nws abq weekly weather briefing - national … cold front into the northeast plains where showers...

6/25/2018 2:29 PM www.weather.gov/abq

AlbuquerqueWEATHER FORECAST OFFICE

Weekly Weather BriefingMonday, June 25, 2018

Posted Mondays (or Tuesdays, if holiday) 3-5pm. No routine updates.

Sunday, June 24, 2018Shelf Cloud north of Clayton, NMCourtesy of @eljakeo30

Courtesy of @WxLovinTexanThursday, June 21, 2018West of Roswell, NMCourtesy of @JennyKnobZoe



Weekly Weather Briefing

Station Precipitation

Clayton 0.9 W 0.62”

Clayton 14.6 SSW 0.51”

Folsom 10.5 ENE 0.40”

Mosquero 19.7 SSE 0.24”

Los Alamos 1.4E 0.20”

Des Moines 7.3 ESE 0.17”

Logan 1.5 W 0.08”

CoCoRaHS Observed Rainfall: Past Week



Weekly Weather BriefingSevere Weather: June 21-25



Weekly Weather BriefingABQ: Number of Days with Max Temp >100F

For More Info:https://www.weather.gov/abq/clifeatures_100degrees

Albuquerque Area 100 Degree Facts:

• From 1939 through 2016, only 30 years during this period remained below 100F

• 2017 recorded five 100 degree days (all in June)

• Hottest temperature ever recorded at ABQ Sunport is 107 degrees, set on June 26, 1994

• In 2018, the first 100 degree day occurred on June 22:– The earliest date for 100 degrees or higher in any year

was June 5, 2010

– The highest frequency of 100+ high temperatures occurs between June 21 and July 2.




Upper Level Forecast Chart Valid 6pm MT

Dry Moist

Tonight

Hazards and Potential Impacts

• 10-20% chance of showers/thunderstorms along and east of the central mountain chain; Stray shower or virga with gusty winds possible immediately west of Rio Grande Valley

• Low temperatures near (northwest NM) to 10 degrees above average (southern tier of state)

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS (EAST)





Dry Moist

Tuesday


HOT; ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS (SOUTHEAST)

• Greatest threat for showers/thunderstorms (10-30% chance) will be along and east of the Sacramento Mountains

• As high pressure drifts closer to NM, high temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees warmer compared to Monday





Dry Moist

Wednesday


• Isolated showers/storms possible in Gila/Sacramento Mts

• Wetting precipitation unlikely; Any activity may result in gusty and erratic outflow winds

• Slightly warmer; High temperatures exceeding 100 degrees for several locales across central and southern NM

HOT; ISOLATED LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS (SOUTH)





Dry Moist

Thursday


HOT; ISOLATED LIGHTNING AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS (SOUTH)

• Isolated showers/storms possible in Gila/Sacramento Mts

• Wetting precipitation unlikely; Any activity may result in gusty and erratic outflow winds

• A tad cooler, but high temperatures exceeding 100 degrees for a few locales across central and southern NM





Dry Moist

Friday


ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS (CENTRAL/SOUTH)

• Some moisture will attempt to migrate northward between high pressure to the east and a northern Rockies storm system

• Precipitation chances increase slightly, but widespread wetting rains are not favored at this time

• High temperatures return to seasonal averages over the region




Upper Level Forecast Charts Valid 6pm MT

SATURDAY SUNDAY

Dry Moist Dry Moist

Upcoming Weekend

Limited moisture will remain over southern and eastern NM on Saturday before high pressure rebuilds over the Desert Southwest for Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible, although widespread wetting rainfall does not appear favorable. A cold front may

invade the northeast on Sunday. Temperatures are likely to remain near seasonal averages.



Weekly Weather Briefing8-14 Day Temp/Precipitation Outlook (Climate Prediction Center)

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/






Weekly Weather BriefingWeek At a Glance: Potential Impacts

Hazards and Impacts Color Table

Limited(Common Event)

Minor(Common Event)

Moderate(Uncommon Event)

High(Rare Event)

Extreme(Very Rare Event)

Important: Weather conditions and forecasts can change significantly in a short period of time. Please stay up-to-date at weather.gov/abq.

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY WEEKEND

Isolated Thunderstorms

Hazards (East)

Hot; Isolated Lightning and

Gusty Outflow Winds (South)

Isolated to Scattered

Thunderstorm Hazards

(Central/South)

Hot; Isolated to Scattered

Thunderstorm Hazards (Southeast)

Hot; Isolated Lightning and

Gusty Outflow Winds (South)

Isolated to Scattered

Thunderstorm Hazards

(South/East)



Weekly Weather BriefingBurn Scar Thunderstorm



Weekly Weather BriefingLightning Pop Quiz

Lightning strikes the U.S. about:

A. 540,000 times a year

B. 9.9 million times a year

C. 25 million times a year

D. 1 billion times a year

Lightning is hotter than the surface of the sun and can reach temperatures around:

A. 1,000 degrees Fahrenheit

B. 5,000 degrees Fahrenheit

C. 10,000 degrees Fahrenheit

D. 50,000 degrees Fahrenheit



Weekly Weather BriefingLightning Safety Awareness Week

https://www.weather.gov/safety/lightning



Weekly Weather BriefingResources

Posted Mondays (or Tuesdays, if holiday) 3-5pm. No routine updates.

Stay up to date…weather.gov/abqFacebook @NWSAlbuquerque & #nmwxNOAA Weather RadioFavorite Media Outletmobile.weather.govNMroads.com

AS ALWAYS…

nws abq weekly weather briefing - national … cold front into the northeast plains where showers...

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