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  • Author Date Pages

    Jan Yngvar Olsen 7 May 2014 1 (65)

    Cybercom Group

    Lindhagensgatan 126

    P.O. Box 30154

    SE-104 25 Stockholm

    Sweden

    Tel +46 8 578 646 00

    www.cybercomgroup.com

    [email protected]

    Cybercom reference: SIN-035-14006-01

    7 May 2014

    Prepared by: Jan Yngvar Olsen

    Email: [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]
  • Page 2 (65)

    Page 2 of 65

    Table of contents

    1 Executive Summary ........................................................................................... 4

    1.1 Background............................................................................................................. 4

    1.2 Analysis .................................................................................................................. 4

    1.3 Recommendations .................................................................................................. 5 1.3.1 Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs under MCC 240 ............................................................................ 5 1.3.2 Shared use of MNCs under the Swedish geographic MCC 240 ........................................................ 5 1.3.3 ...................................................................................................... 6 1.3.4 General policies to further safeguard MNC resources ....................................................................... 6

    2 Scope of study.................................................................................................... 7

    3 Standardisation and evolution in the use of MNCs ......................................... 8

    3.1 Structure of IMSI, MNC and MCC ........................................................................... 8

    3.2 Key provisions of the standards and specifications ................................................. 9

    3.3 Use of the identification plan ................................................................................... 9

    3.4 Use of the identification plan for routing of signalling ............................................. 10

    3.5 Current use of 2 versus 3 digit MNCs.................................................................... 10

    3.6 Possible change from 2 to 3 digit MNCs ............................................................... 11

    4 Background and overview of possible MNC changes .................................. 12

    4.1 New service providers ........................................................................................... 12 4.1.1 Machine-to-machine (M2M) applications ......................................................................................... 12 4.1.2 Unbundling/decoupling of services .................................................................................................. 13 4.1.3 Coverage solutions to increase capacity and improve service quality ............................................. 13

    4.2 MNC assignment criteria ....................................................................................... 14

    4.3 How to meet demand for MNC resources ............................................................. 14 4.3.1 Introducing 3 digit MNCs ................................................................................................................. 15 4.3.2 Use of shared MNCs ....................................................................................................................... 16 4.3.3 MNCs under new MCCs .................................................................................................................. 16 4.3.4 Embedded SIM solution .................................................................................................................. 17

    5 New services/applications and their MNC requirements .............................. 18

    5.1 Utilities and security .............................................................................................. 19 5.1.1 Characteristics of market and service requirements ........................................................................ 19 5.1.2 Expected MNC requirements .......................................................................................................... 20

    5.2 Automotive applications (eCall, etc) ...................................................................... 21 5.2.1 Characteristics of market and service requirements ........................................................................ 21 5.2.2 Expected MNC requirements .......................................................................................................... 24

    5.3 Independent providers of unbundled services ....................................................... 26 5.3.1 SMS service providers .................................................................................................................... 26 5.3.2 Roaming service providers .............................................................................................................. 26 5.3.3 Mobile OTT Service providers ......................................................................................................... 26 5.3.4 Expected MNC requirements .......................................................................................................... 27

    5.4 Providers of small cell coverage solutions ............................................................. 27 5.4.1 Public networks ............................................................................................................................... 27 5.4.2 Private networks .............................................................................................................................. 28 5.4.3 Expected MNC requirements .......................................................................................................... 28

    5.5 Summary .............................................................................................................. 29 5.5.1 Transformed industry structure........................................................................................................ 29 5.5.2 MNC requirements .......................................................................................................................... 30

  • Page 3 (65)

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    6 Summary of discussions with Swedish market participants ....................... 31

    6.1 Scope of the survey .............................................................................................. 31

    6.2 Present use of assigned MNC resources .............................................................. 32

    6.3 Need for MNC resources ...................................................................................... 32

    6.4 ........................................................... 33

    6.5 Impact on existing operations from mixed use of 2- and 3-digit MNCs under

    ................................................................................................................ 34 6.5.1 Core and access network systems and implementations ................................................................ 35 6.5.2 Billing and mediation systems ......................................................................................................... 35 6.5.3 Roaming agreements and related arrangements ............................................................................ 36 6.5.4 Interconnection arrangements ......................................................................................................... 36 6.5.5 Summary of potential impact on existing operations ....................................................................... 36

    7 Analysis of mixed use of 2- and 3-digit MNCs ............................................... 38

    7.1 Required changes to standards and specifications ............................................... 39

    7.2 Impact on the different areas of operation ............................................................. 39 7.2.1 Core & access network systems, Mobile terminal behaviour .......................................................... 39 7.2.2 Billing and mediation systems ......................................................................................................... 43 7.2.3 Roaming arrangements and agreements ........................................................................................ 43 7.2.4 Interconnection arrangements ......................................................................................................... 45

    7.3 Potential scenarios................................................................................................ 45

    8 Analysis of the use of shared MNCs under geographic MCC ...................... 47

    8.1 Shared MNCs as alternative to unique MNC ......................................................... 47 8.1.1 Shared MNC as identifier of networks and subscribers ................................................................... 48 8.1.2 Shared MNC in the Radio Access Network (RAN) .......................................................................... 49 8.1.3 International roaming ....................................................................................................................... 50

    8.2 Implementation scenarios ..................................................................................... 51

    9 International outlook ........................................................................................ 52

    9.1 Netherlands .......................................................................................................... 52 9.1.1 Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs .................................................................................................... 53 9.1.2 Use of shared MNCs ....................................................................................................................... 53

    9.2 Norway ................................................................................................................. 53

    9.3 USA ...................................................................................................................... 54

    9.4 India ...................................................................................................................... 54

    10 Conclusions and recommendations ........................................................... 56

    10.1 Reasons for change .............................................................................................. 56

    10.2 Possible solutions and scenarios .......................................................................... 58

    10.3 Recommendations ................................................................................................ 61 10.3.1 Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs under Swedish MCC 240 ....................................................... 61 10.3.2 Shared use of MNCs under the Swedish geographic MCC 240 ................................................. 62 10.3.3 ............................................................................................... 62 10.3.4 General policies to safeguard MNC resources ........................................................................... 62

    11 References .................................................................................................... 64

    12 List of abbreviations / acronyms ................................................................ 65

  • Page 4 (65)

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    1 Executive Summary The focus of this study is the expected shortage of MNC resources and possible solutions, in particular the possible mixed use of 2 and 3 digit MNCs under Sweden mobile country code (MCC) 240. The study has been carried out by Cybercom on behalf of the Swedish Post and Telecom Authority (PTS). The study is based on comprehensive consultations with a number of Swedish operators and other market participants. The results of these discussions form the basis for the further analysis presented in this report.

    1.1 Background

    A shortage of MNC numbering resources is expected over the coming years. New services and business models are assumed to result in continued fragmentation of the mobile services value chain resulting in a steadily growing number of service providers requiring appropriate MNC numbering resources. A review of the principles for assignment of MNCs, which so far has been reserved for use by public networks offering public telecommunication services, may also be required. There are both commercial and technical reasons for such changes. New users may include: large telematics customers, operators of private (non-public) networks, etc. A change in direction of less restrictive assignment policies will result in further shortage of MNC resources. The need for more MNC resources has been discussed for some time. The MNC may consist of 2 or 3 digits, and most countries, including all European countries, currently use 2 digit MNCs. 3 digit MNCs are used in North America and a few other countries. The possible introduction of 3 digit MNCs in Europe in order to obtain more addressing resources has been brought up from time to time, most recently in a report prepared by CEPT ECC1. Other solutions include use of shared MNCs and more extensive use of MNCs under shared

    MCC 901 exists, and a new MCC 902 for international SMS service providers has been proposed by Sweden. Additional 90X MCCs may be considered.

    1.2 Analysis

    Swedish operators and service providers did not expect any major problems with mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs if introduced in the way proposed, i.e. 3-digit MNCs in the so far unused range 70 99, which would become the range 700 999. Any major impact on roaming arrangements and billing systems were not expected. Particular problems with core and access networks were not foreseen assuming mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs was introduced in a harmonised manner supported by amended 3GPP specifications and updates to systems and networks available from equipment vendors. Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs is currently not supported by 3GPP specifications, and these specifications would therefore need to be changed. Any 3GPP compliant product can in principle not be assumed to support mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs until specifications have been amended and products are updated and confirmed compliant with the new specifications.

    1 ECC Report 212, Evolution in the Use of E 212 Mobile Network Codes.

    http://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4

    http://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4
  • Page 5 (65)

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    A specific and widely discussed problem exists with regard to 3GPP specification TS 23.122. The issue related to home network matching and the implementation in mobile terminals is potentially difficult as it would impact the entire terminal population. However, this should mainly be a problem if a new 3-digit MNCs is used by an operator with radio network broadcasting the MNC. It may therefore be easier to assign 3-digit MNCs to operators without radio access networks (typically MVNOs). This could solve a significant part of the problem with shortage of MNCs, as most demand for MNC resources so far seems to come from operators without radio access networks. Finally, some experiences from other countries and regions (e.g. India) suggest that a transition to mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs is manageable and that the issues with current 3GPP specifications should be possible to resolve with reasonable efforts.

    1.3 Recommendations

    The Swedish Post and Telecom Authority (PTS) as a National Regulatory Authority (NRA)

    will have to make sure that shortage of MNC resources will not artificially constrain service

    innovation and competition. It is therefore recommended that the following actions are taken:

    1.3.1 Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs under MCC 240

    The following approach is recommended:

    Announce target date(s) for introduction (i.e. when to start assignments) of 3-digit

    MNCs, possibly as a two-stage process. In the first stage, 3-digit MNCs could be

    assigned to service providers without own radio network. In the second stage, all new

    MNC assignments would be 3-digit MNCs.

    The time schedule should permit reasonable time for:

    o System updates and testing of key scenarios

    o Further clarify details on variations of existing mixed use of 2 and 3-digit

    MNCs in some other regions (e.g. India)

    Delayed (or partially delayed) introduction of 3-digit MNCs must be accepted if the

    tests reveal problems that demonstrate need for more time.

    1.3.2 Shared use of MNCs under the Swedish geographic MCC 240

    Shared use of MNCs (different service providers or networks would be identified by leading

    proposed and planned to be implemented in the Netherlands is a suitable solution to

    manage shared use of MNCs.

    It is recommended that the NRA leave further development in this area to the market

    participants. If Swedish market participants -providers

    support this with appropriate MNC numbering resources.

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    1.3.3

    In a Swedish contribution to ITU, an MCC 902 has been proposed for use by international

    SMS service providers. Further shared MCCs for specific types of service providers may be

    considered, e.g. international MVNOs, Independent Roaming providers, etc. This may

    generally be an effective way to create new MNC resources for operations, business models

    and services, which naturally transcend national borders and not necessarily belong to a

    specific country.

    1.3.4 General policies to further safeguard MNC resources

    Different types of MNC resources (geographic and non-geographic) suit different types of

    services and applications. The NRA could therefore create policies for assignment of various

    MNC resources (2 vs 3-digit codes under geographic MCC, MNCs under shared MCCs

    Guidelines or recommendations

    would need to be continually updated to reflect availability of various MNC resources and the

    continuous evolution of services.

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    2 Scope of study

    This study, focusing on possible mixed use of 2 and 3 digit MNCs in Sweden, has

    been carried out by Cybercom on behalf of the Swedish Post and Telecom Authority

    (PTS).

    The background for this study is an expected shortage of MNC numbering resources over

    the coming years. New services and business models are assumed to result in continued

    fragmentation of the mobile services value chain resulting in a steadily growing number of

    service providers requiring appropriate numbering resources.

    The study is based on comprehensive consultations with a number of Swedish operators

    and other market participants. The results of the discussions form the basis for the further

    analysis of the issues in this report.

    The main focus of the study is the possible mixed use of 2 and 3 digit MNCs under existing

    national MCC ). The possible introduction of 3-digit MNCs has been

    analysed and the report provides conclusions and recommendations in this regard.

    The study also considers alternatives and aspects of using the initial digits of the MSIN part

    of IMSI to designate operators under shared MNCs

    As background, the study provides an overview of:

    Evolution in the harmonisation and standardisation of the MNC concept (ITU-T,

    CEPT, GSMA, 3GPP)

    Expected demand for MNC resources from various new services and applications

    Experiences from some other countries where similar discussions or changes are (or

    have been) taking place.

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    3 Standardisation and evolution in the use of MNCs

    The MNC is part of the IMSI as specified by ITU-T Rec. E.212. As a global addressing

    plan, the IMSI is essential for mobile networks in order to facilitate authentication,

    roaming, routing and billing, nationally and internationally.

    MNC may consist of 2 or 3 digits. The length of the MNC is a national matter. This is

    normally regulated by the National Regulatory Authority (NRA), which also is

    responsible for assigning MNC resources to network operators and service providers.

    Most countries, including all European countries, currently use 2 digit MNCs. 3 digit

    MNCs are used in North America and a few other countries. The possible change to 3

    digit MNCs in Europe has been brought up from time to time in order to obtain more

    addressing space, most recently in a report prepared by CEPT ECC2.

    Mobile Network Codes (MNCs) are parts of the International Mobile Subscriber Identity

    (IMSI) as defined in ITU-T Rec. E.212. The IMSI and its components provide globally unique

    identification of mobile networks and subscribers.

    3.1 Structure of IMSI, MNC and MCC

    The International Mobile Subscriber Identity (IMSI) consists of max 15 digits and permits

    identification at three levels:

    Country level: Mobile Country Code (MCC), 3 digits.

    Network level: Mobile Network Code (MNC), 2 or 3 digits.

    User level: Mobile Subscription Identification Number (MSIN), max 10 digits.

    Figure 1: Structure and format of the IMSI

    MCCs are assigned by the Director of the Telecommunications Standardization Bureau

    (Director of TSB). MCCs in the

    MNCs are 2 or 3 digits in length and, in accordance with E.212, are administered by the

    respective national numbering plan administrator, usually the National Regulatory Authority

    (NRA). MNCs under shared MCCs

    2 http://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4

    http://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4
  • Page 9 (65)

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    3.2 Key provisions of the standards and specifications

    ITU-T Rec. E.212 defines the structure of the IMSI, its components and usage as well as the

    responsibility and principles for the awarding of numbering resources. 3GPP specifications

    further refines the concept in the specifications for 3GPP compliant systems3. The following

    provisions may be noted with regard to MNCs:

    The MNC consists of 2 or 3 digits

    (E.212, section 5.c)

    INs are to be assigned by the MNC assignee to their subscribed users. A user

    The 3GPP specification TS 23.003 further specifies that:

    A mixture of 2 and 3 digit MNC codes within a single MCC area is not recommended

    and is outside the scope of this specification 4

    3.3 Use of the identification plan

    The IMSI identification plan is a global addressing plan and was originally devised for use by

    mobile networks operators (MNOs). The main functions of the IMSI, with its components

    MCC and MNC, is shown in Figure 2 below.

    Figure 2: Main functions of IMSI and its components for identification

    These basic functions and architecture enable a mobile subscriber to be properly recognised

    by home network as well as by visited networks when roaming, as:

    3 Mobile technology based on GSM and evolved GSM specifications within the scope of IMT-2000,

    i.e. UMTS, LTE, etc. 4 ITU-T Rec. E.212 specifies for shared

    within geographic MCCsbut is made explicit by the 3GPP specification TS 23.003 applicable to MNCs under all MCCs, as quoted here.

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    IMSI (MCC+MNC+MSIN) uniquely identifies a subscriber and:

    o It is stored on the SIM inserted in the mobile terminal

    o It is used as the key to the user profile in the HLR

    LAI (MCC+MNC) uniquely identifies the network and is broadcast on the Broadcast

    Control Channel (BCCH) by the network

    This structure is essential for mobile networks in order to facilitate authentication, roaming,

    routing and billing, nationally and internationally.

    Although originally devised for mobile networks, the IMSI identification plan has been taken

    into use also in other types of networks including fixed networks and satellite networks. The

    services. Finally, the unbundling of the mobile services value chain creates a number of new

    players with need for identification resources.

    3.4 Use of the identification plan for routing of signalling

    Global Title addresses are used for routing signalling. There are three types of Global Titles

    used in mobile networks, E.164 (MSISDN), E.212 and ITU-T Rec. E.214. E.214 defines the

    Global Mobile Title (MGT) and how it is derived from the IMSI defined in E.212. The MCC

    and MNC are translated to the MGT defined Country Code (CC) and Network Code (NC).

    The MGT has a structure similar to addresses defined by ITU-T Rec. E.164, and enable

    signalling over SS7 networks. Consequently, as there is a direct relationship between IMSI

    and MGT, any changes to E.212 would in principle have a potential impact on E.214..

    With the exception of North America, the MGT is used for routing signalling messages.

    Because of North American standards and Number Plan, etc., the E.212 addresses are used

    directly for routing signalling in North America (World Area 1).

    3.5 Current use of 2 versus 3 digit MNCs

    Most countries currently use only 2 digit MNCs. By various historic reasons, this includes the

    original European GSM countries. Although an option in ITU-T Rec. E.212, the use of 3 digit

    MNCs were first defined in 3GPP from R98 (early 1999).

    MNCs of 3 digit length are used by the countries and territories in the North American

    Numbering Plan and some other countries (in Central and South America and in India).

    With the introduction of PCS1900 in North America, it was a regulatory mandate to allocate 3

    digit MNCs. However, due to various technical constraints, a so-called 0 suffix rule was

    adopted for a transition period. According to this rule, 3 digit MNCs were assigned with the

    3rd

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    accordingly, and North America is therefore the only region where mixed use of 2 and 3 digit

    MNCs is explicitly defined by 3GPP specifications at present time.

    3.6 Possible change from 2 to 3 digit MNCs

    The possible change from 2 to 3 digit MNCs in Europe has been a subject of long

    discussions. After an initiative taken by the CEPT European Committee for

    Telecommunications Regulatory Affairs (ECTRA)5 in 2000, GSM Europe (now GSMA) made

    an assessment of the possible mixed use of 2 and 3 digit MNCs under the same MCC. The

    report6 delivered in July 2001 concluded that:

    from a technical point of view, this introduction would cause serious problems to

    the existing network operators, both those in the country where the 3 digits MNC is

    introduced and in that of their roaming partners. Particularly, the impact on the

    roaming agreement cannot be underestimated.

    SM Europe is of the opinion that the introduction of 3-digit MNC would in either

    case require a technical effort which is not proportionate to the foreseen shortage of

    MNC that this introduction would solve.

    The need for MNC resources was seen mainly in perspective of the requirements from

    traditional full service MNOs with own radio access networks, and there were (and still are)

    only a very limited number of such operators per country. GSM Europe mentioned in 2001

    the upcoming introduction of UMTS, but concluded that existing GSM operators were

    expected to reuse their existing MNCs for UMTS and that a maximum of 4 to 6 UMTS

    operators were expected per country. Based on these requirements, no shortage of MNC

    resources were expected.

    The subsequent developments, in particular the unbundling of the mobile services value

    chain, which have seen the emergence of Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs),

    special services providers like SMS service providers, private networks (e.g. small cells), etc.

    have changed the situation. Some NRAs are in the process of using up a very significant

    part of their existing MNC numbering resources (e.g. Sweden with almost 40 MNCs

    assigned, the Netherlands with almost 30 MNC assigned, etc.)

    Following its March 2012 meeting, ITU-T Study Group 2 raised the issue of introducing 3

    digit MNCs7 as member states experienced increasing demand for MNCs under their

    respective MCCs as new services and business models emerge. CEPT ECC has also again

    taken up the issue in its recent report 8.

    5 Now CEPT Electronic Communications Committee (ECC).

    6 http://www.gsma.com/gsmaeurope/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/gsmepositionmnc.pdf

    7 ITU-T Liaison Statement COM2-LS129-E, Assignment of 3 digit MNCs and subsequent

    communications. 8 http://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4

    http://www.gsma.com/gsmaeurope/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/gsmepositionmnc.pdfhttp://www.erodocdb.dk/doks/doccategoryECC.aspx?doccatid=4
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    4 Background and overview of possible MNC changes

    New services and business models are expected to continue increasing the demand

    for MNC resources.

    A review of the principles for assignment of MNCs, which so far has been reserved for

    use by public telecommunications operators, may also be required. New users may

    include: large telematics customers, operators of private (non-public) networks, etc.

    There are several ways to meet the demand for more MNC resources. Mixed use of 2

    and 3 digit MNCs and more extensive use of shared MNC resources are in the focus of

    this study, but other alternatives such as additional shared MCCs are also discussed.

    4.1 New service providers

    The need for more MNC numbering resources is driven by a number of new developments,

    which create opportunities for new types of service providers. The key drivers are

    summarised in Table 1 below:

    Areas driving demand for MNCs Services providers

    M2M Typically MVNO/MVNEs for: Utilities, automotive, security, healthcare, etc.

    Unbundling/ decoupling of services Independent service providers: SMS Roaming VoIP

    etc.

    Coverage solutions to increase capacity and improve service quality

    Operators of: In-house coverage Hotspot networks

    etc. typically using unlicensed or shared spectrum

    Table 1: Developments driving demand for MNC resources

    4.1.1 Machine-to-machine (M2M) applications

    New telematics applications (Machine-to-Machine applications, M2M) are among the most

    important market developments driving the new requirements. The need for customised

    service offerings and support adapted to new business models create opportunities for

    specialised service providers. An increasing number of niche oriented service providers are

    therefore entering this market, typically as specialised MVNOs.

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    Specialised MVNOs targeting this market are t

    with own core networks and issuing own SIM cards, providing maximum freedom to create

    customised service offerings for their target segments.

    Issuing own SIM cards also enable service providers to change access provider (host MNO)

    more easily, thereby avoiding the so- - -

    problem an M2M service provider would have changing host MNO if all SIM cards were to

    be changed. The cost of changing the SIMs would in many cases make the change of MNO

    economically unfeasible.)

    Certain customers and applications may also require improved resiliency and coverage

    through access to national roaming arrangements (e.g. power distributors, water utilities, car

    manufacturers, etc.). This functionality is sometimes provided by using subscriptions from a

    foreign MNO, but may also be provided by an MVNO connected to multiple host MNOs.

    As a final aspect, telematics functions are often embedded in products at time of

    manufacturing. Products are then distributed and sold in various countries and regions

    requiring appropriate mobile subscription solutions for the telematics devices. Moreover,

    products and devices may regularly cross borders as part of ordinary use and/or moved from

    a country to another as part of change of ownership (all scenarios would be typical for cars,

    etc.). Solutions addressing the SIM provisioning as well as the various roaming issues are

    therefore required.

    These market developments in combination with strong growth of the telematics market are

    expected result in increasing demand for MNC numbering resources.

    4.1.2 Unbundling/decoupling of services

    Unbundling (or decoupling) of services are seen in various areas. Services previously seen

    as just integrated parts of the mobile operator service offerings are increasingly being

    offered as separate services by independent service providers. Examples of such services

    are:

    SMS service providers (SMS-SPs)

    Alternative Roaming Providers (ARPs)

    (OTT) services e.g. Voice over IP (VoIP) service providers, typically

    -the- of data connections (e.g. Skype, Viber, etc.)

    These independent service providers may generally require MNC resources for interconnect

    and traffic termination. Some service implementations may also require MNCs to facilitate

    billing and authentication.

    4.1.3 Coverage solutions to increase capacity and improve service quality

    Small cell implementations ( pico / nano / femto cell solutions) typically for in-house or

    coverage, is a third area expected to require MNC resources, in particular if

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    provided by independent service providers. Development of small cell networks is generally

    driven by the need for improved quality of in-house coverage, increased capacity for data

    services in hotspots, etc.

    Small cell networks may offer public services or they may be private (closed) networks.

    Numbering resources for private networks need to be regulated and harmonised with public

    networks when same technologies and frequency ranges are used, and to avoid creation of

    technical barriers to future interconnection of the networks.

    4.2 MNC assignment criteria

    MNC numbering resources enable market participants to operate core networks with own

    HLR and to issue own SIM cards with own operator profiles, thereby increasing their

    technical and commercial independence of a mobile network operator (MNO) used for radio

    access.

    Switching of an entire subscriber base from one MNO radio access provider to another can

    be done without change of SIM cards. An MVNO with own core may also in principle

    connect to more than one MNO, thereby obtaining better network coverage and resiliency.

    Operators of private small cell coverage solutions may also need MNC resources for

    technical and operational reasons (ref. 4.1.3 above). In case of private networks, this may

    require a change of general eligibility criteria for assignment of MNCs as defined by E.212.

    MNCs are at present only allowed to be assigned to, and used by, public networks offering

    public telecommunication services (ref. 3.2 above). Assignment of MNCs to entities other

    than public telecommunication operators would need further consideration.

    4.3 How to meet demand for MNC resources

    There are various ways to expand the available MNC numbering resources and to utilise

    existing MNC resources more efficiently, for example:

    Expand numbering resources through the use of 3 digit MNCs

    More efficient use MNC resources through use of shared MNCs, in particular HLR

    Proxy Provider (HPP) solutions

    Use of new MNCs assigned under new MCCs either under national/geographic

    MCCs and/or international shared MCCs (e.g. the existing MCC 901 and possibly

    under new MCCs 90X

    ver-the- SIM provisioning (ref. the GSMA proposed standard for

    initially load and change operator

    credentials remotely, for example change of home operator without change of

    physical SIM. This technology does not create more MNC resources directly, but it

    - d require MNC

    resources.

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    4.3.1 Introducing 3 digit MNCs

    Unlike some previous proposals for a general transition to 3 digit MNCs, the solution

    proposed by the recent CEPT report assumes, at least for an unspecified transitional period,

    a partial transition to use of 2- and 3-digit MNCs under the same MCCs.

    Partial transition means that 2-digit MNCs already assigned can be maintained as 2 digit

    MNCs. Operators and service providers not able to switch to 3-digit MNCs can therefore

    continue to use their existing 2-digit MNCs.

    New 3-digit MNCs would be assigned only using combinations of the first two digits that are

    different from already assigned 2- -

    For example:

    -digit MNC in Sweden,

    therefore not be available as new MNCs.

    available as new 3-digit MNCs.

    The plan in Sweden is to use the current MNC range 70 99 as 3-digit MNCs 700 999.

    The resulting change of the Swedish MNC numbering plan is shown in Figure 3 below:

    Figure 3: Proposed evolution of Swedish MNC numbering plan

    Specifically, this plan means:

    for use by the operator or service provid

    It should also be noted that for technical reasons, it is recommended that for those 2

    le for the assignee

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    This is the specific plan for 3-d discussed in

    more detail in subsequent sections of this report.

    4.3.2 Use of shared MNCs

    Use of shared MNCs is a way to extend existing MNC resources. For some applications, for

    example private small cell networks, not even the introduction of 3 digit MNCs would create

    enough MNC resources to satisfy the expected potential demand.

    Shared MNCs may then be a feasible solution and the leading digits of the MSIN can be

    used to identify different networks. Various alternatives for use of shared MNC are discussed

    in more detail in subsequent sections of this report.

    4.3.3 MNCs under new MCCs

    MNC numbering resources may also be expanded through introduction of additional MCCs.

    Two alternatives are possible:

    Assigning new geographic MCCs to countries.

    o The general rule is that additional MCCs may be assigned by the Director of

    TSB when 80% of existing address space has been used, provided that the

    national numbering plan administrator can demonstrate efficient use of

    existing numbering resources.

    o Another option having been discussed is to assign additional geographic

    MCC to countries currently using 2 digit MNCs. The new MCCs would then be

    dedicated for assignment of 3 digit MNCs. This would be an alternative to

    mixed use 2 and 3 digit MNCs under same MCC and would also have various

    advantages and disadvantages. Consideration of additional geographic

    MCCs is outside the scope of this study, and is not further discussed here9.

    Assigning new shared (non-geographic) MCCs in the s

    o Shared MCCs would create additional MNC resources and be suitable for

    which has been proposed for SMS service providers in a recent Swedish

    contribution to the ITU10.

    o MNCs under new MCCs may be assigned as 3-digit codes in order to

    preserve addressing resources.

    9 Additional geographic MCCs were discussed in the GSM Europe assessment from 2001:

    http://www.gsma.com/gsmaeurope/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/gsmepositionmnc.pdf 10

    COM 2-C4-E ITU-T SG2 MNCs under new MCC for International mobile messaging services

    http://www.gsma.com/gsmaeurope/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/gsmepositionmnc.pdf
  • Page 17 (65)

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    4.3.4 Embedded SIM solution

    The possibility to initially load and -the-

    interfaces, i.e. effective change of home operator without change of physical SIM. Remote

    -

    raised in connection with telematics implementations, should be resolved.

    The GSMA has announced its specification enabling r the air provisioning

    and management of Embedded SIMs in machine-to-machine (M2M) devices. According to

    this specification, a non-removable SIM is embedded into the M2M device at the point of

    manufacture and can later be remotely provisioned with the subscription profile of the

    operator providing the connectivity11. First deployments of the GSMA-compliant Embedded

    SIM solution are expected to roll out in 2014.

    Various solutions have previously been proposed for over the air SIM provisioning and

    change of home operator. Except when otherwise explicitly stated, this report assumes use

    of solutions based on the above mentioned GSMA specification for this type of functionality.

    11

    http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/embedded-sim/

    http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/embedded-sim/
  • Page 18 (65)

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    5 New services/applications and their MNC requirements

    Machine-to-machine (M2M) applications, new unbundled/decoupled services in the

    mobile value chain and increased use of small cell coverage solutions to improve

    capacity and service quality are the main forces driving demand for new MNC

    resources. Within the M2M sector, utilities and automotive are the most important

    sectors.

    Utilities and small cell operations are expected to be main drivers of demand for

    MNCs under country specific geographic MCCs.

    Automotive applications as well as the various unbundled/decoupled services are

    most often international by nature (in terms of product distribution, usage, etc.) and

    may be best served by MNCs under shared MCCs that are not country specific.

    As briefly discussed in the previous section, we expect that the emergence of a number of

    new mobile services and business models will increase the demand for MNCs. This section

    provides a more detailed review of some typical applications and business models and the

    possible requirements and demand for MNCs, which might be expected as a result of the

    developments in these areas.

    As discussed in 4.1 above, the main forces driving demand for new MNC resources are:

    Machine-to-machine (M2M) applications

    New unbundled services and independent service providers

    Small cell coverage solutions to increase capacity and improve service quality

    The largest M2M segments are the utilities, security and the automotive & transport

    segments. The utilities segment, driven primarily by smart metering solutions, is the largest

    and fastest growing M2M segment. It is expected that this segment will represent around two

    thirds of worldwide M2M device connections by around 202012. The security sector is

    expected to represent around one quarter of the M2M market and the automotive & transport

    sector another quarter of the worldwide M2M connectivity market by 2020. Regulatory

    requirements for installation of eCall facilities in new car models from 2015 are expected to

    have an important impact on the development of automotive M2M market in coming years.

    12

    World wide number of connections. Sources: Analysys Mason and Machina Research. Web site published research abstracts and publicly distributed papers as listed below. Analysys Mason: 2.1 bn by 2020 http://www.analysysmason.com/About-Us/News/Insight/M2M_forecast_Jan2011/ Machina Research: 2.6 bn by 2022 http://www.telecomengine.com/sites/default/files/temp/CEBIT_M2M_WhitePaper_2012_01_11.pdf

    http://www.analysysmason.com/About-Us/News/Insight/M2M_forecast_Jan2011/http://www.telecomengine.com/sites/default/files/temp/CEBIT_M2M_WhitePaper_2012_01_11.pdf
  • Page 19 (65)

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    We have therefore chosen the following sectors for further discussion in this section:

    Utilities and security sector

    Automotive sector (Automotive discussed here as a specific part of the automotive &

    transport segment. Transport segment would also include e.g. fleet management,

    etc.)

    Independent providers of unbundled services

    Providers of small cell coverage solutions

    The focus of the discussion here is the type of MNC resources (or other solution), which

    would be most appropriate for the various sectors and types of applications.

    5.1 Utilities and security

    Smart metering (e.g. for electricity) and security alarms are the main application in this area.

    Other applications include solutions for water utilities, etc. Estimates (see above) indicate

    that the utilities and security sectors together account for more than three of four M2M

    devices currently installed worldwide and forecasts indicate that these sectors will continue

    to dominate the market in coming years. Most M2M service providers consulted as part of

    this study provided services to these sectors.

    5.1.1 Characteristics of market and service requirements

    The utilities sector, in particular, is characterised by very large customers in number of

    connections. The market is served by several MVNO/MVNEs specialising in services

    targeted at this segment. A main concern is the so- -

    Consequently, MVNO/MVNEs, and ultimately also large customers themselves, would prefer

    own MNCs in order to issue SIM cards with own operator profiles not tied to any particular

    mobile network operator (MNO).

    The sectors are well suited for service providers setting up specialised MVNO operations

    :

    Own core network provides maximum flexibility for creation of services tailored to the

    specific customer requirements

    As international mobility is not a particular concern due to the very nature of these

    services and installations (equipment normally installed in a fixed location), roaming

    arrangements will normally be a minor concern. (The problem of establishing a

    network of roaming agreements could otherwise have been the main obstacle for

    smaller niche oriented MVNO in these sectors.)

    On the other hand, national roaming might be necessary in order to meet network

    quality/coverage requirements as well as for network redundancy. National roaming

    is currently provided by MNOs in form of subscriptions (SIM) with a foreign (affiliated)

  • Page 20 (65)

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    MNO13, but may also be provided by an MVNO having agreements with multiple

    MNOs.

    -the-

    -

    large numbers of subscriptions as typical for the utilities sector.

    Network redundancy through national roaming arrangements may be provided by a fully

    independent MVNO (with own core) with multi-MNO interconnections14. As a service from an

    independent MVNO, this would appear as the feasible long term response to these customer

    requirements.15

    The combined flexibilities obtained through own SIM profiles (physical SIM cards or profiles

    -the- -MNO

    interconnects for national roaming are illustrated in Figure 4 below.

    Figure 4: Embedded SIM only vs. MVNO with national roaming + Embedded SIM

    5.1.2 Expected MNC requirements

    MVNOs (typically with own core networks) serving these sectors should be expected to

    require more MNC resources as these market sectors develop, usually under country

    13

    Most Swedish MNOs in our survey provide national roaming functionality by use of SIMs issued by foreign associated companies (i.e. operators within same sphere of ownership).. 14

    Implementation of a fully functional multi-MNO MVNO model would generally require a fully access agnostic evolved core. 15

    An alternative solution provided by MNOs is based on SIMs issued by foreign operators in order to obtain national roaming. Typically SIMs issued by a foreign operator under special commercial agreements to control international roaming costs.

  • Page 21 (65)

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    specific geographic MCCs. As the largest M2M sectors, significant demand for MNC

    resources may come from these sectors.

    If assignment criteria would permit, large customers may also request right to use MNCs in

    - - be resolved by use

    of embedded SIM with OTA provisioning of operator profiles.

    5.2 Automotive applications (eCall, etc)

    Over the next few years, a number of new mobile services are being expected for the

    connection of cars. Various connectivity options might be considered depending on the types

    of services, applications and implementations.

    5.2.1 Characteristics of market and service requirements

    Telematics services for the automotive sector include a wide range of services16, for

    example:

    Emergency services (e.g. the standardised Pan European eCall)

    Remote diagnostic services

    Stolen vehicle tracking services

    Navigation support

    Infotainment

    etc.

    The various alternatives for In-Vehicle systems (IVS) include embedded solutions where

    both connectivity and intelligence is built into the vehicle as well as various other options

    where connectivity, and in some cases also the intelligence, remains in a separate mobile

    terminal.

    The main IVS options are shown in Table 2 below:

    Components Embedded Tethered Integrated

    Communication module Built-in Built-in Brought-in

    SIM Built-in Brought-in Brought-in

    Intelligence Built-in Built-in Built-in

    Table 2: In-Vehicle System (IVS) connectivity options 16,17

    16

    An overview of such ser, GSMA Connected Car Forum, February 2013. http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-

    content/uploads/2013/02/GSMA_mAutomotive_TechnologyRoadmap_v2.pdf 17

    Source GSMA: http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdf

    http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/GSMA_mAutomotive_TechnologyRoadmap_v2.pdfhttp://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2013/02/GSMA_mAutomotive_TechnologyRoadmap_v2.pdfhttp://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdfhttp://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdf
  • Page 22 (65)

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    For the discussion in this document, we will focus on the requirements of embedded IVS

    solutions, which will have typical telematics requirements with regard to subscription issues,

    SIM provisioning, etc.18

    manufacturer, in most cases the user of the vehicle might not even be aware of the

    embedded IVS, and MNO can be assumed contracted by the vehicle manufacturer19. For

    , where connectivity module (mobile terminal) and/or

    - the situation would be different. The

    user should in that case be expected to be fully aware of the communication device, its

    subscription, roaming aspects and other cost related issues as for a usual mobile

    subscription. The basic subscription requirements should therefore in principle not differ

    fundamentally from those of an ordinary mobile phone and its subscription.

    Focusing on the embedded telematics services, the automotive applications raise some of

    the most complex issues with regard to subscription management:

    Devices installed in moving vehicles will experience variable network coverage

    conditions and still require the highest reliability of connectivity service (sometimes

    for emergency services, etc.)

    Vehicles will move regularly across borders (international roaming)

    Vehicles typically change owners during product lifetime

    Vehicles may be sold/exported and change home country (i.e. country of registration

    and country of most frequent use)

    There would be a question whether ordinary users/owners of vehicles can be

    generally expected to be aware of embedded communication devices and

    subscription arrangements in a way similar to the owner of a mobile phone.

    Of particular importance in Europe will be the EU requirement that all new models of

    passenger cars and light duty vehicles sold and distributed in Europe from October 2015

    should be equipped for the in-vehicle pan-European emergency service (eCall). Private

    emergency call services already established and provided by various car manufacturers are

    expected to continue to exist in parallel with eCall. The operating requirements between 20

    Furthermore, car manufacturers may provide a range of value added services in addition to

    emergency call service (e.g. Breakdown services (bCall), remote diagnostics, stolen vehicle

    tracking, etc.)

    18

    It should be noted that there are also several other issues which need to be addressed with regard to embedded solutions. Of particular concern might be service availability over lifetime of a vehicle, e.g. GSM services currently available may be switched off in some countries or regions over a

    19

    For eCall, MNO is assumed contracted by vehicle manufacturer, ref. HeERO presentation to CEPT ECC, Numbering & Networks Working Group, 22 January 2014, page 13 20

    Intelligent transport systems - eCall - Operating requirements for Third Party Support http://www.cen.eu/cen/products/en/pages/default.aspx

    http://www.cen.eu/cen/products/en/pages/default.aspx
  • Page 23 (65)

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    The introduction of eCall will certainly lead to a strong increase in the number of In-Vehicle

    systems deployed. This is also likely to lead to a strong growth in private value added

    services, as combined devices for eCall and private services (emergency and value added

    services) should be expected. The value added services may enable the car manufacturer to

    recover some of the cost of providing mandatory eCall units for all new car models

    (estimated to 60-100 euro per unit21).

    A typical Dual SIM In-Vehicle System is illustrated in Figure 5 below:

    Figure 5: Dual function / Dual SIM In-Vehicle System

    The subscription issues (choice of operator, SIM provisioning) will be fundamentally different

    for eCall versus private services.

    Pan European eCall ( eCall ) will use standard 112 emergency call service (TS12) +

    in-band modem for data transfer22, and will therefore be functioning on a pan-

    European basis without any local subscription or roaming arrangements.

    Private emergency (Third Party Support, TPS) and value added services use

    ordinary mobile voice/data services, and therefore require subscription arrangements

    with national as well as international roaming.

    However, the difference in requirements means that a subscription meeting the requirements

    of private value added services also will meet requirements for eCall. It would therefore be

    appropriate to focus on the subscription requirements of the private value added services.

    These services will need national and international roaming arrangements which are

    technically and commercially feasible.

    In principle, either the owner/user of the vehicle or the car manufacturer may have the

    contractual relationship with the mobile communications provider (MNO or MVNO). For

    eCall, the plan is that the car manufacturer will be responsible for contracting with the mobile

    communications provider23. For eCall, it is also assumed that subscription will be dependent

    on country where contract is taken out. This may be a feasible soltion for eCall, as roaming

    21

    Indicative figure from industry sources. 22

    Data is transferred using in-band modem over the 112 voice channel 23

    Ref. HeERO presentation to CEPT ECC NaN meeting 22 January, 2014, page 13.

  • Page 24 (65)

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    For the other telematics services, however,

    this may not be the best solution as international roaming would be required. The solutions

    in this area will be up to the industry (market participants) to decide.

    Based on our interviews market participants, we expect the main subscription requirements

    to be:

    National roaming may be required in order to avoid coverage problems with a

    single operator

    International roaming would be required in order to support vehicles moving

    temporarily or permanently across borders. Unlike emergency services, private

    value added services, as for example remote diagnostics, will often involve more

    significant data volumes on regular basis. International roaming on commercially

    feasible terms is therefore important.

    The possibility to move vehicles with subscriptions (individual subscribers or

    blocks of subscribers) from one home network operator to another, without

    change of SIM cards, would be generally required.

    Various implementations are possible in order to meet the different requirements, but the

    ideal solution meeting all requirements may be difficult to find.

    5.2.2 Expected MNC requirements

    The remote -the- management and provisioning of operator profiles on SIM modules

    will play a key role in automotive telematics applications. The Embedded SIM specification

    as developed by GSMA (see section 4.3.4 above) has been selected for eCall24, and can

    therefore be assumed to be de facto standard in this sector. First deployments of the GSMA-

    compliant Embedded SIM solution are expected to roll out in 2014, in time for the mandatory

    deployment of eCall from 2015.

    Irrespective of the possibility to manage operator profiles remotely, there would be various

    alternatives for choosing the home operator of subscriptions in order to meet the different

    requirements listed above. These are shown in Table 3 below:

    24

    Ref: http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdf

    http://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdfhttp://www.gsma.com/connectedliving/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/embedded_sim_imv1v091213vFinal.pdf
  • Page 25 (65)

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    Subscription options for

    automotive M2M

    MNC

    (assumed

    requirements or

    preferences)

    National roaming International

    roaming

    Change of home

    network

    (1) Use MNO in country

    other than

    home country

    (typically one of a few

    contracted MNOs in

    the region)

    MNOs MNC

    (foreign)

    Yes, as

    international

    roaming

    Yes Embedded SIM /

    Remote provisioning

    (2) Use an MNO in

    home country

    MNOs MNC (in

    user

    country)

    Questionable Yes, but may require

    negotiations with

    each country/MNO

    to get acceptable

    roaming cost

    levels25

    Embedded SIM /

    Remote provisioning

    (3) Use a national

    (specialist)

    MVNO/MVNE

    MVNOs or car

    MNC (in

    home country)

    Yes, assuming

    MVNO/MVNE has

    agreements with

    multiple MNOs

    Possible, but

    MVNO/MVNE will

    need to establish

    network of roaming

    agreements

    Embedded SIM /

    Remote provisioning

    (4) Use of international

    (specialist)

    MVNO/MVNE

    or

    Independent roaming

    provider

    MVNOs or car

    MNC under

    shared MCC

    (90X)

    Yes, assuming

    MVNO/MVNE has

    agreements with

    multiple MNOs

    Possible, but

    MVNO/MVNE will

    need to establish

    network of roaming

    agreements25

    Embedded SIM /

    Remote provisioning

    Table 3: Subscription options for embedded automotive devices

    1. In order to get national roaming, a typical solution at present is to use a SIM from a

    country other than the country where the vehicle is expected to be (mostly) used.

    This is shown as case (1) in the table above. The fact that the device will be a

    permanent international roamer in the country of most frequent use is an important

    cost issue, but continuous deregulation of the market should be expected to continue

    reducing roaming charges within Europe. The solution may therefore be increasingly

    feasible in Europe.

    2. Case (2) might be a less interesting alternative for the general telematics SIM

    because of national roaming problems. However, it may work for the eCall SIM, as

    eCall does not require roaming.

    3. Case (3) is the only case among the above which would result in increased demand

    for MNCs under national MCCs, but the case might appear less attractive as the

    significant efforts required to establish all necessary international roaming

    agreements might be uneconomical for an MVNO/MVE with only national focus.

    4. Case (4) could be a solution in co-operation with a regional (e.g. pan-European)

    MVNO/MVNE with extensive network of roaming agreements in the region. The

    25

    Within EU, roaming cost should be expected to fall significantly as various regulatory measures such as unbundling of roaming services will result in increased competition and reduced prices. EU roaming regulation now requires all for

    . Direct regulatory interventions, such as price caps for certain services, are already used and should be expected more whenever deregulation is not effective.

  • Page 26 (65)

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    MNC(s) could be registered under an international shared MCC . A new MCC

    the best solution, as our consultation with

    market participants shows that MVNOs and service providers have problems

    obtaining acceptable interconnection agreement for operations using the existing

    C26. If assignments criteria under such MCC would allow, car manufacturers

    may prefer their own MNCs, alternatively establish their own special purpose

    MVNOs, which could request unique MNCs.

    Consequently, automotive applications are expected to use either existing geographic

    National MNOs

    might be used for the eCall SIM, as roaming is not required. This sector is therefore

    not expected to require more MNC resources under the country specific geographic

    MCCs.

    5.3 Independent providers of unbundled services

    Technical and regulatory evolutions are increasingly opening up new opportunities for

    services like SMS, Roaming, and voice/video to be offered by independent service

    providers.

    5.3.1 SMS service providers

    SMS service providers typically provide services for sending and receiving SMSs from/to

    connected devices, various solutions for enterprise to individual user communication over

    SMS, premium SMS (payment) services, etc. Services can be used for information

    distribution, alerts, various forms of two-way communications (e.g. voting, gaming, etc.),

    integration with various applications on PC or smartphones, etc.

    5.3.2 Roaming service providers

    Under new EU regulations from 201227, d

    from domestic services should be possible from 1 July 2014. Under same regulations,

    requests for wholesale

    interesting new opportunities for Independent Roaming providers, and many new providers

    might enter this market over the coming months and year.

    5.3.3 Mobile OTT Service providers

    Multiple OTT Services providers typically offer voice, chat and video services over IP data

    connections, accessible through apps on device (e.g. Skype, Viber).

    26

    providers, MVNOs and service providers report problems obtaining local interconnection agreements for operations using MNCs under this MCC. 27

    http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/activities/roaming/docs/roaming_recast11.pdf

    http://ec.europa.eu/information_society/activities/roaming/docs/roaming_recast11.pdf
  • Page 27 (65)

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    5.3.4 Expected MNC requirements

    All services might require MNCs for interconnection and billing purposes, and as all these

    services are in principle international in nature, assignment of MNCs under international or

    o be the most natural solution. SMS, Roaming and VoIP

    service providers are therefore not expected to result in increased demand for MNCs under

    geographic MCCs.

    As for automotive applications, a

    solution. However, our consultation with market participants shows that MVNOs and service

    providers have problems obtaining acceptable interconnection agreement for operations

    . This problem would need to be resolved for any

    MCC. It seems that some type of regulatory intervention, if possible, might be necessary.

    5.4 Providers of small cell coverage solutions

    Development of public small cell networks is driven by the need for improved quality of in-

    house coverage, increased capacity for data services in hotspots, etc. Private networks

    using spectrum and technology compatible with public mobile networks will also need to be

    taken into account in this area.

    The typical cases are shown in Figure 6 below:

    Figure 6: Public small cell and private networks

    5.4.1 Public networks

    There is an increasing interest in small cell implementations for in-house and other

    coverage:

    MNOs or independent service providers may build in-

    (pico/nano cells) to improve coverage and capacity. Reasons might be: high traffic

  • Page 28 (65)

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    load from large number of users (e.g. in shopping malls, offices), need for increased

    data capacity in such locations (high concentration of

    communication intensive devices as tablets, etc.), problems with macro network radio

    coverage in various building structures (e.g. high rise buildings).

    Independent service providers may also enter this market implementing networks

    based on shared or unlicensed spectrum. Unlicensed spectrum in the 1800 MHz

    band (previously used for DECT) is currently subject to particular interest.

    Another area which eventually will need to be considered in Sweden is the 3.4 3.8 GHz

    band. The spectrum is of potential longer term interest for provision of higher data capacity

    local/regional basis, it will need to be considered in this category.

    5.4.2 Private networks

    Private networks would also need MNC resources as 3GPP technologies of same type as

    used in public mobile networks are deployed. LTE might be expected to increasingly replace

    WiMAX for many private network deployments. These networks will require MNC resources

    for technical implementation, but MNC should be also assigned so that future

    interconnection and roaming between various networks (public and private) would be

    possible without fundamental changes of numbering.

    5.4.3 Expected MNC requirements

    Independent service providers offering public network services using small cell solutions

    would require unique MNC resources.

    MNOs may be assumed normally to use their existing MNC resources for small cell

    solutions. However, it is conceivable that in some cases, additional MNCs might be

    requested. An example could be for in-

    also be open for roaming subscriber from other operators. Use of unique MNCs could be a

    As deployment of these types of networks and coverage solutions gather pace, an

    increasing demand should be expected for MNC resources for this purpose. MNCs

    under country specific geographic MCCs would be the natural solution in most cases.

  • Page 29 (65)

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    5.5 Summary

    The various services and business concepts discussed in this section shows that the mobile

    telecommunications industry is moving towards a more fragmented structure.

    The fragmentation of the industry, resulting in more specialised players in both service

    provision and radio access, potentially opens for more service innovation, new business

    models and investments. These are desirable developments for market and consumers, and

    it is important to avoid artificial technical constraints in form of limited MNC resources and

    restrictive assignment criteria.

    5.5.1 Transformed industry structure

    Service requirements and innovation are resulting in a proliferation of specialised service

    providers. Specialized service providers access customers over common radio access

    infrastructures: MNOs RAN, shared RANs, and specialized (supplementary) access

    providers. Figure 7 shows and overview of the various players.

    Figure 7: Fragmentation of the mobile telecommunications industry

    The radio access network is no longer seen as the main differentiator in the competition. The

    increasing interest in shared access infrastructure among traditional MNOs confirms this

    trend.

    In addition to the MNO operated RANs, we may see an increasing number of independent

    providers of specialized access for in-

    may use various combinations of licensed, unlicensed and shared spectrum. 3GPP

    technology, in particular LTE, is likely to be the technology of choice, but WiFi may also play

    The increasing number of players, both in specialized service provision and radio access,

    results in a growing demand for MNC resources.

  • Page 30 (65)

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    5.5.2 MNC requirements

    Assumed preferences / requirements for various types of subscriber arrangements and the

    resulting demand for MNC numbering resources are summarised in Table 4 below.

    MNCs under geographic MCCs MNCs under international

    shared

    Other alternatives

    Utilities and security Preferred as roaming normally not

    required / significant demand

    might be expected

    HPP28

    ,

    IMSI range with MNO

    Automotive IMSI range with local MNO may

    be an alternative for eCall only

    (but not for general telematics

    with roaming requirements)

    Preferred for internationally

    distributed products

    IMSI range with foreign MNO

    Independent providers

    of unbundled services

    SMS

    Roaming

    VoIP

    Alternative if interconnect

    Possible for services which are

    local or country specific by nature

    Preferred for services which

    by their nature would

    naturally transcend borders

    Providers of small cell

    coverage solutions

    Public

    networks

    Preferred assuming requirements

    for inbound roaming only /

    Significant demand might be

    expected

    Private

    networks

    Shared MNC with own IMSI

    range.

    The use need to be co-ordinated

    by NRA

    Table 4: Summary of MNC requirements and expected demand per service area

    The overview shows that most demand for geographic MNC numbering resources may be

    expected to come from the utilities and security sectors and from small cell coverage

    deployments.

    The automotive sector may be expected to request MNC resources under shared (

    type non-country specific MCCs) if such MNC resources are made available. The alternative

    is to continue use of subscriptions with (remotely located) foreign MNOs to enable a

    combination of national and international roaming. For the eCall SIM, a subscription with a

    local MNO may be a feasible alternative as roaming is not required for eCall (as it is based

    general telematics SIM would probably be preferred for logistical reasons. This may be an

    opportunity for new service providers.

    Unbundled services of interest for independent providers are mostly services that by nature

    transcend national borders. Consequently, if appropriate MNC resources can be made

    available under shared non-geographical e to

    be preferred as the most efficient use of total MNC resources available.

    28

    HLR Proxy solution, ref. section 8.

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    6 Summary of discussions with Swedish market

    participants

    Comprehensive consultations with a number of Swedish operators and other market

    participants were an integral part of the analysis.

    Potential problems with mobile terminal behaviour (related to 3GPP specification TS

    23.122) were the main problems seen in connection with introduction of 3-digit MNCs

    that would co-exist with 2-digit MNCs under same MCC. Except for this problem,

    market participant only expected minor problems assuming mixed use of 2 and 3-digit

    MNCs was introduced in the way proposed.

    offering services which naturally transcend national borders. However, participants in

    the survey made little use of such codes because of problems to obtain interconnect

    agreements on local terms, resulting in increased demand for geographic MNCs in

    each of the countries they operate. From a general perspective, this can be seen as

    less efficient use of numbering resources.

    The study included a comprehensive survey among Swedish operators and other market

    participants. The survey was based on interviews and meetings, and the participants were

    also invited to provide written comments to the proposed changes.

    6.1 Scope of the survey

    Operators and market participants consulted as part of the study fall in the following

    categories:

    Infrastructure based mobile operators with own frequency spectrum (MNOs)

    Shared infrastructure providers

    MVNOs (Mobile Virtual Network Operators)

    MVNOs/MVNEs for M2M (Intermediate Specialised Service Providers for M2M)

    Operators of private small cell networks (typically for in-house coverage)

    SMS Service providers (SMS-SP)

    Telematics solutions/equipment developers/vendors

    Mobile network equipment vendors

    The participants in the survey were primarily invited to discuss and comment on the possible

    introduction of mixed use of 2- and 3- cribed in

    section 4.3.1 above. The discussions were focused on the following aspects:

    Present use of currently assigned MNC resources

    Need for MNC numbering resources. Possible advantages and disadvantages of

    introducing 3 digit MNCs in perspective of existing and new services and solutions

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    HLR Proxy provider ( HPP

    MCC codes were discussed with some market participants as considered

    appropriate in perspective of their current service portfolios and configurations

    Impact on existing operations of mixed use of 2- and 3-

    current MCC 240, with regard to:

    o Core and access network systems and implementations

    o Billing and mediation systems

    o Roaming agreements and related arrangements

    o Interconnection arrangements

    The results of the discussions are summarised in the following sections.

    6.2 Present use of assigned MNC resources

    MNOs and shared infrastructure operators use assigned MNC resources for their networks

    in the conventional manner.

    Other service providers use assigned MNC resources mostly for services not requiring

    international roaming. These are mainly M2M services where the assigned MNC numbers

    enable service providers to set up specialised MVNOs. These MVNOs are typically so-called

    them more flexibility in choice of network operator and more possibilities for customisation of

    the services.

    For general voice and data services requiring international roaming, service providers

    established international roaming networks. The effort required to establish

    own network of roaming agreements is generally regarded as commercially unfeasible for

    service providers which normally are niche oriented with a more limited number of users.

    The

    this type of services, and MNCs are not required.

    alongside M2M services.

    The assigned MNCs are typically used for the M2M operations only.

    6.3 Need for MNC resources

    All operators and other market participants in the study had currently assigned MNC

    resources. All assigned MNC resources were in actual use or were planned to be taken in

    use for specific planned services in the near future.

    Service providers typically use their MNCs for the M2M oriented MVNO operations, so

    growing demand for MNCs should be expected as the M2M market is growing with new

    specialised service providers likely to enter the market.

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    The automotive sector (including eCall and other telematics applications appear to have the

    most complex and urgent problems with existing arrangements. Current services typically

    include private emergency/breakdown services, remote diagnostics, etc. These services use

    ordinary mobile data connections29. The main issues of concern are therefore:

    Access to national roaming in order to ensure network coverage in all locations

    where a vehicle might be moving.

    Access to international roaming on economically feasible terms, as vehicles regularly

    cross borders

    Communication devices (In-Vehicle System, IVS) not requiring physical access for

    modifications (e.g. SIM changes) after time of manufacture. As the cost of changing

    or refitting the communication device for a vehicle in the field (i.e. already sold and

    distributed) is very high30 -the-

    strong requirement in this sector.

    The embedded SIM design (ref. 4.3.4 above) removes the need for physical installation or

    change of SIM card in connection with initial provisioning and subsequent changes.

    However, it does not by itself resolve the roaming issues for services requiring ordinary

    mobile data connections31. In order to resolve the national roaming issue, a typical solution

    is mostly used. This might, however, have undesirable cost implications32.

    It will be up to the market participants (mobile operators, service providers and car

    manufacturers) to find suitable solutions. Depending on solutions, various entities may

    require new MNCs, ranging from specialised MVNOs targeting the sector to car

    manufacturers themselves (see previous discussion under section 5 above).

    6.4 Use of shared country codes ( MCC

    Some of the market participants in the study had been awarded MNCs under the shared

    country code MCC 901, or they were (or had been) considering applying for such code.

    The typical service providers, who could potentially use MNC resources under a shared

    international code, operate services which naturally transcend borders and meet the general

    requirement in ITU-

    demonstrate that its international network infrastructure will contain connecting physical

    29

    Ordinary mobile data connection might be assumed as to be the usual connectivity option. The

    30 Typically in the range of euro 400, according to various indications from industry sources.

    31

    services, which can be expected to reside in the same IVS, are likely to require ordinary mobile data connections in most cases. 32

    Some MNOs provide subscriptions (SIMs) for M2M use from a foreign associated MNO in order to resolve the national roaming issue. For M2M applications with limited mobility, as for example in the utilities sector, this may be a suitable solution. In the automotive sector, however, with vehicles frequently crossing borders, the cost implications might be more difficult to manage.

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    nodes in two or more countries. In the case of satellite terminals, serving mobile terminals in

    However, the MNCs under MCC 901 are currently considered less useful, as it is understood

    that local MNOs generally demand international interconnection rates for interconnect with

    operations under MCC 901, as if it was a different country. This is incompatible with the

    business models of these service providers, who are therefore forced to apply for MNCs

    under geographic MCCs. This may be regarded as less efficient use of numbering

    resources.

    A new suggested

    ITU33, was described in discussions with service providers who could potentially use it. It

    was seen as interesting, provided that interconnection could be agreed on feasible terms.

    It appears therefore that in order for MNC resources under any new shared MCCs ( ) to

    be useful, they must be seen that would be seen as

    local in all countries and markets where they are used. This

    might have technical34, commercial and regulatory implications. Regulatory intervention may

    6.5 Impact on existing operations from mixed use of 2- and 3-digit

    Potential impact on existing operations was raised in discussions with all market participants,

    but was mainly a topic discussed with MNOs.

    The alternative considered for mixed use of 2- and 3-digit MNCs is as described in section

    4.3.1 above. This plan assumes that current 2-digit MNCs would remain unchanged and 3-

    digit MNCs will be introduced in a separate range of the number plan, currently 70 99,

    which would be replaced by 700 999. This way, 3-digit MNCs would be assigned in a

    separate range not overlapping with 2-digit codes. Existing 2-digit MNCs will therefore

    continue to unambiguously identify the operators and service providers to which they are

    already assigned, and operators and service providers not able to switch to 3-digit MNCs

    can therefore continue to use their existing 2-digit MNCs.

    33

    COM 2-C4-E ITU-T SG2 for E.212 MNCs under new MCC for International mobile messaging services. 34

    As 3GPP specifications generally assume an MCC code to represent a country, there may be some issues which need to be addressed in this regard. These issues would generally be the same as those that arise when multiple geographic MCCs are used by the same country. As this is already a situation in several countries, it is assumed to be a fully manageable issue.

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    6.5.1 Core and access network systems and implementations

    In accordance with current specifications (ref. 3.2 above), systems and networks

    components based on current 3GPP specification will in principle not support mixed use of

    2- and 3-digit codes. In the event of changes, operators assume that required updates will

    be available from equipment vendors in accordance with the evolution of specifications.

    Operators expect some additional work with system updates and other administrative work if

    3-digit MNCs were introduced. This includes both one-time work in connection with the

    introduction of 3-digit MNCs as well as more continuous maintenance work due to increased

    complexity.

    One specific obstacle brought up in the discussions was the consequences of the

    specification in The problem

    concerns the interactions between the network and mobile terminals, as the radio network

    broadcasts the so-called Location Area Identity (LAI), which includes MCC and MNC. The

    problem is complex as it concerns both network and the entire mobile terminal population35.

    The problem is further discussed in the analysis section (section 7 below).

    With the exception of the issues related to TS 23.122 above, operators did not envisage any

    fundamental problems with mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs, but generally emphasised the

    need for more detailed studies in order to analyse the exact consequences of possible

    changes.

    6.5.2 Billing and mediation systems

    Only minor impact is expected on billing and mediation systems:

    For incoming roaming user, billing systems already supports both 2 and 3-digit

    MNCs, although the case where a user comes from a country with a mix of 2 and 3-

    digit MNCs under same MCC might need to be tested.

    Some billing systems may only support 2-digit MNCs for domestic users. Other

    MNCs would be classified as roaming. This may be an issue if it is the billing system

    of an MNO hosting an MVNO with a 3-digit MNC. However, it would be a commercial

    decision for such an MNO when and if to accept hosting an MVNO with a 3-digit

    MNC. The MNO would be free to delay hosting of such MVNOs until it can support

    the solution technically.

    35

    The issue is the same as brought up by 3GPP TSG CT WG1 Reply LS on assignment of 3 digit MNC -COM2 LS129 E (March 2012).

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    6.5.3 Roaming agreements and related arrangements

    Minor impact is expected on roaming agreements and involved systems, as the

    implementations already support interaction with operators with both 2 and 3-digit MNCs.

    However, in particular the MNOs (as well as some other service providers) emphasise two

    critical assumptions:

    Existing 2-digit MNCs already assigned will not be changed, and no overlapping 3-

    -digit MNCs with

    Mixed use of 2 and 3-digit MNCs will be introduced in an internationally harmonised

    and co-ordinated manner that will permit general specifications and network systems/

    products to be upgraded in accordance with normal procedures.

    6.5.4 Interconnection arrangements

    Possible impact on interconnection arrangements was brought up in the discussions with

    operators, but no potential impact could be identified.

    6.5.5 Summary of potential impact on existing operations

    The potential impact on