3Q09-2Q10 3Q10-2Q11 3Q11-2Q12
$4,255 $4,494 $4,063
1.12
1.001.00
0.6x
0.7x
0.8x
0.9x
1.0x
1.1x
1.2x
3Q09-2Q10 3Q10-2Q11 3Q11-2Q12
-
HPMS Operating Profit
Total Operating Profit
1. Based on trailing twelve month revenue, non-GAAP operating profit and non-GAAP operating margin
HPMS Operating Profit Operating Margin (right)
Total Operating Profit Operating Margin (right)
Financial Performance Operating Profit1
429
674 559
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
3Q09-2Q10 3Q10-2Q11 3Q11-2Q12
Target 24 29%
383
845 703
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
3Q09-2Q10 3Q10-2Q11 3Q11-2Q12
Target 23 28%
-
42%
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
54%
56%
1Q12 2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
Model Performance Gross Margin Next Steps1
HPMS Gross Margin
Total Gross Margin
1. NXP non-GAAP gross margin for 1Q 12 and 2Q 12
50%
52%
54%
56%
58%
60%
62%
64%
1Q12 2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
51.6%
Target 58 -63%
Target 52 56%
53.3%
55%
58%
46.2%
44.3%
>50%
>53%
-
Model Performance Operating Margin Next Steps1
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
1Q12 2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
1Q12 2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
Target 24 29%
Target 23 28%
17.3%
21.9%
25%27%
14.4%
27%25%
18.6%
HPMS Operating Margin
Total Operating Margin
1. NXP non-GAAP operating margin for 1Q 12 and 2Q 12
-
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
Opportunities for Operating Margin Expansion1
18.6%
Target 23 28%
~25%
~27%
1. NXP non-GAAP operating margin for 2Q 12
-
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
Gross Margin Opportunities- Leverage internal cost structures
- Cost redn 3rd party relationships
Gross Margin Headwinds- Mix large mobile design wins- Transition to foundry (Short term)
Operating Expense- Continue to leverage existing base
- Move funding from G&A to R&D
Opportunities for Operating Margin Expansion1
18.6%
Target 23 28%
~25%
~27%
1. NXP non-GAAP operating margin for 2Q 12
-
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
2Q12 Next Step (1) Next Step (2)
Gross Margin Opportunities- Leverage internal cost structures
- Cost redn 3rd party relationships
Gross Margin Headwinds- Mix large mobile design wins- Transition to foundry (Short term)
Operating Expense- Continue to leverage existing base
- Move funding from G&A to R&D
Gross Margin Opportunities
- Design for 3rd party and lever scale
- Value based pricing improvements
- Continue cost reduction
- Monetization of IP portfolio
Opportunities for Operating Margin Expansion1
18.6%
Target 23 28%
~25%
~27%
1. NXP non-GAAP operating margin for 2Q 12
-
Driving Profitable Growth- Growing faster than the market
- Improving our gross margins
- Managing our operating expenses.
Generating Cash- Lower interest expense
- Maintain minimal cash tax expense
- Constrain CAPEX
- Restructuring largely complete
We continue to demonstrate our ability to lever our Operating Margin
but clearly we have more to do
Actions NXP is Focused On
-
Translates to $100 to $200m of Potential Debt
Reduction per Quarter1
TTM June 12 Current
Opportunity
Revenue ($M) 4,063 4,500
Operating Profit 703 900
Operating Margin 17% 20%
Depreciation 271 250
EBITDA 974 1,150
Capex 199 250
Interest 293 240
Working Capital 153 60
Cash taxes 16 50
SSMC Dividend out 39 40
Restructuring 76 50
Cash Flow Available 198 460
Net Debt / TTM EBITDA 3.1x 2.2x
1. NXP non-GAAP financial estimates
-
Translates to $100 to $200m of Potential Debt
Reduction per Quarter1
TTM June 12 Current Grow Revenue
Opportunity
Revenue ($M) 4,063 4,500 5,000
Operating Profit 703 900 1,000
Operating Margin 17% 20% 20%
Depreciation 271 250 250
EBITDA 974 1,150 1,250
Capex 199 250 250
Interest 293 240 240
Working Capital 153 60 120
Cash taxes 16 50 50
SSMC Dividend out 39 40 40
Restructuring 76 50 50
Cash Flow Available 198 460 500
Net Debt / TTM EBITDA 3.1x 2.2x 2.0x
1. NXP non-GAAP financial estimates
-
Translates to $100 to $200m of Potential Debt
Reduction per Quarter1
TTM June 12 Current Grow Revenue Grow Revenue &
Opportunity Grow Margin
Revenue ($M) 4,063 4,500 5,000 5,000
Operating Profit 703 900 1,000 1,250
Operating Margin 17% 20% 20% 25%
Depreciation 271 250 250 250
EBITDA 974 1,150 1,250 1,500
Capex 199 250 250 250
Interest 293 240 240 240
Working Capital 153 60 120 120
Cash taxes 16 50 50 50
SSMC Dividend out 39 40 40 40
Restructuring 76 50 50 50
Cash Flow Available 198 460 500 750
Net Debt / TTM EBITDA 3.1x 2.2x 2.0x
-
Successful Track Record of Focused Cash Usage
- Reduced debt by $1.24B over trailing 24-months
- De-risked entire maturity profile in 4Q11
- Recently retired 2013 Super Priority debt
- Simultaneously restructured and refocused the business
Capital Structure How We Feel About Our Debt1
Gross Debt - End 2010 Gross Debt - End 4Q12
400
1,877
362
920
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
237
616
1,120
922
474
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
1. NXP non-GAAP financial estimates
-
NXP 9.75% Sr. Sec. Notes vs. CS High Yield Index
Debt capital markets overview1,2
NXPs senior secured notes historical performance
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
11.00%
Jul-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Jul-12
NXP 9.75% Sr. Sec. Notes BB Rated B Rated
NXPs 9.75% Secured Notes are trading slightly tighter than the HY BB index
NXP 9.75s YTW
approx. 100bps
higher than B
rated CS HY
index
NXP 9.75s
trading slightly
tighter than the
BB rated CS HY
index
Source:
(1) Credit Suisse; (2) Through September 6, 2012
(1)Sep-12
Jul-10 Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 Jan-12 Mar-12 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12
NXP 9.75s 9.09% 8.53% 7.88% 6.81% 6.85% 6.06% 6.89% 8.56% 7.77% 6.47% 5.70% 5.73% 4.68% 4.44%
BB Rated 6.40% 5.99% 6.14% 5.75% 5.65% 5.47% 5.57% 6.81% 6.42% 5.57% 5.42% 5.87% 5.17% 4.98%
B Rated 8.16% 7.77% 7.78% 6.98% 7.03% 7.12% 7.33% 9.42% 8.83% 7.60% 7.38% 7.88% 7.09% 6.73%
(1)
-
Reduced Debt
EPS Leverage
Top line revenue growth faster than peer group
Double digit earnings momentum
Strong cash flow
Roadmap to Exceptional Earnings1
$1.73 $1.78
TTM '10 TTM '11 Q2 annualized $5B @ 22% OM $5B @ 25% OM $5B @ 27% OM
>$3
~$4
>$4+
1. NXP non-GAAP financial estimates
-
ZZ
Q&A
-
-1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
7,500
$ MM
2,011
NXP HPMS Growth >50% Faster Than Market
>1.5x
Industry Growth
Positioned to Deliver Industry Leading Growth
CORE Product Revenue EMERGING Product Revenue
Internet
of Things
2010
NFC
Cyber
Security
Car 2 - X
HPRF
HPMS
Solutions
AUTO
Healthcare
Mobile
High Speed
Interface
-
ZNXP Semiconductors
Thank You